Robbie Orvis
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robbieorvis.bsky.social
Robbie Orvis
@robbieorvis.bsky.social
Senior Director, Modeling and Analysis
@energyinnovation.bsky.social. Working to help deploy clean energy technologies, drive down costs , and cut greenhouse gas emissions through smart and innovative policy. Posts are my own.
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Today, the President will sign the OBBBA into law, repealing and and modifying many clean energy tax credits. Last night we finished updating our analysis of OBBBA at the state-level to see what this bill means for Americans. The results are ugly.

Full dataset here: zenodo.org/records/1580...
EI House OBBBA Modeling - State Results
State level EPS model results used in published EI fact sheets: https://energyinnovation.org/report/one-big-beautiful-bill-act/.
zenodo.org
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Everyone is now paying attention to NYC, where big climate victories will be married with big wins for affordability and overall quality of life.
Congestion pricing "has been a striking success. Traffic speeds have increased. Pollution is down. The fee is generating a large amount of revenue for the city’s transit system. And predictions that it would be bad for business have proved completely wrong." Via @pkrugman.bsky.social
Notes on New York
The Big Apple had a pretty good 2025, but …
paulkrugman.substack.com
January 2, 2026 at 2:14 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
some good climate/energy news:

* 96% of new US power capacity was carbon-free in 2024 (56 gigawatts!)

* 2025 included the first month ever when 51% of power on the U.S. grid was carbon-free

* The golbal trend is overwhelming: The world is now investing more $ in clean energy than fossil fuels
December 26, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Dude that is not how math works. My god.
FOX: If you cut something by 100%, the cost goes down to 0. If you cut it by 600%, the drug companies are actually paying you

LUTNICK: What he's saying is if a drug was $100 and you bring it down to $13, it's down 7 times

F: Not a 600% cut

L: But it's 700% higher price before. It's down 700% now
December 19, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Wow. That is… not great.
A three-year Swiss study found that enhanced rock weathering (ERW) removed 10 to 30 times less CO₂ than expected due to soil chemistry and local climate.
Three Years of Field Trials Indicate a Sustained Enhanced Rock Weathering Signal with Limited CO2 Removal
Enhanced rock weathering (ERW) is a CO2 removal technology that involves spreading finely ground silicate rock on fields. The chemical weathering of this rock powder removes atmospheric CO2 in the form of bicarbonate ions and secondary carbonates. Despite some promising theoretical simulations and laboratory findings, results from field trials that evaluate the ERW’s impact on soil biogeochemistry and CO2 removal are still scarce. This study investigated the impact of basaltic rock powder applied at the equivalent rate of 20 t per hectare (2 kg m–2) in three temperate vineyard fields in Switzerland over 1000 days. Analyses of soil pore water revealed that most standard ERW monitoring proxies (pH, electrical conductivity, total dissolved inorganic carbon, calcium, and magnesium concentrations) did not increase significantly. By contrast, sodium concentration in soil pore water was on average 3-fold higher in the rock powder-treated plots, indicating active mineral dissolution. Integrating the pore water results with model analyses, we estimated that the average CO2 removal rate was 100 ± 30 kg CO2 ha–1 yr–1, which is 10 to 30 times lower than the upper rates reported in some previous modeling and experimental studies. Future work is now needed to improve our understanding of ERW’s CO2 removal potential and soil contamination under a variety of soils, rock feedstocks, and climate conditions.
pubs.acs.org
December 19, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Our full report on how to clean up manufacturing through electrification is available at: www.2035initiative.com/clean-manufa...

You can also explore data on facilities in your state and community using our webtool: www.2035initiative.com/clean-manufa...
December 16, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
We have the technologies we need to cut pollution from the industrial sector. In our new report, we take a deep dive into an immediate, practical opportunity: electrifying low- and medium-temperature process heat in manufacturing food, beverage, paper and chemicals. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
New Roadmap Shows How to Cut a Surprisingly Big Source of Emissions
Electricity can replace natural gas to provide the low- and medium-grade heat needed to make food, paper and chemicals.
www.bloomberg.com
December 16, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
The US is losing blue-collar jobs for the first time since the pandemic—year-on-year job losses have hit 65k as manufacturing, transportation, & mining industries lose jobs at a rapid pace while growth in construction has nearly zeroed out
December 16, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Is the energy transition speeding up or spinning its wheels?

@davidkeith.bsky.social, @shastingssimon.bsky.social & Ed chat w/ @robbieorvis.bsky.social (@energyinnovation.org) about what changed in 2025 & what to watch for in 2026.

Watch/Listen: www.energyvsclimate.com/energy-past-...
December 12, 2025 at 10:11 PM
The narrative from Rep. Moreno here is completely upside down. The U.S.' failure to compete with China on EV manufacturing to date is an existential threat to the US automakers, not the other way around.

subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene...
E&E News: Republicans’ new EV narrative: China made US do it
Sen. Bernie Moreno argues that encouraging the U.S. electric vehicle industry only helps America’s biggest geopolitical adversary.
subscriber.politicopro.com
December 10, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Well that’s refreshing.
December 9, 2025 at 1:20 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
You know what all Americans want? To spend even more on gasoline…sheesh.
Sean Duffy on slashing fuel economy standards: "This rule will actually allow you to bring back the 1970s station wagon. Maybe a little wood paneling on the side. We can bring back choice to consumers."
December 4, 2025 at 5:55 PM
I for one will continue calling it the National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL)
Absolute clownshow stuff here
December 2, 2025 at 3:55 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
"We blow up ‘alleged’ drug boats in the Caribbean but pardon actually convicted drug traffickers in the U.S. Someone help me make sense of this.”
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/28/w...
Trump Announces Pardon for Honduran Ex-President Convicted in Drug Case
www.nytimes.com
November 29, 2025 at 3:24 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
NEWS --> BBC confirms to me that they did edit a line out of historian @rutgerbregman.com's speech. It called Trump "the most openly corrupt president in US history."

BBC also confirms this was done on the advice of lawyers. So Trump's threats worked.

New piece:
newrepublic.com/article/2036...
Trump’s Fury at BBC Gets Unnerving Results with Pro-MAGA Edit Stunner
First, British Broadcasting Corporation execs resigned after Trump complained about a segment. Now the BBC edited out a line from a historian that was critical of Trump. Where does this end?
newrepublic.com
November 25, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
An interesting snippet of information...

Electricity generation from coal in India has dropped in the first 10 months of 2025, with renewables covering for all the growth in electricity use.

Noting, growth in electricity use is rather low...

More figures: robbieandrew.github.io/india/
November 20, 2025 at 11:39 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Where are global CO2 emissions heading?

Middle-of-the-road? But just because we have followed the SSP2-45, SSP4-60 path for 10 years, does not mean we follow it for the next 70 years.

Policy & technology have pushed the world away from the high-end, but 2.7C in 2100 & rising is not a good outcome!
November 21, 2025 at 9:07 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
NEW: How can we make electric cars even cleaner? By using green aluminium.

Switching automotive production to low-carbon aluminum could cost just €25 extra per car by 2040.

Read our new study 👇
bit.ly/4qRohZI
November 17, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
British and Australian chemists have discovered a powerful new antibiotic called pre-methylenomycin C lactone, hiding in a well-known soil bacterium. This molecule kills drug-resistant bacteria without triggering resistance. buff.ly/YlXaONo
#ShareGoodNewsToo
Scientists find hidden antibiotic 100x stronger against deadly superbugs
A team of scientists discovered a hidden antibiotic 100 times stronger than existing drugs against deadly superbugs like MRSA. The molecule had been overlooked for decades in a familiar bacterium. It…
buff.ly
November 16, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
As I told @politico.com about yesterday's extremely disappointing move to delay implementation of NYS's All-Electric Buildings Act: "This is not a legal decision. This is a political decision."

subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...
POLITICO Pro: New York will delay implementation of bill requiring building electrification
The development is the latest move by the Hochul administration that is angering environmental advocates.
subscriber.politicopro.com
November 13, 2025 at 2:45 PM
I see BYONCE is really trending now.. happy to see it making the rounds.
PLUS you heard it here first: BYONCE - Bring Your Own New Clean Energy - the future of supply for data centers looking to interconnect.
November 13, 2025 at 7:49 PM
This right here is why the Dems constantly capitulating is a dangerous game.
Ppl need to understand what's happening here.

The GOP response to the shutdown was: You're gonna cave, or we're going to hurt vulnerable people by shutting off SNAP. The Dems, unwilling to let that happen, caved.

Having watched that, the GOP is now saying: "Give us what we want on abortion or ..."
NEWS: Senate Republicans are threatening to block the extension of Affordable Care Act subsidies—unless Democrats agree to tougher abortion restrictions.
November 12, 2025 at 1:54 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
🔌💡 Renewable #energy manufacturers hit by $24B in project cancellations this year. Our @robbieorvis.bsky.social weighs in on the uncertainty caused by the federal repeals.
www.manufacturingdive.com/news/renewab...
Renewable energy manufacturers hit by $24B in project cancellations this year
Companies involved in electric vehicles, solar, wind, batteries and other technologies have been affected by a slew of federal grant and funding cuts.
www.manufacturingdive.com
November 5, 2025 at 5:10 PM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
目标类型及描述。争取到 2035 年温室气体排放水平稳
中有降,比 2030 年下降 5%以上。

"Target type and description: Strive to achieve a stable to slightly reduced level of greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, with a decrease of more than 5% compared to 2030."

(Google Translated.)
November 3, 2025 at 11:57 AM
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
Far as I can tell, the five-year plan recommendations are the first time that the Central Committee has explicitly called for electrification of energy use. The previous five-year plans only had it in the energy sector plan, so elevating it to the top level is significant.
The construction of a “new power system” that can efficiently integrate renewables still needs to be “accelerated”. Other areas of acceleration are electricity storage, which should be “developed vigorously”, and electrification of final energy consumption.
October 29, 2025 at 12:01 PM