Lauri Myllyvirta
banner
laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social
Lauri Myllyvirta
@laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social
Co-founder and lead analyst, Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air; senior fellow, Asia Society Policy Institute: tracking & accelerating progress from polluting energy to clean air, with research and evidence.
In case you missed it - progress hasn't stopped in the U.S., despite the best efforts of the Trump administration.
www.utilitydive.com/news/solar-g...
December 27, 2025 at 1:19 PM
China's clean power capacity additions picked up in November, with 13GW of wind and 21GW solar. China has already added almost as much wind&solar in Jan-Nov as in the full year 2024, ahead of the end-of-year and end-of-five-year-plan spike expected in December.
December 27, 2025 at 10:40 AM
The astonishing self-harm of European auto industry continues. Trying to turn your home market into a museum for last century cars means you might squeeze a few more years of revenue from them, but at the cost of obsolescence as consumers at home and in export markets vote with their feet.
December 19, 2025 at 6:44 AM
An interesting study on the prospects of coal power plant workers transitioning to clean energy jobs, finding that keeping coal plants on life support while building clean power - the approach of most key governments - is the worst option.
December 18, 2025 at 7:31 PM
ICYMI: Meeting China's Paris Agreement commitments for 2030 requires keeping CO2 emissions falling, which in turn requires that current wind&solar targets are exceeded by a wide margin. The good news is that every single previous wind&solar target has been overachieved.
December 18, 2025 at 4:56 AM
After a big fall in coal-fired power generation in November, the CO2 emissions from China’s three largest emitting sectors - power, steel and cement - are almost certain to fall in 2025.

Our detailed monthly snapshot on power generation, industry and air pollution in China 👇
🇨🇳 NEW | China monthly snapshot | December 2025 | Energy & air pollution | EN & CN

📉 CO2 emissions from China’s three largest emitting sectors—power, steel, cement—almost certain to fall in 2025

💡 📉 In November 2025, coal power generation was down by 5.5% YoY
December 17, 2025 at 6:12 AM
China's thermal (~coal&gas) power generation fell 4% in November year-on-year, putting the Jan-Nov total at -0.7%.

Crude steel production fell 11% in November and 4% in Jan-Nov; cement output fell 8% in Nov and -7% in Jan-Nov.
December 15, 2025 at 7:59 AM
New from me: How can China meet its 2030 emission commitments after falling badly off track? The country will have to very substantially overachieve its clean energy targets and limit plans for runaway expansion of coal power & petrochemical expansion in the next 5-yr plan.
December 11, 2025 at 5:09 PM
After a big jump in October, coal-fired power generation in China has been falling for 5 weeks straight, until Dec 4, according to a survey by China Electricity Council. Power generation at the surveyed coal plants is down 6% year-on-year in the past 5 weeks and 3% year-to-date.
December 10, 2025 at 8:44 AM
So Indonesia's state utility had a full compensation lined up from the Asian Development Bank for closing this one coal power plant, but they balked on even that. Shows how crazy entrenched the coal interests are in the country.
www.thejakartapost.com/business/202...
Govt backtracks on early retirement of Cirebon-1 coal plant - Regulations - The Jakarta Post
Experts are now pressing the government to spell out which plants might replace Cirebon-1 in the retirement pipeline and the criteria guiding that selection.
www.thejakartapost.com
December 8, 2025 at 6:44 AM
Our annual deep dive on China’s climate transition is out! China’s CO₂ emissions are set to remain flat for a second year in 2025. Record additions of solar and wind, accelerating electrification, and declining construction-material demand are the main drivers.
December 4, 2025 at 6:43 AM
Reposted by Lauri Myllyvirta
🇨🇳 WEBINAR | REPORT LAUNCH | China’s Climate Transition: Outlook 2025

Join us as we unpack emissions & energy trends, as well as targets & policies needed to keep China on track for its goals

🗓️ Monday, 8 Dec. 2025
🕘 9 GMT | 10 CET | 17 BJT
📍Zoom
Register here:
energyandcleanair.org/webinar-repo...
December 2, 2025 at 12:00 AM
China's wind and solar capacity additions rebounded in October after the predictable slump over the summer. 14 GW solar and 9 GW wind was added to the grid, after an average of 9 GW solar and 3 GW wind per month in the past three months.
November 26, 2025 at 12:47 PM
China's official news agency Xinhua puts the country's coal peak at "around 2027" and oil peak "around 2026", also referencing the commitment to "gradually reduce" coal consumption that has been missing from recent policy papers.
November 25, 2025 at 12:58 PM
I made a peace deal with a rabid dog: I give it a sausage and take off my protective gear, and it won't bite me again. It took the sausage so now we have peace. On my way to Oslo to pick up the peace prize. This is how you all sound talking about "peace deals" with Russia.
November 25, 2025 at 6:04 AM
More flexible operation of coal power plants could cut power sector CO2 by 11%, electricity costs by 2.5% and double the share of solar and wind that the grid can accommodate without curtailment or energy storage - our new case study for China's Zhejiang province.
November 25, 2025 at 6:04 AM
We've spent decades trying to persuade societies to give up a small fraction of short-term growth in exchange for avoiding the climate crisis in the long term, with mixed success. Good luck convincing everyone to give up the pursuit of growth and prosperity wholesale instead.
There is no end of the #climatecrisis without the end of growth
November 21, 2025 at 9:43 AM
China's electricity consumption grew a whopping 10.4% year-on-year in October. Partially explained by big jumps in residential and service sector demand, up by 24% and 17%, but industrial demand also up 6.2% - looks like an end of five-year plan push to meet economic targets.
China's power generation from coal and gas saw a big jump in October, rising 7% on year. Generation is still down marginally, 0.4% in the year to October. Likely reasons: weather variation affecting residential&commercial power demand, and solar&wind curtailment.
November 21, 2025 at 7:51 AM
China's vice minister for environment Li Gao strongly puts forward the economic growth argument for China's green and low-carbon transformation, also citing our @creacleanair.bsky.social research on the contribution of clean energy sectors to China's GDP.
November 21, 2025 at 6:03 AM
China's power generation from coal and gas saw a big jump in October, rising 7% on year. Generation is still down marginally, 0.4% in the year to October. Likely reasons: weather variation affecting residential&commercial power demand, and solar&wind curtailment.
November 14, 2025 at 6:24 AM
So the data center expansion could contribute a 3% increase to U.S. energy CO2 emissions and 7% increase to fossil gas use by 2035. That's not insignificant and heaven knows we can't afford any extra CO2 but I think most people are getting an overblown idea of the impact.
November 13, 2025 at 1:34 PM
The @IEA is repeating its abject failure to account for the solar boom, now with EVs, to create an alternative reality for Trump where oil-burning vehicles will dominate transportation and oil demand will keep growing.
This is really quite scandalous... the key assumption that means rising oil demand is that EV sales share will be the same in 2050 as in 2024 in EVERY COUNTRY IN THE WORLD (except China+EU) 🤷‍♂️
🤡OIL DEMAND WILL KEEP RISING🤡

What are the IEA assumptions that make rising oil demand so improbable?
November 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM
NEW from me: CO2 emissions in China have now been flat or falling for 18 months, the first time that energy demand growth at or above historical averages doesn't drive emissions up, thanks to the clean energy boom. 🧵👇
November 11, 2025 at 6:35 AM
Reposted by Lauri Myllyvirta
November 11, 2025 at 2:27 AM
China's formal submission of its new climate targets leaves out the commitment made in 2021 to gradually reduce coal consumption in 2026-30. It does reiterate the commitment to reduce carbon intensity, which is currently badly off track, but doesn't provide any progress update.
November 9, 2025 at 1:01 PM