Assistant Marshallian Spillover Coordinator
@stevenlandgraf.com
Econ prof, views 100% my own.
We fight to win. That means we lose. And lose and lose and lose… until we’re ready.
www.stevenlandgraf.com
We fight to win. That means we lose. And lose and lose and lose… until we’re ready.
www.stevenlandgraf.com
Pinned
Is your child texting about econometrics?
BRB = Biased Regression, Bro
LMAO = Linear Models Are Ok
SMH = Structural Model Hypothesis
YOLO = You Obviously Lack Observations
IMHO = Instrumental Methods Help OLS
LOL = Lots of Lags
GOAT = GLS Occasionally Addresses This
WTF = Wald Test Failed
BRB = Biased Regression, Bro
LMAO = Linear Models Are Ok
SMH = Structural Model Hypothesis
YOLO = You Obviously Lack Observations
IMHO = Instrumental Methods Help OLS
LOL = Lots of Lags
GOAT = GLS Occasionally Addresses This
WTF = Wald Test Failed
Reposted by Assistant Marshallian Spillover Coordinator
According to the new rules, if you and a few friends go to a defense contractor’s testing facility and you say “where are the missiles” and they don’t let you in then all federal funds for defense contractors will be frozen
January 1, 2026 at 10:44 PM
According to the new rules, if you and a few friends go to a defense contractor’s testing facility and you say “where are the missiles” and they don’t let you in then all federal funds for defense contractors will be frozen
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And I think liberals should stop taking the bait and ceding ground on immigration.
Immigration is good. Multiculturalism is good. Free trade is good. Stop being embarrassed to say so.
Immigration is good. Multiculturalism is good. Free trade is good. Stop being embarrassed to say so.
December 31, 2025 at 11:31 PM
And I think liberals should stop taking the bait and ceding ground on immigration.
Immigration is good. Multiculturalism is good. Free trade is good. Stop being embarrassed to say so.
Immigration is good. Multiculturalism is good. Free trade is good. Stop being embarrassed to say so.
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5 million-plus kindergartners now live in counties where schools don’t have “herd immunity” for measles, Washington Post reporters found.
WaPo also built a tool to look up your own county.
Exceptional, and alarming work by @laurenweberhp.bsky.social @caitlingilbert.bsky.social et al.
(Gift link.)
WaPo also built a tool to look up your own county.
Exceptional, and alarming work by @laurenweberhp.bsky.social @caitlingilbert.bsky.social et al.
(Gift link.)
U.S. vaccination rates are plunging. Look up where your school stands.
Take a look to see what the kindergarten measles vaccination rates are in your area.
wapo.st
January 1, 2026 at 2:46 AM
5 million-plus kindergartners now live in counties where schools don’t have “herd immunity” for measles, Washington Post reporters found.
WaPo also built a tool to look up your own county.
Exceptional, and alarming work by @laurenweberhp.bsky.social @caitlingilbert.bsky.social et al.
(Gift link.)
WaPo also built a tool to look up your own county.
Exceptional, and alarming work by @laurenweberhp.bsky.social @caitlingilbert.bsky.social et al.
(Gift link.)
Childcare centers, especially non-profit, barely break even in good years. Many benefit significantly from the steady stream of revenue that Federal programs like Head Start provide, and these also obviously provide access to low-income families, shrinking the wealth gap on childhood development.
This is Trump’s long game.
We’ve spent years cracking down on fraudsters. It’s a serious issue - but this has been his plan all along.
He’s politicizing the issue to defund programs that help Minnesotans.
www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/hhs...
We’ve spent years cracking down on fraudsters. It’s a serious issue - but this has been his plan all along.
He’s politicizing the issue to defund programs that help Minnesotans.
www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/hhs...
HHS freezes all child care payments to Minnesota after viral fraud allegations
The Department of Health and Human Services said Tuesday it has frozen federal child care funding for the state of Minnesota, citing viral fraud allegations.
www.cbsnews.com
December 31, 2025 at 5:30 PM
Childcare centers, especially non-profit, barely break even in good years. Many benefit significantly from the steady stream of revenue that Federal programs like Head Start provide, and these also obviously provide access to low-income families, shrinking the wealth gap on childhood development.
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This is exactly what I was saying would happen. You take a society with a population this size and run off it's working age population with anti immigrant bigotry, you kill the industries your tariffs don't.
December 27, 2025 at 11:37 PM
This is exactly what I was saying would happen. You take a society with a population this size and run off it's working age population with anti immigrant bigotry, you kill the industries your tariffs don't.
My revise & resubmits into 2026
December 27, 2025 at 11:51 PM
My revise & resubmits into 2026
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US tariffs are taxes on Americans.
They are taxes on Americans who buy any product with any ingredient or component from overseas, which is essentially all of us.
The President has said that other countries pay his vast new taxes, which is a numb lie. We, Americans, pay his tax.
They are taxes on Americans who buy any product with any ingredient or component from overseas, which is essentially all of us.
The President has said that other countries pay his vast new taxes, which is a numb lie. We, Americans, pay his tax.
Actual 2025 tariff rates are, to date, far less than statutory rates, but the costs of the tariffs are mostly borne by the US – estimated tariff pass-through to US prices in 2025 is 94%. Tariffs on imports act like a 1 to 2pp tax on US manufacturing. brentneiman.com/research/GN2...
December 27, 2025 at 3:10 PM
US tariffs are taxes on Americans.
They are taxes on Americans who buy any product with any ingredient or component from overseas, which is essentially all of us.
The President has said that other countries pay his vast new taxes, which is a numb lie. We, Americans, pay his tax.
They are taxes on Americans who buy any product with any ingredient or component from overseas, which is essentially all of us.
The President has said that other countries pay his vast new taxes, which is a numb lie. We, Americans, pay his tax.
make a Bond movie academic
You Only Live Twice: an Introduction to Overlapping Generations Models
You Only Live Twice: an Introduction to Overlapping Generations Models
make a Bond movie academic
The Spy Who Loved Me: Birthright Citizenship and the Law of Alien Enemies
The Spy Who Loved Me: Birthright Citizenship and the Law of Alien Enemies
make a Bond movie academic
Spectre: {Insert bacronym here}
Spectre: {Insert bacronym here}
December 26, 2025 at 7:52 PM
make a Bond movie academic
You Only Live Twice: an Introduction to Overlapping Generations Models
You Only Live Twice: an Introduction to Overlapping Generations Models
Reposted by Assistant Marshallian Spillover Coordinator
The Wisconsin component of the analysis here is revealing. Evidence is consistent with DOGE strategically delaying contract terminations in WI until after the 2025 state Supreme Court elections to mitigate electoral risk.
December 26, 2025 at 1:25 PM
The Wisconsin component of the analysis here is revealing. Evidence is consistent with DOGE strategically delaying contract terminations in WI until after the 2025 state Supreme Court elections to mitigate electoral risk.
Reposted by Assistant Marshallian Spillover Coordinator
Two stories side by side in WashPost
December 26, 2025 at 2:20 AM
Two stories side by side in WashPost
Reposted by Assistant Marshallian Spillover Coordinator
Experimental evidence that students are more likely to contest grades when they are delivered by an evaluator with a female-sounding name.
"These findings suggest that women in evaluative positions face disproportionate resistance when delivering negative assessments."
"These findings suggest that women in evaluative positions face disproportionate resistance when delivering negative assessments."
December 24, 2025 at 11:21 PM
Experimental evidence that students are more likely to contest grades when they are delivered by an evaluator with a female-sounding name.
"These findings suggest that women in evaluative positions face disproportionate resistance when delivering negative assessments."
"These findings suggest that women in evaluative positions face disproportionate resistance when delivering negative assessments."
Economists watching "It's a Wonderful Life" with their families repressing the urge to pause it and explain how a bank run works #EconSky
December 25, 2025 at 3:19 AM
Economists watching "It's a Wonderful Life" with their families repressing the urge to pause it and explain how a bank run works #EconSky
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NORAD Santa tracker is Woke
December 25, 2025 at 2:28 AM
NORAD Santa tracker is Woke
#EconSky Here is your guide to understanding dollar amounts in "It's a Wonderful Life." All numbers, spanning 1928 to 1945, are adjusted to Nov 2025 dollars using the CPI:
🔴 The value of Ernie's house: "Do you know how long it takes a working man to save $5,000?" ($94K)
🔴 The value of Ernie's house: "Do you know how long it takes a working man to save $5,000?" ($94K)
December 24, 2025 at 3:49 PM
#EconSky Here is your guide to understanding dollar amounts in "It's a Wonderful Life." All numbers, spanning 1928 to 1945, are adjusted to Nov 2025 dollars using the CPI:
🔴 The value of Ernie's house: "Do you know how long it takes a working man to save $5,000?" ($94K)
🔴 The value of Ernie's house: "Do you know how long it takes a working man to save $5,000?" ($94K)
97% of other BlueSky posters quit right before they were about to post something that brings a Supreme Court Justice to his knees. Never stop posting.
What we might refer to as a "Kavanaugh Stop"
WOW. The lead plaintiff is a Latino man who's been here legally for 24 years. He was grabbed off the street by plainclothes federal agents who didn't even ASK about his status.
He was detained overnight and only released once a supervisor realized he had been illegally arrested.
He was detained overnight and only released once a supervisor realized he had been illegally arrested.
December 24, 2025 at 3:14 AM
97% of other BlueSky posters quit right before they were about to post something that brings a Supreme Court Justice to his knees. Never stop posting.
Reposted by Assistant Marshallian Spillover Coordinator
Year 1 data on congestion pricing in Manhattan…
* Vehicle traffic: -11%
* Foot traffic: +3.4%
* Storefront vacancy: -0.9%
* Pollution: -22%
* Revenue for mass transit: $548M
So YES this has been a huge success.
* Vehicle traffic: -11%
* Foot traffic: +3.4%
* Storefront vacancy: -0.9%
* Pollution: -22%
* Revenue for mass transit: $548M
So YES this has been a huge success.
December 23, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Year 1 data on congestion pricing in Manhattan…
* Vehicle traffic: -11%
* Foot traffic: +3.4%
* Storefront vacancy: -0.9%
* Pollution: -22%
* Revenue for mass transit: $548M
So YES this has been a huge success.
* Vehicle traffic: -11%
* Foot traffic: +3.4%
* Storefront vacancy: -0.9%
* Pollution: -22%
* Revenue for mass transit: $548M
So YES this has been a huge success.
Reposted by Assistant Marshallian Spillover Coordinator
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
December 23, 2025 at 1:28 AM
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
These types of suite carve-outs should be classified as kickbacks and punished as such.
Want a nutshell summary of how bad this Kansas deal is for taxpayers? So bad that the state couldn't even get the team to comp food for its suite. Even after agreeing to give the team $2.775b.
December 23, 2025 at 2:26 AM
These types of suite carve-outs should be classified as kickbacks and punished as such.
We're deporting people based on the dubious claim that immigrants drive up housing prices, and those higher prices are also a good thing...
Trump: If we build more housing, the price of homes will go down, and homeowners will lose their wealth.
December 22, 2025 at 8:06 PM
We're deporting people based on the dubious claim that immigrants drive up housing prices, and those higher prices are also a good thing...
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Weird how The Free Press was able to publish all of these without comment from the Washigton University Transgender Center at St. Louis Children's Hospital.
December 22, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Weird how The Free Press was able to publish all of these without comment from the Washigton University Transgender Center at St. Louis Children's Hospital.
The analytics era of the NFL is shining a light on deep fundamental questions we didn't even know existed.
December 21, 2025 at 8:44 PM
The analytics era of the NFL is shining a light on deep fundamental questions we didn't even know existed.
Your last saved meme is your moral philosophy
December 21, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Your last saved meme is your moral philosophy
Did the Packers defense field 11 men in the second half?
December 21, 2025 at 4:31 AM
Did the Packers defense field 11 men in the second half?
Oh this Packers Bears game is going to be another classic
December 21, 2025 at 1:22 AM
Oh this Packers Bears game is going to be another classic