Andy Garrett
@andygarrett.bsky.social
Past President Royal Statistical Society. Mostly Medical and Social Science with an interest in climate change and AI. Views my own.
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Some of the best data detective work I’ve seen, and embarrassing for @bmj.com
This is one of the most remarkable academic debacles I've ever seen.
A large RCT got published in BMJ. There are currently 44 Pubpeer comments, mostly about the data, including...well. Read for yourself.
pubpeer.com/publications...
A large RCT got published in BMJ. There are currently 44 Pubpeer comments, mostly about the data, including...well. Read for yourself.
pubpeer.com/publications...
PubPeer - Prevention of acute myocardial infarction induced heart fail...
There are comments on PubPeer for publication: Prevention of acute myocardial infarction induced heart failure by intracoronary infusion of mesenchymal stem cells: phase 3 randomised clinical trial (P...
pubpeer.com
November 11, 2025 at 2:03 PM
Some of the best data detective work I’ve seen, and embarrassing for @bmj.com
Well worth a read. Accessible writing on, and analysis of, climate change targets and carbon intensity from @adrianraftery.bsky.social - a member of our @royalstatsoc.bsky.social Climate Change Task Force.
Did the Paris Climate Agreement work? communities.springernature.com/posts/did-th...
Did the Paris Climate Agreement Work?
The Paris Climate Agreement was agreed by most of the world’s nations in 2015. It aimed to keep global average temperature increase over pre-industrial levels by 2100 to well below 2C. Using probabi...
communities.springernature.com
October 31, 2025 at 4:18 PM
Well worth a read. Accessible writing on, and analysis of, climate change targets and carbon intensity from @adrianraftery.bsky.social - a member of our @royalstatsoc.bsky.social Climate Change Task Force.
Reposted by Andy Garrett
I was interviewed on @obp.org ’s Think Out Loud by Dave Miller about our study on climate trends since the 2015 Paris Agreement: www.opb.org/article/2025.... The study is at www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Emissions from economic growth undermine international progress on climate change, University of Washington study says
A study led by the University of Washington found that while the decade-old Paris Agreement has made some progress in fighting climate change, those gains have been outweighed by emissions associated ...
www.opb.org
October 28, 2025 at 10:47 AM
I was interviewed on @obp.org ’s Think Out Loud by Dave Miller about our study on climate trends since the 2015 Paris Agreement: www.opb.org/article/2025.... The study is at www.nature.com/articles/s43...
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Did you know turbulence is getting worse because of climate change? Jet streams, shifting weather and atmospheric changes are making flights bumpier. Where are the hotspots, and what's driving the change? 👉 Read our blog to find out: www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2025/tu...
Turbulent flights and the climate connection
Did you know that there are different types of turbulence, and that it's becoming more frequent and severe due to climate change?
www.metoffice.gov.uk
October 22, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Did you know turbulence is getting worse because of climate change? Jet streams, shifting weather and atmospheric changes are making flights bumpier. Where are the hotspots, and what's driving the change? 👉 Read our blog to find out: www.metoffice.gov.uk/blog/2025/tu...
The great digital retreat. Started with vinyl. Now pencil and paper business continuity plans. Mark my words, we will all be back shopping on the high street before we know it.
October 14, 2025 at 8:48 AM
The great digital retreat. Started with vinyl. Now pencil and paper business continuity plans. Mark my words, we will all be back shopping on the high street before we know it.
Reposted by Andy Garrett
This is a vulnerability map for 8 key bodies: ONS, OBR, Food Standards Agency, MHRA, Met Office, UKRI, Natural England, & UKHSA.
ONS has the most independence. All but ONS have ministerially appointed leadership. 3 could be abolished with no oversight as they have no statutory basis.
6/11
ONS has the most independence. All but ONS have ministerially appointed leadership. 3 could be abolished with no oversight as they have no statutory basis.
6/11
October 9, 2025 at 3:47 PM
This is a vulnerability map for 8 key bodies: ONS, OBR, Food Standards Agency, MHRA, Met Office, UKRI, Natural England, & UKHSA.
ONS has the most independence. All but ONS have ministerially appointed leadership. 3 could be abolished with no oversight as they have no statutory basis.
6/11
ONS has the most independence. All but ONS have ministerially appointed leadership. 3 could be abolished with no oversight as they have no statutory basis.
6/11
Reposted by Andy Garrett
After a long pause, I've just done another England Covid & NHS update as we head into the autumn/winter season.
TLDR: we're in a significant Covid wave now, the NHS is stretched, get boosted if you're eligible.
christinapagel.substack.com/p/england-is...
TLDR: we're in a significant Covid wave now, the NHS is stretched, get boosted if you're eligible.
christinapagel.substack.com/p/england-is...
England is now experiencing a significant Covid wave, after 10 months of relative quiet
The latest Covid situation in England and a look at where NHS services are as we head into winter
christinapagel.substack.com
October 10, 2025 at 1:10 PM
After a long pause, I've just done another England Covid & NHS update as we head into the autumn/winter season.
TLDR: we're in a significant Covid wave now, the NHS is stretched, get boosted if you're eligible.
christinapagel.substack.com/p/england-is...
TLDR: we're in a significant Covid wave now, the NHS is stretched, get boosted if you're eligible.
christinapagel.substack.com/p/england-is...
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Nice chart from @ourworldindata.org showing the contrast between what Americans die of (heart disease and cancer) v what the US media reports on (homicide and terrorism). This naturally leads to it being trickier to build a fact based world view
ourworldindata.org/does-the-new...
ourworldindata.org/does-the-new...
October 6, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Nice chart from @ourworldindata.org showing the contrast between what Americans die of (heart disease and cancer) v what the US media reports on (homicide and terrorism). This naturally leads to it being trickier to build a fact based world view
ourworldindata.org/does-the-new...
ourworldindata.org/does-the-new...
Reposted by Andy Garrett
We’ve joined @senseaboutsci.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social & @niesrorg.bsky.social in writing to PACAC to defend the independence of UK stats 📊
Free from political pressure = trustworthy data = better decisions for all.
rss.org.uk/news-publica...
Free from political pressure = trustworthy data = better decisions for all.
rss.org.uk/news-publica...
October 2, 2025 at 3:14 PM
We’ve joined @senseaboutsci.bsky.social @resmedia.bsky.social & @niesrorg.bsky.social in writing to PACAC to defend the independence of UK stats 📊
Free from political pressure = trustworthy data = better decisions for all.
rss.org.uk/news-publica...
Free from political pressure = trustworthy data = better decisions for all.
rss.org.uk/news-publica...
September 30, 2025 at 11:21 AM
Reposted by Andy Garrett
In a UN speech today, President Trump said that "all of these [climate] predictions were wrong".
Back in 2019 I led a research effort to digitize old climate model projections and assess how well they did. Turns out they got future warming pretty spot on!
Back in 2019 I led a research effort to digitize old climate model projections and assess how well they did. Turns out they got future warming pretty spot on!
September 23, 2025 at 5:01 PM
In a UN speech today, President Trump said that "all of these [climate] predictions were wrong".
Back in 2019 I led a research effort to digitize old climate model projections and assess how well they did. Turns out they got future warming pretty spot on!
Back in 2019 I led a research effort to digitize old climate model projections and assess how well they did. Turns out they got future warming pretty spot on!
www.forbes.com/sites/joshua...
A useful reminder of what happens when due process is not followed. We have regulatory agencies with a breadth & depth of expertise for a reason (inc labelling). Look no further than the Kefauver-Harris Amendment (1962) & earlier Drug, Food and Cosmetic act (1938).
A useful reminder of what happens when due process is not followed. We have regulatory agencies with a breadth & depth of expertise for a reason (inc labelling). Look no further than the Kefauver-Harris Amendment (1962) & earlier Drug, Food and Cosmetic act (1938).
Trump Promoted Hydroxychloroquine, A Drug Now Linked To 17,000 Deaths
Trump promoted the use of hydroxychloroquine as Covid-19 treatment in the spring of 2020. A new study shows that the drug has been linked to approximately 17,000 deaths.
www.forbes.com
September 23, 2025 at 11:29 AM
www.forbes.com/sites/joshua...
A useful reminder of what happens when due process is not followed. We have regulatory agencies with a breadth & depth of expertise for a reason (inc labelling). Look no further than the Kefauver-Harris Amendment (1962) & earlier Drug, Food and Cosmetic act (1938).
A useful reminder of what happens when due process is not followed. We have regulatory agencies with a breadth & depth of expertise for a reason (inc labelling). Look no further than the Kefauver-Harris Amendment (1962) & earlier Drug, Food and Cosmetic act (1938).
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Paracetamol remains an important option to treat pain or fever in pregnant women.
Following rigorous assessment of the available scientific data, we find no evidence that taking paracetamol during pregnancy causes autism in children.
Read more 👉 www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/use-...
Following rigorous assessment of the available scientific data, we find no evidence that taking paracetamol during pregnancy causes autism in children.
Read more 👉 www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/use-...
Use of paracetamol during pregnancy unchanged in the EU | European Medicines Agency (EMA)
Paracetamol medicines can be used in pregnancy, in accordance with official recommendations
www.ema.europa.eu
September 23, 2025 at 10:28 AM
Paracetamol remains an important option to treat pain or fever in pregnant women.
Following rigorous assessment of the available scientific data, we find no evidence that taking paracetamol during pregnancy causes autism in children.
Read more 👉 www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/use-...
Following rigorous assessment of the available scientific data, we find no evidence that taking paracetamol during pregnancy causes autism in children.
Read more 👉 www.ema.europa.eu/en/news/use-...
Reposted by Andy Garrett
It is September 18.
Today, @hannahritchie.bsky.social's book is out!
www.penguin.co.uk/books/462676...
Today, @hannahritchie.bsky.social's book is out!
www.penguin.co.uk/books/462676...
Clearing the Air
'We urgently need Hannah Ritchie' GUARDIAN
'Essential reading' RUTGER BREGMAN
'Read this book -- now' MARK LYNAS
We can’t afford to delay climate action, but with all the shouting and disagreement i...
www.penguin.co.uk
September 18, 2025 at 10:41 AM
It is September 18.
Today, @hannahritchie.bsky.social's book is out!
www.penguin.co.uk/books/462676...
Today, @hannahritchie.bsky.social's book is out!
www.penguin.co.uk/books/462676...
Reposted by Andy Garrett
The Northern Pacific Ocean is currently smashing temperature records.
And it is reaching these levels far earlier than the current generation of climate models had expected.
A short thread 🧵
And it is reaching these levels far earlier than the current generation of climate models had expected.
A short thread 🧵
September 18, 2025 at 10:44 AM
The Northern Pacific Ocean is currently smashing temperature records.
And it is reaching these levels far earlier than the current generation of climate models had expected.
A short thread 🧵
And it is reaching these levels far earlier than the current generation of climate models had expected.
A short thread 🧵
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Hurricane Katrina's storm surge was deadly in 2005, and the seas are even higher now, which means similar storms could cause even more damage. Some of the highest rates of local sea level rise in the world are occurring along the Gulf Coast.
Sea level rise, explained » Yale Climate Connections
It’s already straining coastal communities. And it’s set to get worse.
yaleclimateconnections.org
August 29, 2025 at 3:13 PM
Hurricane Katrina's storm surge was deadly in 2005, and the seas are even higher now, which means similar storms could cause even more damage. Some of the highest rates of local sea level rise in the world are occurring along the Gulf Coast.
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Calling all students! Did you know we offer a free e-membership to those studying at A Level and above?
Whether you’re already studying – or starting your A Levels or a degree next month - you can join online now: rss.org.uk/membership/j...
Whether you’re already studying – or starting your A Levels or a degree next month - you can join online now: rss.org.uk/membership/j...
August 27, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Calling all students! Did you know we offer a free e-membership to those studying at A Level and above?
Whether you’re already studying – or starting your A Levels or a degree next month - you can join online now: rss.org.uk/membership/j...
Whether you’re already studying – or starting your A Levels or a degree next month - you can join online now: rss.org.uk/membership/j...
rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
2017 article from Significance, free to view.
“In the USA, for example, various statistical agencies benefit from legal protections introduced in past decades, triggered by concerns that the White House could try to influence how data are presented.”
2017 article from Significance, free to view.
“In the USA, for example, various statistical agencies benefit from legal protections introduced in past decades, triggered by concerns that the White House could try to influence how data are presented.”
Royal Statistical Society Publications
Andreas Georgiou arrived in Greece to help repair the poor reputation of the country's economic statistics. But he was soon defending his own reputation against charges of damaging the Greek state.
rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
August 2, 2025 at 8:12 AM
rss.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
2017 article from Significance, free to view.
“In the USA, for example, various statistical agencies benefit from legal protections introduced in past decades, triggered by concerns that the White House could try to influence how data are presented.”
2017 article from Significance, free to view.
“In the USA, for example, various statistical agencies benefit from legal protections introduced in past decades, triggered by concerns that the White House could try to influence how data are presented.”
Reposted by Andy Garrett
We’ve got a nice new @britishacademy.bsky.social report which makes the case for a more place based and locally collaborative approach to achieving net zero
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/news/governm...
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/news/governm...
Government must work with communities to achieve net zero, says new report
A new British Academy report says the government must work harder to understand the needs of people across the UK to hit its Net Zero targets, while also navigating strained public finances, rising in...
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk
July 29, 2025 at 9:43 AM
We’ve got a nice new @britishacademy.bsky.social report which makes the case for a more place based and locally collaborative approach to achieving net zero
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/news/governm...
www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/news/governm...
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Our Climate Change & Net Zero Task Force co-chair David Stephenson writes for the @geographicalassoc.bsky.social on how teaching climate change through statistics helps students critically interpret climate data 🌎📈
Teaching students how to critically interpret statistical concepts in climate - The GA Blog
David Stephenson discusses how teaching climate change through statistics empowers students to evaluate climate claims in the media.
ga-blog.org
July 14, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Our Climate Change & Net Zero Task Force co-chair David Stephenson writes for the @geographicalassoc.bsky.social on how teaching climate change through statistics helps students critically interpret climate data 🌎📈
ga-blog.org/2025/07/11/t...
Blog post from @royalstatsoc.bsky.social climate change task force co-chair David Stephenson, that introduces our explainers.
GA supports high quality geography education by enabling teachers to share ideas and learn from each other.
Blog post from @royalstatsoc.bsky.social climate change task force co-chair David Stephenson, that introduces our explainers.
GA supports high quality geography education by enabling teachers to share ideas and learn from each other.
Teaching students how to critically interpret statistical concepts in climate - The GA Blog
David Stephenson discusses how teaching climate change through statistics empowers students to evaluate climate claims in the media.
ga-blog.org
July 11, 2025 at 3:25 PM
ga-blog.org/2025/07/11/t...
Blog post from @royalstatsoc.bsky.social climate change task force co-chair David Stephenson, that introduces our explainers.
GA supports high quality geography education by enabling teachers to share ideas and learn from each other.
Blog post from @royalstatsoc.bsky.social climate change task force co-chair David Stephenson, that introduces our explainers.
GA supports high quality geography education by enabling teachers to share ideas and learn from each other.
Two more climate change explainers from the RSS task force including @dariodomi.bsky.social @adrianraftery.bsky.social @andrewcparnell.bsky.social amongst others.
Hot enough for you? ☀️
It’s not just summer – it’s statistics.
New explainers from our Climate Change Task Force:
📍 Local warming ≠ global average
📍 How we know humans are behind the heat
Read the explainers: rss.org.uk/news-publica...
#ClimateChange #Heatwave #ClimateScience
It’s not just summer – it’s statistics.
New explainers from our Climate Change Task Force:
📍 Local warming ≠ global average
📍 How we know humans are behind the heat
Read the explainers: rss.org.uk/news-publica...
#ClimateChange #Heatwave #ClimateScience
RSS Climate Change Task Force releases two new explainers on local warming and the attribution of e
rss.org.uk
June 25, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Two more climate change explainers from the RSS task force including @dariodomi.bsky.social @adrianraftery.bsky.social @andrewcparnell.bsky.social amongst others.
Reposted by Andy Garrett
Classification of weather stations by the current average population density in the 5 km circle around the station.
67% of stations are in rural or very rural areas vs. 8% in urban areas.
Based on 52,000 stations in the Berkeley Earth archive.
1/ 🧪
67% of stations are in rural or very rural areas vs. 8% in urban areas.
Based on 52,000 stations in the Berkeley Earth archive.
1/ 🧪
June 23, 2025 at 10:24 AM
Classification of weather stations by the current average population density in the 5 km circle around the station.
67% of stations are in rural or very rural areas vs. 8% in urban areas.
Based on 52,000 stations in the Berkeley Earth archive.
1/ 🧪
67% of stations are in rural or very rural areas vs. 8% in urban areas.
Based on 52,000 stations in the Berkeley Earth archive.
1/ 🧪
Finally got to bring the vinyl collection down from the loft. Some classics, but….
June 8, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Finally got to bring the vinyl collection down from the loft. Some classics, but….
Bagehot on great form at the @economist.com
“The Treasury gazes longingly at ISAs, the tax-free saving accounts that are a tremendous bung to middle-class people. Middle England feels about ISAs the same way rural America feels about guns.”
economist.com/britain/2025...
“The Treasury gazes longingly at ISAs, the tax-free saving accounts that are a tremendous bung to middle-class people. Middle England feels about ISAs the same way rural America feels about guns.”
economist.com/britain/2025...
Doctors, teachers and junior bankers of the world, unite!
The rise of middle-class consciousness
economist.com
May 31, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Bagehot on great form at the @economist.com
“The Treasury gazes longingly at ISAs, the tax-free saving accounts that are a tremendous bung to middle-class people. Middle England feels about ISAs the same way rural America feels about guns.”
economist.com/britain/2025...
“The Treasury gazes longingly at ISAs, the tax-free saving accounts that are a tremendous bung to middle-class people. Middle England feels about ISAs the same way rural America feels about guns.”
economist.com/britain/2025...