Tim Oliver
@tjoliver.bsky.social
Lecturer, British Politics. University of Manchester.
Reposted by Tim Oliver
Radical right accommodation really does not work.
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
September 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
Radical right accommodation really does not work.
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
New paper out with this exceptionally talented team
@katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk
doi.org/10.31235/osf...
Reposted by Tim Oliver
📣 NEW PAPER ALERT! 🚨
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
July 14, 2025 at 1:13 PM
📣 NEW PAPER ALERT! 🚨
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
"School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support"
Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social.
doi.org/10.1080/0140...
🧵👇
Reposted by Tim Oliver
Mine and @profsob.bsky.social paper
Comparing registration systems using the International Difficulty of Registration Index (IDORI). How difficult is electoral registration in the UK?
has been published. Please read it here,
url: academic.oup.com/pa/article/d...
Comparing registration systems using the International Difficulty of Registration Index (IDORI). How difficult is electoral registration in the UK?
has been published. Please read it here,
url: academic.oup.com/pa/article/d...
Comparing registration systems using the International Difficulty of Registration Index (IDORI). How difficult is electoral registration in the UK?
Abstract. Electoral registration in the UK is often critiqued for making it hard for voters to participate in elections. However, without a tool for a syst
academic.oup.com
July 3, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Mine and @profsob.bsky.social paper
Comparing registration systems using the International Difficulty of Registration Index (IDORI). How difficult is electoral registration in the UK?
has been published. Please read it here,
url: academic.oup.com/pa/article/d...
Comparing registration systems using the International Difficulty of Registration Index (IDORI). How difficult is electoral registration in the UK?
has been published. Please read it here,
url: academic.oup.com/pa/article/d...
Good, solid local journalism from @manchestermill.bsky.social on mental health care in Greater Manchester. A salient reminder of what local journalism is meant to be
manchestermill.co.uk/a-murder-of-...
manchestermill.co.uk/a-murder-of-...
A murder of crows: how a blog post deepened the conflict inside Greater Manchester Mental Health Trust
The board says it’s committed to transparency, critics say it prefers ambiguity
manchestermill.co.uk
June 28, 2025 at 8:59 AM
Good, solid local journalism from @manchestermill.bsky.social on mental health care in Greater Manchester. A salient reminder of what local journalism is meant to be
manchestermill.co.uk/a-murder-of-...
manchestermill.co.uk/a-murder-of-...
Reposted by Tim Oliver
🛎️ New Publication 🛎️
How did public and party priorities interact during the 2024 European Parliament elections?
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social article, Daniela Braun, @giucarny.bsky.social @rosanavarrete.bsky.social @annreinl.bsky.social and I find some connections
tinyurl.com/yhc4ae8m
🧵
How did public and party priorities interact during the 2024 European Parliament elections?
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social article, Daniela Braun, @giucarny.bsky.social @rosanavarrete.bsky.social @annreinl.bsky.social and I find some connections
tinyurl.com/yhc4ae8m
🧵
The role of key European issues in the 2024 election campaign
International crises and Euroscepticism have made European issues prominent in citizens’ lives. This article studies the role of three key European issues – migration, the environment, and EU integ...
www.tandfonline.com
May 26, 2025 at 7:20 AM
🛎️ New Publication 🛎️
How did public and party priorities interact during the 2024 European Parliament elections?
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social article, Daniela Braun, @giucarny.bsky.social @rosanavarrete.bsky.social @annreinl.bsky.social and I find some connections
tinyurl.com/yhc4ae8m
🧵
How did public and party priorities interact during the 2024 European Parliament elections?
In our new @wepsocial.bsky.social article, Daniela Braun, @giucarny.bsky.social @rosanavarrete.bsky.social @annreinl.bsky.social and I find some connections
tinyurl.com/yhc4ae8m
🧵
Reposted by Tim Oliver
🚨NEW PUBLICATION 🚨
Though people have moved on from Brexit, they still vote in line with their Brexit preferences - with age/education still separating voters.
Voters now back party blocs, which matters greatly for Labour's current appeals to Reform voters.
🧵
academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
Though people have moved on from Brexit, they still vote in line with their Brexit preferences - with age/education still separating voters.
Voters now back party blocs, which matters greatly for Labour's current appeals to Reform voters.
🧵
academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
The Brexit realignment amid electoral volatility: The role of party blocs in the 2024 General Election
Abstract. Brexit accelerated the long-term realignment of how demographic groups vote in Britain. However, Europe is no longer salient to voters, support f
academic.oup.com
May 12, 2025 at 10:23 AM
🚨NEW PUBLICATION 🚨
Though people have moved on from Brexit, they still vote in line with their Brexit preferences - with age/education still separating voters.
Voters now back party blocs, which matters greatly for Labour's current appeals to Reform voters.
🧵
academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
Though people have moved on from Brexit, they still vote in line with their Brexit preferences - with age/education still separating voters.
Voters now back party blocs, which matters greatly for Labour's current appeals to Reform voters.
🧵
academic.oup.com/pa/advance-a...
Reposted by Tim Oliver
UK has a comparatively difficult registration process.
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Britain has one of most difficult voter registration processes, report finds
UK system makes it a ‘real outlier’ among liberal democracies, according to study examining 62 countries
www.theguardian.com
May 12, 2025 at 11:30 AM
UK has a comparatively difficult registration process.
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration.
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
To propose taxing the income stream that is essentially keeping UK higher education from widescale collapse is the sign of a government that has given up trying to understand the country it is meant to lead.
May 12, 2025 at 11:35 AM
To propose taxing the income stream that is essentially keeping UK higher education from widescale collapse is the sign of a government that has given up trying to understand the country it is meant to lead.
The failure of our public service broadcaster to actually engage with evidence is really quite staggering, sometimes. I recall, with a chill, their constant coding of any actual discussion of policy during Brexit as "nerd stuff".
Yes, there are only 6 Labour seats where the Lib Dems are 2nd. This is because the 2024 Labour vote was propped up by tactical voting between the two parties. Allowing Labour to win seats in Conservative areas... seats they won't be able to keep if their left-wing coalition crumbles
This take on #BBCNewscast *completely* misses the point about how it's precisely losing votes to the LD and Greens that can make Labour lose seats to Reform ...
May 12, 2025 at 8:53 AM
The failure of our public service broadcaster to actually engage with evidence is really quite staggering, sometimes. I recall, with a chill, their constant coding of any actual discussion of policy during Brexit as "nerd stuff".
Reposted by Tim Oliver
Yes, there are only 6 Labour seats where the Lib Dems are 2nd. This is because the 2024 Labour vote was propped up by tactical voting between the two parties. Allowing Labour to win seats in Conservative areas... seats they won't be able to keep if their left-wing coalition crumbles
This take on #BBCNewscast *completely* misses the point about how it's precisely losing votes to the LD and Greens that can make Labour lose seats to Reform ...
May 11, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Yes, there are only 6 Labour seats where the Lib Dems are 2nd. This is because the 2024 Labour vote was propped up by tactical voting between the two parties. Allowing Labour to win seats in Conservative areas... seats they won't be able to keep if their left-wing coalition crumbles
Reposted by Tim Oliver
Out now (OA) in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. Do people in rural areas want politicians offering stronger representation to rural areas - as opposed to just their local area? Yes - based an original conjoint experiment in the UK (1/5)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
April 29, 2025 at 11:38 AM
Out now (OA) in @electoralstudies.bsky.social. Do people in rural areas want politicians offering stronger representation to rural areas - as opposed to just their local area? Yes - based an original conjoint experiment in the UK (1/5)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Tim Oliver
“No single decision is to blame” for UK universities' dire financial situations, writes @rostaylor.bsky.social. “But many trace [the crisis] back to a decision made by chancellor George Osborne in December 2013.”
www.prospectmagazine...
www.prospectmagazine...
How universities were sent over the edge
UK higher education institutions did as the government asked and took on more students. Now many face collapse
www.prospectmagazine.co.uk
April 12, 2025 at 8:54 AM
“No single decision is to blame” for UK universities' dire financial situations, writes @rostaylor.bsky.social. “But many trace [the crisis] back to a decision made by chancellor George Osborne in December 2013.”
www.prospectmagazine...
www.prospectmagazine...
Reposted by Tim Oliver
Hey this seems sensible!
I wrote a while ago about how crazy it is British election infrastructure relies on a bunch of volunteer nerds. (takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/its-mad-th...)
Now the electoral commission is bringing it in-house!
democracyclub.org.uk/blog/2025/04...
I wrote a while ago about how crazy it is British election infrastructure relies on a bunch of volunteer nerds. (takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/its-mad-th...)
Now the electoral commission is bringing it in-house!
democracyclub.org.uk/blog/2025/04...
A new home for the polling station finder
Big news from the Electoral Commission's five-year plan.
democracyclub.org.uk
April 10, 2025 at 10:02 AM
Hey this seems sensible!
I wrote a while ago about how crazy it is British election infrastructure relies on a bunch of volunteer nerds. (takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/its-mad-th...)
Now the electoral commission is bringing it in-house!
democracyclub.org.uk/blog/2025/04...
I wrote a while ago about how crazy it is British election infrastructure relies on a bunch of volunteer nerds. (takes.jamesomalley.co.uk/p/its-mad-th...)
Now the electoral commission is bringing it in-house!
democracyclub.org.uk/blog/2025/04...
Reposted by Tim Oliver
The core trilma here remains the same - the govt needs to accept one of three things: high student migration, higher domestic student fees (or higher taxes to fund universities) or university bankruptcies. Those are the only options, given where we are. Pick one.
The UK government is proposing to finally finish off its universities by further tightening the terms of the graduate visa route. The stupid fools. Playing with dangers they don't even understand. www.ft.com/content/f441...
UK Home Office’s reform of graduate visas runs into opposition
[FREE TO READ] Education department at odds with plan to curb number of overseas students allowed to stay in Britain
www.ft.com
April 8, 2025 at 7:58 AM
The core trilma here remains the same - the govt needs to accept one of three things: high student migration, higher domestic student fees (or higher taxes to fund universities) or university bankruptcies. Those are the only options, given where we are. Pick one.
Sussex's Vice-Chancellor states that the OfS investigation into that University was "flawed and politically motivated". The OfS's methodology was flawed, and its behaviour erratic - www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
The Kafkaesque investigation into our university looks like political scapegoating
The Office for Students' so-called investigation into the University I represent was flawed and politically motivated. The implications for the hig...
www.politicshome.com
March 26, 2025 at 7:42 AM
Sussex's Vice-Chancellor states that the OfS investigation into that University was "flawed and politically motivated". The OfS's methodology was flawed, and its behaviour erratic - www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...
It is remarkable how little central government trusts local government. It is less remarkable, and more wearingly predictable, to see a new duty created for local government without specific money allocated to fulfil that duty.
It's all too tempting for government to do this (& go big on it in the media) but asking 'every council in England' to publish how many pot holes they've filled is overly burdensome & bad for everyone.
It's a regressive move after some positive steps on LG finance reform
www.gov.uk/government/n...
It's a regressive move after some positive steps on LG finance reform
www.gov.uk/government/n...
PM tells councils to prove action on pothole plague to unlock extra cash and reveals £4.8 billion for major roads
The Plan for Change is tackling the pothole plague, building vital roads and ensuring every penny is delivering results for the taxpayer.
www.gov.uk
March 24, 2025 at 10:19 AM
It is remarkable how little central government trusts local government. It is less remarkable, and more wearingly predictable, to see a new duty created for local government without specific money allocated to fulfil that duty.
Reposted by Tim Oliver
📢 CALL FOR PAPERS 📢
🚨 Just over a week left to apply for this amazing opportunity with UKICE's @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @uniofmanchester.bsky.social 👇
🚨 Just over a week left to apply for this amazing opportunity with UKICE's @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @uniofmanchester.bsky.social 👇
March 19, 2025 at 3:38 PM
📢 CALL FOR PAPERS 📢
🚨 Just over a week left to apply for this amazing opportunity with UKICE's @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @uniofmanchester.bsky.social 👇
🚨 Just over a week left to apply for this amazing opportunity with UKICE's @robfordmancs.bsky.social & @uniofmanchester.bsky.social 👇
@markzuckerberg pay up, mark x
Meta used at least 16 of my books, and numerous articles, to help train the AI it will use to make billions.
Authors, search your name here:
www.theatlantic.com/technology/a...
Authors, search your name here:
www.theatlantic.com/technology/a...
Search LibGen, the Pirated-Books Database That Meta Used to Train AI
Millions of books and scientific papers are captured in the collection’s current iteration.
www.theatlantic.com
March 20, 2025 at 2:57 PM
@markzuckerberg pay up, mark x
Reposted by Tim Oliver
*Extremely* deep cut here, but I'm hoping the right nerds follow me. Does anyone know if French legislative elections between 1958-1966 had a threshold of 5% of *registered* voters or 5% of *votes cast*? I'm finding conflicting information (in English and in French!)
March 18, 2025 at 7:31 AM
*Extremely* deep cut here, but I'm hoping the right nerds follow me. Does anyone know if French legislative elections between 1958-1966 had a threshold of 5% of *registered* voters or 5% of *votes cast*? I'm finding conflicting information (in English and in French!)
Reposted by Tim Oliver
Latest issue!
With @colmpm.bsky.social @pjsloman.bsky.social @gerryhassan.bsky.social @profsob.bsky.social @tjoliver.bsky.social @jwfurlong.bsky.social @lawrencemckay.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social @martamiori.bsky.social @profrosiecamp.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/1467923x...
With @colmpm.bsky.social @pjsloman.bsky.social @gerryhassan.bsky.social @profsob.bsky.social @tjoliver.bsky.social @jwfurlong.bsky.social @lawrencemckay.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social @martamiori.bsky.social @profrosiecamp.bsky.social
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/toc/1467923x...
The Political Quarterly: Vol 96, No 1
Click on the title to browse this issue
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
March 15, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Reposted by Tim Oliver
The Ukrainian government has a list of places where you can donate to the war effort here. I personally just donated $100: war.ukraine.ua/donate/
Slava Ukraini.
Slava Ukraini.
Donate to Ukraine’s defenders
The National Bank of Ukraine has decided to open a special fundraising account to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
war.ukraine.ua
February 28, 2025 at 7:26 PM
The Ukrainian government has a list of places where you can donate to the war effort here. I personally just donated $100: war.ukraine.ua/donate/
Slava Ukraini.
Slava Ukraini.
Local journalism is one of the cornerstones of a democratic society. @manchestermill.bsky.social's work on the University of Greater Manchester (formerly Bolton) is a reminder of just what we're missing as so many local papers become hollow shadows of themselves manchestermill.co.uk/the-universi...
The Casablanca Deal: Secret contracts and unexplained payments at the University of Greater Manchester
EXCLUSIVE: Senior executives at the university tried to divert hundreds of thousands in tuition fees into a private company which one of them owns
manchestermill.co.uk
February 19, 2025 at 12:02 PM
Local journalism is one of the cornerstones of a democratic society. @manchestermill.bsky.social's work on the University of Greater Manchester (formerly Bolton) is a reminder of just what we're missing as so many local papers become hollow shadows of themselves manchestermill.co.uk/the-universi...
As someone with a clear subject specialism; do not do this without serious critical thought. Google Search's AI has returned to me answers that are entirely 180 degrees from the truth, or entirely invented. LLMs are not fonts of all knowledge.
Learning to use LLMs like Gemini and ChatGPT are the easiest tech tools to learn. Ever. Just start asking it questions.
February 17, 2025 at 7:10 PM
As someone with a clear subject specialism; do not do this without serious critical thought. Google Search's AI has returned to me answers that are entirely 180 degrees from the truth, or entirely invented. LLMs are not fonts of all knowledge.
Reposted by Tim Oliver
There are just TWO WEEKS left to apply for this PhD opportunity with me @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social
If you've ever wondered why polls get it wrong & want to spend three years fully funded (!) figuring out the answer, then apply now: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
If you've ever wondered why polls get it wrong & want to spend three years fully funded (!) figuring out the answer, then apply now: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
February 14, 2025 at 9:55 AM
There are just TWO WEEKS left to apply for this PhD opportunity with me @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social
If you've ever wondered why polls get it wrong & want to spend three years fully funded (!) figuring out the answer, then apply now: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
If you've ever wondered why polls get it wrong & want to spend three years fully funded (!) figuring out the answer, then apply now: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...
This is a fascinating article. I have somewhere a mostly-drafted chapter of my PhD thesis on declinism, and Barnett features heavily. It's an almost medical account - we are diseased, we need radical treatment to save us.
For the @newstatesman.com i wrote a profile of the historian Correlli Barnett, which charts the perils of self-loathing nationalism and the rise of Britain's new right
www.newstatesman.com/ideas/2025/0...
www.newstatesman.com/ideas/2025/0...
The prophet of the new right
In the life and work of Correlli Barnett, we can find all the most dangerous currents of contemporary conservatism.
www.newstatesman.com
January 27, 2025 at 9:36 PM
This is a fascinating article. I have somewhere a mostly-drafted chapter of my PhD thesis on declinism, and Barnett features heavily. It's an almost medical account - we are diseased, we need radical treatment to save us.