James Brady
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frogjumpsin.bsky.social
James Brady
@frogjumpsin.bsky.social
Geo/political risk analyst of Japan, East Asia⎮Public policy Ph.D.⎮ 🇮🇪🇯🇵🇺🇸⎮Washington, D.C.
Pinned
If you missed it yesterday, here’s the link to my discussion with @victordcha.bsky.social and @tobiasharris.bsky.social on the implications of Takaichi’s LDP leadership victory for Japan, East Asia and the US, on @csis.org’s Impossible State. Really enjoyed our chat.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=n0BV...
What to Expect? New Leadership in Japan | The Impossible State
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
www.youtube.com
Hard rock, soft power.
Taiwanese ambassador to Finland performs with his metal band at Taiwan-Finland cultural event! 🤘✊️
That's what I call great ambassador
November 29, 2025 at 5:30 PM
Reposted by James Brady
Takaichi told Trump that she intends to nominate him for the Nobel Peace Prize, according to White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt. She also presented him papers about the intended nomination during their bilateral meeting. (Unclear yet what the papers are)
October 28, 2025 at 2:37 AM
Reposted by James Brady
Between the Expo, the Tigers, and now this, everything's coming up Osaka
Nippon Ishin no Kai says it will no longer take part in talks with other opposition parties on forming an alliance as it edges closer toward forming a coalition with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party.
Nippon Ishin edges closer toward forming coalition with LDP
The Osaka-based party has decided to no longer take part in policy talks with its opposition peers on forming an alliance against the ruling party.
ebx.sh
October 17, 2025 at 9:41 AM
The positive case for Japan-South Korea relations under Takaichi (if she manages to become prime minister) www.youtube.com/watch?v=Isav...
Takaichi is a China Hawk, But Not a Korea Hawk | The Impossible State
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
www.youtube.com
October 10, 2025 at 11:04 PM
Exceptional thread contextualizing today’s political earthquake in Japan #LDP #Komeito #Komexit
Japan, ostensibly one of the least religious countries in the world, had its political order upended by the lay Buddhist organization Soka Gakkai. That is THE story about Friday's epochal shift in Japanese politics (thread follows):
October 10, 2025 at 7:59 PM
If you missed it yesterday, here’s the link to my discussion with @victordcha.bsky.social and @tobiasharris.bsky.social on the implications of Takaichi’s LDP leadership victory for Japan, East Asia and the US, on @csis.org’s Impossible State. Really enjoyed our chat.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=n0BV...
What to Expect? New Leadership in Japan | The Impossible State
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
www.youtube.com
October 9, 2025 at 1:27 PM
Reposted by James Brady
I really enjoyed talking with @victordcha.bsky.social and @frogjumpsin.bsky.social on The Impossible State podcast from @csis.org @korea.csis.org

youtu.be/n0BVuqXjsac?...
What to Expect? New Leadership in Japan | The Impossible State
YouTube video by Center for Strategic & International Studies
youtu.be
October 8, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Excited to be joining this discussion tomorrow with @victordcha.bsky.social and @tobiasharris.bsky.social on CSIS’s Impossible State
TOMORROW | October 8, 2025 | 3 PM EDT

On The Impossible State, @csis.org and @victordcha.bsky.social host James Brady and @tobiasharris.bsky.social for a discussion on Japan’s new leadership and the future of U.S.–Japan–South Korea relations.

🎧 Watch live: www.csis.org/events/impos...
October 7, 2025 at 9:07 PM
Easy to connect this to recent rumors that Ishiba intends to make a wartime apology statement. It would certainly boost Japan-ROK relations — though the LDP could quickly undo any goodwill generated if they then chose Sanae Takaichi as leader on 4 October.

english.kyodonews.net/articles/-/6...
BREAKING NEWS: Japan PM Ishiba arranging visit to South Korea, possibly Sept. 30: source
BREAKING NEWS: Japan PM Ishiba arranging visit to South Korea, possibly Sept. 30: source
english.kyodonews.net
September 12, 2025 at 4:42 PM
September 11, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Reposted by James Brady
Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced Sunday that he will resign, following growing calls from within his party to take responsibility for a historic defeat in July’s parliamentary election.
https://to.pbs.org/47PlZDB
Japan's Prime Minister Ishiba resigns after his party suffered historic defeat in July election
Ishiba had resisted demands from opponents further to the right within his own party to resign. He argued that he wanted to avoid a political vacuum at a time when Japan faces key domestic and interna...
www.pbs.org
September 7, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Reposted by James Brady
It's insane that TPP has become an alternative to US bullying, when it was designed as a US-sponsored alternative to Chinese bullying, until Trump abruptly decided to quit. Not renegotiate, just quit. asia.nikkei.com/economy/trad...
South Korea revisits CPTPP trade pact in response to US tariffs
Lee's government seeks bigger network of economic alliances
asia.nikkei.com
September 3, 2025 at 7:33 PM
Reposted by James Brady
Akazawa heading to Washington for 10th round of tariff talks www.japantimes.co.jp/business/202...
Akazawa heading to Washington for 10th round of tariff talks
The U.S. promises clarity on Japan's $550 billion pledge by the end of the week.
www.japantimes.co.jp
August 27, 2025 at 2:26 PM
Hasn’t she suffered enough?

www.bbc.com/news/article...
August 22, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Reposted by James Brady
"deals" are out. they're not even letters.
July 31, 2025 at 11:27 PM
Reposted by James Brady
This from @tobiasharris.bsky.social is a really good summary of where Japan's LDP finds itself now:
A house divided
Thinking about the deeper roots of the Ishiba crisis
open.substack.com
July 29, 2025 at 1:53 AM
Reposted by James Brady
Now Hiring: Fall 2025 Interns!

Join the @csis.org Office of the Korea Chair and gain hands-on experience in Korean policy. Applications due 8/1.

🔗: careers.csis.org/opportunitie...
July 28, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Reposted by James Brady
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is denying reports that he would soon announce his resignation: “I have never made such a statement,” he said.
July 23, 2025 at 7:19 AM
Reposted by James Brady
TOKYO, July 23 (Reuters) - Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba denied talk on Wednesday that he would quit after a source and media reports said he plans to step down following a bruising upper house election defeat.
www.reuters.com/world/japans...
Japan's PM Ishiba denies talk he will quit following election drubbing
Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba denied talk on Wednesday that he would quit after a source and media reports said he plans to step down following a bruising upper house election defeat.
www.reuters.com
July 23, 2025 at 7:35 AM
Reposted by James Brady
Alarm bells will be ringing at LDP HQ after today’s NHK poll: party support down 4 percentage points in a week, 8 in three, the LDP’s lowest NHK number since returning to power in 2012. Ishiba has five campaign days left to turn it around.

www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20...
July 14, 2025 at 6:56 PM
A more accurate headline here would be "one Japanese business leader accuses Tokyo...". And the FT once again shows a fantastical lack of realism about the policy reform space for Japanese agriculture.

www.ft.com/content/7c57...
Japan business accuses Tokyo of ‘mistake’ in US trade talks strategy
PM Shigeru Ishiba’s insistence on total relief from Donald Trump’s levies was a miscalculation, analysts say
www.ft.com
July 8, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Reposted by James Brady
The U.S. is imposing a 25% tariff on Korea because of trade deficits that it claims are "engendered by Korea's Tariff and Non Tariff, Policies and Trade Barriers." But Korea has a free trade agreement with the U.S. It charges zero tariffs on nearly everything.
July 7, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Reposted by James Brady
Later in the history and future IR textbooks, the year 2025 will be remembered as a critical juncture in international relations, where long-standing norms governing the use of force, especially, the non-proliferation regime unraveled. I hope still we find ways to solve this as a global community.
June 22, 2025 at 7:51 PM