Paul Watkinson
@pwatkinson.bsky.social
Longtime climate negotiator for France, sometimes EU, helped on Paris Agreement at COP21, advised COP28, chaired the UNFCCC SBSTA for a couple of years. Keen to see greatly strengthened action and collaboration on climate mitigation and adaptation.
Reposted by Paul Watkinson
Nous sommes extrêmement reconnaissants aux modérateurs Paul Watkinson (@pwatkinson.bsky.social) et Ramona Bloj, ainsi qu’à Luis Vassy et Ariane Joab-Cornu de Sciences Po pour l’organisation de cette séquence inédite.
October 29, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Nous sommes extrêmement reconnaissants aux modérateurs Paul Watkinson (@pwatkinson.bsky.social) et Ramona Bloj, ainsi qu’à Luis Vassy et Ariane Joab-Cornu de Sciences Po pour l’organisation de cette séquence inédite.
Reposted by Paul Watkinson
Preliminary data suggests that the global average increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration in 2024 will be a record.
Not just a little record, but 25% higher than the previous record.
(This is the global average, as opposed to Moana Loa)
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/...
1/
Not just a little record, but 25% higher than the previous record.
(This is the global average, as opposed to Moana Loa)
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/...
1/
March 19, 2025 at 8:33 AM
Preliminary data suggests that the global average increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration in 2024 will be a record.
Not just a little record, but 25% higher than the previous record.
(This is the global average, as opposed to Moana Loa)
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/...
1/
Not just a little record, but 25% higher than the previous record.
(This is the global average, as opposed to Moana Loa)
gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/...
1/
I have been saying for a long time that we need to reduce the space given to negotiation and find ways to make the UNFCCC process more relevant to supporting implementation and overcoming barriers to action. I have put some ideas in this article: www.linkedin.com/pulse/from-n...
From negotiation to an implementation forum during the COP
It’s easy to criticise climate COPs: too much talk, not enough action, too many participants, lobbyists and greenwashing, … There is truth behind such criticism, although many often fail to recognise ...
www.linkedin.com
March 19, 2025 at 10:36 AM
I have been saying for a long time that we need to reduce the space given to negotiation and find ways to make the UNFCCC process more relevant to supporting implementation and overcoming barriers to action. I have put some ideas in this article: www.linkedin.com/pulse/from-n...
These are troubling times for anyone concerned about the climate – and that ought to be just about everyone on the planet. Global temperatures have hit record highs, extreme events are multiplying.
March 1, 2025 at 9:38 PM
These are troubling times for anyone concerned about the climate – and that ought to be just about everyone on the planet. Global temperatures have hit record highs, extreme events are multiplying.
So, a question on whether climate change might play a role in record high temperatures is not "on-topic" ...
NOAA scientists refuse to link warming weather to climate change
In a monthly reporting call on global climate, researchers from the US government’s climate and weather agency avoided mentioning rising levels of greenhouse gases
www.newscientist.com
February 21, 2025 at 6:45 PM
So, a question on whether climate change might play a role in record high temperatures is not "on-topic" ...
Parabéns, good luck to André Corrêa do Lago ! A great choice to lead COP30, a huge challenge ahead.
A COP30, que acontece este ano em Belém, terá como presidente André Corrêa do Lago, atual Secretário de Clima, Energia e Meio Ambiente do Itamaraty, e como diretora executiva, Ana Toni, que atualmente é Secretária Nacional de Mudança do Clima do Ministério do Meio Ambiente. +
📸 Ricardo Stuckert
📸 Ricardo Stuckert
January 21, 2025 at 9:23 PM
Parabéns, good luck to André Corrêa do Lago ! A great choice to lead COP30, a huge challenge ahead.
Reposted by Paul Watkinson
I have a new paper in Dialogues on Climate Change exploring climate outcomes under current policies. I find that we are likely headed toward 2.7C by 2100 (with uncertainties from 1.9C to 3.7C), and that high end emissions scenarios have become much less likely.
journals.sagepub.com...
journals.sagepub.com...
January 15, 2025 at 6:18 PM
I have a new paper in Dialogues on Climate Change exploring climate outcomes under current policies. I find that we are likely headed toward 2.7C by 2100 (with uncertainties from 1.9C to 3.7C), and that high end emissions scenarios have become much less likely.
journals.sagepub.com...
journals.sagepub.com...
Trump’s executive order to take the US out of the Paris Agreement – again – was no surprise but remains bad news since it would have been better for the US to remain an active participant in the global fight against climate change.
January 21, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Trump’s executive order to take the US out of the Paris Agreement – again – was no surprise but remains bad news since it would have been better for the US to remain an active participant in the global fight against climate change.
There are moments when it might be tempting to give in to despair. 2024 was the warmest year on record, the first time we have seen the global average temperature go more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. climate.copernicus.eu/global-clima...
Global Climate Highlights 2024
This section looks at the global Climate Indicators for which data are available for all or part of 2023. For more details on each, visit the respective Climate Indicator page. The page will be update...
climate.copernicus.eu
January 10, 2025 at 2:51 PM
There are moments when it might be tempting to give in to despair. 2024 was the warmest year on record, the first time we have seen the global average temperature go more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. climate.copernicus.eu/global-clima...
I'm a day late, but 15 years ago yesterday was the final day of COP15 in Copenhagen. This photo captures exactly how I felt that day. Many things went wrong at that conference, but I drew three main lessons from that failure
December 20, 2024 at 1:44 PM
I'm a day late, but 15 years ago yesterday was the final day of COP15 in Copenhagen. This photo captures exactly how I felt that day. Many things went wrong at that conference, but I drew three main lessons from that failure
It is now virtually certain that 2024 will be the warmest year on record and that the global average temperature will exceed 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels. That underlines the need to massively strengthen efforts to keep warming as close as possible to 1.5°C and well under 2°C
Did you miss the C3S Climate Bulletin?
🌡️ After November data, 2024 is virtually certain to become the warmest year on record.
❄️ Antarctic sea ice extent: Record low for November, 10% below average
Read the summary: climate.copernicus.eu/2024-track-b...
#CopernicusClimate #C3S
🌡️ After November data, 2024 is virtually certain to become the warmest year on record.
❄️ Antarctic sea ice extent: Record low for November, 10% below average
Read the summary: climate.copernicus.eu/2024-track-b...
#CopernicusClimate #C3S
December 11, 2024 at 11:19 AM
It is now virtually certain that 2024 will be the warmest year on record and that the global average temperature will exceed 1.5ºC above pre-industrial levels. That underlines the need to massively strengthen efforts to keep warming as close as possible to 1.5°C and well under 2°C
Cet article du Monde évoque quelques pistes possibles pour réformer les COPs climat, un sujet que nous devons aborder, surtout après la COP29 de Bakou www.lemonde.fr/planete/arti...
Comment les COP, ces conférences climat accusées de perpétuer l’inaction, peuvent se réformer
Face à des résultats toujours insuffisants, des propositions se font jour pour sélectionner les hôtes des conférences climat, exclure les lobbyistes des énergies fossiles et passer à la mise en œuvre ...
www.lemonde.fr
November 26, 2024 at 1:32 PM
Cet article du Monde évoque quelques pistes possibles pour réformer les COPs climat, un sujet que nous devons aborder, surtout après la COP29 de Bakou www.lemonde.fr/planete/arti...
My reaction to COP29? A mix of relief and frustration. Relief that the process did not collapse, that important results were finalised, including on finance and carbon markets. Multilateralism is shaky but continues to function.
November 25, 2024 at 10:09 PM
My reaction to COP29? A mix of relief and frustration. Relief that the process did not collapse, that important results were finalised, including on finance and carbon markets. Multilateralism is shaky but continues to function.
Yesterday’s drafts from the #COP29 presidency satisfied no-one but that was to be expected – work was unfinished, everyone recalled their priorities and objectives and stressed what they could not accept
November 22, 2024 at 9:34 AM
Yesterday’s drafts from the #COP29 presidency satisfied no-one but that was to be expected – work was unfinished, everyone recalled their priorities and objectives and stressed what they could not accept
It is good to see the set of draft negotiating texts produced overnight in Baku that provide a basis for the last rounds of negotiation to reach agreement at #COP29. It is also daunting given how many issues remain to be resolved.
November 21, 2024 at 10:05 AM
It is good to see the set of draft negotiating texts produced overnight in Baku that provide a basis for the last rounds of negotiation to reach agreement at #COP29. It is also daunting given how many issues remain to be resolved.
It seems that a passing comment I made at the end of my personal reflections on the state of play at COP29 at the end of the first week has been taken out of context and turned into something it was not intended to be bsky.app/profile/pwat...
The results of the first week of COP29 are decidedly messy. Some thoughts after watching this from afar over the last few days.
November 20, 2024 at 1:47 PM
It seems that a passing comment I made at the end of my personal reflections on the state of play at COP29 at the end of the first week has been taken out of context and turned into something it was not intended to be bsky.app/profile/pwat...
Reposted by Paul Watkinson
Changes in global temperature (1850-2023)
Find similar graphics for your country or city: www.ShowYourStripes.info
#ShowYourStripes
Find similar graphics for your country or city: www.ShowYourStripes.info
#ShowYourStripes
November 17, 2024 at 9:57 AM
Changes in global temperature (1850-2023)
Find similar graphics for your country or city: www.ShowYourStripes.info
#ShowYourStripes
Find similar graphics for your country or city: www.ShowYourStripes.info
#ShowYourStripes
The results of the first week of COP29 are decidedly messy. Some thoughts after watching this from afar over the last few days.
November 17, 2024 at 10:27 AM
The results of the first week of COP29 are decidedly messy. Some thoughts after watching this from afar over the last few days.
A Bakou la COP29 discute d’un nouvel objectif financier pour le climat, dont une partie sera forcément toujours mobilisée par les pays développés, dont la France, dans la continuité des 100 milliards USD
A Paris le projet de loi de finances pour 2025 coupe dans l’APD…
A Paris le projet de loi de finances pour 2025 coupe dans l’APD…
November 14, 2024 at 9:24 PM
A Bakou la COP29 discute d’un nouvel objectif financier pour le climat, dont une partie sera forcément toujours mobilisée par les pays développés, dont la France, dans la continuité des 100 milliards USD
A Paris le projet de loi de finances pour 2025 coupe dans l’APD…
A Paris le projet de loi de finances pour 2025 coupe dans l’APD…
Reposted by Paul Watkinson
2024 #climateactiontracker Global Update: the combined global effect of government climate action has flat-lined over the last 3 years: a critical disconnect between the reality of the climate emergency and the lack of urgency on policies to deal with it. 🧵
bit.ly/CAT_2024_glo...
bit.ly/CAT_2024_glo...
As the climate crisis worsens, the warming outlook stagnates
bit.ly
November 14, 2024 at 8:47 AM
2024 #climateactiontracker Global Update: the combined global effect of government climate action has flat-lined over the last 3 years: a critical disconnect between the reality of the climate emergency and the lack of urgency on policies to deal with it. 🧵
bit.ly/CAT_2024_glo...
bit.ly/CAT_2024_glo...
Reposted by Paul Watkinson
Time for the @bsky.app community to see one of my favorite visualizations of climate change...
"Shifting Distribution of Land Temperature Anomalies" by svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5211/ ⚒️🧪
"Shifting Distribution of Land Temperature Anomalies" by svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5211/ ⚒️🧪
November 14, 2024 at 12:59 AM
Time for the @bsky.app community to see one of my favorite visualizations of climate change...
"Shifting Distribution of Land Temperature Anomalies" by svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5211/ ⚒️🧪
"Shifting Distribution of Land Temperature Anomalies" by svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/5211/ ⚒️🧪
Despite hopes that we may be close to peak global CO2 emissions, we are still not there, as shown by the latest Global Carbon Budget – many thanks to all who contribute to putting together this vital, but sobering analysis.
📢Global Carbon Budget 2024📢
Despite some predicting a peak in global fossil CO2 emissions, we estimate growth of 0.8% [-0.3% to 1.9%] in 2024. Maybe a peak next year?
Is it all bad news, or can we find some good news?
essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...
1/
Despite some predicting a peak in global fossil CO2 emissions, we estimate growth of 0.8% [-0.3% to 1.9%] in 2024. Maybe a peak next year?
Is it all bad news, or can we find some good news?
essd.copernicus.org/preprints/es...
1/
November 13, 2024 at 8:34 AM
Despite hopes that we may be close to peak global CO2 emissions, we are still not there, as shown by the latest Global Carbon Budget – many thanks to all who contribute to putting together this vital, but sobering analysis.