FullCountTommy
@fullcounttommy.bsky.social
Minor Cubs Twitter celebrity. Full-blown Disney adult. Illini basketball enjoyer.
While I like some of the more traditional buy low types DFA'ed today for the Cubs (Colin Holderman, Dauri Moreta, Jason Foley), the name that really stands out to me is Tyler Mattison.
Big time cut-ride fastball at 94mph. 30% whiff on the pitch. Funky release. Only 26 years old w/ options.
Big time cut-ride fastball at 94mph. 30% whiff on the pitch. Funky release. Only 26 years old w/ options.
November 19, 2025 at 3:20 AM
While I like some of the more traditional buy low types DFA'ed today for the Cubs (Colin Holderman, Dauri Moreta, Jason Foley), the name that really stands out to me is Tyler Mattison.
Big time cut-ride fastball at 94mph. 30% whiff on the pitch. Funky release. Only 26 years old w/ options.
Big time cut-ride fastball at 94mph. 30% whiff on the pitch. Funky release. Only 26 years old w/ options.
Ultimately there's 3 key things on this decision.
1) Shōta at 1/$22M is fine. Solid deal. Not going to hurt you.
2) Don't love how this potentially narrows the path to improve in the rotation.
3) Big ? now is budget. Hoping even offering the QO is Jed telling us it's healthy.
1) Shōta at 1/$22M is fine. Solid deal. Not going to hurt you.
2) Don't love how this potentially narrows the path to improve in the rotation.
3) Big ? now is budget. Hoping even offering the QO is Jed telling us it's healthy.
November 18, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Ultimately there's 3 key things on this decision.
1) Shōta at 1/$22M is fine. Solid deal. Not going to hurt you.
2) Don't love how this potentially narrows the path to improve in the rotation.
3) Big ? now is budget. Hoping even offering the QO is Jed telling us it's healthy.
1) Shōta at 1/$22M is fine. Solid deal. Not going to hurt you.
2) Don't love how this potentially narrows the path to improve in the rotation.
3) Big ? now is budget. Hoping even offering the QO is Jed telling us it's healthy.
There’s really no must adds for me today for the Cubs on rule 5 deadline day.
I see arguments for Pedro Ramirez, James Triantos and Riley Martin. I’m sure at least one will make the cut because of the sheer 40-man space the Cubs have.
But I’m not banging the table for any.
I see arguments for Pedro Ramirez, James Triantos and Riley Martin. I’m sure at least one will make the cut because of the sheer 40-man space the Cubs have.
But I’m not banging the table for any.
November 18, 2025 at 6:45 PM
There’s really no must adds for me today for the Cubs on rule 5 deadline day.
I see arguments for Pedro Ramirez, James Triantos and Riley Martin. I’m sure at least one will make the cut because of the sheer 40-man space the Cubs have.
But I’m not banging the table for any.
I see arguments for Pedro Ramirez, James Triantos and Riley Martin. I’m sure at least one will make the cut because of the sheer 40-man space the Cubs have.
But I’m not banging the table for any.
Owen Caissie and Jonathon Long for Edward Cabrera seems fair
I don't think they'll be *good* but I think they can be fun, and they're a 1B away (O'Hearn? Trade a pitcher for someone longer-term?) from me really liking their offense
November 17, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Owen Caissie and Jonathon Long for Edward Cabrera seems fair
These are the unquestioned goat of the Oreos. @funkycoldluis.bsky.social knows…
oh wow that’s crazy
oreos with bits of
of oreos. in them
Real Bits of Oreos
oreos with bits of
of oreos. in them
Real Bits of Oreos
November 13, 2025 at 10:28 PM
These are the unquestioned goat of the Oreos. @funkycoldluis.bsky.social knows…
If the Cubs are looking for a really quality lefty masher and bench OF depth, Austin Hays would be a tremendous fit.
.319/.400/.549 (155 wRC+) vs LHP last year and .282/.340/.479 (124 wRC+) for his career.
.319/.400/.549 (155 wRC+) vs LHP last year and .282/.340/.479 (124 wRC+) for his career.
November 7, 2025 at 8:52 PM
If the Cubs are looking for a really quality lefty masher and bench OF depth, Austin Hays would be a tremendous fit.
.319/.400/.549 (155 wRC+) vs LHP last year and .282/.340/.479 (124 wRC+) for his career.
.319/.400/.549 (155 wRC+) vs LHP last year and .282/.340/.479 (124 wRC+) for his career.
One of the low cost relievers I'm going to be hyping this off-season for the Cubs once again is Ryne Stanek.
Think there's a far better reliever in there if he just throws his 98mph fastball less. I call it "The Kyle Finnegan Dilemma."
Scrap the sweeper. More splits. More sliders. Fewer fastballs.
Think there's a far better reliever in there if he just throws his 98mph fastball less. I call it "The Kyle Finnegan Dilemma."
Scrap the sweeper. More splits. More sliders. Fewer fastballs.
November 6, 2025 at 3:09 PM
One of the low cost relievers I'm going to be hyping this off-season for the Cubs once again is Ryne Stanek.
Think there's a far better reliever in there if he just throws his 98mph fastball less. I call it "The Kyle Finnegan Dilemma."
Scrap the sweeper. More splits. More sliders. Fewer fastballs.
Think there's a far better reliever in there if he just throws his 98mph fastball less. I call it "The Kyle Finnegan Dilemma."
Scrap the sweeper. More splits. More sliders. Fewer fastballs.
Seen a lot of "The league figured him out" as a response to this, which I'm not sure I buy. The velo dipped and the command took a step back. When you throw 92 and rely on pristine command, both those things regressing causes a lot of problems.
With Taillon around, Cubs want to bet on someone else
With Taillon around, Cubs want to bet on someone else
I was surprised to see Chicago decline Imanaga's option bc it's not much and their rotation is thin.
I've also been very much the low man on him and he was throwing 90.8 this year with a massive K% drop and he was borderline unpitchable in the final month.
There's a lot happening here.
I've also been very much the low man on him and he was throwing 90.8 this year with a massive K% drop and he was borderline unpitchable in the final month.
There's a lot happening here.
November 4, 2025 at 6:37 PM
Seen a lot of "The league figured him out" as a response to this, which I'm not sure I buy. The velo dipped and the command took a step back. When you throw 92 and rely on pristine command, both those things regressing causes a lot of problems.
With Taillon around, Cubs want to bet on someone else
With Taillon around, Cubs want to bet on someone else
Should the Cubs be the Dodgers? Sure
Are they in real life? No
In the end, the Cubs need to diversify the rotation and having both Shōta and Taillon in it making $18M+ probably doesn't work.
Now Jed should be hammered if they don't add TWO legit rotation pieces, but we're not there yet.
Are they in real life? No
In the end, the Cubs need to diversify the rotation and having both Shōta and Taillon in it making $18M+ probably doesn't work.
Now Jed should be hammered if they don't add TWO legit rotation pieces, but we're not there yet.
November 4, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Should the Cubs be the Dodgers? Sure
Are they in real life? No
In the end, the Cubs need to diversify the rotation and having both Shōta and Taillon in it making $18M+ probably doesn't work.
Now Jed should be hammered if they don't add TWO legit rotation pieces, but we're not there yet.
Are they in real life? No
In the end, the Cubs need to diversify the rotation and having both Shōta and Taillon in it making $18M+ probably doesn't work.
Now Jed should be hammered if they don't add TWO legit rotation pieces, but we're not there yet.
You know my sicko mode is elevated when I'm jones-ing for Baseball America to release their minor league free agent list so I can dig through it for potential Cubs bullpen targets.
Send help
Send help
October 31, 2025 at 3:27 PM
You know my sicko mode is elevated when I'm jones-ing for Baseball America to release their minor league free agent list so I can dig through it for potential Cubs bullpen targets.
Send help
Send help
One name I'm watching as Cubs look to beef up bullpen with low cost and MiLB deals?
José Quijada
Pomeranz vibes in that he relies almost entirely on a cut-ride fastball (85+% usage). Bit more velo from Quijada (93-96 mostly). It's a funky release where he hides it well. Candidate to add slider.
José Quijada
Pomeranz vibes in that he relies almost entirely on a cut-ride fastball (85+% usage). Bit more velo from Quijada (93-96 mostly). It's a funky release where he hides it well. Candidate to add slider.
October 30, 2025 at 5:45 PM
One name I'm watching as Cubs look to beef up bullpen with low cost and MiLB deals?
José Quijada
Pomeranz vibes in that he relies almost entirely on a cut-ride fastball (85+% usage). Bit more velo from Quijada (93-96 mostly). It's a funky release where he hides it well. Candidate to add slider.
José Quijada
Pomeranz vibes in that he relies almost entirely on a cut-ride fastball (85+% usage). Bit more velo from Quijada (93-96 mostly). It's a funky release where he hides it well. Candidate to add slider.
I just love the fit here as a 3B/1B/DH/maybe sometimes COF.
Want to dig more on how good the glove is at 3B but it grades out very well in a small-ish sample the last two years.
Would give Cubs another quality bat to mix in and allow Craig to really optimize matchups.
Want to dig more on how good the glove is at 3B but it grades out very well in a small-ish sample the last two years.
Would give Cubs another quality bat to mix in and allow Craig to really optimize matchups.
October 22, 2025 at 2:58 PM
I just love the fit here as a 3B/1B/DH/maybe sometimes COF.
Want to dig more on how good the glove is at 3B but it grades out very well in a small-ish sample the last two years.
Would give Cubs another quality bat to mix in and allow Craig to really optimize matchups.
Want to dig more on how good the glove is at 3B but it grades out very well in a small-ish sample the last two years.
Would give Cubs another quality bat to mix in and allow Craig to really optimize matchups.
Reposted by FullCountTommy
Just over here thinking about how vritually every national pundit was fawning over the Padres because of their bullpen ... and yet. 💅
October 3, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Just over here thinking about how vritually every national pundit was fawning over the Padres because of their bullpen ... and yet. 💅
Win more regular season games than the other team with “elite talent?” ✅
Win playoff series against the other team with “elite talent?” Also ✅
Win playoff series against the other team with “elite talent?” Also ✅
You can build a decent team without paying stars, but when you get here and lose because the other team has elite talent, and you shopped at five below, you really can't be all that surprised.
This is the limit of Jed's way.
This is the limit of Jed's way.
October 3, 2025 at 12:49 AM
Win more regular season games than the other team with “elite talent?” ✅
Win playoff series against the other team with “elite talent?” Also ✅
Win playoff series against the other team with “elite talent?” Also ✅
Bluesky exclusive prediction.
Seiya Suzuki absolutely demolishes a Yu Darvish hanging slider/cutter today.
Seiya Suzuki absolutely demolishes a Yu Darvish hanging slider/cutter today.
October 2, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Bluesky exclusive prediction.
Seiya Suzuki absolutely demolishes a Yu Darvish hanging slider/cutter today.
Seiya Suzuki absolutely demolishes a Yu Darvish hanging slider/cutter today.
How important is game 1 in the Wild Card Series?
With the new playoff format, in 12 Wild Card Series, the winner of game 1 has won the series all 12 times. Only twice has there even been a game 3 played.
With the new playoff format, in 12 Wild Card Series, the winner of game 1 has won the series all 12 times. Only twice has there even been a game 3 played.
September 29, 2025 at 6:54 PM
How important is game 1 in the Wild Card Series?
With the new playoff format, in 12 Wild Card Series, the winner of game 1 has won the series all 12 times. Only twice has there even been a game 3 played.
With the new playoff format, in 12 Wild Card Series, the winner of game 1 has won the series all 12 times. Only twice has there even been a game 3 played.
September 28, 2025 at 10:35 PM
I'm not concerned with this. With only 2 challenges available, outside of extreme situations like last batter of game or extreme high leverage, pitchers and catchers aren't going to challenge pitches they don't think are strikes. None of these pitches appears as strikes to the pitcher or catcher.
looking at some extreme balls that were technically "strike" by statcast and the high balls didn't seem too odd, but if these low balls start getting challenged by pitchers it may annoy everyone-
September 23, 2025 at 7:23 PM
I'm not concerned with this. With only 2 challenges available, outside of extreme situations like last batter of game or extreme high leverage, pitchers and catchers aren't going to challenge pitches they don't think are strikes. None of these pitches appears as strikes to the pitcher or catcher.
Yes it's called a 280 foot wall in RF
The New Cody Bellinger Has Been Here for a While Now blogs.fangraphs.com/the-new-cody...
The New Cody Bellinger Has Been Here for a While Now
The former MVP has made several adjustments this first season, his first with the Yankees, but his resurgence shouldn’t come as a surprise.
blogs.fangraphs.com
September 11, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Yes it's called a 280 foot wall in RF
This is definitely the most chaotic and flawed I can remember seeing an entire playoff picture in September. Every team in is kind of going through it right now.
For fans of MLB’s 15 flawed contenders, things could always be worse. Column: www.nytimes.com/athletic/660...
For fans of each of MLB’s 15 flawed playoff contenders, things could always be worse
Many of these teams seem capable of both winning the World Series and getting bounced in the first round.
www.nytimes.com
September 8, 2025 at 12:59 PM
This is definitely the most chaotic and flawed I can remember seeing an entire playoff picture in September. Every team in is kind of going through it right now.
Reposted by FullCountTommy
Some thoughts about the Great Khan heading into Chicagoland's big Reverse Fort Sumter weekend.
More Pritzker, Less Newsom - Truthdig
The country needs righteous anger and sharp, rousing defenses of progressive values, not California centrism served with a side of meme.
www.truthdig.com
September 5, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Some thoughts about the Great Khan heading into Chicagoland's big Reverse Fort Sumter weekend.
Wild thing to see.
The Cubs currently have ZERO regulars outperforming their xwOBA on the season. Not sure I've ever seen that before.
Simplest explanation might be how poorly Wrigley plays for hitters now, but I'm sure it's a variety of factors.
The Cubs currently have ZERO regulars outperforming their xwOBA on the season. Not sure I've ever seen that before.
Simplest explanation might be how poorly Wrigley plays for hitters now, but I'm sure it's a variety of factors.
September 5, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Wild thing to see.
The Cubs currently have ZERO regulars outperforming their xwOBA on the season. Not sure I've ever seen that before.
Simplest explanation might be how poorly Wrigley plays for hitters now, but I'm sure it's a variety of factors.
The Cubs currently have ZERO regulars outperforming their xwOBA on the season. Not sure I've ever seen that before.
Simplest explanation might be how poorly Wrigley plays for hitters now, but I'm sure it's a variety of factors.
Targeting dudes with under-used quality secondaries and getting them the hell out of Washington's "Only throw fastballs down the middle" pitching infrastructure should be baseball's newest trend
Kyle Finnegan
WSH: 20% K
DET: 39% K
Also Kyle Finnegan
WSH: 30% splitters
DET: 51% splitters
WSH: 20% K
DET: 39% K
Also Kyle Finnegan
WSH: 30% splitters
DET: 51% splitters
September 4, 2025 at 5:52 PM
Targeting dudes with under-used quality secondaries and getting them the hell out of Washington's "Only throw fastballs down the middle" pitching infrastructure should be baseball's newest trend
The reaction to Counsell's handling of the pitching yesterday is another good example of football brain seeping into baseball analysis.
Gotta play for 162 (And beyond, when beyond is more guaranteed like it is) in baseball. Managing Cade's workload and avoiding Palencia last night is part of that.
Gotta play for 162 (And beyond, when beyond is more guaranteed like it is) in baseball. Managing Cade's workload and avoiding Palencia last night is part of that.
September 4, 2025 at 2:18 PM
The reaction to Counsell's handling of the pitching yesterday is another good example of football brain seeping into baseball analysis.
Gotta play for 162 (And beyond, when beyond is more guaranteed like it is) in baseball. Managing Cade's workload and avoiding Palencia last night is part of that.
Gotta play for 162 (And beyond, when beyond is more guaranteed like it is) in baseball. Managing Cade's workload and avoiding Palencia last night is part of that.
The Kyle Schwarber-Cubs discourse is EXHAUSTING because:
1) Yeah they shouldn't have non-tendered him (Thanks, Ricketts and your biblical losses), but that decision had literally ZERO long-term impact.
2) The Cubs are just one of 29 teams who had a chance to sign Schwarber long-term and didn't.
1) Yeah they shouldn't have non-tendered him (Thanks, Ricketts and your biblical losses), but that decision had literally ZERO long-term impact.
2) The Cubs are just one of 29 teams who had a chance to sign Schwarber long-term and didn't.
August 29, 2025 at 3:53 PM
The Kyle Schwarber-Cubs discourse is EXHAUSTING because:
1) Yeah they shouldn't have non-tendered him (Thanks, Ricketts and your biblical losses), but that decision had literally ZERO long-term impact.
2) The Cubs are just one of 29 teams who had a chance to sign Schwarber long-term and didn't.
1) Yeah they shouldn't have non-tendered him (Thanks, Ricketts and your biblical losses), but that decision had literally ZERO long-term impact.
2) The Cubs are just one of 29 teams who had a chance to sign Schwarber long-term and didn't.