Lucas Novaes
lmnovaes.bsky.social
Lucas Novaes
@lmnovaes.bsky.social
Associate professor, Insper. Political economy, comparative politics. UC Berkeley grad.

www.lucasmnovaes.com
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
We did it for you Dick Cheney
November 5, 2025 at 2:32 AM
"Part of the footage from officers’ body cameras during the major operation may have been lost due to low battery, says Military Police secretary."
October 29, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Gruesome details from the massive police operation yesterday in Rio continue to surface:

“The [beheaded] body had their fist closed, holding grass.”

www1.folha.uol.com.br/cotidiano/20...
October 29, 2025 at 11:18 AM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
📢 Apply to our (2-year) research fellowships at @iast.fr

Join a multidisciplinary, interdisciplinary, transdisciplinary, and indisciplinary group of scholars in Toulouse, walkable/cyclable pink city of chocolatines in the South of France.

Deadline: November 15, 2025.

www.iast.fr/research-fel...
Research Fellowships
Each year, IAST invites applications for post-doctoral Research Fellowships, which offer candidates an opportunity to devote themselves full-time to their research at the start of their careers. Fello...
www.iast.fr
September 22, 2025 at 7:44 AM
ah yes powell 2004
September 30, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Word of caution: the push to win votes on the pervasive anti-corruption sentiment in Latin America did not go well. OC is different, but likely the Dems would end up carried away by the anti-establishment wave (the PSDB - major national player in Brazil since 1994 is all but gone)
I’m starting to notice a trend in the polling data…

—Top Public Worry: Corruption

—Biggest problem in Fed Gov: Corruption

—Top fear: Corruption

—What one word would you use to describe American government?: “Corrupt”

It’s almost like voters are trying to tell us something.
September 29, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
It's hiring season at @iast.fr!

- 2y research postdoc contract
- Full autonomy, you are your own PI
- Awesome multidisciplinary environment
- All social and behavioral sciences welcome
- Seed funding for projects and workshops
- Gorgeous city in the south of France

www.iast.fr/research-fel...
September 20, 2025 at 9:15 AM
This is incredibly sloppy work. There is absolutely no evidence here that Kimmel's suspension enjoys widespread support:

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/19/t...
How Outrage at Kimmel Grew to a Shout From a Whisper
www.nytimes.com
September 19, 2025 at 11:36 AM
What sic-fi dystopian movie had this on a news ticker headline?

on.ft.com/3InqWsC AI-controlled drone swarms set to transform combat on battlefield
AI-controlled drone swarms set to transform combat on battlefield
The latest iteration of flying robot warfare, unmanned weapons co-ordinate to overwhelm enemy defences
on.ft.com
September 14, 2025 at 11:45 AM
There is a dilemma at the WH right now. Carrying out the threat of retaliation or maintaining the current news cycle?
September 11, 2025 at 7:17 PM
still puzzled
June 26, 2025 at 11:32 AM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
(2) "Media Manipulation in Young Democracies: Evidence From the 1989 Brazilian Presidential Election" by Alexsandros Cavgias, Raphael Corbi, Luis Meloni @luismeloni.bsky.social , and Lucas Novaes @lmnovaes.bsky.social

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
June 3, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
O resultado da pesquisa nesse pique:
May 28, 2025 at 8:09 PM
In a just-accepted paper at the @thejop.bsky.social , @MelaniCammett, Guadalupe Tuñon, and I examine how campaign finance reforms have unanticipated effects: organized actors gain an edge. In our case, the Universal Kingdom of God Church in Brazil.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Special Interest Trade-Offs: Campaign Finance Reforms and Religious Influence in Politics in Brazil | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
www.journals.uchicago.edu
May 28, 2025 at 5:37 PM
I love how the federal police uncovered russian assets with the bread and butter of social science in Brazil: merging inconsistent datasets.
May 21, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Why is Brazil's national squad so bad? Are we just better at retaining talent?

(These are Libertadores champions.)
April 25, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
Herbert P. Kitschelt is the winner of the 2025 Johan Skytte Prize in Political Science. 🏆

He is awarded the prize for " having increased knowledge of the functioning of democratic party systems with exquisite theoretical acuity and impressive empirical breadth and depth."
April 23, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
guy who misses "old san francisco" before it "sold out" but is clearly just remembering the car chase sequence from The Rock
April 15, 2025 at 12:53 AM
maybe i should had been a financial analyst after all bsky.app/profile/bert...
I am no financial analyst but when DJT sees this swing over a rumor, he will make the rumor true.
April 9, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
So from my uniquely weird perspective after living in the UK through Brexit, being in India during Modi's demonetization, and living in Brazil when the real tanked during the Bolsonaro administration, I can confidentally say that Americans do not and can not understand how bad this is going to be.
Every damned word of this 4-graf brief, except “By WSJ Staff,” should scare the bejeesus out of you this morning.

www.wsj.com/livecoverage...
April 9, 2025 at 12:56 PM
I am no financial analyst but when DJT sees this swing over a rumor, he will make the rumor true.
April 7, 2025 at 2:45 PM
April 7, 2025 at 12:45 PM
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
April 3, 2025 at 2:42 PM
I am not sure if back in 1992 we were calling the autogolpe in Peru a “constitutional crisis” but I am sure this is not another example of American exceptionalism.
March 19, 2025 at 10:39 AM
Reposted by Lucas Novaes
I think of this whenever some conservative finds some supposedly wacky research topic that government grants pay for
(me making fun of your crop rotation idea and thereby holding our people back another 5000 years) jeff thinks the beans have to take turns lmao
March 17, 2025 at 1:49 AM