Tiago Ventura
@tiagoventura.bsky.social
Assistant Professor at @McCourtSchool @Georgetown Working on computational social science, social media, and politics. De Belém 🇧🇷
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
It is finally finished and released! I was proud to be a member of the Task Force on 2024 Pre-Election Polling, and to play just a small role in producing this report.
Here is the report:
aapor.org/wp-content/u...
And here is the Executive Summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
Here is the report:
aapor.org/wp-content/u...
And here is the Executive Summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
aapor.org
October 29, 2025 at 8:16 PM
It is finally finished and released! I was proud to be a member of the Task Force on 2024 Pre-Election Polling, and to play just a small role in producing this report.
Here is the report:
aapor.org/wp-content/u...
And here is the Executive Summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
Here is the report:
aapor.org/wp-content/u...
And here is the Executive Summary: aapor.org/wp-content/u...
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
🚨Postdoc altert 🚨
Come to @upenn.edu for a great postdoctoral fellowship opportunity at @perryworldhouse.bsky.social.
Pass it on.
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/opportunitie...
Come to @upenn.edu for a great postdoctoral fellowship opportunity at @perryworldhouse.bsky.social.
Pass it on.
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/opportunitie...
Postdoctoral Fellows - Perry World House
Perry World House postdoctoral fellows are excellent scholars who study global affairs and have interests in interdisciplinary outreach and policy relevance. We are particularly interested in applican...
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu
October 22, 2025 at 2:45 PM
🚨Postdoc altert 🚨
Come to @upenn.edu for a great postdoctoral fellowship opportunity at @perryworldhouse.bsky.social.
Pass it on.
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/opportunitie...
Come to @upenn.edu for a great postdoctoral fellowship opportunity at @perryworldhouse.bsky.social.
Pass it on.
perryworldhouse.upenn.edu/opportunitie...
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
Proud to have worked on this paper with @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Bernhard Clemen von Hohenberg, Ericka Menchen-Trevino, and Mabdalena Wojcieszak: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... .
Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core
Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data
www.cambridge.org
October 10, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Proud to have worked on this paper with @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Bernhard Clemen von Hohenberg, Ericka Menchen-Trevino, and Mabdalena Wojcieszak: www.cambridge.org/core/journal... .
How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
October 7, 2025 at 6:49 PM
How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social -
Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data - https://cup.org/3KWgqtg
- Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Jonathan Nagler, @ericka.bric.digital & Magdalena Wojcieszak
#FirstView
Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data - https://cup.org/3KWgqtg
- Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Jonathan Nagler, @ericka.bric.digital & Magdalena Wojcieszak
#FirstView
October 7, 2025 at 10:20 AM
#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social -
Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data - https://cup.org/3KWgqtg
- Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Jonathan Nagler, @ericka.bric.digital & Magdalena Wojcieszak
#FirstView
Survey Professionalism: New Evidence from Web Browsing Data - https://cup.org/3KWgqtg
- Bernhard Clemm von Hohenberg, @tiagoventura.bsky.social, Jonathan Nagler, @ericka.bric.digital & Magdalena Wojcieszak
#FirstView
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
In the Global South, WhatsApp is more popular than X or Facebook.
New in @The_JOP, we ran a WhatsApp deactivation experiment during Brazil’s 2022 election to explore how the app facilitates the spread of misinformation and affects voters’ attitudes.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
New in @The_JOP, we ran a WhatsApp deactivation experiment during Brazil’s 2022 election to explore how the app facilitates the spread of misinformation and affects voters’ attitudes.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
July 17, 2025 at 2:51 PM
In the Global South, WhatsApp is more popular than X or Facebook.
New in @The_JOP, we ran a WhatsApp deactivation experiment during Brazil’s 2022 election to explore how the app facilitates the spread of misinformation and affects voters’ attitudes.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
New in @The_JOP, we ran a WhatsApp deactivation experiment during Brazil’s 2022 election to explore how the app facilitates the spread of misinformation and affects voters’ attitudes.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
🚨 Paper now as "just accepted" at @The_JOP. We ran the first WhatsApp deactivation experiment focused on multimedia content ahead of the 2022 election in Brazil. We find a reduction in users' recall of false rumors -- and, to a smaller degree, of true news. Null effects on attitudes. Full thread ⬇️
In the Global South, WhatsApp is more popular than X or Facebook.
New in @The_JOP, we ran a WhatsApp deactivation experiment during Brazil’s 2022 election to explore how the app facilitates the spread of misinformation and affects voters’ attitudes.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
New in @The_JOP, we ran a WhatsApp deactivation experiment during Brazil’s 2022 election to explore how the app facilitates the spread of misinformation and affects voters’ attitudes.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1...
July 17, 2025 at 3:27 PM
🚨 Paper now as "just accepted" at @The_JOP. We ran the first WhatsApp deactivation experiment focused on multimedia content ahead of the 2022 election in Brazil. We find a reduction in users' recall of false rumors -- and, to a smaller degree, of true news. Null effects on attitudes. Full thread ⬇️
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
I am thrilled to share a new article in Sociological Methods & Research, “Quantifying Narrative Similarity Across Languages”. My co-first author Sol Messing and our collaborators developed a new approach to measuring “narrative similarity” between texts: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Quantifying Narrative Similarity Across Languages - Hannah Waight, Solomon Messing, Anton Shirikov, Margaret E. Roberts, Jonathan Nagler, Jason Greenfield, Megan A. Brown, Kevin Aslett, Joshua A. Tuck...
How can one understand the spread of ideas across text data? This is a key measurement problem in sociological inquiry, from the study of how interest groups sh...
journals.sagepub.com
June 18, 2025 at 3:56 PM
I am thrilled to share a new article in Sociological Methods & Research, “Quantifying Narrative Similarity Across Languages”. My co-first author Sol Messing and our collaborators developed a new approach to measuring “narrative similarity” between texts: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
(1) "Voting for Law and Order: Evidence From a Survey Experiment in Mexico" by Tiago Ventura @tiagoventura.bsky.social and Sandra Ley
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
June 13, 2025 at 6:26 PM
(1) "Voting for Law and Order: Evidence From a Survey Experiment in Mexico" by Tiago Ventura @tiagoventura.bsky.social and Sandra Ley
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
New article w/ @emroberto.bsky.social out in SMR! We introduce a framework for analyzing images 🖼️ with generative multimodal models and provide an empirical application using satellite and street images. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
May 27, 2025 at 1:33 PM
New article w/ @emroberto.bsky.social out in SMR! We introduce a framework for analyzing images 🖼️ with generative multimodal models and provide an empirical application using satellite and street images. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Looking for new research showing no backlash for misinformation corrections? Here is our recent paper:
🚨 Fact-checking increases perceptions of fact-checkers’ reputations, even for counter-attitudinal corrections to voters’ political views.
Thanks @respol.bsky.social for publishing and sharing!
🚨 Fact-checking increases perceptions of fact-checkers’ reputations, even for counter-attitudinal corrections to voters’ political views.
Thanks @respol.bsky.social for publishing and sharing!
Natalia Aruguete, @tiagoventura.bsky.social
& @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.
& @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
May 26, 2025 at 7:59 PM
Looking for new research showing no backlash for misinformation corrections? Here is our recent paper:
🚨 Fact-checking increases perceptions of fact-checkers’ reputations, even for counter-attitudinal corrections to voters’ political views.
Thanks @respol.bsky.social for publishing and sharing!
🚨 Fact-checking increases perceptions of fact-checkers’ reputations, even for counter-attitudinal corrections to voters’ political views.
Thanks @respol.bsky.social for publishing and sharing!
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
Natalia Aruguete, @tiagoventura.bsky.social
& @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.
& @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
May 26, 2025 at 7:18 PM
Natalia Aruguete, @tiagoventura.bsky.social
& @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.
& @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.
New publication out with Natalia Aruguete, @ecalvo68.bsky.social and Carlos Scartascini.
Do polarizing political tweets make us less trustworthy?
Not quite. But they do make us trust others less.
Our article shows how social media erodes trust, even when we stay principled.
🧵1/
Do polarizing political tweets make us less trustworthy?
Not quite. But they do make us trust others less.
Our article shows how social media erodes trust, even when we stay principled.
🧵1/
Keep your promises, even when your peers do not: a survey experiment on the influence of social media on trust
This study measures the effect of partisan and polarizing social media messages on political trust and trustworthiness in Brazil and Mexico. We implemented two survey experiments with approximately...
www.tandfonline.com
May 19, 2025 at 3:34 PM
New publication out with Natalia Aruguete, @ecalvo68.bsky.social and Carlos Scartascini.
Do polarizing political tweets make us less trustworthy?
Not quite. But they do make us trust others less.
Our article shows how social media erodes trust, even when we stay principled.
🧵1/
Do polarizing political tweets make us less trustworthy?
Not quite. But they do make us trust others less.
Our article shows how social media erodes trust, even when we stay principled.
🧵1/
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
I am hiring a new Lab Manager to help run the NYU Center for Conflict & Cooperation.
We start reviewing apps on MAY 1st and it pays over $58,000. Please share with anyone who might be interested!
Please apply here: apply.interfolio.com/166620
See more details below:
We start reviewing apps on MAY 1st and it pays over $58,000. Please share with anyone who might be interested!
Please apply here: apply.interfolio.com/166620
See more details below:
April 21, 2025 at 8:59 PM
I am hiring a new Lab Manager to help run the NYU Center for Conflict & Cooperation.
We start reviewing apps on MAY 1st and it pays over $58,000. Please share with anyone who might be interested!
Please apply here: apply.interfolio.com/166620
See more details below:
We start reviewing apps on MAY 1st and it pays over $58,000. Please share with anyone who might be interested!
Please apply here: apply.interfolio.com/166620
See more details below:
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
For today’s spotlight on EGAP #polarization work: @cdsamii.bsky.social discusses a survey experiment conducted during Argentina’s 2019 presidential election on fact checking & misinfo w/ researchers @ecalvo68.bsky.social , @tiagoventura.bsky.social , & Olivia Sohr (@chequeado.com ).
Priority Theme Seminar Series: Truth be Told: Fact Checking in the 2019 Argentine Election – EGAP
November 4, 2021
buff.ly
March 20, 2025 at 1:00 PM
For today’s spotlight on EGAP #polarization work: @cdsamii.bsky.social discusses a survey experiment conducted during Argentina’s 2019 presidential election on fact checking & misinfo w/ researchers @ecalvo68.bsky.social , @tiagoventura.bsky.social , & Olivia Sohr (@chequeado.com ).
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
How can researchers identify covert state propaganda campaigns in China? My co-authors Yin Yuan, Molly Roberts, Brandon Stewart @bstewart.bsky.social and myself are excited to share our new article in PNAS (@PNAS): doi.org/10.1073/pnas...
Thread below.
Thread below.
The decade-long growth of government-authored news media in China under Xi Jinping | PNAS
Autocratic governments around the world use clandestine propaganda campaigns to influence
the media. We document a decade-long trend in China towar...
doi.org
March 11, 2025 at 7:05 PM
How can researchers identify covert state propaganda campaigns in China? My co-authors Yin Yuan, Molly Roberts, Brandon Stewart @bstewart.bsky.social and myself are excited to share our new article in PNAS (@PNAS): doi.org/10.1073/pnas...
Thread below.
Thread below.
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
Please share! Have an MA student or current PhD student who wants/needs to get out of the US (or not go there)? Western is accepting PhD late apps. Info here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/gra...
Apply here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/pro...
Or contact Grad Chair: Cameron.Anderson@uwo.ca
Apply here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/pro...
Or contact Grad Chair: Cameron.Anderson@uwo.ca
March 6, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Please share! Have an MA student or current PhD student who wants/needs to get out of the US (or not go there)? Western is accepting PhD late apps. Info here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/gra...
Apply here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/pro...
Or contact Grad Chair: Cameron.Anderson@uwo.ca
Apply here: politicalscience.uwo.ca/graduate/pro...
Or contact Grad Chair: Cameron.Anderson@uwo.ca
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
I was just informed that our RCT in Bangladesh has been terminated mid-way. The project we were evaluating was helping to build resilience by forming farmer groups in 225 villages and transferring critical knowledge on smart agriculture practices in areas highly affected by climate change.
February 27, 2025 at 1:51 PM
I was just informed that our RCT in Bangladesh has been terminated mid-way. The project we were evaluating was helping to build resilience by forming farmer groups in 225 villages and transferring critical knowledge on smart agriculture practices in areas highly affected by climate change.
👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼
Natalia Arguete, @tiagoventura.bsky.social & @ecalvo68.bsky.social examine how exposure to counter- and pro-attitudinal fact-checking messages impacts voters’ perception of the fact-checker: Fact-checking increases the reputation of the fact-checker but creates perceptions of ideological biases.
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
doi.org
February 25, 2025 at 7:13 PM
👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼👇🏼
New article out at @respol.bsky.social (w/ Ernesto Calvo and)🥳
Much has been shown on fact-checking effects on the ability to discern true from false. But.. does it affect the fact-checker's perceived reputation and ideological leaning?
Check below: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Much has been shown on fact-checking effects on the ability to discern true from false. But.. does it affect the fact-checker's perceived reputation and ideological leaning?
Check below: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
February 25, 2025 at 3:22 PM
New article out at @respol.bsky.social (w/ Ernesto Calvo and)🥳
Much has been shown on fact-checking effects on the ability to discern true from false. But.. does it affect the fact-checker's perceived reputation and ideological leaning?
Check below: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Much has been shown on fact-checking effects on the ability to discern true from false. But.. does it affect the fact-checker's perceived reputation and ideological leaning?
Check below: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Really great piece!
I was planning to sit out the current round of tech-criticism internet drama.
But I always read @caseynewton.bsky.social, and I think he misses a key point about market power and the purpose of tech criticism.
TL;DR: we shouldn't grade the tech barons on a curve.
open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...
But I always read @caseynewton.bsky.social, and I think he misses a key point about market power and the purpose of tech criticism.
TL;DR: we shouldn't grade the tech barons on a curve.
open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...
Weighing in on Casey Newton's "AI is fake and sucks" debate
AI is real, but the hype is manufactured. A dose of skepticism is helpful for seeing how this story goes.
open.substack.com
December 10, 2024 at 7:35 PM
Really great piece!
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
I was planning to sit out the current round of tech-criticism internet drama.
But I always read @caseynewton.bsky.social, and I think he misses a key point about market power and the purpose of tech criticism.
TL;DR: we shouldn't grade the tech barons on a curve.
open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...
But I always read @caseynewton.bsky.social, and I think he misses a key point about market power and the purpose of tech criticism.
TL;DR: we shouldn't grade the tech barons on a curve.
open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...
Weighing in on Casey Newton's "AI is fake and sucks" debate
AI is real, but the hype is manufactured. A dose of skepticism is helpful for seeing how this story goes.
open.substack.com
December 10, 2024 at 6:13 PM
I was planning to sit out the current round of tech-criticism internet drama.
But I always read @caseynewton.bsky.social, and I think he misses a key point about market power and the purpose of tech criticism.
TL;DR: we shouldn't grade the tech barons on a curve.
open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...
But I always read @caseynewton.bsky.social, and I think he misses a key point about market power and the purpose of tech criticism.
TL;DR: we shouldn't grade the tech barons on a curve.
open.substack.com/pub/davekarp...
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
Incredibly flattered to be profiled on the @ssrn.bsky.social blog.
The latest from the SSRN Blog: Meet the Author with Joshua Tucker:
blog.ssrn.com/2024/12/03/m...
@jatucker.bsky.social
blog.ssrn.com/2024/12/03/m...
@jatucker.bsky.social
Meet the Author: Joshua A. Tucker
Joshua A. Tucker is Professor of Politics, affiliated Professor of Russian and Slavic Studies, and affiliated Professor of Data Science at New York University. He is the Director of NYU’s Jordan Ce…
blog.ssrn.com
December 4, 2024 at 8:13 PM
Incredibly flattered to be profiled on the @ssrn.bsky.social blog.
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
Among other things, US higher education effectively exports tens of billions worth of dollars of services, by persuading foreigners to pay a lot for a product that keep jobs in the US. How long more will they keep paying when they can't be sure they can even enter the country.
UMass/Amherst (left) and Wesleyan University are both warning their international students to be on American soil before noon on Jan 20 -- Inauguration Day.
November 24, 2024 at 7:03 PM
Among other things, US higher education effectively exports tens of billions worth of dollars of services, by persuading foreigners to pay a lot for a product that keep jobs in the US. How long more will they keep paying when they can't be sure they can even enter the country.
Reposted by Tiago Ventura
🤖🗣️ How human is AI-generated content? New study analyzes perceptions of AI-generated social media for 2024 presidential debate. While users generally distinguish between human & AI content, platform plays a significant role in perception @tiagoventura.bsky.social et al: https://bit.ly/4i1rphm
November 23, 2024 at 12:01 AM
🤖🗣️ How human is AI-generated content? New study analyzes perceptions of AI-generated social media for 2024 presidential debate. While users generally distinguish between human & AI content, platform plays a significant role in perception @tiagoventura.bsky.social et al: https://bit.ly/4i1rphm