Sam J. Merchant
sammerchant.bsky.social
Sam J. Merchant
@sammerchant.bsky.social
Law Prof: Con Law, Crim Pro, Sentencing, Habeas at Minnesota Law
Pinned
Plug for my book, Revolution in Redline! (February 2025) In it I trace the ideas that led to the Founding Documents, then show drafts of those documents in "redline" and show the drafters debates over the documents. It's a concise and accessible way for students and scholars to explore the Founding.
There is added absurdity to this. Businesses/importers/whoever are refunded by the gov't if/when the Trump Administration loses. But the consumer, who had to pay the higher price due to the tariff, gets no refund. So it's ultimately a huge windfall to companies at the expense of consumers.
This viral tweet, reposted nearly 2k times so far, reflects the reach of Trump’s lies about tariffs.

Barrett was asking how the government would refund people in the *US* if Trump loses.

Because that’s who pays Trump’s import taxes. www.allrisenews.com/p/scotus-tar...
November 6, 2025 at 12:02 AM
Reposted by Sam J. Merchant
Katyal just referred to "French Revolutioning" all statutes.
November 5, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Interesting approach by Justice Jackson. “Some of us care about legislative history” and the purpose of statutes. I.e.: are you even going to try to persuade everyone, or just six of us? (He can’t admit it, but it’s the latter.)
November 5, 2025 at 3:40 PM
SCOTUS to decide constitutionally of criminal prohibition against gun possession by an “unlawful user” of drugs. This case will either prove the goofiness of the strict “historical analogs” test (there are none here) or the justices will make up a new test.
October 20, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Enjoyed workshopping a piece at Georgetown Law today, and thank you Michael Klarman for commentary!
October 10, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Here I try to break down this controversial sentence without getting distracted by shiny objects.
Sam J. Merchant posts "Sentencing Transgender Assassins of Supreme Court Justices."

On the sentencing of Sophie Roske, who planned to assassinate Brett Kavanaugh... and why sentencing is hard.

crimprof.blog/sentencing-t...
Sentencing Transgender Assassins of Supreme Court Justices – Crimprof Blog
crimprof.blog
October 9, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Reposted by Sam J. Merchant
Sam Merchant posts "Explained: Sean 'Diddy' Combs Sentenced to 50 Months in Prison."

Unpacking one of the most high-profile applications of the Federal Sentencing Guidelines in years.

crimprof.blog/explained-se...
Explained: Sean “Diddy” Combs Sentenced to 50 Months in Prison – Crimprof Blog
crimprof.blog
October 8, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Federal judges (really, their law clerks) using AI, resulting in fake citations. I’d support guidance from the Judicial Conference: At least right now, no sentence, phrase, or word should be AI generated in a court order or opinion.

news.bloomberglaw.com/product/blaw...
Bloomberg Law
news.bloomberglaw.com
October 7, 2025 at 4:13 PM
I analyze the Sean "Diddy" Combs federal sentencing proceeding.
crimprof.blog/explained-se...
Explained: Sean “Diddy” Combs Sentenced to 50 Months in Prison – Crimprof Blog
crimprof.blog
October 5, 2025 at 9:09 PM
Reposted by Sam J. Merchant
Prof. Sam Merchant was quoted by @nytimes.com about the length of sentence that rapper Sean Combs will receive at a hearing this Friday, saying that while guidelines often act as an “anchor” in sentencing, judges have significant leeway when deciding a defendant’s ultimate punishment.
z.umn.edu/ar8c
October 2, 2025 at 2:14 PM
"Wake up, babe, new @nicholasbednar.bsky.social article just dropped." [Genuinely me this morning.]
Unless the Senate acts, the government will shut down midnight on Wednesday.

@nicholasbednar.bsky.social evaluates OMB Director Russ Vought's plan to use this shutdown as a springboard for permanent federal workforce cuts.
Reductions in Force During Shutdowns
The Trump administration plans to use the pending shutdown as justification for additional RIFs.
www.lawfaremedia.org
September 30, 2025 at 10:10 PM
Our drift from Thomas Paine:
“The word ‘republic’ means the public good, or the good of the whole, in contradistinction to the despotic form, which makes the good of the sovereign, or of one man, the only object of the government.”
August 27, 2025 at 2:52 PM
It reminds of the Articles of Association (1774) (which Lincoln credits in his First Inaugural as "forming" the "Union").
Clause 8: "We will . . . encourage frugality, economy, and industry . . and will discountenance and discourage every species of extravagance and dissipation."
August 23, 2025 at 6:07 PM
Honored to be appointed to the U.S. Sentencing Commission‘s Advisory Group on Research and Data Practices. This group combines sentencing scholars with experts from other fields to inform criminal sentencing policies and practices.

www.ussc.gov/about/news/p...
August 18, 2025 at 10:15 PM
The courts’ delays lead to normalization/rationalization, then SCOTUS will be reluctant to unwind all of this.
(Same theory for a lot of this Admin’s policies.)
What kind of "news analysis" (I use the word advisedly) would fail to note that these tariffs have been imposed unconstitutionally, a few days after the hearings in the Federal Circuit Court strongly conveyed the same conclusion?

www.nytimes.com/2025/08/03/b...
Trump’s Tariffs Are Making Money. That May Make Them Hard to Quit.
www.nytimes.com
August 3, 2025 at 2:54 PM
SCOTUS grants cert in another crim case involving supervised release (RICO v. US). D served her time, was on supervised release, but stops checking in (absconds). Terms of SR expire in 2021. She possesses drugs in 2022, which would violate SR terms. Is SR tolled? www.supremecourt.gov/orders/court...
www.supremecourt.gov
June 30, 2025 at 2:37 PM
SG Prelogar also teed up the constitutionality of universal injunctions when NDTX was enjoining Biden left and right, and SCOTUS passed.
IANAL but looks to me like the Biden administration asked SCOTUS to take up the universal injunctions question in Texas Top Cop Shop:

www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/24...
June 27, 2025 at 6:41 PM
I know that there are new shiny objects to analyze, but for Crim people this is a good primer breaking down Esteras v. US.
I agree that the Court punted on the only real issue: considering “retribution” when revoking a federal offender’s supervised release.

open.substack.com/pub/sentenci...
Esteras v. United States Answers Half the Question Presented
This week marks the end of the U.S.
open.substack.com
June 27, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Reposted by Sam J. Merchant
A huge amount of tech regulation is about to get done through child protection law. And, unlike in the 90s, when age verification was very difficult to do, it's a lot more feasible to do even through automated means. This is going to be a huge change for the tech industry.
The Supreme Court's fifth decision is Free Speech Coalition v. Paxton. By a 6–3 vote, the court UPHOLDS age-verification laws for online porn, holding that they are only subject to intermediate scrutiny. All three liberals dissent. www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24p...
June 27, 2025 at 3:47 PM
I haven't seen much unpacking of Hewitt, so here it is in layman's terms:
Sentenced in 2009, under *bonkers* sentencing enhancements (300+ years for bank robberies with a gun). Sentences get vacated for various reasons. Now it's 2025 and the First Step Act does away with the bonkers enhancements.1/3
First (but *not* last) #SCOTUS ruling today is in Hewitt.

For what is basically a 5-4 majority (with some fracturing), Justice Jackson (joined by the Chief Justice and the three Democratic appointees) largely sides with federal criminal defendants in a complex sentencing dispute:
www.supremecourt.gov
June 26, 2025 at 9:01 PM
June 26, 2025 at 12:10 PM
Reposted by Sam J. Merchant
The posse comitatus was uncontroversial until Congress made it an enforcement mechanism for the Fugitive Slave Law of 1850 and said “all good citizens are hereby commanded to aid and assist in the prompt and efficient execution of this law, whenever their services may be required.”
June 10, 2025 at 1:58 PM
As a sentencing prof, here is what Garcia might be facing if he goes to trial, based on the Fed Sent Guidelines:
Base offense level 12
100+ people trafficked +9
Minors +4
Guns +2
Death involved +10
Little to no crim history.
Guideline range 210-262 months (roughly 20yrs)
June 8, 2025 at 5:04 PM
I agree with the Trump Administration that sometimes superimposing text on an image can add helpful context. Adding just a few words here makes for a very accurate summary of the SCOTUS decision today.
May 17, 2025 at 12:30 AM
We are, apparently demonstrably, post-truth.
Computational analysis of speeches given in US Congress shows a strong decline in evidence based language at the expense of intuitive language that starts in the early 80s. Trends parallel developments in income inequality, polarization and congressional productivity.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
May 10, 2025 at 8:52 PM