🟠 Paxton: 27%
🟡 Hunt: 26%
🔴 Cornyn: 26%
🟡 Hunt: 44%
🟠 Paxton: 34%
🟡 Hunt: 44%
🔴 Cornyn: 33%
🟠 Paxton: 41%
🔴 Cornyn: 40%
J.L Partners / Feb 3, 2026
This was a Harris +71 and D+68 downballot seat in 2024, so another overperformance within range.
But there was something extra here, another layer of R malaise and D enthusiasm
Can't know for sure, but I'm gonna choose to be hopeful
The allegations appear to come from an FBI tip line. It is unclear if they were ever investigated.
Trigger warning: graphic allegations of sexual violence.