Andrew Prokop
@awprokop.bsky.social
Senior Politics Correspondent, Vox
Signs that a shutdown-ending deal could be coming soon.
November 3, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Signs that a shutdown-ending deal could be coming soon.
Polls asking "do you approve of Trump's immigration policy" show rising disapproval.
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
October 30, 2025 at 6:49 PM
Polls asking "do you approve of Trump's immigration policy" show rising disapproval.
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
But polls asking what people think of both Republicans *and Democrats* on immigration often continue to give Rs the edge.
Same with crime.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
Pretty much everyone who actually runs in a competitive race believes moderating your views on certain issues to better fit the electorate — "Zohran's position on the NYPD has evolved" — is a good strategy.
October 29, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Pretty much everyone who actually runs in a competitive race believes moderating your views on certain issues to better fit the electorate — "Zohran's position on the NYPD has evolved" — is a good strategy.
Trump is underwater on many issues but he is truly, epically underwater on inflation/prices (-34)
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
October 28, 2025 at 4:59 PM
Trump is underwater on many issues but he is truly, epically underwater on inflation/prices (-34)
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
In particular Republicans *loved* the Trump I pre-Covid economy and even many Dems liked it.
Today Republicans are much less positive on the Trump II economy (though few blame Trump for it).
Seems like people don't like high prices and high interest rates
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Today Republicans are much less positive on the Trump II economy (though few blame Trump for it).
Seems like people don't like high prices and high interest rates
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
October 28, 2025 at 4:46 PM
In particular Republicans *loved* the Trump I pre-Covid economy and even many Dems liked it.
Today Republicans are much less positive on the Trump II economy (though few blame Trump for it).
Seems like people don't like high prices and high interest rates
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Today Republicans are much less positive on the Trump II economy (though few blame Trump for it).
Seems like people don't like high prices and high interest rates
www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
It seems to me that the persistence of public pessimism on the Biden/Trump II economy argues against a vibes-first theory of the economy and public opinion.
People liked the Trump I pre-Covid economy and they don't like this one.
People liked the Trump I pre-Covid economy and they don't like this one.
October 28, 2025 at 4:39 PM
It seems to me that the persistence of public pessimism on the Biden/Trump II economy argues against a vibes-first theory of the economy and public opinion.
People liked the Trump I pre-Covid economy and they don't like this one.
People liked the Trump I pre-Covid economy and they don't like this one.
I'm confused by this belief that voters should base their perception of a party only on the specific messages you offer in a brief general election campaign, rather than their years-long governance record.
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
October 28, 2025 at 3:11 PM
I'm confused by this belief that voters should base their perception of a party only on the specific messages you offer in a brief general election campaign, rather than their years-long governance record.
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
Biden did a lot on climate and LGBTQ issues! In other contexts we admit this!
I agree that it doesn't really make sense to govern this way and then hope that, if you talk about other things in your campaign messaging for a few months, voters with opposing views on these topics somehow won't notice
October 28, 2025 at 2:55 PM
I agree that it doesn't really make sense to govern this way and then hope that, if you talk about other things in your campaign messaging for a few months, voters with opposing views on these topics somehow won't notice
Voters' belief in that poll that Dems focus too much on climate is of course a matter of opinion.
But climate was a huge policymaking priority for four years of the Biden Administration and Harris going "light" on it in campaign messaging doesn't retroactively erase that.
But climate was a huge policymaking priority for four years of the Biden Administration and Harris going "light" on it in campaign messaging doesn't retroactively erase that.
October 28, 2025 at 2:38 PM
Voters' belief in that poll that Dems focus too much on climate is of course a matter of opinion.
But climate was a huge policymaking priority for four years of the Biden Administration and Harris going "light" on it in campaign messaging doesn't retroactively erase that.
But climate was a huge policymaking priority for four years of the Biden Administration and Harris going "light" on it in campaign messaging doesn't retroactively erase that.
On crime specifically it is worth dwelling on that this is actually a recent disadvantage for Dems.
The summer of "defund the police" in 2020 was followed by Biden winning.
The parties were evenly matched re: trust on crime in 2021.
Then things took a turn.
www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/u...
The summer of "defund the police" in 2020 was followed by Biden winning.
The parties were evenly matched re: trust on crime in 2021.
Then things took a turn.
www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/u...
October 28, 2025 at 2:02 PM
On crime specifically it is worth dwelling on that this is actually a recent disadvantage for Dems.
The summer of "defund the police" in 2020 was followed by Biden winning.
The parties were evenly matched re: trust on crime in 2021.
Then things took a turn.
www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/u...
The summer of "defund the police" in 2020 was followed by Biden winning.
The parties were evenly matched re: trust on crime in 2021.
Then things took a turn.
www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/u...
A @gelliottmorris.com point is that voters aren't making up their minds based on a policy laundry list.
I agree — they're looking for signals about who they should trust and who's on "their side."
In the 2020s Dems sent mixed signals on crime. It was an awkward issue that split their coalition
I agree — they're looking for signals about who they should trust and who's on "their side."
In the 2020s Dems sent mixed signals on crime. It was an awkward issue that split their coalition
October 28, 2025 at 1:59 PM
A @gelliottmorris.com point is that voters aren't making up their minds based on a policy laundry list.
I agree — they're looking for signals about who they should trust and who's on "their side."
In the 2020s Dems sent mixed signals on crime. It was an awkward issue that split their coalition
I agree — they're looking for signals about who they should trust and who's on "their side."
In the 2020s Dems sent mixed signals on crime. It was an awkward issue that split their coalition
Dems lost many voters' trust on crime in the Biden years because they were viewed as the soft on crime party when most voters thought crime was a problem.
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
October 28, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Dems lost many voters' trust on crime in the Biden years because they were viewed as the soft on crime party when most voters thought crime was a problem.
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
It is true that Harris running on 2024 as "I was a prosecutor a long time ago" did not solve that.
www.vox.com/politics/458...
"I told him that photo would come back to haunt him..."
October 21, 2025 at 2:33 PM
"I told him that photo would come back to haunt him..."
Though the conspiracy theories are of course nonsense, it did very awkwardly turn out to be true that, shortly before his death, Kirk privately complained "Jewish donors" were pulling their donations from him, and said he might have "no choice but to leave the pro Israel cause.”
October 21, 2025 at 1:41 PM
Though the conspiracy theories are of course nonsense, it did very awkwardly turn out to be true that, shortly before his death, Kirk privately complained "Jewish donors" were pulling their donations from him, and said he might have "no choice but to leave the pro Israel cause.”
Chris Rufo had a brilliant plan to claim that "the left" killed Charlie Kirk, using it as pretext for a crackdown.
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
October 21, 2025 at 1:39 PM
Chris Rufo had a brilliant plan to claim that "the left" killed Charlie Kirk, using it as pretext for a crackdown.
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
There was just one problem: many right-wing influencers concluded, instead, that the Jews did it.
www.vox.com/politics/465...
My piece delves into:
* The ominous warnings from leading right-wingers about the normalization of antisemitism among young Republicans — including GOP staffers
* The rise of the conspiratorial right-wing influencer class
* The leaked texts where Charlie Kirk complains about "Jewish donors"
* The ominous warnings from leading right-wingers about the normalization of antisemitism among young Republicans — including GOP staffers
* The rise of the conspiratorial right-wing influencer class
* The leaked texts where Charlie Kirk complains about "Jewish donors"
October 20, 2025 at 7:24 PM
My piece delves into:
* The ominous warnings from leading right-wingers about the normalization of antisemitism among young Republicans — including GOP staffers
* The rise of the conspiratorial right-wing influencer class
* The leaked texts where Charlie Kirk complains about "Jewish donors"
* The ominous warnings from leading right-wingers about the normalization of antisemitism among young Republicans — including GOP staffers
* The rise of the conspiratorial right-wing influencer class
* The leaked texts where Charlie Kirk complains about "Jewish donors"
New: The leaked Young Republicans chat, and the bizarre conspiracy theories about Jews being involved in Charlie Kirk's murder, have spurred a public debate on the right.
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
October 20, 2025 at 7:22 PM
New: The leaked Young Republicans chat, and the bizarre conspiracy theories about Jews being involved in Charlie Kirk's murder, have spurred a public debate on the right.
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
Should they do more to condemn antisemitism in their own ranks — or not?
Gift link here: www.vox.com/politics/465...
The Trump-Miller DOJ strategy: "flood the zone with shit."
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
October 10, 2025 at 3:16 PM
The Trump-Miller DOJ strategy: "flood the zone with shit."
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
Target Trump's enemies & opposition with multiple likely doomed prosecutions.
When one fails, move to the next (perhaps against the same person).
Goal isn't conviction, it's putting enemies through the wringer
www.vox.com/politics/464...
Bari Weiss is now pivoting to "I only care about good journalism," but in her past few years she's been a factional coalition merchant (cc @profhansnoel.bsky.social ) — she convened a new faction of the right, making common cause with Chris Rufo & others against the left
www.vox.com/politics/463...
www.vox.com/politics/463...
October 6, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Bari Weiss is now pivoting to "I only care about good journalism," but in her past few years she's been a factional coalition merchant (cc @profhansnoel.bsky.social ) — she convened a new faction of the right, making common cause with Chris Rufo & others against the left
www.vox.com/politics/463...
www.vox.com/politics/463...
In 2018 I wrote up the cases for and against Senate Dems shutting down the government via filibuster (in this case their demand was a DACA deal).
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
September 29, 2025 at 6:38 PM
In 2018 I wrote up the cases for and against Senate Dems shutting down the government via filibuster (in this case their demand was a DACA deal).
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
They ended up doing it but caving after three days without success.
www.vox.com/policy-and-p...
So you are unconcerned that, without the filibuster to constrain them, Trump and Senate Republicans would pass new laws interfering with elections or cracking down on the left?
September 12, 2025 at 2:34 PM
So you are unconcerned that, without the filibuster to constrain them, Trump and Senate Republicans would pass new laws interfering with elections or cracking down on the left?
People have been saying this for 8 years and it's still around.
Maybe it's demise is inevitable in the long term but I think this particular moment would be a particularly bad time for it to go away.
Maybe it's demise is inevitable in the long term but I think this particular moment would be a particularly bad time for it to go away.
September 12, 2025 at 2:33 PM
People have been saying this for 8 years and it's still around.
Maybe it's demise is inevitable in the long term but I think this particular moment would be a particularly bad time for it to go away.
Maybe it's demise is inevitable in the long term but I think this particular moment would be a particularly bad time for it to go away.
Trump has wanted the filibuster gone for 8 years and it's still here. Senate Rs prefer to keep it.
But if Senate Rs come to believe that Ds are abusing the filibuster to make governance impossible, they'll end it.
(As we saw this week with the nuclear option they're deploying on nominations.)
But if Senate Rs come to believe that Ds are abusing the filibuster to make governance impossible, they'll end it.
(As we saw this week with the nuclear option they're deploying on nominations.)
September 12, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Trump has wanted the filibuster gone for 8 years and it's still here. Senate Rs prefer to keep it.
But if Senate Rs come to believe that Ds are abusing the filibuster to make governance impossible, they'll end it.
(As we saw this week with the nuclear option they're deploying on nominations.)
But if Senate Rs come to believe that Ds are abusing the filibuster to make governance impossible, they'll end it.
(As we saw this week with the nuclear option they're deploying on nominations.)
The anti-filibuster case also typically asserts that getting the filibuster is good for democracy because it will let the president and Congress enact their agenda, and voters will get to decide if they like it in the next election.
But what if they pass laws interfering with the next election?
But what if they pass laws interfering with the next election?
September 12, 2025 at 2:07 PM
The anti-filibuster case also typically asserts that getting the filibuster is good for democracy because it will let the president and Congress enact their agenda, and voters will get to decide if they like it in the next election.
But what if they pass laws interfering with the next election?
But what if they pass laws interfering with the next election?