Karen-Anna Eggen
@kaeggen.bsky.social
Researcher, Ph.d. 👉 @IFS_Oslo & @UniOslo_SVfak. Russian strategy, security policy, information confrontation, Nordic region, Arctic, Belarus, Ukraine, NATO 📝
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
People seem surprised that the multi polar world they've lusted after is as peaceful as they were told it would not be.
Odd.
Odd.
January 3, 2026 at 12:23 PM
People seem surprised that the multi polar world they've lusted after is as peaceful as they were told it would not be.
Odd.
Odd.
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
Zelensky: I met with Budanov and offered him the role of Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine. At this time, Ukraine needs a stronger focus on security, development of our Defense and Security Forces, and progress on the diplomatic track. The Office will serve these state priorities.
January 2, 2026 at 3:37 PM
Zelensky: I met with Budanov and offered him the role of Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine. At this time, Ukraine needs a stronger focus on security, development of our Defense and Security Forces, and progress on the diplomatic track. The Office will serve these state priorities.
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
A new major logistics hub for Ukraine will open in Romania by the end of January 2026, becoming the second-largest in Europe after Rzeszów. It will allow NATO to double the flow of military aid to Ukraine, including through the PURL mechanism, where the U.S. supplies arms and Europe covers the cost.
December 21, 2025 at 4:51 PM
A new major logistics hub for Ukraine will open in Romania by the end of January 2026, becoming the second-largest in Europe after Rzeszów. It will allow NATO to double the flow of military aid to Ukraine, including through the PURL mechanism, where the U.S. supplies arms and Europe covers the cost.
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
I've tracked 145 cases of sabotage and disruption @apnews.com that Western officials blame on Russia.
They say Moscow wants to drain Europe's security resources and identify weak spots.
Arson & explosives plots particularly increased:
2023: 1
2024: 26
2025: 6
apnews.com/projects/rus...
They say Moscow wants to drain Europe's security resources and identify weak spots.
Arson & explosives plots particularly increased:
2023: 1
2024: 26
2025: 6
apnews.com/projects/rus...
Russia wants to drain Europe's security resources with sabotage campaign, officials say | AP News
The Associated Press has tracked 145 cases of sabotage and disruption that Western officials blame on Russia since its 2022 invasion of Ukraine. They say Moscow wants to drain Europe’s investigative r...
apnews.com
December 18, 2025 at 2:31 PM
I've tracked 145 cases of sabotage and disruption @apnews.com that Western officials blame on Russia.
They say Moscow wants to drain Europe's security resources and identify weak spots.
Arson & explosives plots particularly increased:
2023: 1
2024: 26
2025: 6
apnews.com/projects/rus...
They say Moscow wants to drain Europe's security resources and identify weak spots.
Arson & explosives plots particularly increased:
2023: 1
2024: 26
2025: 6
apnews.com/projects/rus...
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
Kaja Kallas: what we have to keep in mind is why countries want to be in NATO is because they don't want Russia to invade them. That's why Sweden and and Finland joined NATO, that's why the Baltic States joined NATO, to have this defense umbrella.
December 15, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Kaja Kallas: what we have to keep in mind is why countries want to be in NATO is because they don't want Russia to invade them. That's why Sweden and and Finland joined NATO, that's why the Baltic States joined NATO, to have this defense umbrella.
This new Hybrid CoE paper is a must-read for anyone interested in Svalbard and Russia’s hybrid activities on this strategically important Norwegian Arctic archipelago. 📝 @thomasnilsen.bsky.social @kariagam.bsky.social & @stianbones.bsky.social
Our paper about Russian subversive activities on Svalbard after 2014 is today published by the European Centre of Excellence for Countering Hybrid Threats (Hybrid CoE): Download, read and repost 🙌.
Hybrid threats in high latitudes: Facing Russia on Svalbard
This Hybrid CoE Paper outlines how Moscow blends information campaigns, coercive signalling at sea, symbolic gestures and surprise visits to challenge Norwegian authority while remaining below the thr...
www.hybridcoe.fi
December 11, 2025 at 4:16 PM
This new Hybrid CoE paper is a must-read for anyone interested in Svalbard and Russia’s hybrid activities on this strategically important Norwegian Arctic archipelago. 📝 @thomasnilsen.bsky.social @kariagam.bsky.social & @stianbones.bsky.social
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
Do not believe anything until the Kremlin denies it.
November 26, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Do not believe anything until the Kremlin denies it.
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
My favourite moments of this iteration of the ”US-Russia peace plan” were:
1. Dmitriev leaking it
2. The points admitting that Russia does kidnap Ukrainian children
3. The points including that Ukraine shouldn’t hit Moscow or St Petersburg ”without a cause”
(Tbc)
1. Dmitriev leaking it
2. The points admitting that Russia does kidnap Ukrainian children
3. The points including that Ukraine shouldn’t hit Moscow or St Petersburg ”without a cause”
(Tbc)
November 22, 2025 at 11:43 PM
My favourite moments of this iteration of the ”US-Russia peace plan” were:
1. Dmitriev leaking it
2. The points admitting that Russia does kidnap Ukrainian children
3. The points including that Ukraine shouldn’t hit Moscow or St Petersburg ”without a cause”
(Tbc)
1. Dmitriev leaking it
2. The points admitting that Russia does kidnap Ukrainian children
3. The points including that Ukraine shouldn’t hit Moscow or St Petersburg ”without a cause”
(Tbc)
📣 Op-ed in @themoscowtimes.com: "Understanding how this tool emerged in the Arctic a decade ago is a first step towards understanding how Russia leverages laws and human beings to serve strategic goals; goals that may change over time as Russia tailors its approaches & evaluates the risk involved."
A good look back on the 2015 🇷🇺🇧🇻 Storskog migrant crisis. FSB's fingerprints were found all over the operation.
By @kaeggen.bsky.social sky.social & Jyri Lavikainen.
By @kaeggen.bsky.social sky.social & Jyri Lavikainen.
Russia Wielded Migration Against Europe Earlier Than You Think - The Moscow Times
Opinion | Since 2020, stories about the instrumentalized use of migrants have regularly appeared in the news.
www.themoscowtimes.com
November 22, 2025 at 3:59 PM
📣 Op-ed in @themoscowtimes.com: "Understanding how this tool emerged in the Arctic a decade ago is a first step towards understanding how Russia leverages laws and human beings to serve strategic goals; goals that may change over time as Russia tailors its approaches & evaluates the risk involved."
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
A good look back on the 2015 🇷🇺🇧🇻 Storskog migrant crisis. FSB's fingerprints were found all over the operation.
By @kaeggen.bsky.social sky.social & Jyri Lavikainen.
By @kaeggen.bsky.social sky.social & Jyri Lavikainen.
Russia Wielded Migration Against Europe Earlier Than You Think - The Moscow Times
Opinion | Since 2020, stories about the instrumentalized use of migrants have regularly appeared in the news.
www.themoscowtimes.com
November 22, 2025 at 12:48 PM
A good look back on the 2015 🇷🇺🇧🇻 Storskog migrant crisis. FSB's fingerprints were found all over the operation.
By @kaeggen.bsky.social sky.social & Jyri Lavikainen.
By @kaeggen.bsky.social sky.social & Jyri Lavikainen.
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
Today's most important read:
"The 2015/16 migration crisis (on 🇷🇺 border with 🇳🇴 🇫🇮) can best be explained as strategic engineered migration and a pilot project of the Russian security services."
By @kaeggen.bsky.social & Jyri Lavikainen
"The 2015/16 migration crisis (on 🇷🇺 border with 🇳🇴 🇫🇮) can best be explained as strategic engineered migration and a pilot project of the Russian security services."
By @kaeggen.bsky.social & Jyri Lavikainen
Implementing a new tool: Russia’s strategic use of migrants towards Norway and Finland 2015/16 | European Journal of International Security | Cambridge Core
Implementing a new tool: Russia’s strategic use of migrants towards Norway and Finland 2015/16
www.cambridge.org
November 3, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Today's most important read:
"The 2015/16 migration crisis (on 🇷🇺 border with 🇳🇴 🇫🇮) can best be explained as strategic engineered migration and a pilot project of the Russian security services."
By @kaeggen.bsky.social & Jyri Lavikainen
"The 2015/16 migration crisis (on 🇷🇺 border with 🇳🇴 🇫🇮) can best be explained as strategic engineered migration and a pilot project of the Russian security services."
By @kaeggen.bsky.social & Jyri Lavikainen
New article out in @ejisbisa.bsky.social ! In 2015–16, Russia’s FSB tested migration as a strategic tool in the High North, using state-orchestrated mobility to pressure neighbours, exploit humanitarian norms, and project influence short of war. Read the full article 👇
#OpenAccess
#hybridwarfare
#OpenAccess
#hybridwarfare
#OpenAccess from @ejisbisa.bsky.social -
Implementing a new tool: Russia’s strategic use of migrants towards Norway and Finland 2015/16 - https://cup.org/3WDCbAT
- @kaeggen.bsky.social & Jyri Lavikainen
#FirstView
Implementing a new tool: Russia’s strategic use of migrants towards Norway and Finland 2015/16 - https://cup.org/3WDCbAT
- @kaeggen.bsky.social & Jyri Lavikainen
#FirstView
November 3, 2025 at 11:46 AM
New article out in @ejisbisa.bsky.social ! In 2015–16, Russia’s FSB tested migration as a strategic tool in the High North, using state-orchestrated mobility to pressure neighbours, exploit humanitarian norms, and project influence short of war. Read the full article 👇
#OpenAccess
#hybridwarfare
#OpenAccess
#hybridwarfare
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
On November 11, 2025, @kaeggen.bsky.social will defend her PhD thesis “Russia’s Contemporary Grand Strategy: The Use of Information and Other Unconventional Means Towards the Nordic Region”. The defense is open to anyone interested. For time and place, see 👇
www.sv.uio.no/isv/forsknin...
www.sv.uio.no/isv/forsknin...
Disputation Karen-Anna Eggen
- Institutt for statsvitenskap (ISV)
Master in Political Science Karen-Anna Eggen will be defending her dissertation at the Department of Political Science:
Russia’s Contemporary Grand Strategy: The Use of Information and Other Unconven...
www.sv.uio.no
October 31, 2025 at 4:26 PM
On November 11, 2025, @kaeggen.bsky.social will defend her PhD thesis “Russia’s Contemporary Grand Strategy: The Use of Information and Other Unconventional Means Towards the Nordic Region”. The defense is open to anyone interested. For time and place, see 👇
www.sv.uio.no/isv/forsknin...
www.sv.uio.no/isv/forsknin...
📣 New article out in @defencestudies.bsky.social: "A strategy for the weak: the role of information confrontation in Russia’s grand strategy."
Hopefully of interest to anyone seeking to understand Russia's view - and use - of the information domain!
Hopefully of interest to anyone seeking to understand Russia's view - and use - of the information domain!
A strategy for the weak: the role of information confrontation in Russia’s grand strategy
This article explains the role of information confrontation (informatsionnoe protivoborstvo) in Russia’s grand strategy and positions information confrontation as a central element in a Russian gra...
www.tandfonline.com
September 22, 2025 at 3:22 PM
📣 New article out in @defencestudies.bsky.social: "A strategy for the weak: the role of information confrontation in Russia’s grand strategy."
Hopefully of interest to anyone seeking to understand Russia's view - and use - of the information domain!
Hopefully of interest to anyone seeking to understand Russia's view - and use - of the information domain!
📣 @siristrand.bsky.social og jeg har i dag en rykende fersk artikkel på trykk i tidsskriftet Internasjonal Politikk om russisk påvirkning i Norge og samspillet mellom tekniske (cyber) og psykologiske virkemidler i russiske informasjonsoperasjoner.
Kan leses her 👇
Kan leses her 👇
«Arktisk blokade»: en russisk informasjonsoperasjon mot Norge
Russlands invasjon av Ukraina bryter med et grunnleggende prinsipp i den europeiske sikkerhetsarkitekturen: respekten for territorielle grenser. I denne casestudien ser vi på en hendelse hvor Russland...
tidsskriftet-ip.no
September 18, 2025 at 12:06 PM
📣 @siristrand.bsky.social og jeg har i dag en rykende fersk artikkel på trykk i tidsskriftet Internasjonal Politikk om russisk påvirkning i Norge og samspillet mellom tekniske (cyber) og psykologiske virkemidler i russiske informasjonsoperasjoner.
Kan leses her 👇
Kan leses her 👇
Veldig god sak av @bergenstidende.bsky.social:
"Havbunnen utenfor Bergen er full av rørledninger.. – Det er registrert sikk-sakk-kjøring over rørledninger, skip med russisk mannskap som senker farten, stopper opp eller beveger seg i farvann de ikke har noe å gjøre"
"Havbunnen utenfor Bergen er full av rørledninger.. – Det er registrert sikk-sakk-kjøring over rørledninger, skip med russisk mannskap som senker farten, stopper opp eller beveger seg i farvann de ikke har noe å gjøre"
Skip med russisk mannskap seiler sikksakk over rørledninger. – Situasjonen er bekymringsfull.
Politiet har avdekket uvanlige seilingsmønstre utenfor Mongstad, Sture og Kollsnes. Bare én prosent av skipene utenfor Vestland blir kontrollert.
www.bt.no
July 8, 2025 at 7:53 AM
Veldig god sak av @bergenstidende.bsky.social:
"Havbunnen utenfor Bergen er full av rørledninger.. – Det er registrert sikk-sakk-kjøring over rørledninger, skip med russisk mannskap som senker farten, stopper opp eller beveger seg i farvann de ikke har noe å gjøre"
"Havbunnen utenfor Bergen er full av rørledninger.. – Det er registrert sikk-sakk-kjøring over rørledninger, skip med russisk mannskap som senker farten, stopper opp eller beveger seg i farvann de ikke har noe å gjøre"
Reduced US support is not surprising, given the current US admin's approach to Ukraine and Russia. This has been ongoing for a while across fields since Trump's return. Yet the latest reporting on patriots and artillery is painful given the harsh summer facing UKR's military and civil society. 1/2
Per reporting by my colleague @olliecarroll.bsky.social, US has cancelled 8,000-ish 155mm shells for Ukraine. That is 20% of current MONTHLY production. How that would have materially affected US readiness is hard to see. That's before getting onto 25 Stingers & 92 AIM-7, which are being phased out
July 3, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Reduced US support is not surprising, given the current US admin's approach to Ukraine and Russia. This has been ongoing for a while across fields since Trump's return. Yet the latest reporting on patriots and artillery is painful given the harsh summer facing UKR's military and civil society. 1/2
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
NEW: Russia conducted its largest combined strike series of the war on the night of June 28 to 29 by launching over 500 missiles and drones against Ukraine.
Read more in the June 29. 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar062925
Read more in the June 29. 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar062925
June 29, 2025 at 8:49 PM
NEW: Russia conducted its largest combined strike series of the war on the night of June 28 to 29 by launching over 500 missiles and drones against Ukraine.
Read more in the June 29. 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar062925
Read more in the June 29. 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar062925
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
Morning in Kyiv.
June 17, 2025 at 7:21 AM
Morning in Kyiv.
@drjademcglynn.bsky.social "Imagine being bombed like this while simultaneously being trolled by Moscow and D.C. that Russia is interested in negotiations ... for a ceasefire that the Kremlin says will only be temporary and only after Ukraine capitulates territories Russia cannot take militarily."
"In Zhytomyr region, three siblings aged 8, 12 and 17 were found dead under a pile of rubble after a Russian air strike on their home. Their parents survived."
Russian record air attack on Ukraine dashes hopes for ceasefire
www.ft.com/content/01bc...
Russian record air attack on Ukraine dashes hopes for ceasefire
www.ft.com/content/01bc...
Russian record air attack on Ukraine dashes hopes for ceasefire
Deadly assault comes as Kyiv and Moscow complete largest prisoner swap
www.ft.com
May 25, 2025 at 2:32 PM
@drjademcglynn.bsky.social "Imagine being bombed like this while simultaneously being trolled by Moscow and D.C. that Russia is interested in negotiations ... for a ceasefire that the Kremlin says will only be temporary and only after Ukraine capitulates territories Russia cannot take militarily."
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
“Putin remains confident in Russia’s ultimate victory in Ukraine and is prepared to use military force at least through 2025.”
U.S. Defence Intelligence Agency assessment, May 2025.
armedservices.house.gov/uploadedfile...
U.S. Defence Intelligence Agency assessment, May 2025.
armedservices.house.gov/uploadedfile...
May 24, 2025 at 11:43 PM
“Putin remains confident in Russia’s ultimate victory in Ukraine and is prepared to use military force at least through 2025.”
U.S. Defence Intelligence Agency assessment, May 2025.
armedservices.house.gov/uploadedfile...
U.S. Defence Intelligence Agency assessment, May 2025.
armedservices.house.gov/uploadedfile...
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
Lavrov ups Russia's demands on Ukraine to include a ban on democratic elections.
Do we get it yet?
Do we get it yet?
NEW: Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov demanded that any future peace agreement in Ukraine include conditions to prevent the election and establishment of future pro-Western governments in Ukraine.
Read more in the May 23, 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar052325
Read more in the May 23, 2025 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar052325
May 24, 2025 at 6:47 AM
Lavrov ups Russia's demands on Ukraine to include a ban on democratic elections.
Do we get it yet?
Do we get it yet?
Ny kronikk ute hos @altinget.bsky.social 📢 Her samler jeg noen tanker fra de siste månedenes forhandlingsteater knyttet til Russlands krig i Ukraina - og hvorfor Russland ikke vil avslutte krigføringen sin med det første.
www.altinget.no/forsvar/arti...
www.altinget.no/forsvar/arti...
Russlands forhandlingsteater fortsetter – det samme gjør krigen - Altinget
Forhandlinger brukes som politisk dekke for militær fremdrift. I mangel av sterkt vestlig press utnytter Russland dialogsporet for å vinne tid militært og delegitimere Ukraina, skriver Karen-Anna Egge...
www.altinget.no
May 20, 2025 at 1:03 PM
Ny kronikk ute hos @altinget.bsky.social 📢 Her samler jeg noen tanker fra de siste månedenes forhandlingsteater knyttet til Russlands krig i Ukraina - og hvorfor Russland ikke vil avslutte krigføringen sin med det første.
www.altinget.no/forsvar/arti...
www.altinget.no/forsvar/arti...
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
(Åpen for alle) Jeg synes at norsk presse ofte glipper når det kommer nyhetssteg om eventuelle forhandlinger om krigen i Ukraina. Ofte synes jeg at dekningen mangler viktig kontekst om Russlands «forhandlingsdans».
Heldigvis kan Altingets fantastiske spaltist @kaeggen.bsky.social gi god innsikt her
Heldigvis kan Altingets fantastiske spaltist @kaeggen.bsky.social gi god innsikt her
Russlands forhandlingsteater fortsetter – det samme gjør krigen - Altinget
Forhandlinger brukes som politisk dekke for militær fremdrift. I mangel av sterkt vestlig press utnytter Russland dialogsporet for å vinne tid militært og delegitimere Ukraina, skriver Karen-Anna Egge...
www.altinget.no
May 20, 2025 at 9:45 AM
(Åpen for alle) Jeg synes at norsk presse ofte glipper når det kommer nyhetssteg om eventuelle forhandlinger om krigen i Ukraina. Ofte synes jeg at dekningen mangler viktig kontekst om Russlands «forhandlingsdans».
Heldigvis kan Altingets fantastiske spaltist @kaeggen.bsky.social gi god innsikt her
Heldigvis kan Altingets fantastiske spaltist @kaeggen.bsky.social gi god innsikt her
Reposted by Karen-Anna Eggen
"Over several days in Lviv I didn’t meet anybody who believed that the Russian president wants to end the war, or that he will negotiate to do so in Istanbul. Ukrainian reasoning is straightforward: Vladimir Putin has never said he wants to end the war."
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
Nobody in Ukraine Thinks the War Will End Soon
Ukrainians are confident that they can continue fighting, even without the same level of American support.
www.theatlantic.com
May 19, 2025 at 3:39 PM
"Over several days in Lviv I didn’t meet anybody who believed that the Russian president wants to end the war, or that he will negotiate to do so in Istanbul. Ukrainian reasoning is straightforward: Vladimir Putin has never said he wants to end the war."
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...