Artur Doshchyn
@arturdoshchyn.bsky.social
Lecturer (Assistant Professor) in Financial Economics @ University of Bristol
Macro-finance
Macro-finance
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
🔍 What are the real risks of AI, and who stands to gain or lose?
Join us online for a free talk on how AI is already reshaping politics, power & inequality.
🗓 12 May | 🕐 1–2PM BST
🎙 Jean-Paul Carvalho
🎤 Moderator: @maxkasy.bsky.social
Register: bit.ly/3Gx0YSo
#AI #Economics #Oxford
Join us online for a free talk on how AI is already reshaping politics, power & inequality.
🗓 12 May | 🕐 1–2PM BST
🎙 Jean-Paul Carvalho
🎤 Moderator: @maxkasy.bsky.social
Register: bit.ly/3Gx0YSo
#AI #Economics #Oxford
May 1, 2025 at 9:56 AM
🔍 What are the real risks of AI, and who stands to gain or lose?
Join us online for a free talk on how AI is already reshaping politics, power & inequality.
🗓 12 May | 🕐 1–2PM BST
🎙 Jean-Paul Carvalho
🎤 Moderator: @maxkasy.bsky.social
Register: bit.ly/3Gx0YSo
#AI #Economics #Oxford
Join us online for a free talk on how AI is already reshaping politics, power & inequality.
🗓 12 May | 🕐 1–2PM BST
🎙 Jean-Paul Carvalho
🎤 Moderator: @maxkasy.bsky.social
Register: bit.ly/3Gx0YSo
#AI #Economics #Oxford
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Trump’s Ukraine policy is based on fabricated numbers ($350bn). His Russia policy is based on fabricated numbers (majority support for Russia in occupied territory). Why are we surprised that his trade policy is also based on fabricated numbers?
April 2, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Trump’s Ukraine policy is based on fabricated numbers ($350bn). His Russia policy is based on fabricated numbers (majority support for Russia in occupied territory). Why are we surprised that his trade policy is also based on fabricated numbers?
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Trump Says Recession Unfortunate But Necessary Step To Get To Depression
Trump Says Recession Unfortunate But Necessary Step To Get To Depression
WASHINGTON—Warning that Americans should brace themselves for an economic “period of transition,” President Donald Trump told reporters Monday that a recession would be an unfortunate but necessary st...
theonion.com
April 2, 2025 at 9:26 PM
Trump Says Recession Unfortunate But Necessary Step To Get To Depression
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
What are the effects of macroeconomic #uncertainty on consumers&firms?
In short, randomized controlled trials show that macroeconomic uncertainty inhibits econ activity
Economic Policy Uncertainty index is now higher than it was during COVID.
This means a higher prob of a recession
#EconSky
In short, randomized controlled trials show that macroeconomic uncertainty inhibits econ activity
Economic Policy Uncertainty index is now higher than it was during COVID.
This means a higher prob of a recession
#EconSky
March 17, 2025 at 8:31 PM
What are the effects of macroeconomic #uncertainty on consumers&firms?
In short, randomized controlled trials show that macroeconomic uncertainty inhibits econ activity
Economic Policy Uncertainty index is now higher than it was during COVID.
This means a higher prob of a recession
#EconSky
In short, randomized controlled trials show that macroeconomic uncertainty inhibits econ activity
Economic Policy Uncertainty index is now higher than it was during COVID.
This means a higher prob of a recession
#EconSky
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
I think this shows unequivocally that he’s not reading his intelligence briefings. This is a bizarre description of the Kursk situation.
March 14, 2025 at 2:14 PM
I think this shows unequivocally that he’s not reading his intelligence briefings. This is a bizarre description of the Kursk situation.
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Replacing foreign aid: A macroeconomic plan B for #Ukraine (and Europe)
A new CEPR brief w/ @torbjornbecker.bsky.social, B Eichengreen, S Guriev, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social, @mylovanov.bsky.social, M Obstfeld, K Rogoff, @ilonasolohub.bsky.social & @wederdim.bsky.social
#EconSky #UkrainianView
A new CEPR brief w/ @torbjornbecker.bsky.social, B Eichengreen, S Guriev, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social, @mylovanov.bsky.social, M Obstfeld, K Rogoff, @ilonasolohub.bsky.social & @wederdim.bsky.social
#EconSky #UkrainianView
March 12, 2025 at 3:20 PM
Replacing foreign aid: A macroeconomic plan B for #Ukraine (and Europe)
A new CEPR brief w/ @torbjornbecker.bsky.social, B Eichengreen, S Guriev, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social, @mylovanov.bsky.social, M Obstfeld, K Rogoff, @ilonasolohub.bsky.social & @wederdim.bsky.social
#EconSky #UkrainianView
A new CEPR brief w/ @torbjornbecker.bsky.social, B Eichengreen, S Guriev, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social, @mylovanov.bsky.social, M Obstfeld, K Rogoff, @ilonasolohub.bsky.social & @wederdim.bsky.social
#EconSky #UkrainianView
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Where is the outrage in America about this shameful betrayal by Trump? Where are the Senators and Members of Congress who cheered Zelensky when he addressed them, but are now too afraid of Trump to say a word in defence of Ukraine?
At least 20 Ukrainian civilians have been killed just this night by Russian missiles and drones. Hundreds of soldiers were killed on the frontline in recent days. These are the first results of the US suspension of military aid and intelligence to Ukraine: more deaths
time.com/7265679/sate...
time.com/7265679/sate...
Hundreds Dead: Inside the Trump Ukraine Fallout
The US intelligence pause has undercut supply lines to Kursk, cut satellite imagery and tanked morale.
time.com
March 8, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Where is the outrage in America about this shameful betrayal by Trump? Where are the Senators and Members of Congress who cheered Zelensky when he addressed them, but are now too afraid of Trump to say a word in defence of Ukraine?
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Jeff Sachs gave a speech at the EU parliament. Among many crazy things in the speech: "So I’m giving [Estonia] advice, do not stand there, Estonia, and say we want to break up Russia, are you kidding?" That is, Estonia must return to Mother Russia.
Unhinged...
#UkrainianView
tinyurl.com/yc8rnxe6
Unhinged...
#UkrainianView
tinyurl.com/yc8rnxe6
johnmenadue.com
March 8, 2025 at 5:51 AM
Jeff Sachs gave a speech at the EU parliament. Among many crazy things in the speech: "So I’m giving [Estonia] advice, do not stand there, Estonia, and say we want to break up Russia, are you kidding?" That is, Estonia must return to Mother Russia.
Unhinged...
#UkrainianView
tinyurl.com/yc8rnxe6
Unhinged...
#UkrainianView
tinyurl.com/yc8rnxe6
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
This would be a cruel and senseless act. Utter shame
Reuters: "Trump to revoke legal status for 240,000 Ukrainians as US steps up deportations"
Trump is increasingly appearing to be not only a servant but an ally of Putin.
Trump is increasingly appearing to be not only a servant but an ally of Putin.
March 6, 2025 at 4:50 PM
This would be a cruel and senseless act. Utter shame
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Trump and Vance in particular were always looking to suspend military aid to Ukraine. Makes the White House confrontation look even more like a set up
March 4, 2025 at 7:26 AM
Trump and Vance in particular were always looking to suspend military aid to Ukraine. Makes the White House confrontation look even more like a set up
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
I guess things were actually looking quite good for the US as a superpower. Russia was stuck in an unwinnable war + really bad economy, China's growth had slowed down, and Iran's regime looked fragile after the protests. Oh well, then Trump came along, and now the American century seems to be over.
March 3, 2025 at 12:14 PM
I guess things were actually looking quite good for the US as a superpower. Russia was stuck in an unwinnable war + really bad economy, China's growth had slowed down, and Iran's regime looked fragile after the protests. Oh well, then Trump came along, and now the American century seems to be over.
Da
Trump believes I won't violate a peace deal so much that he won't sign a deal that says US has to do something when I do.
March 1, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Da
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
This will be remembered as the day when America's honor took a deep dive...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
Video: Trump, Zelensky and Vance Argue Over Ukraine War
President Trump and Vice President JD Vance scolded President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine during a meeting in the Oval Office on Friday, claiming he was not grateful enough for U.S. aid.
www.nytimes.com
February 28, 2025 at 8:02 PM
This will be remembered as the day when America's honor took a deep dive...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
When everything looks like $500bn
What makes Trump’s magic number $500bn?
The lawlessness of big numbers
www.ft.com
February 26, 2025 at 11:23 AM
When everything looks like $500bn
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Please share this fact sheet on Ukraine with anyone who needs it
understandingwar.org/backgrounder...
understandingwar.org/backgrounder...
February 23, 2025 at 7:47 AM
Please share this fact sheet on Ukraine with anyone who needs it
understandingwar.org/backgrounder...
understandingwar.org/backgrounder...
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Hey #EconSky
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
To: The future German chancellor
To: The future German chancellor From: Economists For Ukraine. Dear Chancellor, Congratulations on taking the helm of the Federal Republic of Germany! You are in a perfect storm, and Germany mus...
tinyurl.com
February 20, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Hey #EconSky
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
#UkrainianView
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
#UkrainianView
To: The future German chancellor
To: The future German chancellor From: Economists For Ukraine. Dear Chancellor, Congratulations on taking the helm of the Federal Republic of Germany! You are in a perfect storm, and Germany mus...
docs.google.com
February 20, 2025 at 3:14 AM
Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
#UkrainianView
Please share this letter with your colleagues.
#UkrainianView
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
“This War [Russian invasion] is far more important to Europe than it is to us,” Trump wrote. “We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation.”
A message to 🇵🇱, Baltics, 🇵🇱, 🇸🇪, 🇩🇪 & the rest of EUR? "Don't count on the US for help if things go bad. There is a big, beautiful Ocean."
#UkrainianView
A message to 🇵🇱, Baltics, 🇵🇱, 🇸🇪, 🇩🇪 & the rest of EUR? "Don't count on the US for help if things go bad. There is a big, beautiful Ocean."
#UkrainianView
February 19, 2025 at 5:32 PM
“This War [Russian invasion] is far more important to Europe than it is to us,” Trump wrote. “We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation.”
A message to 🇵🇱, Baltics, 🇵🇱, 🇸🇪, 🇩🇪 & the rest of EUR? "Don't count on the US for help if things go bad. There is a big, beautiful Ocean."
#UkrainianView
A message to 🇵🇱, Baltics, 🇵🇱, 🇸🇪, 🇩🇪 & the rest of EUR? "Don't count on the US for help if things go bad. There is a big, beautiful Ocean."
#UkrainianView
OMFG, these people just learn nothing.
EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal on.ft.com/4hlAUXR
EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal on.ft.com/4hlAUXR
EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal
Advocates say reopening pipelines could help settlement with Moscow and cut energy costs
on.ft.com
January 30, 2025 at 12:10 PM
OMFG, these people just learn nothing.
EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal on.ft.com/4hlAUXR
EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal on.ft.com/4hlAUXR
I am ecstatic that my paper “Sinking ships: liquidity constraints and return predictability in recessions” is now in press at the Journal of Monetary Economics! 🥳 If you are interested in financial frictions, illiquidity, and asymmetric amplification, you can find it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.jm...
January 23, 2025 at 7:51 PM
I am ecstatic that my paper “Sinking ships: liquidity constraints and return predictability in recessions” is now in press at the Journal of Monetary Economics! 🥳 If you are interested in financial frictions, illiquidity, and asymmetric amplification, you can find it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.jm...
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
This is a thread about remaking the tech sector.
January 6, 2025 at 2:44 PM
This is a thread about remaking the tech sector.
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
The true shock in this war came from Ukraine itself - its people, defying scripts written in Moscow and Washington
Yet, the old ways of thinking persist. Speaking in Berlin this week, I was struck by how much of the debate revolved around Trump imposing a top-down solution 1/
Yet, the old ways of thinking persist. Speaking in Berlin this week, I was struck by how much of the debate revolved around Trump imposing a top-down solution 1/
December 15, 2024 at 12:18 AM
The true shock in this war came from Ukraine itself - its people, defying scripts written in Moscow and Washington
Yet, the old ways of thinking persist. Speaking in Berlin this week, I was struck by how much of the debate revolved around Trump imposing a top-down solution 1/
Yet, the old ways of thinking persist. Speaking in Berlin this week, I was struck by how much of the debate revolved around Trump imposing a top-down solution 1/
Reposted by Artur Doshchyn
Ms. Yellen described the loan as one of the most important things that she had been involved with during her time in the job.
Yellen: "... #Russia increasingly bear the costs of its illegal war, instead of taxpayers in our coalition.”
👍
BTW, it's Dr. Yellen.
#UkraineView
Yellen: "... #Russia increasingly bear the costs of its illegal war, instead of taxpayers in our coalition.”
👍
BTW, it's Dr. Yellen.
#UkraineView
U.S. Transfers $20 Billion Loan to Ukraine Backed by Russian Assets
The economic lifeline ensures that Ukraine will have economic support after President-elect Donald J. Trump takes office.
www.nytimes.com
December 11, 2024 at 5:47 AM
Ms. Yellen described the loan as one of the most important things that she had been involved with during her time in the job.
Yellen: "... #Russia increasingly bear the costs of its illegal war, instead of taxpayers in our coalition.”
👍
BTW, it's Dr. Yellen.
#UkraineView
Yellen: "... #Russia increasingly bear the costs of its illegal war, instead of taxpayers in our coalition.”
👍
BTW, it's Dr. Yellen.
#UkraineView