David Mermin
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dmermin.bsky.social
David Mermin
@dmermin.bsky.social
(he/him) Pollster based in Berkeley, California. Empiricist, urbanist, egalitarian, cartophile. Fan of democracy, habitable planets, public transit, association football.
Reposted by David Mermin
This is not a peace plan. It is a proposal that weakens Ukraine and divides America from Europe, preparing the way for a larger war in the future. In the meantime, it benefits unnamed Russian and American investors, at the expense of everyone else.
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Trump Has a Recipe for War and Corruption, Not Peace
Who would benefit from the White House’s 28-point proposal for Ukraine?
www.theatlantic.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:11 AM
A little rounding error
Oopsie.
Trump tariffs to reduce US deficits by $1 trillion less than previous estimate, CBO says reut.rs/3LT5Ofm
November 21, 2025 at 3:54 AM
Reposted by David Mermin
"Kids will get sick because of what the CDC just did. Some of them will die. But the even bigger story is that the U.S. government is no longer a reliable source of information"

@jvl.bsky.social's latest Triad on RFK Jr. and his cranks. Only @thebulwark.com: www.thebulwark.com/p/is-rfk-jr-...
What If the Most Dangerous Man in the Administration Isn’t Donald Trump?
The U.S. government is now pushing misinformation.
www.thebulwark.com
November 20, 2025 at 8:44 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
He already sent a lynch mob to chase Congress out of the Capitol and it was a skin-of-their-teeth miracle they didn't manage to get their hands on any of them.

It's a big deal, but shouldn't be framed as shockingly new. It is his longtime position that murdering his political opponents is good.
November 20, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
Stephen Miller said the Chicago building was “filled with TdA terrorists.”

DOJ prosecutors have not filed criminal charges or shown evidence that anyone arrested in the raid belonged to the Tren de Aragua gang.

With @frontlinepbs.bsky.social & @blockclubchi.bsky.social
“I Lost Everything”: Venezuelans Were Rounded Up in a Dramatic Midnight Raid but Never Charged With a Crime
Authorities said Tren de Aragua “terrorists” had taken over the building. A ProPublica investigation found little evidence to back up the government’s claims. For the first time, the Venezuelans arres...
www.propublica.org
November 20, 2025 at 2:40 AM
Reposted by David Mermin
There’s one person squarely to blame for Trump’s corruption, authoritarianism & assault on democracy: John Roberts. He’s enabled so much of Trump’s lawlessness while somehow escaping accountability for it

New cover story from @pemalevy.bsky.social & me

www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
This is all John Roberts’ fault
Trump owes his corrupt and abusive reign to one man.
www.motherjones.com
November 19, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
"It’s impossible to imagine today’s crisis without the Roberts court having first undermined the foundations of our democracy."
www.motherjones.com/politics/202...
November 19, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
Unsatisfied with norm-busting mid-decade partisan gerrymanders, House Republicans are now laying down the intellectual groundwork for an unlawful mid-decade census. www.democracydocket.com/news-alerts/...
To Weaken Minority Voting Power, Republicans Push For Unprecedented Mid-Decade Census
Read more here.
www.democracydocket.com
November 19, 2025 at 5:33 PM
Entire US GDP in a year is $29 trillion, so no. Making shit up.
Trump to MBS: "$21 trillion will be the amount invested in the United States, or committed to invest, in one year." ("Committed" is doing heavy lifting there)
November 18, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
USAID represented 0.3% of the federal budget.
Anybody who thinks thousands of agonizing deaths is a fine price to pay for saving a fractional amount of government spending is unworthy of being listened to, let alone being given political power www.thebulwark.com/p/this-may-b...
This May Be the Cruelest, Most Senseless Thing Trump Has Done
A conversation with Atul Gawande about the human toll of the dismantling of foreign aid.
www.thebulwark.com
November 18, 2025 at 4:09 AM
Always finds a new low
"Quiet! Quiet, Piggy."
November 18, 2025 at 2:58 AM
Mass murder by Trump, Musk, and Vought. And they brag about it.
November 17, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
Greg Bovino is leading a rebel cavalry terrorizing America—and it's important to recognize that it's in retreat. While the trauma and terror Bovino’s raiders instill is real and damaging, it’s remarkable to note how ineffective the force has turned out to be. www.doomsdayscenario.co/p/trump-bord...
Trump, Border Patrol Retreat in Failure from Chicago
Five important lessons of the first six months of Trump’s immigration raids — and why CBP’s Greg Bovino is the Nathan Bedford Forrest of the Trump era.
www.doomsdayscenario.co
November 17, 2025 at 4:41 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
Published today in Earth System Science Data: The Global Carbon Budget 2025
essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...
Global Carbon Budget 2025
Abstract. Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to bette...
essd.copernicus.org
November 13, 2025 at 3:07 PM
Just crossed below 40%! This president is very, very unpopular. Source: fiftyplusone.news
November 12, 2025 at 7:41 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
Trump is a liar. Tear gassing kids in peaceful neighborhoods makes no one safer.

He cannot steal credit from our violence prevention and law enforcement efforts that have reduced crime for four years straight — long before his masked agents showed up. www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news...
DHS takes credit for crime being down in Chicago. Data shows that was happening before they arrived.
Immigration officials on Tuesday said a drop in crime numbers was thanks to their work. Police data show the decrease was taking place before federal agents arrived in the city.
www.nbcnews.com
November 12, 2025 at 3:27 AM
Reposted by David Mermin
The CFPB was created. The Trump administration is seeking to eliminate it, despite the fact that Congress has passed no law enabling it to do so.
November 11, 2025 at 4:46 AM
Reposted by David Mermin
“These most recent pardon recipients appear to have given Trump approximately $250,000 in combined political donations through 2025.”

@alisond64.bsky.social for @forbes.com
November 11, 2025 at 3:24 AM
Reposted by David Mermin
Trump has legalized crime if you’re a prominent Republican or married to one.
November 11, 2025 at 3:43 AM
Reposted by David Mermin
A systematic attack on the rule of law. Watergate-level high crimes and misdemeanors happening every day.
Breaking MSNBC:

The U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Florida called a division-wide meeting this afternoon, following the resignations of two prosecutors who were asked to take part in a vast "conspiracy" investigation into former intel and law enforcement officials.
U.S. Attorney investigating alleged grand ‘conspiracy’ calls unit-wide meeting after two prosecutors resign
Career prosecutors on “pins and needles” after flurry of subpoenas approved.
www.msnbc.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
New — While some states have received SNAP benefits for November and USDA is supposedly pushing through all federal payments soon, that doesn’t erase the psychological terror of the last few weeks.

I spoke with 20+ SNAP recipients in 16 states about preparing for a possible future with no food:
The voices of SNAP
Recipients have become political pawns. They explained, in their own words, what Trump withholding funds has been like.
www.thehandbasket.co
November 7, 2025 at 10:55 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
It's difficult to sum up the abject chaos Trump has caused by using people's ability to eat as a bargaining chip. Communication re: SNAP varies widely state by state, and it's wonderful to hear some have gotten November benefits, but many, many millions still haven't. This was totally avoidable.
November 7, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
My companion piece explains the film’s context: USAID’s dismantling is estimated to have already killed 600,000 people, ⅔ of them children. Officials simply deny any harm, while halting data monitoring and firing inspectors general who’d have documented it. 2/
www.impactcounter.com/dashboard?vi...
November 6, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Reposted by David Mermin
Attention has (justly) gone to the abuses in Chicago but the assaults in Los Angeles never ended. The military left but they were guarding building. DHS paramilitaries remain active in L.A. it's bad.
Don’t think ppl understand the terror the Feds are unleashing on the streets of LA right now. Roving patrols targeting vulnerable individuals. It’s horrible.

There’s no one coming to save us except ourselves.
The past week+ has been really intense in Los Angeles. We need all of the help, support, & attention we can get. Feds are literally roving the streets snatch & grabbing vulnerable individuals. It's horrific. We need to do more.
November 6, 2025 at 3:42 AM
Reposted by David Mermin
This from @gregsargent.bsky.social is exactly right.
newrepublic.com/article/2027...

Donald Trump's authoritarianism and the punishing reality of everyday life under his rule are inextricably linked.
November 5, 2025 at 7:59 PM