thecritic.co.uk/plausibility...
thecritic.co.uk/plausibility...
The future impact on primary and secondary education is going to be seismic.
www.ft.com/content/8271...
The future impact on primary and secondary education is going to be seismic.
www.ft.com/content/8271...
"What spending reviews are like from the inside"
I explain how demented they are.
And why this is the hardest one there's been so far.
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/w...
"What spending reviews are like from the inside"
I explain how demented they are.
And why this is the hardest one there's been so far.
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/w...
"On the Brink"
Why so many universities are in serious financial trouble.
Why it's about to get worse.
What the government could do about it.
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/o...
"On the Brink"
Why so many universities are in serious financial trouble.
Why it's about to get worse.
What the government could do about it.
(£/free trial)
open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/o...
A thread (with many charts):
www.cer.eu/insights/per...
A thread (with many charts):
www.cer.eu/insights/per...
antonspisak.substack.com/p/back-to-la...
antonspisak.substack.com/p/back-to-la...
The tl;dr summary: everyone thinks Labour is trying to appeal to Reform (and Con) voters more than Lab ones, never mind LD/Grn. But Ref voters don't want to know, while it's alienating those on the left.
Thread follows.
2024 Ref: 56% feel Labour are appealing to them / 4% would consider voting Labour
2024 Lab: 48% / 70%
2024 Con: 36% / 9%
2024 LD: 32% / 38%
2024 Grn: 12% / 24%
The tl;dr summary: everyone thinks Labour is trying to appeal to Reform (and Con) voters more than Lab ones, never mind LD/Grn. But Ref voters don't want to know, while it's alienating those on the left.
Thread follows.
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/05...
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/05...
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/05...
I.e., the political scientists were right, Morgan McSweeney was horrendously wrong.
All Britons: -46 net rating (down 12 from 13-14 Apr)
By 2024 vote
Labour: -5 (down 34)
Lib Dem: -13 (down 12)
Conservative: -76 (up 1)
Reform: -94 (down 5)
I.e., the political scientists were right, Morgan McSweeney was horrendously wrong.
Then I found this was almost entirely driven by a surge in UK aluminium exports to the US ahead of Trump's tariffs.
This alone pushed UK GDP growth by ~0.2 ppts (out of 0.7 ppts total in Q1). Amazing.
Then I found this was almost entirely driven by a surge in UK aluminium exports to the US ahead of Trump's tariffs.
This alone pushed UK GDP growth by ~0.2 ppts (out of 0.7 ppts total in Q1). Amazing.
Increase the numbers: 44% (18% a lot, 26% a little)
Maintain current levels: 27%
Reduce the numbers: 22% (11% reduce a lot, 11% a little)
Focaldata for British Future (2nd - 6th May 2025)
www.britishfuture.org/white-paper-...
On behalf of local people, our new team will shine a light on what Reform councils are up to, scrutinise their actions and fight to protect local services.
Agree with every line here by @iandunt.bsky.social 👇