Andrew Prokop
@awprokop.bsky.social
Senior Politics Correspondent, Vox
Signs that a shutdown-ending deal could be coming soon.
November 3, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Signs that a shutdown-ending deal could be coming soon.
Polls asking "do you approve of Trump's immigration policy" show rising disapproval.
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
October 30, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Polls asking "do you approve of Trump's immigration policy" show rising disapproval.
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
Pretty much everyone who actually runs in a competitive race believes moderating your views on certain issues to better fit the electorate — "Zohran's position on the NYPD has evolved" — is a good strategy.
October 29, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Pretty much everyone who actually runs in a competitive race believes moderating your views on certain issues to better fit the electorate — "Zohran's position on the NYPD has evolved" — is a good strategy.
"Vaxxes were being put in arms and were expected to completely end Covid and quickly bring the economy and society back to normal" seems like a pretty decent explanation of consumer optimism then.
Unfortunately it didn't pan out!
Unfortunately it didn't pan out!
Like there is just no possible way to explain that consumer sentiment peaked in APRIL 2021 and has never been nearly as high ever again except to admit that people’s perception of the economy is fundamentally irrational and in no way based on, you know, the actual economy
October 28, 2025 at 4:30 PM
"Vaxxes were being put in arms and were expected to completely end Covid and quickly bring the economy and society back to normal" seems like a pretty decent explanation of consumer optimism then.
Unfortunately it didn't pan out!
Unfortunately it didn't pan out!
I'm confused by this belief that voters should base their perception of a party only on the specific messages you offer in a brief general election campaign, rather than their years-long governance record.
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
October 28, 2025 at 3:11 PM
I'm confused by this belief that voters should base their perception of a party only on the specific messages you offer in a brief general election campaign, rather than their years-long governance record.
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues and I feel confident that if elected Harris would have also.
I don't think voters are misled or wrong to believe these are major Democratic Party priorities, even if Harris minimized them in her campaign rhetoric.
I don't think voters are misled or wrong to believe these are major Democratic Party priorities, even if Harris minimized them in her campaign rhetoric.
It’s crazymaking to watch people nod sagely about findings that are just demonstrably untrue.
What is true, I think, is Dems keep trying to run cautious meat and potatoes races only to be tagged in the public mind with all the social issues their opponents obsess over and they leave unanswered.
What is true, I think, is Dems keep trying to run cautious meat and potatoes races only to be tagged in the public mind with all the social issues their opponents obsess over and they leave unanswered.
October 28, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues and I feel confident that if elected Harris would have also.
I don't think voters are misled or wrong to believe these are major Democratic Party priorities, even if Harris minimized them in her campaign rhetoric.
I don't think voters are misled or wrong to believe these are major Democratic Party priorities, even if Harris minimized them in her campaign rhetoric.
Dems lost many voters' trust on crime in the Biden years because they were viewed as the soft on crime party when most voters thought crime was a problem.
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
October 28, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Dems lost many voters' trust on crime in the Biden years because they were viewed as the soft on crime party when most voters thought crime was a problem.
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
The 1919 tattoo really was "The Bart, The"
October 22, 2025 at 7:44 PM
The 1919 tattoo really was "The Bart, The"
"I told him that photo would come back to haunt him..."
October 21, 2025 at 2:33 PM
"I told him that photo would come back to haunt him..."
Chris Rufo had a brilliant plan to claim that "the left" killed Charlie Kirk, using it as pretext for a crackdown.
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
October 21, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Chris Rufo had a brilliant plan to claim that "the left" killed Charlie Kirk, using it as pretext for a crackdown.
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
Reposted by Andrew Prokop
good piece on a topic that is definitely unnerving to read about
New: The leaked Young Republicans chat, and the bizarre conspiracy theories about Jews being involved in Charlie Kirk's murder, have spurred a public debate on the right.
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
October 20, 2025 at 7:45 PM
good piece on a topic that is definitely unnerving to read about
New: The leaked Young Republicans chat, and the bizarre conspiracy theories about Jews being involved in Charlie Kirk's murder, have spurred a public debate on the right.
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
October 20, 2025 at 7:22 PM
New: The leaked Young Republicans chat, and the bizarre conspiracy theories about Jews being involved in Charlie Kirk's murder, have spurred a public debate on the right.
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
The Trump-Miller DOJ strategy: "flood the zone with shit."
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
October 10, 2025 at 3:16 PM
The Trump-Miller DOJ strategy: "flood the zone with shit."
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
Genuine question, does Trump know who Bari Weiss is?
He's obviously not a Substack guy. Is she on Fox enough that he'd recognize her?
He's obviously not a Substack guy. Is she on Fox enough that he'd recognize her?
There's no way to plausibly act like Paramount would be handing CBS News to Bari Weiss if Trump wasn't in power, and they're barely bothering to pretend otherwise.
October 7, 2025 at 3:55 AM
Genuine question, does Trump know who Bari Weiss is?
He's obviously not a Substack guy. Is she on Fox enough that he'd recognize her?
He's obviously not a Substack guy. Is she on Fox enough that he'd recognize her?
It's actually very relevant and telling information that Bari Weiss says she's allies with the Federalist Society in a battle to save "the West" against (implicitly) the America-hating left.
She's not about lowering taxes and never has been!
She's not about lowering taxes and never has been!
There’s a lot in Bari Weiss’ 2023 FedSoc speech that merits scrutiny but I think the Times did a disservice by closing with this quote — given what she says immediately after. fedsoc.org/commentary/f...
October 7, 2025 at 3:49 AM
It's actually very relevant and telling information that Bari Weiss says she's allies with the Federalist Society in a battle to save "the West" against (implicitly) the America-hating left.
She's not about lowering taxes and never has been!
She's not about lowering taxes and never has been!
Reposted by Andrew Prokop
Excellent, detailed @awprokop.bsky.social piece about new CBS News editor in chief Bari Weiss
www.vox.com/politics/463...
www.vox.com/politics/463...
Why does Bari Weiss keep winning?
The “anti-woke” commentator quit the New York Times in protest 5 years ago. Now she’ll be CBS News’s top editor. How?
www.vox.com
October 6, 2025 at 2:41 PM
Excellent, detailed @awprokop.bsky.social piece about new CBS News editor in chief Bari Weiss
www.vox.com/politics/463...
www.vox.com/politics/463...
Bari Weiss is now pivoting to "I only care about good journalism," but in her past few years she's been a factional coalition merchant (cc @profhansnoel.bsky.social ) — she convened a new faction of the right, making common cause with Chris Rufo & others against the left
www.vox.com/politics/463...
www.vox.com/politics/463...
October 6, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Bari Weiss is now pivoting to "I only care about good journalism," but in her past few years she's been a factional coalition merchant (cc @profhansnoel.bsky.social ) — she convened a new faction of the right, making common cause with Chris Rufo & others against the left
www.vox.com/politics/463...
www.vox.com/politics/463...
How do you think the shutdown fight will end?
A.) Dems win significant concessions from Trump, deal to reopen
B.) Dems cave after a few days or weeks
C.) Dems cave before the end of this year
D.) GOP nukes filibuster, reopens gov't
E.) Gov't remains closed into next year
A.) Dems win significant concessions from Trump, deal to reopen
B.) Dems cave after a few days or weeks
C.) Dems cave before the end of this year
D.) GOP nukes filibuster, reopens gov't
E.) Gov't remains closed into next year
September 30, 2025 at 2:30 PM
How do you think the shutdown fight will end?
A.) Dems win significant concessions from Trump, deal to reopen
B.) Dems cave after a few days or weeks
C.) Dems cave before the end of this year
D.) GOP nukes filibuster, reopens gov't
E.) Gov't remains closed into next year
A.) Dems win significant concessions from Trump, deal to reopen
B.) Dems cave after a few days or weeks
C.) Dems cave before the end of this year
D.) GOP nukes filibuster, reopens gov't
E.) Gov't remains closed into next year
In 2018 I wrote up the cases for and against Senate Dems shutting down the government via filibuster (in this case their demand was a DACA deal).
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
September 29, 2025 at 6:38 PM
In 2018 I wrote up the cases for and against Senate Dems shutting down the government via filibuster (in this case their demand was a DACA deal).
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
Well yes, but, all these shutdowns ended because the party shutting things down essentially caved after a few days or weeks, which allowed the news environment to move on to other things.
Simply very little evidence that any national congressional or presidential election has come out differently because of a government shutdown. You can't rule out there being no electoral effects whatsoever. Think about it. Are persuadable voters on election days ever thinking about past shutdowns?
Need to consider the long term. Likely no effect on long term political prospects at all. After the 1995 Gingrich shutdown, Republicans won 5 consecutive House elections and 2 of the next 3 presidential elections.
September 29, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Well yes, but, all these shutdowns ended because the party shutting things down essentially caved after a few days or weeks, which allowed the news environment to move on to other things.
I've been feeling uneasy about the shutdown fight and the past two days crystallized why.
In a moment of authoritarian peril, does it really make sense to start a fight that could very plausibly end with Trump and Rs getting full power to rewrite laws?
www.vox.com/politics/461...
In a moment of authoritarian peril, does it really make sense to start a fight that could very plausibly end with Trump and Rs getting full power to rewrite laws?
www.vox.com/politics/461...
September 12, 2025 at 2:01 PM
I've been feeling uneasy about the shutdown fight and the past two days crystallized why.
In a moment of authoritarian peril, does it really make sense to start a fight that could very plausibly end with Trump and Rs getting full power to rewrite laws?
www.vox.com/politics/461...
In a moment of authoritarian peril, does it really make sense to start a fight that could very plausibly end with Trump and Rs getting full power to rewrite laws?
www.vox.com/politics/461...
With the attempted firing of Lisa Cook based on a pretext supplied by Bill Pulte, he's becoming more important than ever.
In some ways he's a ridiculous figure, in other ways he's quite dangerous — my piece on him here: www.vox.com/politics/421...
In some ways he's a ridiculous figure, in other ways he's quite dangerous — my piece on him here: www.vox.com/politics/421...
NEW: FHFA director Bill Pulte is leading Trump's push to get Jerome Powell fired — and to get Adam Schiff and Tish James prosecuted.
Who is this guy and why does he have 3 million X followers?
And just how high will he rise in Trump's administration?
www.vox.com/politics/421...
Who is this guy and why does he have 3 million X followers?
And just how high will he rise in Trump's administration?
www.vox.com/politics/421...
August 27, 2025 at 3:38 PM
With the attempted firing of Lisa Cook based on a pretext supplied by Bill Pulte, he's becoming more important than ever.
In some ways he's a ridiculous figure, in other ways he's quite dangerous — my piece on him here: www.vox.com/politics/421...
In some ways he's a ridiculous figure, in other ways he's quite dangerous — my piece on him here: www.vox.com/politics/421...
NYT reports that the “Russiagate” investigation targeting Comey and Brennan is based in Charlottesville, where the recently-confirmed US Attorney suddenly resigned and then posted this Anchorman quote.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/u...
August 27, 2025 at 12:26 AM
NYT reports that the “Russiagate” investigation targeting Comey and Brennan is based in Charlottesville, where the recently-confirmed US Attorney suddenly resigned and then posted this Anchorman quote.
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/u...
We may be seeing something like "grand jury nullification” to refuse Trump team’s politicized indictments in DC
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/25/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/25/u...
August 26, 2025 at 3:15 AM
We may be seeing something like "grand jury nullification” to refuse Trump team’s politicized indictments in DC
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/25/u...
www.nytimes.com/2025/08/25/u...