Tony Adams
@adamsat.bsky.social
Reposted by Tony Adams
The Nobel Prize for Physics in 2025 is for DISCOVERIES FROM 1984 & 1985 for quantum tunneling & energy quantization.
October 30, 2025 at 7:54 PM
The Nobel Prize for Physics in 2025 is for DISCOVERIES FROM 1984 & 1985 for quantum tunneling & energy quantization.
Reposted by Tony Adams
If you know any kids that are interested in sports-ball aerodynamics or want to learn more yourself, take a look at this excellent article: www.snexplores.org/article/pitc...
Thanks to @pobguy.bsky.social for introducing Wendy and I.
Thanks to @pobguy.bsky.social for introducing Wendy and I.
How to make a pitched ball curve to your will
A range of tricks pitchers use to get curve all come down to the thin layers of air next to the ball — and how a ball’s spin and seams affect them.
www.snexplores.org
September 18, 2025 at 5:49 PM
If you know any kids that are interested in sports-ball aerodynamics or want to learn more yourself, take a look at this excellent article: www.snexplores.org/article/pitc...
Thanks to @pobguy.bsky.social for introducing Wendy and I.
Thanks to @pobguy.bsky.social for introducing Wendy and I.
Reposted by Tony Adams
The day after trade deadline feels like a good time to mention that the price of an annual FanGraphs membership is going up from $60 to $80 on Monday. The good news is that this makes a three-year membership for $150 a massive bargain for the next 72 hours.
plus.fangraphs.com/product/fang...
plus.fangraphs.com/product/fang...
FanGraphs Membership
Help support FanGraphs by becoming a Member. With Ad Free Membership, you will experience the FanGraphs website completely without third party ads while you maintain an active Ad Free Membership.
plus.fangraphs.com
August 1, 2025 at 2:59 PM
The day after trade deadline feels like a good time to mention that the price of an annual FanGraphs membership is going up from $60 to $80 on Monday. The good news is that this makes a three-year membership for $150 a massive bargain for the next 72 hours.
plus.fangraphs.com/product/fang...
plus.fangraphs.com/product/fang...
I don’t get it. We have a shortstop and a third baseman under control for two more years.
July 31, 2025 at 8:23 PM
I don’t get it. We have a shortstop and a third baseman under control for two more years.
Reposted by Tony Adams
Calling all #Astros Fans!
The Houston Astros have done something special for their fans. They have digitized many of their team media guides going back to 1969. Enjoy the collection. #HouAstros archive.org/search?query...
The Houston Astros have done something special for their fans. They have digitized many of their team media guides going back to 1969. Enjoy the collection. #HouAstros archive.org/search?query...
July 17, 2025 at 9:47 AM
Calling all #Astros Fans!
The Houston Astros have done something special for their fans. They have digitized many of their team media guides going back to 1969. Enjoy the collection. #HouAstros archive.org/search?query...
The Houston Astros have done something special for their fans. They have digitized many of their team media guides going back to 1969. Enjoy the collection. #HouAstros archive.org/search?query...
Reposted by Tony Adams
he also popping up in a very interesting way in a new metric coming out next week
May 9, 2025 at 1:21 PM
he also popping up in a very interesting way in a new metric coming out next week
I was looking at the Astros’ Exit Velocity/Barrels on Statcast. Brendan Rodgers has surprisingly good numbers. He leads the team in EV50 (avg. of hardest 50% batted balls). He also has the best “hard hit %” and is 2nd in barrels/PA. His SLG is .310, but his expected SLG is .455.
May 9, 2025 at 1:20 PM
I was looking at the Astros’ Exit Velocity/Barrels on Statcast. Brendan Rodgers has surprisingly good numbers. He leads the team in EV50 (avg. of hardest 50% batted balls). He also has the best “hard hit %” and is 2nd in barrels/PA. His SLG is .310, but his expected SLG is .455.
Defensive metrics can be weird in small samples.
The Astros lead MLB with 7 Outs Above Average at 2B. Remarkably, Altuve accounts for 3 OAA despite playing only 42 innings at 2B. Dubón has 4 OAA. Rodgers has none.
Altuve ranks 4th in OAA at 2B (min 10 attempts). Dubón is 2nd.
The Astros lead MLB with 7 Outs Above Average at 2B. Remarkably, Altuve accounts for 3 OAA despite playing only 42 innings at 2B. Dubón has 4 OAA. Rodgers has none.
Altuve ranks 4th in OAA at 2B (min 10 attempts). Dubón is 2nd.
May 9, 2025 at 1:25 AM
Defensive metrics can be weird in small samples.
The Astros lead MLB with 7 Outs Above Average at 2B. Remarkably, Altuve accounts for 3 OAA despite playing only 42 innings at 2B. Dubón has 4 OAA. Rodgers has none.
Altuve ranks 4th in OAA at 2B (min 10 attempts). Dubón is 2nd.
The Astros lead MLB with 7 Outs Above Average at 2B. Remarkably, Altuve accounts for 3 OAA despite playing only 42 innings at 2B. Dubón has 4 OAA. Rodgers has none.
Altuve ranks 4th in OAA at 2B (min 10 attempts). Dubón is 2nd.
Only 14.6% of the Astros’ plate appearances this season have been against a left-handed pitcher. That would be the lowest percentage of any team this century.
May 6, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Only 14.6% of the Astros’ plate appearances this season have been against a left-handed pitcher. That would be the lowest percentage of any team this century.
Astros’ wRC+ through April. (100 is league average)
Peña: 129 wRC+
Paredes: 127
Caratini: 122
McCormick: 113
Altuve: 108
Smith: 99
Alvarez: 87
Walker: 84
Meyers: 74
Rodgers: 74
Dezenzo: 69
Dubón: 50
Diaz: 43
Team total: 94 wRC+
Peña: 129 wRC+
Paredes: 127
Caratini: 122
McCormick: 113
Altuve: 108
Smith: 99
Alvarez: 87
Walker: 84
Meyers: 74
Rodgers: 74
Dezenzo: 69
Dubón: 50
Diaz: 43
Team total: 94 wRC+
May 1, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Astros’ wRC+ through April. (100 is league average)
Peña: 129 wRC+
Paredes: 127
Caratini: 122
McCormick: 113
Altuve: 108
Smith: 99
Alvarez: 87
Walker: 84
Meyers: 74
Rodgers: 74
Dezenzo: 69
Dubón: 50
Diaz: 43
Team total: 94 wRC+
Peña: 129 wRC+
Paredes: 127
Caratini: 122
McCormick: 113
Altuve: 108
Smith: 99
Alvarez: 87
Walker: 84
Meyers: 74
Rodgers: 74
Dezenzo: 69
Dubón: 50
Diaz: 43
Team total: 94 wRC+
Reposted by Tony Adams
Big news out of @baseballprospectus.com today, as we've made some major upgrades across the site. Our player pages have seen additions to data viz for pitchers and a ton of filterable new stats. Craig takes you through the additions here:
An Equally Exciting Update to Our Player Cards | Baseball Prospectus
Our player cards have some new visualizations and a lot of new data.
www.baseballprospectus.com
April 25, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Big news out of @baseballprospectus.com today, as we've made some major upgrades across the site. Our player pages have seen additions to data viz for pitchers and a ton of filterable new stats. Craig takes you through the additions here:
Reposted by Tony Adams
This diving catch had a 99% Catch Probability. You can *see* the late reaction and slow route here. The broadcast even mentions it.
This is a great example of why you can't just grade the eye test. If this popped as an amazing catch, data-wise, you know what OF would do? Be slow & dive on purpose.
This is a great example of why you can't just grade the eye test. If this popped as an amazing catch, data-wise, you know what OF would do? Be slow & dive on purpose.
April 23, 2025 at 2:12 PM
This diving catch had a 99% Catch Probability. You can *see* the late reaction and slow route here. The broadcast even mentions it.
This is a great example of why you can't just grade the eye test. If this popped as an amazing catch, data-wise, you know what OF would do? Be slow & dive on purpose.
This is a great example of why you can't just grade the eye test. If this popped as an amazing catch, data-wise, you know what OF would do? Be slow & dive on purpose.
Reposted by Tony Adams
If the ball really is “more jumpy,”
higher EV is the only thing that makes sense. (So far, drag is *UP.*👇) That requires modifying the center (pill plus yarn) to change the COR…and MLB admitted they did exactly that to deaden the ball in 2020/21.
HELP ME FIND OUT! I NEED BASEBALLS!!! 🙏 ⚾️⚾️👀
higher EV is the only thing that makes sense. (So far, drag is *UP.*👇) That requires modifying the center (pill plus yarn) to change the COR…and MLB admitted they did exactly that to deaden the ball in 2020/21.
HELP ME FIND OUT! I NEED BASEBALLS!!! 🙏 ⚾️⚾️👀
April 4, 2025 at 8:29 PM
If the ball really is “more jumpy,”
higher EV is the only thing that makes sense. (So far, drag is *UP.*👇) That requires modifying the center (pill plus yarn) to change the COR…and MLB admitted they did exactly that to deaden the ball in 2020/21.
HELP ME FIND OUT! I NEED BASEBALLS!!! 🙏 ⚾️⚾️👀
higher EV is the only thing that makes sense. (So far, drag is *UP.*👇) That requires modifying the center (pill plus yarn) to change the COR…and MLB admitted they did exactly that to deaden the ball in 2020/21.
HELP ME FIND OUT! I NEED BASEBALLS!!! 🙏 ⚾️⚾️👀
Hunter Brown vs Ryan Jeffers 🔥
96-mph sinker
96-mph sinker
84-mph knuckle curve
96-mph sinker
96-mph sinker
84-mph knuckle curve
April 3, 2025 at 10:06 PM
Hunter Brown vs Ryan Jeffers 🔥
96-mph sinker
96-mph sinker
84-mph knuckle curve
96-mph sinker
96-mph sinker
84-mph knuckle curve
No Astros player has more than 20 plate appearances. With such a minuscule sample size, random variation dramatically impacts a player’s results.
This chart from Tom Tango’s “The Book” shows the random variation if every player had the same .330 on-base percentage.
This chart from Tom Tango’s “The Book” shows the random variation if every player had the same .330 on-base percentage.
April 2, 2025 at 12:10 PM
No Astros player has more than 20 plate appearances. With such a minuscule sample size, random variation dramatically impacts a player’s results.
This chart from Tom Tango’s “The Book” shows the random variation if every player had the same .330 on-base percentage.
This chart from Tom Tango’s “The Book” shows the random variation if every player had the same .330 on-base percentage.
Hayden Wesneski
94-mph 4-seam fastball
84-mph sweeper
94-mph 4-seam fastball
84-mph sweeper
April 2, 2025 at 12:34 AM
Hayden Wesneski
94-mph 4-seam fastball
84-mph sweeper
94-mph 4-seam fastball
84-mph sweeper
Reposted by Tony Adams
UP NEXT:
3 games vs Giants
@ Daikin Park
Game 1: MONDAY 31st MARCH
7:10pm CT/1:10am BST
Also look out for the Astros Fans UK ‘Series Mission Plan’!
We are giant, stand up on our shoulders.
#BuiltForThis #Astros
3 games vs Giants
@ Daikin Park
Game 1: MONDAY 31st MARCH
7:10pm CT/1:10am BST
Also look out for the Astros Fans UK ‘Series Mission Plan’!
We are giant, stand up on our shoulders.
#BuiltForThis #Astros
March 31, 2025 at 9:17 AM
UP NEXT:
3 games vs Giants
@ Daikin Park
Game 1: MONDAY 31st MARCH
7:10pm CT/1:10am BST
Also look out for the Astros Fans UK ‘Series Mission Plan’!
We are giant, stand up on our shoulders.
#BuiltForThis #Astros
3 games vs Giants
@ Daikin Park
Game 1: MONDAY 31st MARCH
7:10pm CT/1:10am BST
Also look out for the Astros Fans UK ‘Series Mission Plan’!
We are giant, stand up on our shoulders.
#BuiltForThis #Astros
In 2024, Jose Altuve had a -6 Fielding Run Value (FRV) at second base. There were five left fielders with a lower FRV, with Bryan Reynolds’ -12 FRV being the worst.
Maybe a bad left fielder can have a more negative impact than a bad second baseman.
Maybe a bad left fielder can have a more negative impact than a bad second baseman.
March 20, 2025 at 11:04 PM
In 2024, Jose Altuve had a -6 Fielding Run Value (FRV) at second base. There were five left fielders with a lower FRV, with Bryan Reynolds’ -12 FRV being the worst.
Maybe a bad left fielder can have a more negative impact than a bad second baseman.
Maybe a bad left fielder can have a more negative impact than a bad second baseman.
Putin watching Trump and Zelensky.
February 28, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Putin watching Trump and Zelensky.
R.I.P. Gene Hackman.
If you’ve never seen “The Conversation” (1974), it’s one of his best performances, in my opinion.
If you’ve never seen “The Conversation” (1974), it’s one of his best performances, in my opinion.
February 27, 2025 at 12:20 PM
R.I.P. Gene Hackman.
If you’ve never seen “The Conversation” (1974), it’s one of his best performances, in my opinion.
If you’ve never seen “The Conversation” (1974), it’s one of his best performances, in my opinion.
Reposted by Tony Adams
Calling all #baseball loving writers! We have many opportunities to write in #SABR! Group projects currently include books on the Cape League, Hank Aaron, Native Americans & Baseball, Harry M. Stevens the Hot Dog King and much more! Contact me today for more info!
Link: sabr.org/writing-oppo...
Link: sabr.org/writing-oppo...
February 26, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Calling all #baseball loving writers! We have many opportunities to write in #SABR! Group projects currently include books on the Cape League, Hank Aaron, Native Americans & Baseball, Harry M. Stevens the Hot Dog King and much more! Contact me today for more info!
Link: sabr.org/writing-oppo...
Link: sabr.org/writing-oppo...
Reposted by Tony Adams
Stuff+ is updated! Max Bay @choicefielder.bsky.social, between his jobs with MLB teams, along with Owen McGrattan and Matt Dennewitz @mattdennewitz.bsky.social worked hard to bring the metric back into top of the class. Find it @fangraphs.com
www.fangraphs.com/leaders/majo...
A thread.
www.fangraphs.com/leaders/majo...
A thread.
Major League Leaderboards - 2024 - Pitching | FanGraphs Baseball
www.fangraphs.com
February 5, 2025 at 4:50 PM
Stuff+ is updated! Max Bay @choicefielder.bsky.social, between his jobs with MLB teams, along with Owen McGrattan and Matt Dennewitz @mattdennewitz.bsky.social worked hard to bring the metric back into top of the class. Find it @fangraphs.com
www.fangraphs.com/leaders/majo...
A thread.
www.fangraphs.com/leaders/majo...
A thread.
Reposted by Tony Adams
Today is the last day to vote for the 2025 SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards!
Click on the link below to cast your vote. There, you’ll also find the individual links to each nominated story, in case you want to read or re-read any of them before voting.
Click on the link below to cast your vote. There, you’ll also find the individual links to each nominated story, in case you want to read or re-read any of them before voting.
2025 SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards: Voting Now Open!
Voting is open through 11:59 p.m. MST on Friday, February 14, 2025.
blogs.fangraphs.com
February 14, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Today is the last day to vote for the 2025 SABR Analytics Conference Research Awards!
Click on the link below to cast your vote. There, you’ll also find the individual links to each nominated story, in case you want to read or re-read any of them before voting.
Click on the link below to cast your vote. There, you’ll also find the individual links to each nominated story, in case you want to read or re-read any of them before voting.
I keep waiting for NASA’s moon and Mars boondoggles to be cancelled. I guess Elon hasn’t gotten to those yet.
February 9, 2025 at 9:10 PM
I keep waiting for NASA’s moon and Mars boondoggles to be cancelled. I guess Elon hasn’t gotten to those yet.
Reposted by Tony Adams
new @fangraphs.com: While Jose Altuve recently indicated a willingness to change positions if Alex Bregman returned to the Astros, it now appears he'll spend time at a new position regardless. A look at what the Astros are — and aren't — doing with their longtime star and the rest of their roster
February 6, 2025 at 6:08 PM
new @fangraphs.com: While Jose Altuve recently indicated a willingness to change positions if Alex Bregman returned to the Astros, it now appears he'll spend time at a new position regardless. A look at what the Astros are — and aren't — doing with their longtime star and the rest of their roster