Dave McRae
davemcrae.bsky.social
Dave McRae
@davemcrae.bsky.social
Climate Science & policy. Science, Nature & progressive politics
Ngambri/Ngunnawal (Canberra, AU)
Reposted by Dave McRae
On the 10th Anniversary of the Paris Agreement, you’re going to hear a lot about the progress we’ve made — people saying we “are” heading to 2.5 degrees heating instead of four.

I deeply regret to tell you that this is complacent misinformation.

🧵
December 12, 2025 at 12:50 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Grateful to The Verge for publishing my essay on why large-language models are not going to achieve general intelligence nor push the scientific frontier.

www.theverge.com/ai-artificia...
Is language the same as intelligence? The AI industry desperately needs it to be
The AI boom is based on a fundamental mistake.
www.theverge.com
November 25, 2025 at 12:49 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Reposted by Dave McRae
Climate breakdown is driven by a storm of lies. This lying is systemic, funded and coordinated, and operates across almost all media, old and new.
This week's column argues that we cannot fight the climate crisis without also fighting the epistemic crisis.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Dark forces are preventing us fighting the climate crisis – by taking knowledge hostage | George Monbiot
The fundamental problem is this: that most of the means of communication are owned or influenced by the very rich, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot
www.theguardian.com
November 14, 2025 at 6:47 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
"Take Senator Bridget McKenzie opining without challenge on ABC Radio last week that renewable energy and climate policy are economically negative"

Zoe Daniel answers her own question.
The media is too often lazy.

Or more likely complicit - ignoring LNP lies and actively spruiking fossil fuels.
November 16, 2025 at 1:27 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
We should all thank Professor Lidia Morawska for her incredible work over many years which has influenced how the world mitigates the risks associated with the airborne virus that causes COVID-19.
www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
November 16, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
We covered this in detail in 'Global warming in the pipeline':

academic.oup.com/oocc/article...
November 12, 2025 at 8:29 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
The inadvertent aerosol experiment of shipping desulphurization helps to reduce the largest uncertainty in climate science.

This contributes to the evidence of a much higher climate sensitivity, which means carbon budgets are lower and that we need much faster mitigation

bsky.app/profile/leon...
If @drjamesehansen.bsky.social at all. (2025, mainly based on NASA CERES observations) is correct about the very strong shipping SOx forcing, the climate is more sensitive to anthropogenic forcings (incl both GHGs and aerosols).

Which e.g. means we need much faster mitigation and adaptation.
November 10, 2025 at 3:21 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
An extraordinary mapping of Big Food/Big Ag's influence at COP30, by @rachelsherrington.bsky.social and co at @desmog.com.
desmog.com DeSmog @desmog.com · Nov 11
As #COP30 begins in Belém @DeSmog can reveal over 140 ways food & agriculture firms to sway the summit. Meet the main players in Brazil's powerful agro lobby, along w/ US meat, dairy & grain industries -- and where they will target messages #AgroLobby. By @rachelsherrington.bsky.social & Gil Alessi
November 12, 2025 at 8:40 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
"In total, the Gates Foundation (formerly known as the The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation) has donated $3,519,491 to Lomborg’s think tank. The most recent tax filing on record includes a 2022 donation to the Copenhagen Consensus Center worth $1.25 million" - @rtakver.bsky.social, @desmog.com
Bill Gates Gave $3.5M to Think Tank Run by Climate Crisis Denier Bjorn Lomborg
Tax records reveal that the billionaire’s foundation has donated for years to Lomborg’s Copenhagen Consensus Center.
www.desmog.com
November 6, 2025 at 1:13 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
It's extra incredible to think about how many massive, chugging, dirty methane gas turbines had to blast out deadly pollutants to create this video

www.youtube.com/watch?v=mSWg... @oilfieldwitness.bsky.social
November 8, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
It's funny how hard we have to work to convince the world that uncontrolle data centre expansion is a climate risk when there's a fossil gas power station called the EXXONMOBIL POWER PLANT being built explicitly to power a data centre
Not enough people know about Homer City. The single largest fossil fuel plant that's being built *explicitly* to power a data centre.

This isn't a future projection, or some hollow marketing. This is physical stuff happening right now.

bsky.app/profile/keta...
November 10, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
there's a list of names...
"when Kerry Packer was offloading assets, Eddie Obeid was offered the firm’s printing plant, Offset Alpine. Richo, who was by now a federal Labor minister, put Obeid in touch with his stockbroker, Rene Rivkin, who was funding the purchase."
www.smh.com.au/national/nsw...
Long lunches, Swiss bank accounts and a kangaroo scrotum: My decades pursuing Graham Richardson
For a reporter whose career has been spent uncovering crime and corruption, the Labor senator was the one who got away.
www.smh.com.au
November 10, 2025 at 10:15 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
A lot of people when talking about Gough's economic record seriously underplay how beyond comprehension the 1973 Oil Crisis was.

thepoint.com.au/opinions/251...
November 10, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Stop overhyping AI, scientists tell von der Leyen
Stop overhyping AI, scientists tell von der Leyen
Open letter criticises the Commission President for remarks earlier this year – when she anticipated AI would “approach human reasoning” in 2026
dlvr.it
November 10, 2025 at 10:15 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Reposted by Dave McRae
As it's that particular anniversary just reposting a link to my article re pre-Dismissal polling and other pseph themes kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2021/12/psep...
Psephology And The Palace Letters
Tasmanian and Australian psephology, opinion poll analysis, election analysis and political commentary by Dr Kevin Bonham.
kevinbonham.blogspot.com
November 10, 2025 at 11:23 PM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Australia should take many lessons from Mamdani's incredible victory, including learning from America on how to handle money in politics (yes, really)

New from me on @thepointau.bsky.social 👇
thepoint.com.au/news/251108-...
What Australia can learn from the US about money in politics
Zohran Mamdani’s successful campaign benefited greatly from New York’s funding innovations.
thepoint.com.au
November 9, 2025 at 6:40 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Gough raised unemployment benefits to their highest level relative to poverty - then Fraser (and his treasurer John Howard) fucked it up as soon as they could.

Hawke/Keating repaired some of the damage... then Howard fucked it up for good
thepoint.com.au/opinions/251...
November 11, 2025 at 12:45 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Paul Keating speaking in parliament on the condolence motion on John Kerr. (completely ad-libbed)

www.youtube.com/watch?v=6Hx8...
Paul Keating on the Sir John Kerr condolence motion
YouTube video by AusQuestionTime
www.youtube.com
November 11, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
It wasnt our enviro laws that were too weak to protect the Skate or stop the North West Shelf, it was our Ministers.

Thats why Labor is trying to get the Coalition to help them water them down…to save Enviro Ministers the embarrassment of always saying yes #climate
thepoint.com.au/opinions/251...
It wasn’t the laws that were too weak to stop those projects, it was the ministers
The Prime Minister is betting that by 2028 people will forget the North West Shelf and EPBC backflips, but it would be a brave backbencher willing to make that same bet.
thepoint.com.au
November 4, 2025 at 12:30 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Like ‘housing affordability’ ‘net zero’ has become one of those meaningless political sayings

Labors support for net zero hasn’t stopped them supporting new coal or gas or from spending billions on fossil fuel subsidies

My latest column on @thepointau.bsky.social

thepoint.com.au/opinions/251...
Net Zero hides a truth the mining giants understand perfectly: nothing has to change
The point.com.au
thepoint.com.au
November 10, 2025 at 9:18 AM
Reposted by Dave McRae
Climate change is really expensive: cost of the South Australian algal bloom expected to shoot well past $500m www.adelaidenow.com.au/news/south-a...
www.adelaidenow.com.au
November 11, 2025 at 9:47 PM