Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
@birdseyeviewbal.bsky.social
A weekly podcast on the Baltimore Orioles. Your official source for a lack of insight and baseless opinion.
Pinned
Episode 418: Grade Expectations - Bird's Eye View
This was not a very fun week of Orioles Baseball. On the plus side... on the plus side... we'll get back to you on that.
www.birdseyeviewbaltimore.com
Episode 418: Grade Expectations
www.birdseyeviewbaltimore.com/episode-418-...
After a vote to re-open the podcast, we got down to some very non-essential business.
We're joined by @thedishwasher.bsky.social to discuss his look at an Orioles Offseason Rubric.
www.birdseyeviewbaltimore.com/episode-418-...
After a vote to re-open the podcast, we got down to some very non-essential business.
We're joined by @thedishwasher.bsky.social to discuss his look at an Orioles Offseason Rubric.
Really enjoying seeing the Orioles use their 3% increase in tire kicking.
This year's more expensive, more underwhelming product is going to be SO EXCITING!
This year's more expensive, more underwhelming product is going to be SO EXCITING!
November 27, 2025 at 6:26 PM
Really enjoying seeing the Orioles use their 3% increase in tire kicking.
This year's more expensive, more underwhelming product is going to be SO EXCITING!
This year's more expensive, more underwhelming product is going to be SO EXCITING!
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
The Blue Jays got our no. 1 free agent starting pitcher, which is great for them. But also that ranking doesn't tell the whole story about Cease, and ooooooo $210 million (even with deferrals) is a lot of money
Blue Jays Render Unto Cease What Is Cease’s: $210 Million
Cease is the realistic worst-case scenario for a pitcher who’s the best in the world at the two most important things a pitcher needs to do.
blogs.fangraphs.com
November 27, 2025 at 2:03 AM
The Blue Jays got our no. 1 free agent starting pitcher, which is great for them. But also that ranking doesn't tell the whole story about Cease, and ooooooo $210 million (even with deferrals) is a lot of money
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
On Dylan Cease's dollars -- if you assume 4.0 WAR next year, declining by 0.5 WAR a year going forward, $10M/win right now and a 10% growth of $$/WAR going forward, you get 7 years and $210M.
That's an effective $40M for 2026, down to $15M for the last year.
(Ignoring time value of money.)
That's an effective $40M for 2026, down to $15M for the last year.
(Ignoring time value of money.)
November 27, 2025 at 1:20 AM
On Dylan Cease's dollars -- if you assume 4.0 WAR next year, declining by 0.5 WAR a year going forward, $10M/win right now and a 10% growth of $$/WAR going forward, you get 7 years and $210M.
That's an effective $40M for 2026, down to $15M for the last year.
(Ignoring time value of money.)
That's an effective $40M for 2026, down to $15M for the last year.
(Ignoring time value of money.)
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
There's really no such thing as a "good" deal for a top free agent SP. But if you lack a top SP you can either choose to overpay for one or do what the 2025 Orioles did...
Dylan Cease sets the market early, as Jon Heyman reports it’s a 7-year, $210-million deal. It’ll be a pricey class of starting pitchers and the latter half of the contracts may not age well. But that’s the going rate
November 27, 2025 at 12:31 AM
There's really no such thing as a "good" deal for a top free agent SP. But if you lack a top SP you can either choose to overpay for one or do what the 2025 Orioles did...
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
2 of the best pitchers available the offseason were moved this week for prices that the Orioles could have afforded to match/beat
There better be a move coming that makes missing out on these players make sense
There better be a move coming that makes missing out on these players make sense
November 27, 2025 at 12:25 AM
2 of the best pitchers available the offseason were moved this week for prices that the Orioles could have afforded to match/beat
There better be a move coming that makes missing out on these players make sense
There better be a move coming that makes missing out on these players make sense
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
maybe Cease was never gonna come here! Sonny Gray probably wasn't! but watching 3 other teams in the AL East constantly try to get better while the Orioles "raised the floor" and prospect hoarded is bringin me down, folks
November 27, 2025 at 12:19 AM
maybe Cease was never gonna come here! Sonny Gray probably wasn't! but watching 3 other teams in the AL East constantly try to get better while the Orioles "raised the floor" and prospect hoarded is bringin me down, folks
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
The Orioles could have just had Dylan Cease for the last 2.5 years if Mike Elias had done his job in 2023
November 26, 2025 at 11:56 PM
The Orioles could have just had Dylan Cease for the last 2.5 years if Mike Elias had done his job in 2023
Sad, sad, bump.
Look, I know it can be disheartening to see a division foe make meaningful offseason moves, but can I interest you in these magic beans?
November 26, 2025 at 11:51 PM
Sad, sad, bump.
I would have offered 7/210.
I would have offered 7/230.
This sucks.
I would have offered 7/230.
This sucks.
November 26, 2025 at 11:47 PM
I would have offered 7/210.
I would have offered 7/230.
This sucks.
I would have offered 7/230.
This sucks.
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
Well duck me
November 26, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Well duck me
Shildt hiring is interesting
November 26, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Shildt hiring is interesting
I can’t even fathom Imai signing with Orioles.
But if he did, I’d be at all his games.
But if he did, I’d be at all his games.
November 26, 2025 at 3:36 PM
I can’t even fathom Imai signing with Orioles.
But if he did, I’d be at all his games.
But if he did, I’d be at all his games.
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
Today is a good day to sign Framber Valdez.
November 26, 2025 at 11:57 AM
Today is a good day to sign Framber Valdez.
Jojo was a man who thought he was a loner
But he knew it couldn't last
Jojo left his home in St Louis, Missouri
For some Maryland grass
But he knew it couldn't last
Jojo left his home in St Louis, Missouri
For some Maryland grass
November 25, 2025 at 11:06 PM
Jojo was a man who thought he was a loner
But he knew it couldn't last
Jojo left his home in St Louis, Missouri
For some Maryland grass
But he knew it couldn't last
Jojo left his home in St Louis, Missouri
For some Maryland grass
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
Good target
November 25, 2025 at 10:51 PM
Good target
Look, I know it can be disheartening to see a division foe make meaningful offseason moves, but can I interest you in these magic beans?
November 25, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Look, I know it can be disheartening to see a division foe make meaningful offseason moves, but can I interest you in these magic beans?
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
Every year the Red Sox do all the things I want the Orioles to do. Very frustrating.
November 25, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Every year the Red Sox do all the things I want the Orioles to do. Very frustrating.
Red Sox just got very scary
November 25, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Red Sox just got very scary
Today is a good day to sign Dylan Cease
November 25, 2025 at 11:55 AM
Today is a good day to sign Dylan Cease
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
Wonder if there’s a there there around Cade Povich and Tyler O’Neill (+ $$) for Mitch Keller.
Cade goes right into Keller’s spot in the rotation, O’Neill gives them a RH power bat (albeit one with some ?), and paying down some of O’Neill’s salary and moving Keller’s clears some space for a FA bat.
Cade goes right into Keller’s spot in the rotation, O’Neill gives them a RH power bat (albeit one with some ?), and paying down some of O’Neill’s salary and moving Keller’s clears some space for a FA bat.
November 24, 2025 at 11:33 PM
Wonder if there’s a there there around Cade Povich and Tyler O’Neill (+ $$) for Mitch Keller.
Cade goes right into Keller’s spot in the rotation, O’Neill gives them a RH power bat (albeit one with some ?), and paying down some of O’Neill’s salary and moving Keller’s clears some space for a FA bat.
Cade goes right into Keller’s spot in the rotation, O’Neill gives them a RH power bat (albeit one with some ?), and paying down some of O’Neill’s salary and moving Keller’s clears some space for a FA bat.
Reposted by Bird's Eye View - An Orioles Podcast
Top Plays of 2025: No. 64
Cedric Mullins scales the wall and brings it back!
Cedric Mullins scales the wall and brings it back!
November 24, 2025 at 8:56 PM
Top Plays of 2025: No. 64
Cedric Mullins scales the wall and brings it back!
Cedric Mullins scales the wall and brings it back!
This is a weird as heck Orioles survey
November 24, 2025 at 8:43 PM
This is a weird as heck Orioles survey