Chris Wlezien
@cbwlezien.bsky.social
Student of politics, first gen, Chicagoan, Austinite, Longhorn...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Importantly, one can worry about what's happening AND think so-called "cancel culture" had pernicious/harmful aspects (as I do). But remarkable how few people do both and how disproportionate elite media attention is. Also, shouldn't we worry more when the state is wielding these powers?
September 10, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Importantly, one can worry about what's happening AND think so-called "cancel culture" had pernicious/harmful aspects (as I do). But remarkable how few people do both and how disproportionate elite media attention is. Also, shouldn't we worry more when the state is wielding these powers?
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
"NBC News obtained a copy of a memo... summarizing the poll results. It was conducted by veteran Republican pollsters... and concluded 'that there is broad unity across party lines supporting vaccines such as measles (MMR), shingles, tetanus, diphtheria and pertussis (TDAP), and Hepatitis B.'"
Polling showing that a majority of Trump’s voters support vaccines was shared with several Republicans lawmakers’ staffers in a closed-door meeting head of RFK Jr.’s Senate hearing, according to two people familiar with the meeting.
Ahead of Kennedy hearing, GOP saw poll showing Trump voters support vaccines
The poll, conducted by veteran Republican pollsters, found that a majority of Trump voters believe vaccines save lives and support immunizations against measles and hepatitis B.
nbcnews.to
September 5, 2025 at 3:34 AM
"NBC News obtained a copy of a memo... summarizing the poll results. It was conducted by veteran Republican pollsters... and concluded 'that there is broad unity across party lines supporting vaccines such as measles (MMR), shingles, tetanus, diphtheria and pertussis (TDAP), and Hepatitis B.'"
Public opinion on social spending in the U.S. has long been known to shift in parallel across policy areas — but why? Here's an article with Steven van Hauwaert and Ryan Carlin that provides some answers, and it's open access: cup.org/3HdCwX3
What moves (spending) mood? The nature and origins of parallel public preferences | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
What moves (spending) mood? The nature and origins of parallel public preferences
cup.org
August 16, 2025 at 3:13 AM
Public opinion on social spending in the U.S. has long been known to shift in parallel across policy areas — but why? Here's an article with Steven van Hauwaert and Ryan Carlin that provides some answers, and it's open access: cup.org/3HdCwX3
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Our paper (w/ wonderful co-authors @rwillh11.bsky.social, @simonweschle.bsky.social, @cbwlezien.bsky.social, and Jim Adams) is now out in print! 🎉 May be of interest to those studying electoral behavior, party strategy, or how citizens use information!
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Does political sophistication moderate how citizens use information to infer left-right distances between parties?
Research identifies numerous factors associated with citizens’ perceptions of party ideologies, including the Left-Right orientations of parties’ election manifestos, governing coalition arrangemen...
www.tandfonline.com
July 29, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Our paper (w/ wonderful co-authors @rwillh11.bsky.social, @simonweschle.bsky.social, @cbwlezien.bsky.social, and Jim Adams) is now out in print! 🎉 May be of interest to those studying electoral behavior, party strategy, or how citizens use information!
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
💥Viktor Orbán’s demographic strategy is a disaster. Over the past decade, 37.8% of Hungary’s population decline was due to emigration to other EU countries. Hungary is losing the competition to retain its own citizens while birth rates tank. Read Direkt36's in-depth article on @vsquare.bsky.social👇
Inside Viktor Orbán’s Failure to Achieve His Demographic Goal - VSquare.org
The Prime Minister has long said that he would like to grow the population of Hungary without bringing in immigrants. Recently, births have fallen, but the number of people leaving the country has als...
vsquare.org
July 20, 2025 at 3:46 PM
💥Viktor Orbán’s demographic strategy is a disaster. Over the past decade, 37.8% of Hungary’s population decline was due to emigration to other EU countries. Hungary is losing the competition to retain its own citizens while birth rates tank. Read Direkt36's in-depth article on @vsquare.bsky.social👇
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Another survey that shows a rebound in support for higher education. @cbwlezien.bsky.social
www.insidehighered.com/news/student...
www.insidehighered.com/news/student...
Americans Recognize Nuances of Higher Ed’s Value
New data shows that confidence in higher education is on the rise and most Americans, regardless of party affiliation, share a similar vision for what colleges should prioritize.
www.insidehighered.com
July 17, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Another survey that shows a rebound in support for higher education. @cbwlezien.bsky.social
www.insidehighered.com/news/student...
www.insidehighered.com/news/student...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Our paper (w/ @cbwlezien.bsky.social) is now in print! Perhaps of interest to survey researchers contemplating whether/how to use the DK response option when measuring the public's policy preferences. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Estimating public opinion from surveys: the impact of including a “don't know” response option in policy preference questions | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
Estimating public opinion from surveys: the impact of including a “don't know” response option in policy preference questions - Volume 13 Issue 3
www.cambridge.org
July 17, 2025 at 8:32 AM
Our paper (w/ @cbwlezien.bsky.social) is now in print! Perhaps of interest to survey researchers contemplating whether/how to use the DK response option when measuring the public's policy preferences. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Gallup has new polling on immigration. Topline findings:
-Americans hate Trump's immigration policy (35% approve, 62% disapprove)
-Share who say immigration is a "good thing" for the country just hit an all-time high (79%)
news.gallup.com/poll/692522/...
-Americans hate Trump's immigration policy (35% approve, 62% disapprove)
-Share who say immigration is a "good thing" for the country just hit an all-time high (79%)
news.gallup.com/poll/692522/...
July 11, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Gallup has new polling on immigration. Topline findings:
-Americans hate Trump's immigration policy (35% approve, 62% disapprove)
-Share who say immigration is a "good thing" for the country just hit an all-time high (79%)
news.gallup.com/poll/692522/...
-Americans hate Trump's immigration policy (35% approve, 62% disapprove)
-Share who say immigration is a "good thing" for the country just hit an all-time high (79%)
news.gallup.com/poll/692522/...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
4 polls out today on the GOP budget bill
Post-Ipsos: 23% support/42% oppose/34% no opin
KFF: 35% favorable/64% unfave
Pew: 29% favor/49% oppose/21% not sure
Economist/YouGov: 35%-51% support-oppose
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.kff.org/medicaid/pol...
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Post-Ipsos: 23% support/42% oppose/34% no opin
KFF: 35% favorable/64% unfave
Pew: 29% favor/49% oppose/21% not sure
Economist/YouGov: 35%-51% support-oppose
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.kff.org/medicaid/pol...
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
June 17, 2025 at 7:16 PM
4 polls out today on the GOP budget bill
Post-Ipsos: 23% support/42% oppose/34% no opin
KFF: 35% favorable/64% unfave
Pew: 29% favor/49% oppose/21% not sure
Economist/YouGov: 35%-51% support-oppose
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.kff.org/medicaid/pol...
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Post-Ipsos: 23% support/42% oppose/34% no opin
KFF: 35% favorable/64% unfave
Pew: 29% favor/49% oppose/21% not sure
Economist/YouGov: 35%-51% support-oppose
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.kff.org/medicaid/pol...
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Most literature reviews miss the point.
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Most Literature Reviews Miss the Point. Don’t Let Yours
Critically Engaging Past Work to Confidently Shape Your Own
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
June 24, 2025 at 6:01 AM
Most literature reviews miss the point.
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Not because they’re sloppy.
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick.
In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review:
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter...
🧵
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Must read. Incredible and thoughtful first-person account. Surprisingly, the most shocking part is not journalists and college professors being arrested. It’s police trapping the crowd—giving a disperse order while blocking all the exits. via @smotus.bsky.social
smotus.substack.com/p/arrested-i...
smotus.substack.com/p/arrested-i...
Arrested in L.A.
My interview with a fellow scholar who was recently arrested for participating in an anti-ICE protest
smotus.substack.com
June 12, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Must read. Incredible and thoughtful first-person account. Surprisingly, the most shocking part is not journalists and college professors being arrested. It’s police trapping the crowd—giving a disperse order while blocking all the exits. via @smotus.bsky.social
smotus.substack.com/p/arrested-i...
smotus.substack.com/p/arrested-i...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
This is the type of behavior that impunity creates. It has always existed within law enforcement, but is strengthened when political leaders encourage and protect it and the state doesn't hold the perpetrators (order-givers and -executioners) accountable.
Watch the slow motion: it appears to me that the officers discuss the photographer and reporter before the one on the end fires on them (it looks to me like he's aiming at the camera, not the reporter, but you decide)
June 9, 2025 at 7:58 AM
This is the type of behavior that impunity creates. It has always existed within law enforcement, but is strengthened when political leaders encourage and protect it and the state doesn't hold the perpetrators (order-givers and -executioners) accountable.
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
LLMs may sometimes act like humans because they’ve read the social science research telling them how they’re expected to act
🤖💡 Are LLMs really developing social behaviors—or just reproducing familiar patterns from training? In our new paper, @pettertornberg.com and I take a closer look at recent claims of emergent conventions in AI and offer a different perspective... 🧵
June 2, 2025 at 12:04 PM
LLMs may sometimes act like humans because they’ve read the social science research telling them how they’re expected to act
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
In a record-breaking month, immigration judges fast-tracked asylum denials at a record pace, raising questions about due process, the politicization of the courts, and the future of the asylum system.
(Via the indispensable @austinkocher.com)
austinkocher.substack.com/p/immigratio...
(Via the indispensable @austinkocher.com)
austinkocher.substack.com/p/immigratio...
Immigration Judges Closed and Denied More Asylum Cases in March Than Any Month on Record
In a record-breaking month, immigration judges fast-tracked asylum denials at a record pace, raising questions about due process, the politicization of the courts, and the future of the asylum system.
austinkocher.substack.com
May 11, 2025 at 1:32 PM
In a record-breaking month, immigration judges fast-tracked asylum denials at a record pace, raising questions about due process, the politicization of the courts, and the future of the asylum system.
(Via the indispensable @austinkocher.com)
austinkocher.substack.com/p/immigratio...
(Via the indispensable @austinkocher.com)
austinkocher.substack.com/p/immigratio...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
So he's... defunding the police?
The Trump administration has told federal law enforcement agencies that it intends to make significant cuts to their budgets this year, including about a 25% reduction in the ATF's budget.
www.reuters.com/world/us/whi...
www.reuters.com/world/us/whi...
May 2, 2025 at 12:01 PM
So he's... defunding the police?
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
BREAKING: Federal judge finds that Trump exceeded his authority in his Alien Enemies Act proclamation addressing alleged members of Tren de Aragua, issuing a permanent injunction barring AEA proclamation-based removals from the Southern District of Texas.
May 1, 2025 at 4:15 PM
BREAKING: Federal judge finds that Trump exceeded his authority in his Alien Enemies Act proclamation addressing alleged members of Tren de Aragua, issuing a permanent injunction barring AEA proclamation-based removals from the Southern District of Texas.
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
David is absolutely right. If I may add: a nostalgic fantasy about a time that never existed. Even 100 years ago socialist parties could not win majorities against liberals and progressives. A siginifcant share of workers always supported the right and this coalition was necessary and successful.
I’m all for expanding the social democratic coalition beyond liberals and progressives. But the idea that you can do social democratic politics *in opposition* to liberals and progressives is a nostalgic, self-indulgent fantasy.
The Glasmanisation of the Labour Party is a massive risk to them. The Conservatives discovered that if you insult your professional base long enough in a desperate attempt to win populist right votes, they will flock to the Lib Dems and you lose 60 seats. Labour may find similar soon enough.
May 1, 2025 at 1:46 PM
David is absolutely right. If I may add: a nostalgic fantasy about a time that never existed. Even 100 years ago socialist parties could not win majorities against liberals and progressives. A siginifcant share of workers always supported the right and this coalition was necessary and successful.
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Trump’s complete control over policy may be leading to actions the public – and his supporters – don’t want write @jackmaedgen.bsky.social, @snsoroka.bsky.social and @cbwlezien.bsky.social
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
May 1, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Trump’s complete control over policy may be leading to actions the public – and his supporters – don’t want write @jackmaedgen.bsky.social, @snsoroka.bsky.social and @cbwlezien.bsky.social
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/20...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
And now, a note on Bill Owens who, until this past week, was the executive producer of 60 Minutes.
We’ll be back next week with another edition of 60 Minutes.
We’ll be back next week with another edition of 60 Minutes.
April 28, 2025 at 12:38 AM
And now, a note on Bill Owens who, until this past week, was the executive producer of 60 Minutes.
We’ll be back next week with another edition of 60 Minutes.
We’ll be back next week with another edition of 60 Minutes.
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Trump denies disaster aid, tells states to do more. FEMA has denied federal assistance for tornadoes in Arkansas, flooding in WV, and a windstorm in Washington state. It also has refused NC’s request for extended relief funding in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene. stateline.org/2025/04/25/t...
Trump denies disaster aid, tells states to do more • Stateline
In the wake of recent natural disasters, state leaders across the country are finding that emergency support from the federal government is no longer a given.
stateline.org
April 25, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Trump denies disaster aid, tells states to do more. FEMA has denied federal assistance for tornadoes in Arkansas, flooding in WV, and a windstorm in Washington state. It also has refused NC’s request for extended relief funding in the aftermath of Hurricane Helene. stateline.org/2025/04/25/t...
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Can confirm that my NSF grant "How False Beliefs Form & How to Correct Them" was cancelled today because it is "not in alignment with current NSF priorities" Shocking that understanding how people are misled by false information is now a forbidden topic. Our work will continue but at a smaller scale
NSF has posted an “update on priorities.”
They’re canceling all “DEI and misinformation/disinformation” grants.
And the guidance on how to fulfill the longstanding, legally mandated Broadening Participation requirement is utterly incoherent.
www.nsf.gov/updates-on-p...
They’re canceling all “DEI and misinformation/disinformation” grants.
And the guidance on how to fulfill the longstanding, legally mandated Broadening Participation requirement is utterly incoherent.
www.nsf.gov/updates-on-p...
Updates on NSF Priorities
www.nsf.gov
April 18, 2025 at 10:40 PM
Can confirm that my NSF grant "How False Beliefs Form & How to Correct Them" was cancelled today because it is "not in alignment with current NSF priorities" Shocking that understanding how people are misled by false information is now a forbidden topic. Our work will continue but at a smaller scale
Reposted by Chris Wlezien
Exiling people beyond the protection of US law without due process is not only unconstitutional, it's a rejection of the entire American revolutionary project. Sending people "beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences" is one of the grievances enumerated in the Declaration of Independence.
UPDATE: Trump seems to say for the first time that U.S. lacks ability to recover those sent to El Salvador if government deports someone erroneously. Says it’s totally up to Bukele. Seems to leave out that he could … ask Bukele to help fix an error. www.politico.com/news/2025/04...
April 13, 2025 at 12:28 AM
Exiling people beyond the protection of US law without due process is not only unconstitutional, it's a rejection of the entire American revolutionary project. Sending people "beyond Seas to be tried for pretended offences" is one of the grievances enumerated in the Declaration of Independence.