@tdrahnel.bsky.social
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The thing about AI is that being 90% right about practically anything is superhuman, but chaining together steps that have a 90% success rate results in entirely subhuman performance.
A 5-6 step process becomes a coin flip.
A 5-6 step process becomes a coin flip.
November 7, 2025 at 12:15 PM
The thing about AI is that being 90% right about practically anything is superhuman, but chaining together steps that have a 90% success rate results in entirely subhuman performance.
A 5-6 step process becomes a coin flip.
A 5-6 step process becomes a coin flip.
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Retired Army Sgt. Brian Wofford spoke to me this morning at the Oklahoma City #NoKings protest. Didn’t expect him to be carrying his DD214 so I asked some warmup questions like when he got out and whether his injury was service-related.
He paused while describing the car bomb in Iraq to say this:
He paused while describing the car bomb in Iraq to say this:
October 19, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Retired Army Sgt. Brian Wofford spoke to me this morning at the Oklahoma City #NoKings protest. Didn’t expect him to be carrying his DD214 so I asked some warmup questions like when he got out and whether his injury was service-related.
He paused while describing the car bomb in Iraq to say this:
He paused while describing the car bomb in Iraq to say this:
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Goebbels Ends Careers of Five 'Aryan' Actors Who Made Witticisms About the Nazi Regime (Published 1939)
www.nytimes.com
September 18, 2025 at 3:15 PM
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One of the most remarkable and impactful transformations of all human technology and civilization in history is happening right now!
China's July 2025 solar production was ~50% higher than its July 2024 solar output!
China's solar generated 839 TWh in 2024 and will likely exceed 1,200 TWh in 2025.
China's solar will generate in 2025 an amount of electricity equal to about 27% of USA's electricity demand. #energysky
China's solar generated 839 TWh in 2024 and will likely exceed 1,200 TWh in 2025.
China's solar will generate in 2025 an amount of electricity equal to about 27% of USA's electricity demand. #energysky
August 21, 2025 at 10:58 PM
One of the most remarkable and impactful transformations of all human technology and civilization in history is happening right now!
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Good visualization of first, second, and third estimates over recent period.
www.csmonitor.com/Business/202...
www.csmonitor.com/Business/202...
August 5, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Good visualization of first, second, and third estimates over recent period.
www.csmonitor.com/Business/202...
www.csmonitor.com/Business/202...
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The facts are simple and devastating: Aid cuts have already cost lives, and the number of deaths will continue to rise. Here’s the evidence.
July 3, 2025 at 11:21 PM
The facts are simple and devastating: Aid cuts have already cost lives, and the number of deaths will continue to rise. Here’s the evidence.
Wow. I've never connected the dots in this way, but this really rings true. Giving this degree of access to any system - let alone to models where we only have vague understanding of outcomes - is very dangerous.
Worth a watch:
Head of Signal, Meredith Whittaker, on so-called "agentic AI" and the difference between how it's described in the marketing and what access and control it would actually require to work as advertised.
Head of Signal, Meredith Whittaker, on so-called "agentic AI" and the difference between how it's described in the marketing and what access and control it would actually require to work as advertised.
June 27, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Wow. I've never connected the dots in this way, but this really rings true. Giving this degree of access to any system - let alone to models where we only have vague understanding of outcomes - is very dangerous.
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I rarely post personal things. But I need to talk about my 4-year-old niece, Hope.
She has a rare disease. A drug called elamipretide has helped her survive.
But the FDA recently denied its approval.
Now, her health hangs in the balance.
Please share her story & urge the FDA to reconsider. 🧵
She has a rare disease. A drug called elamipretide has helped her survive.
But the FDA recently denied its approval.
Now, her health hangs in the balance.
Please share her story & urge the FDA to reconsider. 🧵
June 23, 2025 at 9:21 PM
I rarely post personal things. But I need to talk about my 4-year-old niece, Hope.
She has a rare disease. A drug called elamipretide has helped her survive.
But the FDA recently denied its approval.
Now, her health hangs in the balance.
Please share her story & urge the FDA to reconsider. 🧵
She has a rare disease. A drug called elamipretide has helped her survive.
But the FDA recently denied its approval.
Now, her health hangs in the balance.
Please share her story & urge the FDA to reconsider. 🧵
Spoke to a Lockheed aerospace engineer over the weekend who basically said this was more press stunt than a rational strategy
What no one in political media is telling y'all is that no in D.C. is taking Trump's Golden Dome proposal seriously. Not the military. Not the media. Not lawmakers. No one. It is the policy equivalent of putting a child's shitty crayon drawing on the fridge.
May 28, 2025 at 12:18 AM
Spoke to a Lockheed aerospace engineer over the weekend who basically said this was more press stunt than a rational strategy
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I’ve found it’s more visually appealing to just paste in his head at the inflection points
April 29, 2025 at 10:26 PM
I’ve found it’s more visually appealing to just paste in his head at the inflection points
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The New York Times is the first to put out comprehensive estimates on the cost of a year without U.S.A.I.D. and they’re higher than I thought:
- 1.65 million deaths from AIDS
- 500,000 from lack of vaccines
- 550,000 from lack of food aid
- 290,000 from malaria
- 310,000 from TB
- 1.65 million deaths from AIDS
- 500,000 from lack of vaccines
- 550,000 from lack of food aid
- 290,000 from malaria
- 310,000 from TB
Killing children is by design, I'm afraid. "Pro-natalists" like Musk claim they aren't racist, but their pressure to have children is solely focused on white women, while they back policies that literally kill of non-white children.
He's a eugenicist.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
He's a eugenicist.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Opinion | Musk Said No One Has Died Since Aid Was Cut. That Isn’t True.
A journey through the front lines of global poverty shows that when the world’s richest men slash aid for the world’s poorest children, the result is sickness, starvation and death.
www.nytimes.com
March 15, 2025 at 4:42 PM
The New York Times is the first to put out comprehensive estimates on the cost of a year without U.S.A.I.D. and they’re higher than I thought:
- 1.65 million deaths from AIDS
- 500,000 from lack of vaccines
- 550,000 from lack of food aid
- 290,000 from malaria
- 310,000 from TB
- 1.65 million deaths from AIDS
- 500,000 from lack of vaccines
- 550,000 from lack of food aid
- 290,000 from malaria
- 310,000 from TB
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I think some in the Senate have convinced themselves that the backlash to folding will be limited to “the left” and therefore ignorable.
Those people are deeply and profoundly misreading the moment and the stakes.
Virtually every swing district House Dem walked the plank to vote NO for a reason.
Those people are deeply and profoundly misreading the moment and the stakes.
Virtually every swing district House Dem walked the plank to vote NO for a reason.
March 14, 2025 at 2:46 AM
I think some in the Senate have convinced themselves that the backlash to folding will be limited to “the left” and therefore ignorable.
Those people are deeply and profoundly misreading the moment and the stakes.
Virtually every swing district House Dem walked the plank to vote NO for a reason.
Those people are deeply and profoundly misreading the moment and the stakes.
Virtually every swing district House Dem walked the plank to vote NO for a reason.
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This chart seems to suggest that something is going wrong in the United States, specifically.
(www.ft.com/content/7568... )
(www.ft.com/content/7568... )
March 11, 2025 at 9:01 PM
This chart seems to suggest that something is going wrong in the United States, specifically.
(www.ft.com/content/7568... )
(www.ft.com/content/7568... )