Michal Ovádek
@movadek.bsky.social
Lecturer in European Institutions, Politics and Policy at University College London
https://michalovadek.github.io/
https://michalovadek.github.io/
perfectly timed for the proofs of my book
December 11, 2025 at 3:56 PM
perfectly timed for the proofs of my book
the parliament in Slovakia just abolished an office for the protection of whistleblowers. Among others it shielded policemen who previously investigated corruption charges against politicians and oligarchs close to the current government
December 9, 2025 at 12:13 PM
the parliament in Slovakia just abolished an office for the protection of whistleblowers. Among others it shielded policemen who previously investigated corruption charges against politicians and oligarchs close to the current government
same model specification with marginaleffects::plot_predictions(): condition="treated" on the left, by="treated" on the right
I'll be mightily surprised if there aren't multiple replication notes highlighting this discrepancy in the coming years across various fields
I'll be mightily surprised if there aren't multiple replication notes highlighting this discrepancy in the coming years across various fields
December 4, 2025 at 12:18 PM
same model specification with marginaleffects::plot_predictions(): condition="treated" on the left, by="treated" on the right
I'll be mightily surprised if there aren't multiple replication notes highlighting this discrepancy in the coming years across various fields
I'll be mightily surprised if there aren't multiple replication notes highlighting this discrepancy in the coming years across various fields
why do we need gambling ads everywhere when scores of Londoners are weekend after weekend banking their plans on the normal functioning of the overground. The risk appetite in this city is already on a different level
November 29, 2025 at 2:46 PM
why do we need gambling ads everywhere when scores of Londoners are weekend after weekend banking their plans on the normal functioning of the overground. The risk appetite in this city is already on a different level
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
Join and help to lead the Constitution Unit!
@uclspp.bsky.social is looking for a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics who will also join our senior team and contribute to our research and impact activities.
Applicants must have, or be near to finishing, a PhD.
Apply 👇
@uclspp.bsky.social is looking for a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics who will also join our senior team and contribute to our research and impact activities.
Applicants must have, or be near to finishing, a PhD.
Apply 👇
Job opportunity: Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics
The UCL Department of Political Science and Constitution Unit are seeking to appoint a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics. The successful candidate will join the senior team at the Unit.
www.ucl.ac.uk
November 28, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Join and help to lead the Constitution Unit!
@uclspp.bsky.social is looking for a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics who will also join our senior team and contribute to our research and impact activities.
Applicants must have, or be near to finishing, a PhD.
Apply 👇
@uclspp.bsky.social is looking for a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics who will also join our senior team and contribute to our research and impact activities.
Applicants must have, or be near to finishing, a PhD.
Apply 👇
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
Not a drill - there's a Britain-focused lectureship (FT, permanent) available.
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics at UCL
An academic position as a Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics is being advertised on jobs.ac.uk. Click now to find more details and explore additional academic job opportunities.
www.jobs.ac.uk
November 28, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Not a drill - there's a Britain-focused lectureship (FT, permanent) available.
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ588/l...
in addition to this being essentially an export tariff on UK services (novel!), international students have never been cross-subsidizing domestic students more than at present. So why not ask them to chip in some more while also putting more stress on a sector that's already under pressure
i: Reeves to unveil £600m raid on foreign student
university fees #TomorrowsPapersToday
university fees #TomorrowsPapersToday
November 23, 2025 at 10:35 PM
in addition to this being essentially an export tariff on UK services (novel!), international students have never been cross-subsidizing domestic students more than at present. So why not ask them to chip in some more while also putting more stress on a sector that's already under pressure
in one of my experiments with Claude code it produced a plausibly looking but suspicious figure claiming to represent some requested data analysis. When asked to explain how it got there the reply was along the lines of "sorry this is actually all made up, I couldn't run the real analysis"
November 23, 2025 at 10:16 AM
in one of my experiments with Claude code it produced a plausibly looking but suspicious figure claiming to represent some requested data analysis. When asked to explain how it got there the reply was along the lines of "sorry this is actually all made up, I couldn't run the real analysis"
heartening to see that occasionally Good Things can still happen
📢 Since launching EPSS in June 2025, we’ve been thrilled by the positive feedback from across the political science community.
Now that Call for Papers for EPSS Conference in Belfast has closed, we want to share the response has been extraordinary!
🧵
Now that Call for Papers for EPSS Conference in Belfast has closed, we want to share the response has been extraordinary!
🧵
November 12, 2025 at 10:07 AM
heartening to see that occasionally Good Things can still happen
turns out project fear was in fact too optimistic over the long run
During the Great Recession (2008-09) UK GDP fell by 6%. Thankfully, it mostly recovered after 5 years.
Since Brexit referendum (2016) UK GDP has fallen between 6% and 8%. Unclear whether and when it will fully recover.
www.nber.org/papers/w3445...
Since Brexit referendum (2016) UK GDP has fallen between 6% and 8%. Unclear whether and when it will fully recover.
www.nber.org/papers/w3445...
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 10, 2025 at 10:32 PM
turns out project fear was in fact too optimistic over the long run
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
🗼Jonathan Golub & @movadek.bsky.social: Informal procedures, institutional change, and EU decision-making: evaluating the effects of the 1974 Paris summit 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Browse all journals
Browse all journals
www.tandfonline.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:06 PM
🗼Jonathan Golub & @movadek.bsky.social: Informal procedures, institutional change, and EU decision-making: evaluating the effects of the 1974 Paris summit 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
A little bit of #ggplot2 and #rayshader for the "dimensions" prompt on day 6 of the #30DayMapChallenge! 🌧️
#RStats #DataViz
#RStats #DataViz
November 6, 2025 at 11:43 PM
A little bit of #ggplot2 and #rayshader for the "dimensions" prompt on day 6 of the #30DayMapChallenge! 🌧️
#RStats #DataViz
#RStats #DataViz
wouldn't be surprised if the celebrity traitors finale had lower than expected viewer numbers tonight
Excited to post a new working paper with @instrumenthull.bsky.social and Michal Kolesár: arxiv.org/abs/2511.03572
Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Will post a thread on it soon, but if you're interested in judge/examiner designs, I think you'll find this guide very helpful!
Leniency Designs: An Operator's Manual
We develop a step-by-step guide to leniency (a.k.a. judge or examiner instrument) designs, drawing on recent econometric literatures. The unbiased jackknife instrumental variables estimator (UJIVE) is...
arxiv.org
November 6, 2025 at 11:14 PM
wouldn't be surprised if the celebrity traitors finale had lower than expected viewer numbers tonight
this paper is a great contribution to the judicial behaviour literature in a number of ways (and will go straight into my judicial politics course at UCL)
New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law
NEW -
Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa
- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Anti-Immigrant Bias in the Choice Between Punitive and Rehabilitative Justice - https://cup.org/49vUfVa
- @riazsascha.bsky.social & @mhamjediers.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
November 4, 2025 at 3:32 PM
this paper is a great contribution to the judicial behaviour literature in a number of ways (and will go straight into my judicial politics course at UCL)
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
Academics in Assyria in the 7th c BC complain that admin is preventing them from doing research and teaching
November 3, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Academics in Assyria in the 7th c BC complain that admin is preventing them from doing research and teaching
only a few days left to submit your paper/panel/abstract to the judicial politics section!
don't miss out on the hottest property in next year's conference calendar
don't miss out on the hottest property in next year's conference calendar
🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨
Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
epssnet.org
November 2, 2025 at 9:06 PM
only a few days left to submit your paper/panel/abstract to the judicial politics section!
don't miss out on the hottest property in next year's conference calendar
don't miss out on the hottest property in next year's conference calendar
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball!
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
Economics Literature Search
Full-text search across 15,000+ papers from top economics journals and NBER working papers. Track how empirical methods have evolved over time.
paulgp.com
November 2, 2025 at 4:43 AM
Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball!
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.
paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
A new postdoc position is now available at the Center for European Studies at Harvard for 2026 2027, The Guido Goldman postdoctoral fellowship, named after our center's founder
A great opportunity to work at Harvard for the year. Here is more information:
ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunitie...
A great opportunity to work at Harvard for the year. Here is more information:
ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunitie...
Guido Goldman Fellowship
Guido Goldman, co-founding director of the Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies The Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies (CES) is…
ces.fas.harvard.edu
October 30, 2025 at 12:54 PM
A new postdoc position is now available at the Center for European Studies at Harvard for 2026 2027, The Guido Goldman postdoctoral fellowship, named after our center's founder
A great opportunity to work at Harvard for the year. Here is more information:
ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunitie...
A great opportunity to work at Harvard for the year. Here is more information:
ces.fas.harvard.edu/opportunitie...
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
It's increasingly obvious that Labour's strategy - call it Starmerism, Blue Labour, whatever - has got it badly wrong. It has alienated the party's core vote while failing to win over those leaning to Reform. There was no shortage of people warning them they were getting it wrong either.
October 28, 2025 at 12:02 PM
It's increasingly obvious that Labour's strategy - call it Starmerism, Blue Labour, whatever - has got it badly wrong. It has alienated the party's core vote while failing to win over those leaning to Reform. There was no shortage of people warning them they were getting it wrong either.
Reposted by Michal Ovádek
The ideal Chotiner interview subject is an expert who cares deeply about their expertise but feels it isn't understood properly to the general populace and Chotiner acts as an intermediary.
The ideal Chotiner victim, coincidentally, believes that this describes them perfectly.
The ideal Chotiner victim, coincidentally, believes that this describes them perfectly.
October 27, 2025 at 10:45 PM
The ideal Chotiner interview subject is an expert who cares deeply about their expertise but feels it isn't understood properly to the general populace and Chotiner acts as an intermediary.
The ideal Chotiner victim, coincidentally, believes that this describes them perfectly.
The ideal Chotiner victim, coincidentally, believes that this describes them perfectly.
parts of the - anglophone, especially - world currently squeezed in the fastest elevator labelled "NORMS" down
On the @prospectmagazine.co.uk podcast we spoke the other day about parts of the conservative press speed-running the Niemoller poem and we have gone from stop the boats, to deporting asylum seekers, to deporting legal migrants, to deporting people with ILR, to now deporting ethnic minority MPs…
October 18, 2025 at 9:23 AM
parts of the - anglophone, especially - world currently squeezed in the fastest elevator labelled "NORMS" down
1) judge rules against a government minister
2) the minister complains
3) the justice minister begins a disciplinary proceeding against said judge
a tale as old as time in backsliding democracies, presently brought to you by Slovakia
dennikn.sk/4912084/susk...
2) the minister complains
3) the justice minister begins a disciplinary proceeding against said judge
a tale as old as time in backsliding democracies, presently brought to you by Slovakia
dennikn.sk/4912084/susk...
Susko vypočul prianie kolegu. Inicioval disciplinárne konanie voči sudcovi, ktorý rozhodol v neprospech Šutaja Eštoka
(Aktualizované 17.10.) Keď sudca Michal Kubiš rozhodol v novembri 2023 neodkladným opatrením o návrate policajného viceprezidenta Branka Kišša do vedenia polície, minister vnútra Matúš Šutaj Eštok mu ...
dennikn.sk
October 17, 2025 at 8:34 AM
1) judge rules against a government minister
2) the minister complains
3) the justice minister begins a disciplinary proceeding against said judge
a tale as old as time in backsliding democracies, presently brought to you by Slovakia
dennikn.sk/4912084/susk...
2) the minister complains
3) the justice minister begins a disciplinary proceeding against said judge
a tale as old as time in backsliding democracies, presently brought to you by Slovakia
dennikn.sk/4912084/susk...
realized earlier how over it is after I absent-mindedly apologized to Claude Code for interrupting its terminal
October 16, 2025 at 10:33 PM
realized earlier how over it is after I absent-mindedly apologized to Claude Code for interrupting its terminal