Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
@karvelis.bsky.social
Intelligence | Counterinsurgency | Hybrid war | LatAm | documentary photography | tacos | beer. Not necessarily in that order. #SlavaUkraini 🇺🇦
Pinned
Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
@karvelis.bsky.social
· Nov 12
It turns out that there’s no insurgencies starter pack, so I’ve made one.
Let me know if I’ve missed someone.
go.bsky.app/12EFpjk
Let me know if I’ve missed someone.
go.bsky.app/12EFpjk
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
⚡️Zelensky, Belarusian opposition leader Tsikhanouskaya meet for first time in Vilnius.
President Volodymyr Zelensky and exiled Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya held their first bilateral meeting on Jan. 25 in Vilnius, the two leaders said.
President Volodymyr Zelensky and exiled Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya held their first bilateral meeting on Jan. 25 in Vilnius, the two leaders said.
Zelensky, Belarusian opposition leader Tsikhanouskaya meet for first time in Vilnius
President Volodymyr Zelensky and exiled Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya held their first bilateral meeting on Jan. 25.
kyivindependent.com
January 26, 2026 at 12:07 AM
⚡️Zelensky, Belarusian opposition leader Tsikhanouskaya meet for first time in Vilnius.
President Volodymyr Zelensky and exiled Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya held their first bilateral meeting on Jan. 25 in Vilnius, the two leaders said.
President Volodymyr Zelensky and exiled Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya held their first bilateral meeting on Jan. 25 in Vilnius, the two leaders said.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
🇺🇦🇱🇹 Zelensky: Today in Vilnius. We greatly appreciate the support of Lithuania, our relations and in general the ties of Ukrainians with Lithuanian society. Our security can only be shared – between our states, between our peoples. We thank everyone whose hearts are with us…
January 25, 2026 at 10:20 AM
🇺🇦🇱🇹 Zelensky: Today in Vilnius. We greatly appreciate the support of Lithuania, our relations and in general the ties of Ukrainians with Lithuanian society. Our security can only be shared – between our states, between our peoples. We thank everyone whose hearts are with us…
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Ha, our 131 year old 10 step plan worked as intended🧵
🇩🇰 colonized us for 500 years, even taking 🇬🇱 from us.
Now we found a sucker who will inadvertently punish 🇩🇰 for it.
Step 1: Steal the Nobel Peace Committee from Sweden. (Screw them too).
Step 2: Give it full autonomy.
Step 2: Wait 130 years.
🇩🇰 colonized us for 500 years, even taking 🇬🇱 from us.
Now we found a sucker who will inadvertently punish 🇩🇰 for it.
Step 1: Steal the Nobel Peace Committee from Sweden. (Screw them too).
Step 2: Give it full autonomy.
Step 2: Wait 130 years.
January 20, 2026 at 2:14 AM
Ha, our 131 year old 10 step plan worked as intended🧵
🇩🇰 colonized us for 500 years, even taking 🇬🇱 from us.
Now we found a sucker who will inadvertently punish 🇩🇰 for it.
Step 1: Steal the Nobel Peace Committee from Sweden. (Screw them too).
Step 2: Give it full autonomy.
Step 2: Wait 130 years.
🇩🇰 colonized us for 500 years, even taking 🇬🇱 from us.
Now we found a sucker who will inadvertently punish 🇩🇰 for it.
Step 1: Steal the Nobel Peace Committee from Sweden. (Screw them too).
Step 2: Give it full autonomy.
Step 2: Wait 130 years.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
"If he goes to war he will destroy a mighty empire", as the famous oracle of Delphi goes.
January 19, 2026 at 10:28 AM
"If he goes to war he will destroy a mighty empire", as the famous oracle of Delphi goes.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
What we are seeing from Trump in the last few days is no surprise or revelation. It’s was he has always been and will be. The surprise was that too many people wilfully refused to admit it.
January 18, 2026 at 11:25 AM
What we are seeing from Trump in the last few days is no surprise or revelation. It’s was he has always been and will be. The surprise was that too many people wilfully refused to admit it.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
If Trump is on a secret mission to get all political factions in the EU (and the U.K.) to unite in opposition to the US, to stand up for themselves and to think rationally about how to adapt to the “Chinese century” he’s really killing it.
January 17, 2026 at 10:58 PM
If Trump is on a secret mission to get all political factions in the EU (and the U.K.) to unite in opposition to the US, to stand up for themselves and to think rationally about how to adapt to the “Chinese century” he’s really killing it.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
In 1916, the US was worried that Germany might take control of the Danish West Indies to use as a submarine base. So, Denmark sold the Danish West Indies to the USA, with the colony becoming the US Virgin Islands. In exchange, the USA acknowledged Denmark's complete sovereignty over Greenland.
January 17, 2026 at 7:23 PM
In 1916, the US was worried that Germany might take control of the Danish West Indies to use as a submarine base. So, Denmark sold the Danish West Indies to the USA, with the colony becoming the US Virgin Islands. In exchange, the USA acknowledged Denmark's complete sovereignty over Greenland.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Hard to see how more wrong the geopolitical case for Brexit could have turned out
January 18, 2026 at 7:25 AM
Hard to see how more wrong the geopolitical case for Brexit could have turned out
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Trump will likely try to make Denmark choose between NATO and Greenland, and wider Europe between Greenland and Ukraine.
But luckily Trump has also demonstrated that under his leadership, any US security guarantee won’t be worth much. So the choice should be simple.
But luckily Trump has also demonstrated that under his leadership, any US security guarantee won’t be worth much. So the choice should be simple.
What European leaders have been most nervous about is the US pulling back on NATO or Ukraine… but how can Europe trust the US will come to its defense if its trying to seize territory from a NATO country. They can’t. So why cave to keep a security commitment that is not real. 6/
January 18, 2026 at 11:18 AM
Trump will likely try to make Denmark choose between NATO and Greenland, and wider Europe between Greenland and Ukraine.
But luckily Trump has also demonstrated that under his leadership, any US security guarantee won’t be worth much. So the choice should be simple.
But luckily Trump has also demonstrated that under his leadership, any US security guarantee won’t be worth much. So the choice should be simple.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Feels like something cracked today in the transatlantic alliance. Europeans have been swallowing their pride, bitting their tongues, and bending the knee. That strategy may have bought them time but it has now clearly failed. It also had a major cost - it has made the WH think Europe will cave. 1/
January 18, 2026 at 3:04 AM
Feels like something cracked today in the transatlantic alliance. Europeans have been swallowing their pride, bitting their tongues, and bending the knee. That strategy may have bought them time but it has now clearly failed. It also had a major cost - it has made the WH think Europe will cave. 1/
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Massive crowds on the street in Copenhagen in solidarity with Greenland and against US aggression. Thousands of Greenlandic flags 🇬🇱💪
January 17, 2026 at 11:44 AM
Massive crowds on the street in Copenhagen in solidarity with Greenland and against US aggression. Thousands of Greenlandic flags 🇬🇱💪
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Oh yeah, Trump is all set to get tough on Russia. Big, massive sanctions are defintely coming and he is going to side with Ukraine this time….
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Exclusive: Trump says Zelenskiy, not Putin, is holding up a Ukraine peace deal
U.S. President Donald Trump told Reuters that Ukraine - not Russia - is holding up a potential peace deal, rhetoric that stands in marked contrast to that of European allies, who have consistently arg...
www.reuters.com
January 15, 2026 at 5:19 AM
Oh yeah, Trump is all set to get tough on Russia. Big, massive sanctions are defintely coming and he is going to side with Ukraine this time….
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
January 14, 2026 at 11:25 PM
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Don’t stop talking about Ukraine!
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
Lines up with the jets in Israel, Syria then Iraq. Still monitoring but it’s gone quiet for now.
This may explain some things:
From a pretty reliable OSINT source in Israel: The Israeli Air Force recently conducted an exercise from several installations across the country.
From a pretty reliable OSINT source in Israel: The Israeli Air Force recently conducted an exercise from several installations across the country.
January 14, 2026 at 11:31 PM
Lines up with the jets in Israel, Syria then Iraq. Still monitoring but it’s gone quiet for now.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
The Morning After in Venezuela: Perspectives on what comes next from Venezuelans
PWS sat down for extended conversations with three close contacts from very different parts of Venezuelan society to ask them their thoughts
LATEST for PWS
www.piratewireservices.com/p/the-mornin...
PWS sat down for extended conversations with three close contacts from very different parts of Venezuelan society to ask them their thoughts
LATEST for PWS
www.piratewireservices.com/p/the-mornin...
The Morning After in Venezuela: Perspectives on what comes next from Venezuelans
PWS sat down for extended conversations with three close contacts from very different parts of Venezuelan society to ask them their thoughts
www.piratewireservices.com
January 12, 2026 at 1:14 PM
The Morning After in Venezuela: Perspectives on what comes next from Venezuelans
PWS sat down for extended conversations with three close contacts from very different parts of Venezuelan society to ask them their thoughts
LATEST for PWS
www.piratewireservices.com/p/the-mornin...
PWS sat down for extended conversations with three close contacts from very different parts of Venezuelan society to ask them their thoughts
LATEST for PWS
www.piratewireservices.com/p/the-mornin...
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
This one is too relatable.
January 14, 2026 at 11:26 PM
This one is too relatable.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
A protest rally in Chicago in 1988 against the Soviet occupation of Lithuania
(Image: Romualdas Požerskis, MO Museum Collection)
deepbaltic.com/2025/12/19/a...
(Image: Romualdas Požerskis, MO Museum Collection)
deepbaltic.com/2025/12/19/a...
January 14, 2026 at 5:23 AM
A protest rally in Chicago in 1988 against the Soviet occupation of Lithuania
(Image: Romualdas Požerskis, MO Museum Collection)
deepbaltic.com/2025/12/19/a...
(Image: Romualdas Požerskis, MO Museum Collection)
deepbaltic.com/2025/12/19/a...
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
In 1991, the night from Jan 12 to Jan 13, these innocent Lithuanian people were killed by the Soviet troops.
Teenager fatally shot in the back, young woman who was about to marry that summer crushed by a tank, fathers, newlyweds.
And the Nobel peace prize winner in Moscow.
Teenager fatally shot in the back, young woman who was about to marry that summer crushed by a tank, fathers, newlyweds.
And the Nobel peace prize winner in Moscow.
January 12, 2026 at 3:12 PM
In 1991, the night from Jan 12 to Jan 13, these innocent Lithuanian people were killed by the Soviet troops.
Teenager fatally shot in the back, young woman who was about to marry that summer crushed by a tank, fathers, newlyweds.
And the Nobel peace prize winner in Moscow.
Teenager fatally shot in the back, young woman who was about to marry that summer crushed by a tank, fathers, newlyweds.
And the Nobel peace prize winner in Moscow.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
❗️Transnistria is completely cut off from military supplies – Ukraine and Moldova have closed all routes, leaving ~1,500 Russian soldiers without fuel, weapons and resources, - EP
January 12, 2026 at 12:11 PM
❗️Transnistria is completely cut off from military supplies – Ukraine and Moldova have closed all routes, leaving ~1,500 Russian soldiers without fuel, weapons and resources, - EP
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
On January 13, Lithuania marks the 35th anniversary of Freedom Defenders day, a tragic date that marked the country’s last battle against the soviet military aggression. A reminder that freedom is earned by the people and must never be taken for granted.
lithuania.lt/news/life-an...
lithuania.lt/news/life-an...
January 12, 2026 at 12:51 PM
On January 13, Lithuania marks the 35th anniversary of Freedom Defenders day, a tragic date that marked the country’s last battle against the soviet military aggression. A reminder that freedom is earned by the people and must never be taken for granted.
lithuania.lt/news/life-an...
lithuania.lt/news/life-an...
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
"The Russian economy is under enormous strain, and is running out of resources.... The policy implication is that sanctions are highly effective, despite their imperfect implementation and enforcement."
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
By @martinsandbu.ft.com
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
By @martinsandbu.ft.com
Russia is running out of money
Go behind the propaganda, and the intensifying strain is evident
giftarticle.ft.com
January 11, 2026 at 9:34 AM
"The Russian economy is under enormous strain, and is running out of resources.... The policy implication is that sanctions are highly effective, despite their imperfect implementation and enforcement."
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
By @martinsandbu.ft.com
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
By @martinsandbu.ft.com
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
EU may need 100,000-strong army, says defense commissioner
Andrius Kubilius says the EU needs to reform the way it handles defense at the political level, too — and that the U.K. should get a seat at the table.
Andrius Kubilius says the EU needs to reform the way it handles defense at the political level, too — and that the U.K. should get a seat at the table.
EU may need 100,000-strong army, says defense commissioner
Andrius Kubilius says the EU needs to reform the way it handles defense at the political level, too — and that the U.K. should get a seat at the table.
www.politico.eu
January 12, 2026 at 7:25 AM
EU may need 100,000-strong army, says defense commissioner
Andrius Kubilius says the EU needs to reform the way it handles defense at the political level, too — and that the U.K. should get a seat at the table.
Andrius Kubilius says the EU needs to reform the way it handles defense at the political level, too — and that the U.K. should get a seat at the table.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
European Union Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius has said the bloc should consider establishing a standing military force of 100,000 troops and overhaul the political processes governing defense.
EU may need 100,000-strong army, says defense commissioner
Andrius Kubilius says the EU needs to reform the way it handles defense at the political level, too — and that the U.K. should get a seat at the table.
www.politico.eu
January 12, 2026 at 8:19 AM
European Union Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius has said the bloc should consider establishing a standing military force of 100,000 troops and overhaul the political processes governing defense.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
The main issue with 🇬🇧-🇫🇷 peacekeepers in🇺🇦 after a ceasefire: there is no peace in sight. Announcing post-war guarantees actually helps prolong it. Europe should be closing the skies over Ukraine & enabling Kyiv to strike Russia’s military industry without restrictions, using Western-supplied weapons.
By saying you will only send soldiers to help Ukraine after the war is over, you ensure I will not stop it.
January 10, 2026 at 11:22 AM
The main issue with 🇬🇧-🇫🇷 peacekeepers in🇺🇦 after a ceasefire: there is no peace in sight. Announcing post-war guarantees actually helps prolong it. Europe should be closing the skies over Ukraine & enabling Kyiv to strike Russia’s military industry without restrictions, using Western-supplied weapons.
Reposted by Ignas Karvelis 🇱🇹🇺🇦
New online: A PhD thesis exploring how Russia does #strategic #narrative work against the West, by @christierns.bsky.social [bias: I examined it ✋]. Adds historical perspective re: why certain actions to address Russia's efforts will or won't work today. Read here: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...
January 11, 2026 at 1:04 PM
New online: A PhD thesis exploring how Russia does #strategic #narrative work against the West, by @christierns.bsky.social [bias: I examined it ✋]. Adds historical perspective re: why certain actions to address Russia's efforts will or won't work today. Read here: cadmus.eui.eu/server/api/c...