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resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson
@resiliencesci.bsky.social
3.2K followers 1.3K following 850 posts

Director FinBio.org
Professor of Environmental Science
with focus on Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University stockholmresilience.org

projects:
regimeshifts.org
biospherefutures.net
goodanthropocenes.net .. more

Videos
Environmental science 64%
Geography 16%
Posts Replies Media Videos
Pinned
resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 7d
Resilience Science Must-Knows

Nine essential insights from global resilience science to help decision-makers navigate a turbulent world.

Developed in dialogue with decision makers, and synthesised by an international team of resilience researchers

www.stockholmresilience.org/research/res...
Resilience Science Must-Knows
Nine things every decision maker should know about resilience
www.stockholmresilience.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 12h
Stakeholder perspectives on pondscapes: a multinational analysis using storylines and the Nature Futures Framework
Rashidi+
doi.org/10.1080/2639...

"our use of the NFF with stakeholders demonstrates the framework’s practical utility in a participatory setting"
Figure 5. Nature Futures Framework diagrams with stakeholder preferences for each country.

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 18h
"MiseryMap"
visualization of flight delays in USA
www.flightaware.com/miserymap/
map of us flight delays

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 20h
Exploring values embedded in policy options of the cultural landscapes of Japan through the Nature Futures Framework
Lahoti+
doi.org/10.4324/9781...

examining diverse values associated
with policy options to rejuvenate
bio-production systems in the cultural landscapes of Japan
Categorizing these policy options using the NFF unveiled multiple characteristics associated with different values. Each policy option was linked to one to three descriptive characteristics, leading to a total of 252 descriptive characteristics. Based on the prominent descriptive characteristics, 185 policy options were linked to 185 values (Figure 26.4). This revealed a strong preference for NC values, constituting 36% of the policy options. Followed by NC values, a balance between the NN and NS values accounted for 18% (Figure 26.4). Following this NN values were seen in 11% of cases, however despite being cultural landscapes, the priority for balancing “nature as culture” and “nature for nature” was the lowest (9%).

Reposted by Garry Peterson, Du Toit, Tatiana Ilyina , and 6 more

glenpeters.bsky.social
Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 6d
Global Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions rise again in 2024, up 2.3%.

This is our collective progress, 10 years after the Paris Agreement.

www.unep.org/resources/em...

1/
A figure showing all ghg emissions rising

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 7d
“China’s national strategy aims to safeguard ecological security, but local governments face strong pressure to grow quickly. Aligning these goals is essential for long-term resilience” -Yafei Wang CAS
www.stockholmresilience.org/research/res...
Chinese mountain model shows new way for building resilience
Chinese cities, farms, and conservation zones all compete for limited land, while rising temperatures, land degradation, and erosion threaten local livelihoods. A new study in Huangshui River Basin, b...
www.stockholmresilience.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 7d
Integrating Multi-Level Sustainability and Ecosystem Integrity for Adaptive Scenario Planning in China
Wang+
doi.org/10.1029/2025...

using an adaptive approach can produce better policies
that reconcile conflicting policy goals of different levels of government
Comparison of land system among four future scenarios: national level (NAT), provincial level (PRO), local level (LOC), and multi-scale (sustainable development). (a) Areal fractions of different land types. In wind-rose plots, each sector represents an areal fraction of the corresponding land types. A larger surface area indicates a larger areal fraction. Land types with an area fraction of less than 10 are additionally marked. (b) Land system changes along two pathways: 2020–2050 and 2050–2100.

Reposted by Katharine Hayhoe, Elena Litchman

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 7d
2 new jobs working with our FinBio.org project
@sthlmresilience.bsky.social

Social-ecological systems and Natural capital

Postdoctoral fellow
su.varbi.com/what:job/job...

RA, full-time 12 months:
su.varbi.com/what:job/job...
Postdoktor i social-ekologiska system och naturkapital
Stockholm Resilience Centre (SRC) är ett forskningscenter för resiliens och hållbar utveckling vid Stockholms universitet. Centret främjar den vetenskapliga förståelsen för komplexa, dynamiska
su.varbi.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 8d
break down in people - bear relations in Japan
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/29/w...

"Experts say the surge in attacks is partly the result of climate change...[]and] Japan’s population decline has also contributed to the problem, with bears venturing into rural areas that were once full of people"
Japan to Send Troops to Help Stop Bear Attacks
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

naomioreskes.bsky.social
Naomi Oreskes @naomioreskes.bsky.social · 10d
Happy, honored, humbled by this:
www.volvogroup.com/en/news-and-...
Thanks 2 all friends, family, colleagues, who have supported me along the way, esp #ErikMConway &
@bloomsburybooksus.bsky.social @bloomsburybooksuk.bsky.social @harvard.edu @harvardhistsci.bsky.social @ucsandiego.bsky.social
Harvard Professor Naomi Oreskes Receives the 2025 Volvo Environment Prize
Press Release from the Volvo Environment Prize Foundation Naomi Oreskes, a world-renowned earth scientist and historian from Harvard University, is the recipient of the 2025 Volvo Environment Prize. S...
www.volvogroup.com

Reposted by Brian J. Enquist, Garry Peterson

sthlmresilience.bsky.social
Stockholm Resilience Centre @sthlmresilience.bsky.social · 12d
The climate negotiations must be guided by science.

This year’s “10 New Insights in Climate Science” report urges action over promises, warning that the world can no longer afford delays.

Learn more: www.stockholmresilience.org/5.226014ea19...
Image of map of ocean showing water temperatures over the years

Reposted by Garry Peterson

gscumming.bsky.social
Graeme Cumming @gscumming.bsky.social · 12d
Intriguing overview of changing ecosystem function at a continental scale.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Energy flows reveal declining ecosystem functions by animals across Africa - Nature
An ecosystem energetics approach, quantifying trophic energy flows across species, offers a unified framework for linking animal biodiversity loss to changes in ecosystem function and Earth system pro...
www.nature.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 13d
Nature Futures Framework scenarios reveal contrasting landscape connectivity for European mammal translocations
Ascensão+
doi.org/10.1016/j.bi...

analyzing connectivity using circuitscape on Dou+ (doi.org/10.1016/j.gl...)
land-use scenarios
Scheme of our conceptual framework. Starting with data on release sites from Transloc database, and land system data – both baseline and Nature Futures Framework (NFF) scenarios (NAC, NFN, NFS) – we delineated circular landscapes centred on each release site (1). Land cover classes within these landscapes were then translated into species-specific resistance-to-movement values: green represents low resistance, yellow indicates moderate resistance, and white denotes high resistance (2). Using these cost surfaces, we modelled current flow from each release site (source point) to multiple surrounding target locations. This process generates a layer of current density (2), with warmer colours standing for higher current values. From this, we calculate the effective resistance between the release site and its surrounding landscape. Our experimental design included simulations over 57 release sites, 2 spatial extents, 4 land use scenarios, and 3 values for intermediate resistance, totalling 1368 simulations in Circuitscape (3).

Reposted by Dominik Wiedenhofer

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 13d
Human biomass movement exceeds the biomass movement of all land animals combined
Rosenberg+
doi.org/10.1038/s415...

"combined biomass movement of all wild birds, land arthropods and wild land mammals"
is
1/6 of humans walking
1/40th all the biomass movement of humans
Fig. 2: Biomass movement across prominent migrations and gatherings, and total mass movement across groups. Squares represent migrations, with distance summed over a year. Axes are on a logarithmic scale. Dashed lines depict lines of constant mass movement in units of t km yr−1, representing constant multiplications between the mass (horizontal axis) and annual distance (vertical axis). Circles represent the total mass movement of entire groups, extending beyond specific migrations or gatherings. Circles include data presented in Figs. 1 and 3. See Supplementary Information for detailed estimates.

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 13d
" biomass of domesticated poultry
(≈0.005 Gt C, dominated by chickens)
is about threefold higher
than that of
wild birds (≈0.002 Gt C)"

The biomass distribution on Earth
Bar-on+
doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 13d
H5N1 risk amplified as wild and domestic animals being in close contact as birds migrate
www.dw.com/en/h5n1-bird...

poultry -> wild birds -> poultry

“well over” 1,000 dead cranes have been found “in a short period of time" at a major resting place in Linum, Germany.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=sRJe...
Avian flu “real disaster” as over 1K cranes found dead at key German roosting spot: experts
YouTube video by Global News
www.youtube.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 13d
Millions of buildings at risk from sea level rise
www.mcgill.ca/newsroom/cha...

study’s interactive map
sea-level-submergence.projects.earthengine.app/view/sea-lev...
sea-level-submergence-explorer
sea-level-submergence.projects.earthengine.app

Reposted by Juan Cole

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 13d
Assessing the exposure of buildings to long-term sea level rise across the Global South
Willard-Stepan+
doi.org/10.1038/s429...

"a first-order assessment of the exposure of buildings to sea level rise from satellite observation in Africa, Southeast Asia, and South and Central America."
Fig. 1: Exposure to building inundation as a function of LSR. Fig. 1: Exposure to building inundation as a function of LSR. Fig 1. In (a), the colour of each 50 km grid cell represents the amount of SLR that causes > 25% of the cell’s total building count to be inundated at high tide. Inset panels display (b) ~ 3 km and (c) ~ 250 m regions. In (b) and (c), individual buildings are coloured according to the value of LSLR at which the ground level of the building is in contact with water at high tide. These panels clarify that while the overall gridded result in (a) is quite coarse, variability within one grid cell can be high, and is well captured by the data set

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 13d
Hurricane Melissa (2025) and Climate Change
Preliminary analysis

warmer water 500-700X more likely due to climate change
increasing its potential damages by up to 50%.

www.climatecentral.org/tropical-cyc...
The storm underwent rapid strengthening as it sluggishly crawled over exceptionally warm ocean waters 2.5°F (1.4°C) warmer than average and up to 700 times more likely due to human-caused climate change. These unusually warm ocean temperatures, along with tropical climate warming, are projected to have strengthened Melissa’s top wind speed by about 10 mph, increasing its potential damages by up to 50%.

Reposted by Garry Peterson

socses.bsky.social
Society for Social-Ecological Systems @socses.bsky.social · 13d
🌿 Day 1 of our Resilience Science and Climate Change short course

Yesterday, the cohort had two sessions, focussing on:

🌿 key concepts of social-ecological resilience, presented by @stevelade.bsky.social

🌿 using futures approaches to support resilience, presented by @resiliencesci.bsky.social

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 14d
"Hurricane Melissa ...is expected to move over or near Jamaica this week as early as Monday evening, before moving toward Cuba and the Bahamas."

NYTimes news tracker
www.nytimes.com/live/2025/10...
Hurricane Melissa Nears Jamaica as ‘Catastrophic’ Storm
www.nytimes.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 15d
The progression of Trump's tariffs
on.ft.com/47DR9Nv

"'Actual trade' rate is customs duty revenue as a % of value of goods imported.

'Based on announced tariffs' is the estimate of the long-run effective tariff rate based on current announced policy, after accounting for consumption shifts"
The progression of Trump's tariffs. Effective US global tariff rate, as at Sep 4 2025 (%) 'Actual trade' rate is customs duty revenue as a % of value of goods imported. 'Based on announced tariffs' is the estimate of the long-run effective tariff rate based on current announced policy, after accounting for consumption shifts

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 15d
Hurricane Melissa tracker and weather forecast
www.windy.com/-Hurricane-t...
weather map of hurricane melissa w/ track

Reposted by Juan Cole, Caroline T. Schroeder

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 15d
Hurricane Melissa
11AM EDT Oct 26, 2025

"Jamaica: Seek shelter now. Damaging winds and heavy rainfall today and Monday will cause catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding and numerous landslides before potentially devastating winds arrive Monday night"
www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...
Key Messages for Hurricane Melissa Advisory 21: 11:00 AM EDT Sun Oct 26, 2025 Jamaica: Seek shelter now. Damaging winds and heavy rainfall today and Monday will cause catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding and numerous landslides before potentially devastating winds arrive Monday night and Tuesday morning. Extensive infrastructural damage, long-duration power and communication outages, and isolation of communities are expected. Life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the southern coast Monday night and Tuesday morning. Haiti: Catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding and landslides are expected across southwestern Haiti through midweek, likely causing extensive infrastructural damage and isolation of communities. Although winds are temporarily decreasing on the Tiburon peninsula, they could increase again across much of western Haiti on Tuesday. Dominican Republic: Heavy rainfall through midweek could produce catastrophic flash flooding and numerous landslides in southern portions of the country. Eastern Cuba, Southeast Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos: Monitor Melissa closely. There is an increasing risk of a significant storm surge, damaging winds, and heavy rainfall Tuesday and Wednesday. In eastern Cuba, the risk of life-threatening flash flooding and landslides is increasing. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for portions of eastern Cuba. For more information go to hurricanes.gov Hurricane Melissa 11 AM EDT Advisory 21 Location: 15.4°N 76.4°W Maximum sustained winds: 110 mph Movement: W at 3 mph Forecast positions: Sun 8 PM — Near Jamaica Mon 8 PM — Near eastern Cuba Tue 8 AM — Bahamas Fri 8 AM — Offshore SE U.S. 4-Day Rainfall Forecast: Possible up to 40+ inches rainfall near Jamaica and Hispaniola Isolated 16+ inches in other areas

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 15d
"Melissa grew from a tropical storm into a powerful Category 4 hurricane this weekend, it became the fourth of this year’s five Atlantic hurricanes to undergo what hurricane experts call “rapid intensification"
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/26/w...

earth.nullschool.net#current/wind...
Hurricane Melissa’s Wind Speeds Doubled in Less Than a Day
www.nytimes.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 15d
"Zero emission" construction
vaxer.stockholm/en/projects/...

"in eastern Södermalm, where SL’s bus depot used to be located...contractor PEAB and sub-contractors are using electric excavators, electric trucks and a temporary battery solution for energy storage"

www.mitti.se/nyheter/park...
1,240 new homes in eastern Södermalm - City of Stockholm
I det gamla industrikvarteret Persikan på östra Södermalm byggs sju nya bostadskvarter med cirka 1 240 lägenheter.
vaxer.stockholm

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 15d
Crown Princess Victoria Professorship in Biodiversity
University of Gothenburg, Sweden
academicpositions.com/ad/universit...

"internationally recognised and well-renowned scientist who wants to engage in leading the move towards a sustainable future"
w/ supporting funding for PhDs and postdocs
The Crown Princess Victoria Professorship in Biodiversity - Academic Positions
Seeking an internationally recognized scientist for a prestigious professorship in biodiversity. Lead groundbreaking research, interdisciplinary collaboratio...
academicpositions.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 15d
Trump administration tells Colorado wolves must come from U.S. Rockies states, not Canada
apnews.com/article/colo...
Trump administration tells Colorado wolves must come from U.S. Rockies states, not Canada
The Trump administration is telling the state of Colorado it can no longer import wolves from Canada.
apnews.com

Reposted by John W. Williams

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 17d
Biodiversity Postdoctoral Fellowship, 2-year (2026-2028) - 2 positions OPEN

UBC, Vancouver, Canada
biodiversity.ubc.ca/training-and...

"The UBC Biodiversity Research Centre comprises over 100 faculty members with interests in ecology, evolution, systematics, biodiversity, and conservation"
Postdoctoral Fellowship Opportunities
Biodiversity Postdoctoral Fellowship, 2-year (2026-2028) - 2 positions OPENAt UBC, we believe that attracting and sustaining a diverse workforce is key to the successful pursuit of excellence in resea...
biodiversity.ubc.ca

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 20d
Join us for a biospherefutures.net webinar on

#RadicalOceanFutures
a project that blends scientific research with artistic practice to explore diverse and imaginative futures for the ocean and the planet.

November 5 at 9 AM EST / 3 PM CET
register here:
stockholmuniversity.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
Welcome! You are invited to join the second Biosphere Futures webinar: Radical Ocean Futures: Science(-based)-fiction, the deep Blue and the outskirts of Earthly imagination. After registering, you wi...
Join us for a biosphere futures webinar featuring Radical Ocean Futures, a project that combines scientific inquiry with artistic practices to explore a multitude of potential futures of the Ocean and...
stockholmuniversity.zoom.us