Robbie Orvis
@robbieorvis.bsky.social
Senior Director, Modeling and Analysis
@energyinnovation.bsky.social. Working to help deploy clean energy technologies, drive down costs , and cut greenhouse gas emissions through smart and innovative policy. Posts are my own.
@energyinnovation.bsky.social. Working to help deploy clean energy technologies, drive down costs , and cut greenhouse gas emissions through smart and innovative policy. Posts are my own.
Pinned
Robbie Orvis
@robbieorvis.bsky.social
· Jul 4
EI House OBBBA Modeling - State Results
State level EPS model results used in published EI fact sheets: https://energyinnovation.org/report/one-big-beautiful-bill-act/.
zenodo.org
Today, the President will sign the OBBBA into law, repealing and and modifying many clean energy tax credits. Last night we finished updating our analysis of OBBBA at the state-level to see what this bill means for Americans. The results are ugly.
Full dataset here: zenodo.org/records/1580...
Full dataset here: zenodo.org/records/1580...
This right here is why the Dems constantly capitulating is a dangerous game.
Ppl need to understand what's happening here.
The GOP response to the shutdown was: You're gonna cave, or we're going to hurt vulnerable people by shutting off SNAP. The Dems, unwilling to let that happen, caved.
Having watched that, the GOP is now saying: "Give us what we want on abortion or ..."
The GOP response to the shutdown was: You're gonna cave, or we're going to hurt vulnerable people by shutting off SNAP. The Dems, unwilling to let that happen, caved.
Having watched that, the GOP is now saying: "Give us what we want on abortion or ..."
NEWS: Senate Republicans are threatening to block the extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies—unless Democrats agree to tougher abortion restrictions.
November 12, 2025 at 1:54 AM
This right here is why the Dems constantly capitulating is a dangerous game.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
🔌💡 Renewable #energy manufacturers hit by $24B in project cancellations this year. Our @robbieorvis.bsky.social weighs in on the uncertainty caused by the federal repeals.
www.manufacturingdive.com/news/renewab...
www.manufacturingdive.com/news/renewab...
Renewable energy manufacturers hit by $24B in project cancellations this year
Companies involved in electric vehicles, solar, wind, batteries and other technologies have been affected by a slew of federal grant and funding cuts.
www.manufacturingdive.com
November 5, 2025 at 5:10 PM
🔌💡 Renewable #energy manufacturers hit by $24B in project cancellations this year. Our @robbieorvis.bsky.social weighs in on the uncertainty caused by the federal repeals.
www.manufacturingdive.com/news/renewab...
www.manufacturingdive.com/news/renewab...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
目标类型及描述。争取到 2035 年温室气体排放水平稳
中有降，比 2030 年下降 5%以上。
"Target type and description: Strive to achieve a stable to slightly reduced level of greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, with a decrease of more than 5% compared to 2030."
(Google Translated.)
中有降，比 2030 年下降 5%以上。
"Target type and description: Strive to achieve a stable to slightly reduced level of greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, with a decrease of more than 5% compared to 2030."
(Google Translated.)
November 3, 2025 at 11:57 AM
目标类型及描述。争取到 2035 年温室气体排放水平稳
中有降，比 2030 年下降 5%以上。
"Target type and description: Strive to achieve a stable to slightly reduced level of greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, with a decrease of more than 5% compared to 2030."
(Google Translated.)
中有降，比 2030 年下降 5%以上。
"Target type and description: Strive to achieve a stable to slightly reduced level of greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, with a decrease of more than 5% compared to 2030."
(Google Translated.)
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Far as I can tell, the five-year plan recommendations are the first time that the Central Committee has explicitly called for electrification of energy use. The previous five-year plans only had it in the energy sector plan, so elevating it to the top level is significant.
The construction of a “new power system” that can efficiently integrate renewables still needs to be “accelerated”. Other areas of acceleration are electricity storage, which should be “developed vigorously”, and electrification of final energy consumption.
October 29, 2025 at 12:01 PM
Far as I can tell, the five-year plan recommendations are the first time that the Central Committee has explicitly called for electrification of energy use. The previous five-year plans only had it in the energy sector plan, so elevating it to the top level is significant.
Disappointing but expected. Gov Hochul has done her best to undermine much of New York’s leadership on climate policy.
Notably she argues that state targets are unachievable because IRA tax credits are gone. But those didn’t exist when the law was passed in 2019…
www.eenews.net/articles/new...
Notably she argues that state targets are unachievable because IRA tax credits are gone. But those didn’t exist when the law was passed in 2019…
www.eenews.net/articles/new...
New York will fight ruling requiring state to speed up climate regs
A judge sided with environmentalists who accused the state of slow-walking implementation of a sweeping 2019 climate law.
www.eenews.net
October 29, 2025 at 11:04 AM
Disappointing but expected. Gov Hochul has done her best to undermine much of New York’s leadership on climate policy.
Notably she argues that state targets are unachievable because IRA tax credits are gone. But those didn’t exist when the law was passed in 2019…
www.eenews.net/articles/new...
Notably she argues that state targets are unachievable because IRA tax credits are gone. But those didn’t exist when the law was passed in 2019…
www.eenews.net/articles/new...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Grid scale batteries are changing our electricity system. Excellent new visual story on batteries in FT today shows just how far this technology has evolved.
Fasten your seatbelts, this is just the beginning.
ig.ft.com/mega-batteri...
Fasten your seatbelts, this is just the beginning.
ig.ft.com/mega-batteri...
October 13, 2025 at 10:26 AM
Grid scale batteries are changing our electricity system. Excellent new visual story on batteries in FT today shows just how far this technology has evolved.
Fasten your seatbelts, this is just the beginning.
ig.ft.com/mega-batteri...
Fasten your seatbelts, this is just the beginning.
ig.ft.com/mega-batteri...
This is the perfect lens through which to observe the absurdity of what is happening.
“.. the first time a Republican governor has questioned the interstate deployment of National Guard troops over a governor’s objections.”
@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
October 9, 2025 at 6:42 PM
This is the perfect lens through which to observe the absurdity of what is happening.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
“.. the first time a Republican governor has questioned the interstate deployment of National Guard troops over a governor’s objections.”
@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
October 9, 2025 at 6:22 PM
“.. the first time a Republican governor has questioned the interstate deployment of National Guard troops over a governor’s objections.”
@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
The U.S. EPA is proposing to repeal GHG tailpipe emission standards, which would would (over 25 yrs):
🫰 Force U.S. households to pay $310B more
📉 Cut the GDP by $710 billion
👷♀️ Cut an average of 110,000 jobs/year
🏥 Cause 17,000 pollution-related premature deaths
energyinnovation.org/report/repea...
🫰 Force U.S. households to pay $310B more
📉 Cut the GDP by $710 billion
👷♀️ Cut an average of 110,000 jobs/year
🏥 Cause 17,000 pollution-related premature deaths
energyinnovation.org/report/repea...
Repealing Federal Tailpipe Emissions Standards Would Raise Household Costs, Harm Public Health, And Damage The Economy • Energy Innovation
If the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) eliminates its tailpipe emissions rules as part of repealing the Endangerment Finding, it would cause massive sticker shock-- Americans would be forced to pay $310 billion more, largely due to higher gasoline prices.
energyinnovation.org
October 1, 2025 at 7:12 PM
The U.S. EPA is proposing to repeal GHG tailpipe emission standards, which would would (over 25 yrs):
🫰 Force U.S. households to pay $310B more
📉 Cut the GDP by $710 billion
👷♀️ Cut an average of 110,000 jobs/year
🏥 Cause 17,000 pollution-related premature deaths
energyinnovation.org/report/repea...
🫰 Force U.S. households to pay $310B more
📉 Cut the GDP by $710 billion
👷♀️ Cut an average of 110,000 jobs/year
🏥 Cause 17,000 pollution-related premature deaths
energyinnovation.org/report/repea...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Nope, Energy Sec'y Wright, offshore winds in fact blow in winter. 1st year of operational data from NY's South Fork Wind project shows a 47% capacity factor in the year ending June 2025, with performance highest in the winter. Coal's avg capacity factor: 42%.
Wright says it’s not windy in winter. Data says otherwise.
Stats from South Fork Wind's first year undermine the Energy secretary's assertions that offshore turbines don't operate well in the winter.
www.eenews.net
October 6, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Nope, Energy Sec'y Wright, offshore winds in fact blow in winter. 1st year of operational data from NY's South Fork Wind project shows a 47% capacity factor in the year ending June 2025, with performance highest in the winter. Coal's avg capacity factor: 42%.
Whoa. Always sorta suspected this case but wow.
NEW: Biofuels globally emit more than the fossil fuels they replace, our latest study shows.
The first-of-a-kind study looks at global biofuels production today and the potential impacts of government biofuel targets.
🧵⤵️
The first-of-a-kind study looks at global biofuels production today and the potential impacts of government biofuel targets.
🧵⤵️
October 9, 2025 at 1:18 PM
Whoa. Always sorta suspected this case but wow.
Someone please help me understand these vetoes because I don’t get it.
California could save billions of dollars in grid and energy costs by tapping rooftop solar, batteries, EVs, and smart appliances as virtual power plants. Why did Governor Gavin Newsom veto three widely supported VPP bills meant to enable those savings?
www.canarymedia.com/articles/vir...
#energysky
www.canarymedia.com/articles/vir...
#energysky
Why did Newsom veto California’s virtual power plant bills?
Supporters say the bills would have helped ease the state’s energy affordability crisis while strengthening grid reliability.
www.canarymedia.com
October 9, 2025 at 12:22 AM
Someone please help me understand these vetoes because I don’t get it.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Context: forecasts were collected in mid-2022 with outcomes assessed by mid-2025. Here's the report: forecastingresearch.org/near-term-xp...
It'd be good to see details on how "resolved" values were set. H2 costs vary with local renewables, utilization, subsidy eligibility, etc.
It'd be good to see details on how "resolved" values were set. H2 costs vary with local renewables, utilization, subsidy eligibility, etc.
Assessing Near-Term Accuracy in the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament — Forecasting Research Institute
forecastingresearch.org
October 7, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Context: forecasts were collected in mid-2022 with outcomes assessed by mid-2025. Here's the report: forecastingresearch.org/near-term-xp...
It'd be good to see details on how "resolved" values were set. H2 costs vary with local renewables, utilization, subsidy eligibility, etc.
It'd be good to see details on how "resolved" values were set. H2 costs vary with local renewables, utilization, subsidy eligibility, etc.
And so it begins. Using AI generated content to drum up fake sentiment and pretense for military action.
“.. On closer inspection, however, it turned out that the image was not a photograph of a real event in Portland, but instead a fabrication created by combining two photographs of scenes that unfolded in South America nearly a decade apart ..”
@theguardian.com
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
@theguardian.com
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
October 8, 2025 at 1:34 PM
And so it begins. Using AI generated content to drum up fake sentiment and pretense for military action.
Just a colossal self own ceding 21st manufacturing to other nations we compete with. Unbelievably short sighted.
Some additional info on the new list of axed DOE projects circulating.
- All 7 H2 Hubs
- All 13 IRA grants to convert at-risk auto plants to EV mfg
- 11 of 15 grants to speed domestic clean energy mfg in former coal communities
- 10 of 38 grants for battery materials
heatmap.news/politics/doe...
- All 7 H2 Hubs
- All 13 IRA grants to convert at-risk auto plants to EV mfg
- 11 of 15 grants to speed domestic clean energy mfg in former coal communities
- 10 of 38 grants for battery materials
heatmap.news/politics/doe...
Trump to Axe All 7 Hydrogen Hubs, Bucking Bipartisan Law
A new list of Department of Energy grants slated for termination will hit clean energy and oil majors alike, including Exxon and Chevron.
heatmap.news
October 7, 2025 at 10:47 PM
Just a colossal self own ceding 21st manufacturing to other nations we compete with. Unbelievably short sighted.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
DENNING: ".. We are in year one of a Trump administration that is determined to crush what he has called the EV 'hoax.'"
Ford's plan "must surely trouble even the most committed ideologues to see their anti-EV onslaught hasn’t .. changed the direction of travel."
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Ford's plan "must surely trouble even the most committed ideologues to see their anti-EV onslaught hasn’t .. changed the direction of travel."
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Ford's New $30,000 EV Pickup Cuts Against Washington
When it comes to electric vehicles, US automakers have set their sights far beyond Washington and 2028.
www.bloomberg.com
August 12, 2025 at 11:17 AM
DENNING: ".. We are in year one of a Trump administration that is determined to crush what he has called the EV 'hoax.'"
Ford's plan "must surely trouble even the most committed ideologues to see their anti-EV onslaught hasn’t .. changed the direction of travel."
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Ford's plan "must surely trouble even the most committed ideologues to see their anti-EV onslaught hasn’t .. changed the direction of travel."
www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
It’s a good thing Texas installed so much reliable solar, wind, and battery capacity to shoulder the load in the event the state’s unreliable coal generation suffered a catastrophic failure.
Because apparently it did.
🔌💡
ieefa.org/resources/ne...
Because apparently it did.
🔌💡
ieefa.org/resources/ne...
Newest big U.S. coal-plant offline until 2027
The newest major coal-fired power plant in the U.S. is expected to be offline until March 2027 after a major failure in April.
ieefa.org
October 7, 2025 at 9:16 PM
It’s a good thing Texas installed so much reliable solar, wind, and battery capacity to shoulder the load in the event the state’s unreliable coal generation suffered a catastrophic failure.
Because apparently it did.
🔌💡
ieefa.org/resources/ne...
Because apparently it did.
🔌💡
ieefa.org/resources/ne...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Duke Energy’s Resource Plan Delays Wind Energy Development Until 2040s www.sewind.org/news/duke-en...
Duke Energy’s Resource Plan Delays Wind Energy Development Until 2040s — Southeastern Wind Coalition
Onshore and offshore wind indefinitely delayed as Duke cites site assessment challenges and federal policy impacts.
www.sewind.org
October 6, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Duke Energy’s Resource Plan Delays Wind Energy Development Until 2040s www.sewind.org/news/duke-en...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
$16 billion. That's how much the PJM market monitor estimates that electricity ratepayers will pay via increased utility bills to subsidize interconnection of data centers owned by Big Tech. A massive give-away to some of the most profitable companies in the world.
www.eenews.net/articles/dat...
www.eenews.net/articles/dat...
Data center boom sparks sticker shock for PJM ratepayers
New analyses show that costs passed on to utility customers to guarantee future electricity demand are rising rapidly.
www.eenews.net
October 6, 2025 at 3:55 PM
$16 billion. That's how much the PJM market monitor estimates that electricity ratepayers will pay via increased utility bills to subsidize interconnection of data centers owned by Big Tech. A massive give-away to some of the most profitable companies in the world.
www.eenews.net/articles/dat...
www.eenews.net/articles/dat...
Jesus just say it loud. IT’S ILLEGAL.
It is not clear that Mr. Trump’s image can be featured on a coin. An 1866 law enshrined a tradition that only deceased people could appear on U.S. currency to avoid the appearance that America was a monarchy. Trump admin is planning to do it anyway.
By Alan Rappeport
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/03/b...
By Alan Rappeport
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/03/b...
Treasury Plans to Mint $1 Commemorative Trump Coin
www.nytimes.com
October 4, 2025 at 3:21 AM
Jesus just say it loud. IT’S ILLEGAL.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
I wonder if this will get even a small fraction of the press that the battery fire at Moss Landing received. Fires happen. But fossil fuel-related fires are far more common than fires at lithium ion facilities. And, a fire like Moss Landing will never happen again given design changes.
A fireball lit up the sky across the Los Angeles area on Thursday night after an explosion at a Chevron refinery in El Segundo, alarming nearby residents who said it felt like an earthquake. The cause of the explosion was not clear. No injuries were reported. nyti.ms/42pPCaW
October 3, 2025 at 2:18 PM
I wonder if this will get even a small fraction of the press that the battery fire at Moss Landing received. Fires happen. But fossil fuel-related fires are far more common than fires at lithium ion facilities. And, a fire like Moss Landing will never happen again given design changes.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
‘A federal judge has delivered a victory to 19 Democratic-led states & D.C., ruling the Department of Energy’s attempt to cap funding for state energy programs is illegal & violated the Administrative Procedure Act.’ subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene... ($)
E&E News: Judge rules DOE effort to cap energy grants is illegal
Democratic-led states sued DOE last month, saying the policy change to limit funding for state energy programs would hurt them.
subscriber.politicopro.com
October 1, 2025 at 11:10 AM
‘A federal judge has delivered a victory to 19 Democratic-led states & D.C., ruling the Department of Energy’s attempt to cap funding for state energy programs is illegal & violated the Administrative Procedure Act.’ subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene... ($)
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Thank you to the career federal employees, who show up to work every day and improve people's lives across the country.
October 1, 2025 at 3:47 AM
Thank you to the career federal employees, who show up to work every day and improve people's lives across the country.
Good.
The White House has withdrawn the nomination of E.J. Antoni to serve as the leader of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
White House Pulls Pick to Lead Labor Data Agency
E.J. Antoni, a conservative economist, had faced bipartisan criticism as President Trump’s nominee to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
nyti.ms
October 1, 2025 at 1:53 AM
Good.
Just so we’re clear there’s zero evidence that any of the things Hegseth listed today matter whatsoever for our military preparedness, right? Totally political.
October 1, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Just so we’re clear there’s zero evidence that any of the things Hegseth listed today matter whatsoever for our military preparedness, right? Totally political.