Lucas Novaes
lmnovaes.bsky.social
Lucas Novaes
@lmnovaes.bsky.social
Associate professor, Insper. Political economy, comparative politics. UC Berkeley grad.

www.lucasmnovaes.com
"Part of the footage from officers’ body cameras during the major operation may have been lost due to low battery, says Military Police secretary."
October 29, 2025 at 5:24 PM
Gruesome details from the massive police operation yesterday in Rio continue to surface:

“The [beheaded] body had their fist closed, holding grass.”

www1.folha.uol.com.br/cotidiano/20...
October 29, 2025 at 11:18 AM
ah yes powell 2004
September 30, 2025 at 2:11 PM
First, that is not a lot of tweets. Second, the tweets could have been coming from both sides - some could be critical of Kimmel's suspension while using these keywords. Then it goes on to cherry-pick a handful of tweets.

Really flimsy evidence of "furor".
September 19, 2025 at 11:36 AM
There is a dilemma at the WH right now. Carrying out the threat of retaliation or maintaining the current news cycle?
September 11, 2025 at 7:17 PM
still puzzled
June 26, 2025 at 11:32 AM
The UCKG has also acted strategically, placing more branches where it can better reap political dividends. Such reforms may have a national impact. The Evangelical caucus in the Brazilian Congress has become a powerful interest group, standing on a solidifying local base.
May 28, 2025 at 5:37 PM
The party became stronger. The study reveals how reforms alter party strategy. In a party system with weak parties, the partnership with the UCKG's centralized structure & grassroots network turned the Republicano's ticket more valuable: Their candidates refrained from switching parties.
May 28, 2025 at 5:37 PM
Using a municipal-level reform that imposed stricter campaign spending limits, the research finds that Republicanos, with the backing of the UCKG, strategically increased candidate entry and achieved greater electoral success where caps were tighter. No such luck for others.
May 28, 2025 at 5:37 PM
I love how the federal police uncovered russian assets with the bread and butter of social science in Brazil: merging inconsistent datasets.
May 21, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Why is Brazil's national squad so bad? Are we just better at retaining talent?

(These are Libertadores champions.)
April 25, 2025 at 1:25 PM
April 8, 2025 at 1:26 PM
April 7, 2025 at 12:45 PM
¯\_(ツ)_/¯
April 3, 2025 at 2:42 PM
I am not sure if back in 1992 we were calling the autogolpe in Peru a “constitutional crisis” but I am sure this is not another example of American exceptionalism.
March 19, 2025 at 10:39 AM
just for comparison, this is what appears in a random 404
January 21, 2025 at 5:20 PM
January 21, 2025 at 2:55 AM
+140 milhões de views. Incrível como esse negócio do PIX explodiu na mão do governo.
January 15, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Uma coisa sobre ditadura é que além de subverter a ordem institucional, é a chance de vida para os mais medíocres. É como eles podem se dar bem na vida.

Ou seja, o fato de que os trapalhões planejaram essa tentativa de golpe não é surpresa. Tem até paper (muito bom) sobre:
November 26, 2024 at 1:35 PM
not hard
November 20, 2024 at 2:32 AM
Direita normalizando extrema direita é vergonhoso e pode dar ruim (Ziblatt etc), mas sei lá, dá pra entender. Esquerda normalizando extrema direita para tentar salvar uma eleição perdida é patético.
October 25, 2024 at 6:53 PM
October 18, 2024 at 8:25 PM
NO
October 15, 2024 at 4:57 PM
re: nobel prize in chemistry (from hackernews)

social sciences kinda of going the same way?
October 9, 2024 at 12:02 PM
😅
October 8, 2024 at 12:41 PM