Felix Münchow
@felixmuenchow.bsky.social
PhD Student in Political Science at the University of Mannheim.
Political Psychology, Morality, Belief Systems. He/him.
Political Psychology, Morality, Belief Systems. He/him.
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
Reposted by Felix Münchow
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
NEW -
Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa
- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa
- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
November 4, 2025 at 11:20 AM
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
Reposted by Felix Münchow
To be clear: deportations to increase cultural homogeneity is the text book definition of ethnic cleansing. Demands that come even close to this are so far outside any democratic norm and the rule of law. What has happened to a country when this is not condemned in the strongest possible terms?
October 21, 2025 at 10:47 AM
To be clear: deportations to increase cultural homogeneity is the text book definition of ethnic cleansing. Demands that come even close to this are so far outside any democratic norm and the rule of law. What has happened to a country when this is not condemned in the strongest possible terms?
Reposted by Felix Münchow
How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
October 7, 2025 at 6:49 PM
How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Reposted by Felix Münchow
In our new publication to @nature.com Humanities & Social Sciences Communications @muhx2.bsky.social and I explore if the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine increased support for European integration among Europeans. The answer is yes!
A short 🧵:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A short 🧵:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Entangled fates—the rally effect around Europe due to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine - Humanities and Social Sciences Communications
Humanities and Social Sciences Communications - Entangled fates—the rally effect around Europe due to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine
www.nature.com
July 1, 2025 at 3:23 PM
In our new publication to @nature.com Humanities & Social Sciences Communications @muhx2.bsky.social and I explore if the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine increased support for European integration among Europeans. The answer is yes!
A short 🧵:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A short 🧵:
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Felix Münchow
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
June 26, 2025 at 5:07 PM
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
Reposted by Felix Münchow
🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Survey Nonresponse After Elections: Investigating the Role of Winner-Loser Effects in Panel Attrition
Abstract. When and for whom do election outcomes drive survey nonresponse? This paper investigates whether belonging to the winners or losers of an electio
academic.oup.com
June 23, 2025 at 8:03 AM
🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.
The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇
academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...
Reposted by Felix Münchow
🚨🚨 NEW PRE-PRINT 🚨🚨
Prominent theories in political psychology argue that threat causes increases in conservatism. Early experimental work supported this idea, but many of these studies were (severely) underpowered, and examined only a few threats and ideological DVs. 1/n osf.io/preprints/ps...
Prominent theories in political psychology argue that threat causes increases in conservatism. Early experimental work supported this idea, but many of these studies were (severely) underpowered, and examined only a few threats and ideological DVs. 1/n osf.io/preprints/ps...
OSF
osf.io
May 20, 2025 at 10:47 PM
🚨🚨 NEW PRE-PRINT 🚨🚨
Prominent theories in political psychology argue that threat causes increases in conservatism. Early experimental work supported this idea, but many of these studies were (severely) underpowered, and examined only a few threats and ideological DVs. 1/n osf.io/preprints/ps...
Prominent theories in political psychology argue that threat causes increases in conservatism. Early experimental work supported this idea, but many of these studies were (severely) underpowered, and examined only a few threats and ideological DVs. 1/n osf.io/preprints/ps...
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Thrilled to see my 1st PhD paper out in #PartyPolitics! Based on ~15000 posts by 86 German subnat. parties (2015-2019), Simon Franzmann & I show that dominant & challenger parties differ in the use of policy-based vs symbolic & positive vs negative appeals.
🔓:
doi.org/10.1177/1354...
🔓:
doi.org/10.1177/1354...
May 13, 2025 at 10:15 AM
Thrilled to see my 1st PhD paper out in #PartyPolitics! Based on ~15000 posts by 86 German subnat. parties (2015-2019), Simon Franzmann & I show that dominant & challenger parties differ in the use of policy-based vs symbolic & positive vs negative appeals.
🔓:
doi.org/10.1177/1354...
🔓:
doi.org/10.1177/1354...
Reposted by Felix Münchow
The first paper of my dissertation has been published in West European Politics!
@wepsocial.bsky.social
See the thread below:
@wepsocial.bsky.social
See the thread below:
May 8, 2025 at 7:46 AM
The first paper of my dissertation has been published in West European Politics!
@wepsocial.bsky.social
See the thread below:
@wepsocial.bsky.social
See the thread below:
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Our article w/Justin Robinson on authoritarianism in 🇬🇧 is published in the new issue of @polbehavior.bsky.social
We employ a longitudinal analysis using the @britishelectionstudy.com to investigate the causal effect of the psychological trait of authoritarianism on political attitudes and voting 🧵
We employ a longitudinal analysis using the @britishelectionstudy.com to investigate the causal effect of the psychological trait of authoritarianism on political attitudes and voting 🧵
May 6, 2025 at 8:03 AM
Our article w/Justin Robinson on authoritarianism in 🇬🇧 is published in the new issue of @polbehavior.bsky.social
We employ a longitudinal analysis using the @britishelectionstudy.com to investigate the causal effect of the psychological trait of authoritarianism on political attitudes and voting 🧵
We employ a longitudinal analysis using the @britishelectionstudy.com to investigate the causal effect of the psychological trait of authoritarianism on political attitudes and voting 🧵
Reposted by Felix Münchow
New paper on misperceptions out in PNAS @pnas.org
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Why do people overestimate the size of politically relevant groups (immigrant, LGBTQ, Jewish) and quantities (% of budget spent on foreign aid, % of refugees that are criminals)?🧵👇
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Why do people overestimate the size of politically relevant groups (immigrant, LGBTQ, Jewish) and quantities (% of budget spent on foreign aid, % of refugees that are criminals)?🧵👇
April 7, 2025 at 12:00 PM
New paper on misperceptions out in PNAS @pnas.org
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Why do people overestimate the size of politically relevant groups (immigrant, LGBTQ, Jewish) and quantities (% of budget spent on foreign aid, % of refugees that are criminals)?🧵👇
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Why do people overestimate the size of politically relevant groups (immigrant, LGBTQ, Jewish) and quantities (% of budget spent on foreign aid, % of refugees that are criminals)?🧵👇
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Published Today in PSRM:
Based on a novel “Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design” (MUESD), I contextualize previous findings suggesting that Europeans become more empathetic toward migrants when exposed to migrant suffering.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
A Summary Thread: 1/15
Based on a novel “Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design” (MUESD), I contextualize previous findings suggesting that Europeans become more empathetic toward migrants when exposed to migrant suffering.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
A Summary Thread: 1/15
March 20, 2025 at 10:24 AM
Published Today in PSRM:
Based on a novel “Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design” (MUESD), I contextualize previous findings suggesting that Europeans become more empathetic toward migrants when exposed to migrant suffering.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
A Summary Thread: 1/15
Based on a novel “Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design” (MUESD), I contextualize previous findings suggesting that Europeans become more empathetic toward migrants when exposed to migrant suffering.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
A Summary Thread: 1/15
Reposted by Felix Münchow
..und noch ein Fall, in dem ein rechsextremer Vierfachmord unter dem medialen Radar läuft. Am 25. März 2024 starben die Eltern und ihre beiden drei Jahre und wenige Monate alten Töchter bei einem Brandanschlag. Erinnert an die Toten. Und die Medien an ihre verdammte demokratische Verantwortung.
Ein Jahr später: "Auf einer Festplatte, die in der Wohnung des Angeklagten gefunden wurde, seien rechtsextreme Inhalte entdeckt worden. Darunter 166 Bilder, unter anderem von der NSU-Terroristin Beate Zschäpe..." #Solingen taz.de/Brandanschla...
March 13, 2025 at 8:33 AM
..und noch ein Fall, in dem ein rechsextremer Vierfachmord unter dem medialen Radar läuft. Am 25. März 2024 starben die Eltern und ihre beiden drei Jahre und wenige Monate alten Töchter bei einem Brandanschlag. Erinnert an die Toten. Und die Medien an ihre verdammte demokratische Verantwortung.
Reposted by Felix Münchow
I wrote about what I call the "everyone is biased" bias and the problems with excessive cynicism: www.conspicuouscognition.com/p/the-everyo...
The "everyone is biased" bias
On the problems with excessive epistemic cynicism
www.conspicuouscognition.com
March 12, 2025 at 8:25 AM
I wrote about what I call the "everyone is biased" bias and the problems with excessive cynicism: www.conspicuouscognition.com/p/the-everyo...
Reposted by Felix Münchow
I recently published a review article on how social norms regulating the expression of prejudice change. I guess we will be seeing many of these mechanisms in action in the near future.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Social norms and the expression of prejudice: How the norm changes
Social norms influence how opinions are expressed. The norm against prejudice discourages individuals from expressing certain opinions to avoid being …
www.sciencedirect.com
February 28, 2025 at 2:58 PM
I recently published a review article on how social norms regulating the expression of prejudice change. I guess we will be seeing many of these mechanisms in action in the near future.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Our research on Need for Chaos was focused on how some voters wanted to watch the world burn: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk
But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain
With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk
But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain
The “Need for Chaos” and Motivations to Share Hostile Political Rumors | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
The “Need for Chaos” and Motivations to Share Hostile Political Rumors - Volume 117 Issue 4
www.cambridge.org
February 25, 2025 at 11:42 AM
Our research on Need for Chaos was focused on how some voters wanted to watch the world burn: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk
But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain
With DOGE it now seems to be official government strategy from Trump & Musk
But the goal seems the same: Burning down existing structures for selfish status gain
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Wir haben gestern lange darüber gesprochen was wir tun würden wenn Autoritäre und Faschisten die Macht übernehmen. Behält man Stellen in Bürokratie und Wissenschaft, wandert man aus, wie würde man Widerstand organisieren? Als Deutscher kennt man diese Fragen. Man hat sie häufig rückblickend ... 1/
February 23, 2025 at 10:34 AM
Wir haben gestern lange darüber gesprochen was wir tun würden wenn Autoritäre und Faschisten die Macht übernehmen. Behält man Stellen in Bürokratie und Wissenschaft, wandert man aus, wie würde man Widerstand organisieren? Als Deutscher kennt man diese Fragen. Man hat sie häufig rückblickend ... 1/
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Wir bei zweitstimme.org haben in den letzten Tagen über 20.000 Menschen gefragt, was Sie denken, wie die Wahl ausgeht. Und auch, was sie erwarten, wer ihren Walkreis gewinnt. zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/c... #citizenforecasting #btw25
Was denken Wähler:innen, wie die Wahl ausgeht?
Wir haben über 20.000 Personen gefragt, was sie erwarten wie die Wahl ausgeht - im Gegensatz zu der Frage “Wen werden Sie wählen?”.
Dabei bilden diese Personen keine repräsentative Stichprobe, sie sin...
zweitstimme.org
February 21, 2025 at 3:31 PM
Wir bei zweitstimme.org haben in den letzten Tagen über 20.000 Menschen gefragt, was Sie denken, wie die Wahl ausgeht. Und auch, was sie erwarten, wer ihren Walkreis gewinnt. zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/c... #citizenforecasting #btw25
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Do citizens stereotype Muslims as inherently homophobic?
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
Do Citizens Stereotype Muslims as an Illiberal Bogeyman? Evidence from a Double-List Experiment | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Do Citizens Stereotype Muslims as an Illiberal Bogeyman? Evidence from a Double-List Experiment - Volume 55
doi.org
February 14, 2025 at 9:09 AM
Do citizens stereotype Muslims as inherently homophobic?
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w/ @bertous.bsky.social & @michaelhunklinger.bsky.social we answer this question using a double-list experiment across 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇩🇪 🇳🇱
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Spoiler: Yes. 🧵
Reposted by Felix Münchow
Ok, thread time.
Closed-ended survey responses are efficient and easy to analyze, but limit what respondents can say. Open-ended responses are useful for letting respondents answer with more depth in their own words (as opposed to yours).
Closed-ended survey responses are efficient and easy to analyze, but limit what respondents can say. Open-ended responses are useful for letting respondents answer with more depth in their own words (as opposed to yours).
Online/open access in @polanalysis.bsky.social w/ @willrhobbs.bsky.social: a theory and method for inferring attitudes in open-ended survey responses www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
January 31, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Ok, thread time.
Closed-ended survey responses are efficient and easy to analyze, but limit what respondents can say. Open-ended responses are useful for letting respondents answer with more depth in their own words (as opposed to yours).
Closed-ended survey responses are efficient and easy to analyze, but limit what respondents can say. Open-ended responses are useful for letting respondents answer with more depth in their own words (as opposed to yours).
Reposted by Felix Münchow
In #Germany, a watershed moment: Just hours after commemorating the Holocaust, the centre-right has accepted the support of the #farright #AfD to pass a (largely symbolic) motion against immigration, tearing a massive hole into the so-called 'firewall', Germany's variety of the cordon sanitaire.
January 29, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Reposted by Felix Münchow
“Women leave or consider leaving [faculty positions] because of workplace climate more often than work-life balance.” www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Gender and retention patterns among U.S. faculty
Women faculty are more likely to leave their jobs than men, most often due to workplace climate, rather than work-life balance.
www.science.org
December 24, 2024 at 3:10 PM
“Women leave or consider leaving [faculty positions] because of workplace climate more often than work-life balance.” www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...