Thom Baguley
@seriousstats.bsky.social
Mostly posting about statistics and Psychology.
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Paper in Language and Cognition with @marktorrance.bsky.social and @seriousstats.bsky.social
We show that semantic contrast shapes timing of pre-planning in speech and writing.
doi.org/10.1017/lang...
If you're into how context shapes how we plan language, check it out!
We show that semantic contrast shapes timing of pre-planning in speech and writing.
doi.org/10.1017/lang...
If you're into how context shapes how we plan language, check it out!
October 22, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Paper in Language and Cognition with @marktorrance.bsky.social and @seriousstats.bsky.social
We show that semantic contrast shapes timing of pre-planning in speech and writing.
doi.org/10.1017/lang...
If you're into how context shapes how we plan language, check it out!
We show that semantic contrast shapes timing of pre-planning in speech and writing.
doi.org/10.1017/lang...
If you're into how context shapes how we plan language, check it out!
Reposted by Thom Baguley
We've got funded PhD places in Psychology available at Swansea - a chance to work on social issues with members of our great team (including me!) www.swansea.ac.uk/postgraduate...
Psychology: Fully funded PhD Studentship in ESRC Wales Graduate School for the Social Sciences (WGSSS) PhD Psychology pathway (RS896) - Swansea University
We offer a wide range of funded and fully funded research scholarships in all subject areas. Explore your options and apply now.
www.swansea.ac.uk
October 2, 2025 at 9:38 AM
We've got funded PhD places in Psychology available at Swansea - a chance to work on social issues with members of our great team (including me!) www.swansea.ac.uk/postgraduate...
It's reported that the US government is going to announce they've found the cause of autism (Spoliers: They almost certainly haven't even found one new potential cause). Paracetemol (Tylenol) during pregnancy is the supposed culprit. This seems unlikely to put it mildly. (1)
September 22, 2025 at 1:50 PM
It's reported that the US government is going to announce they've found the cause of autism (Spoliers: They almost certainly haven't even found one new potential cause). Paracetemol (Tylenol) during pregnancy is the supposed culprit. This seems unlikely to put it mildly. (1)
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Trump:
"When you have a network, and you have evening shows, and all they do is hit Trump... They're not allowed to do that."
"When you have a network, and you have evening shows, and all they do is hit Trump... They're not allowed to do that."
September 18, 2025 at 8:18 PM
Trump:
"When you have a network, and you have evening shows, and all they do is hit Trump... They're not allowed to do that."
"When you have a network, and you have evening shows, and all they do is hit Trump... They're not allowed to do that."
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Monarez agrees that vaccines are safe and effective, and outlines her worries about an anti-vax world.
"I believe that preventable diseases would return, and our children will be harmed by things they do not need to be harmed by."
She affirms that vaccines are a major public health advancement.
"I believe that preventable diseases would return, and our children will be harmed by things they do not need to be harmed by."
She affirms that vaccines are a major public health advancement.
September 17, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Monarez agrees that vaccines are safe and effective, and outlines her worries about an anti-vax world.
"I believe that preventable diseases would return, and our children will be harmed by things they do not need to be harmed by."
She affirms that vaccines are a major public health advancement.
"I believe that preventable diseases would return, and our children will be harmed by things they do not need to be harmed by."
She affirms that vaccines are a major public health advancement.
Reposted by Thom Baguley
I really miss when the stats blogs I read had light-hearted examples like "here is the concept of a multi-variate outlier explained through beer" rather than "here is another example of a logical fallacy being shared by the head of a national health agency"
September 17, 2025 at 3:12 PM
I really miss when the stats blogs I read had light-hearted examples like "here is the concept of a multi-variate outlier explained through beer" rather than "here is another example of a logical fallacy being shared by the head of a national health agency"
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Return-on-investment was $60 - $475 for every $1 invested in COVID vaccines in their first year, making them one of the most cost-effective public health measures in history. buff.ly/lfdINel
#medsky #pedsky 🛟😷🧪💸
#medsky #pedsky 🛟😷🧪💸
September 5, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Return-on-investment was $60 - $475 for every $1 invested in COVID vaccines in their first year, making them one of the most cost-effective public health measures in history. buff.ly/lfdINel
#medsky #pedsky 🛟😷🧪💸
#medsky #pedsky 🛟😷🧪💸
Reposted by Thom Baguley
as editor, I'm actually signing the petition myself :)
==
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods - Sign the Petition! chng.it/wszLWM4KPX
==
e.g., look forward to exploring options for preregistration for the journal
@apajournals.bsky.social
@akmontoya.bsky.social
==
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods - Sign the Petition! chng.it/wszLWM4KPX
==
e.g., look forward to exploring options for preregistration for the journal
@apajournals.bsky.social
@akmontoya.bsky.social
Sign the Petition
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods
chng.it
August 26, 2025 at 6:41 PM
as editor, I'm actually signing the petition myself :)
==
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods - Sign the Petition! chng.it/wszLWM4KPX
==
e.g., look forward to exploring options for preregistration for the journal
@apajournals.bsky.social
@akmontoya.bsky.social
==
Adopt Registered Reports at Psychological Methods - Sign the Petition! chng.it/wszLWM4KPX
==
e.g., look forward to exploring options for preregistration for the journal
@apajournals.bsky.social
@akmontoya.bsky.social
Reposted by Thom Baguley
When do we actually think about what we want to say and what words to use? Interestingly our mind does a lot of this work while we're writing text. In fact, we demonstrated (psycnet.apa.org/record/2026-...) that even young writers often don't stop before starting a new sentence. Way to multitask!
August 19, 2025 at 1:27 PM
When do we actually think about what we want to say and what words to use? Interestingly our mind does a lot of this work while we're writing text. In fact, we demonstrated (psycnet.apa.org/record/2026-...) that even young writers often don't stop before starting a new sentence. Way to multitask!
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Yes, it was carefully hidden in the New England Journal of Medicine.
Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine (www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1... )
1/2
Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine (www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1... )
1/2
September 1, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Yes, it was carefully hidden in the New England Journal of Medicine.
Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine (www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1... )
1/2
Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine (www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1... )
1/2
Reposted by Thom Baguley
I took this picture myself at the CDC protest today. These are among the hundreds of bullet holes in CDC headquarters windows, visible from the street. I heard today that the admin has no urgent plan to fix these windows.
Imagine being a CDC employee going to work under these conditions
Imagine being a CDC employee going to work under these conditions
August 28, 2025 at 11:43 PM
I took this picture myself at the CDC protest today. These are among the hundreds of bullet holes in CDC headquarters windows, visible from the street. I heard today that the admin has no urgent plan to fix these windows.
Imagine being a CDC employee going to work under these conditions
Imagine being a CDC employee going to work under these conditions
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Everyone is different but here are some things I think are good general advice. >
August 15, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Everyone is different but here are some things I think are good general advice. >
Paper with Jens Roeser and Mark Torrance: Semantic contrast ahead: contrast guides pre-planning in complex noun-phrase production | in Language and Cognition | www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Semantic contrast ahead: contrast guides pre-planning in complex noun-phrase production | Language and Cognition | Cambridge Core
Semantic contrast ahead: contrast guides pre-planning in complex noun-phrase production - Volume 17
www.cambridge.org
August 15, 2025 at 1:40 PM
Paper with Jens Roeser and Mark Torrance: Semantic contrast ahead: contrast guides pre-planning in complex noun-phrase production | in Language and Cognition | www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Reposted by Thom Baguley
If you think AI is cool, wait until you learn about regression analysis
August 12, 2025 at 11:44 AM
If you think AI is cool, wait until you learn about regression analysis
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Letter from FBI Director Kash Patel firing veteran FBI agent Walter Giardina, whose wife died of cancer last month at age 49. Patel accuses this agent, a Marine combat veteran, of “weaponization.” Many of his FBI colleagues told me he did his job scrupulously and ethically.
August 9, 2025 at 12:54 AM
Letter from FBI Director Kash Patel firing veteran FBI agent Walter Giardina, whose wife died of cancer last month at age 49. Patel accuses this agent, a Marine combat veteran, of “weaponization.” Many of his FBI colleagues told me he did his job scrupulously and ethically.
Reposted by Thom Baguley
It's been obvious for a while that they were headed in this direction, & this attempt almost certainly won't go unchallenged, but you need to understand that this is & has been America's Lysenkoism moment knocking on the door, & it has to be resisted every way it can.
arstechnica.com/science/2025...
arstechnica.com/science/2025...
New executive order puts all grants under political control
All new funding on hold until Trump administration can cancel any previously funded grants.
arstechnica.com
August 8, 2025 at 9:17 PM
It's been obvious for a while that they were headed in this direction, & this attempt almost certainly won't go unchallenged, but you need to understand that this is & has been America's Lysenkoism moment knocking on the door, & it has to be resisted every way it can.
arstechnica.com/science/2025...
arstechnica.com/science/2025...
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Paper drop, for anyone interested in #metascience, #statistics, or #metaanalysis! @clintin.bsky.social and I show in a new paper in JASA that the P-curve, a popular forensic meta-analysis method, has deeply undesirable statistical properties. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/?
August 8, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Paper drop, for anyone interested in #metascience, #statistics, or #metaanalysis! @clintin.bsky.social and I show in a new paper in JASA that the P-curve, a popular forensic meta-analysis method, has deeply undesirable statistical properties. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 1/?
Reposted by Thom Baguley
If you haven’t gotten into marginaleffects yet, this may be your chance. Learning about it has been quite transformative for how I think about statistical modeling 🪄
❗️Our next workshop will be on August 14, 6 pm CEST, on marginaleffects package by
@vincentab.bsky.social !
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share! #AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
@vincentab.bsky.social !
Register or sponsor a student by donating to support Ukraine!
Details: bit.ly/3wBeY4S
Please share! #AcademicSky #EconSky #RStats
August 2, 2025 at 1:36 PM
If you haven’t gotten into marginaleffects yet, this may be your chance. Learning about it has been quite transformative for how I think about statistical modeling 🪄
New paper by Chris Atkin and colleagues on the capacity of visual imagination - full text @ResearchGate www.researchgate.net/publication/...
The Relation Between the Capacities of Imagination and Visual Memory in the Short Term | Request PDF
Request PDF | The Relation Between the Capacities of Imagination and Visual Memory in the Short Term | Visual imagery and short-term memory utilize similar brain networks, but the extent to which they...
www.researchgate.net
August 6, 2025 at 8:49 PM
New paper by Chris Atkin and colleagues on the capacity of visual imagination - full text @ResearchGate www.researchgate.net/publication/...
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Trump is panicking because the economic numbers are giving a recession vibe.
From the Chief Economist at Moody's.
From the Chief Economist at Moody's.
August 4, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Trump is panicking because the economic numbers are giving a recession vibe.
From the Chief Economist at Moody's.
From the Chief Economist at Moody's.
A little joy for a change ... this looks amazing fun: www.walker.co.uk/978152951937... for STEM education
Maker Girl and Professor Smarts - Walker Books
Two kid heroes use brains and elbow grease to face off supervillains with hilarious powers in this all-new STEM graphic novel series from MIT Kids Press.Ever...
www.walker.co.uk
August 4, 2025 at 2:05 PM
A little joy for a change ... this looks amazing fun: www.walker.co.uk/978152951937... for STEM education
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Extremely disappointing & cowardly. The American Psychological Association is rescinding diversity requirements. Not due to any actual mandate from the federal government, but only because it may *someday* face pressure from the government www.nytimes.com/2025/03/27/h...
Under Pressure, Psychology Accreditation Board Suspends Diversity Standards
As the Trump administration threatens to strip accrediting bodies of their power, many are scrambling to purge diversity requirements.
www.nytimes.com
March 28, 2025 at 1:16 AM
Extremely disappointing & cowardly. The American Psychological Association is rescinding diversity requirements. Not due to any actual mandate from the federal government, but only because it may *someday* face pressure from the government www.nytimes.com/2025/03/27/h...
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Reposted by Thom Baguley
They never learn, I swear to Christ. The agreement is between several parties, Suella. It was negotiated by individuals whose moral & intellectual stature is beyond your fucking comprehension. You don't get to unilaterally rewrite it so it satisfies your pathological simple-mindedness.
One does not simply... rewrite the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement.
😅😅😅😅😅...😭
😅😅😅😅😅...😭
July 21, 2025 at 11:06 AM
They never learn, I swear to Christ. The agreement is between several parties, Suella. It was negotiated by individuals whose moral & intellectual stature is beyond your fucking comprehension. You don't get to unilaterally rewrite it so it satisfies your pathological simple-mindedness.
Reposted by Thom Baguley
Are you working on issues of replication and reproducibility of methodological research in psychology? Consider submitting a proposal to my call for papers, happy to chat about your ideas or answer any questions! www.psychologicalscience.org/publications...
<em>AMPPS</em> Call for Papers on Replicability and Reproducibility in Methodological Research
Methodological reform has shaped the last decade of psychological research. Researchers have undertaken replication studies, journals and funders have emphasized registration and data sharing, and aut...
www.psychologicalscience.org
July 18, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Are you working on issues of replication and reproducibility of methodological research in psychology? Consider submitting a proposal to my call for papers, happy to chat about your ideas or answer any questions! www.psychologicalscience.org/publications...