@andybeger.bsky.social
Data/political scientist. Pro-democracy, pro-NATO, pro-US.
Nice, we might get intentionally induced Kessler syndrome in 2026 thanks to Putin
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler...
December 22, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Nice, we might get intentionally induced Kessler syndrome in 2026 thanks to Putin
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler...
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler...
Reposted
Again, all of this talk about talks is futile bullshit as long as there is no basis for compromise between EU/UK/UA Europeans and Russia
As long as Putin can't accept that Russia can't control all Ukraine there is no such basis for a productive process with sustainable outcomes
As long as Putin can't accept that Russia can't control all Ukraine there is no such basis for a productive process with sustainable outcomes
December 22, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Again, all of this talk about talks is futile bullshit as long as there is no basis for compromise between EU/UK/UA Europeans and Russia
As long as Putin can't accept that Russia can't control all Ukraine there is no such basis for a productive process with sustainable outcomes
As long as Putin can't accept that Russia can't control all Ukraine there is no such basis for a productive process with sustainable outcomes
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The "WE MUST DIALOGUE" crowd never quite explain the concrete process and sustainable outcomes dialogue should serve.
Treating dialogue as an end in itself is how Europe got in this mess in the first place.
Treating dialogue as an end in itself is how Europe got in this mess in the first place.
December 22, 2025 at 10:24 AM
The "WE MUST DIALOGUE" crowd never quite explain the concrete process and sustainable outcomes dialogue should serve.
Treating dialogue as an end in itself is how Europe got in this mess in the first place.
Treating dialogue as an end in itself is how Europe got in this mess in the first place.
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You wanna talk about a crisis of masculinity? I have been adamant that one does not exisit, at least within the framing of the current moment.
But thinking about it some more has led me to believe we do have a crisis of masculinity. Except it goes back decades-to WW2.
But thinking about it some more has led me to believe we do have a crisis of masculinity. Except it goes back decades-to WW2.
December 15, 2025 at 7:06 PM
You wanna talk about a crisis of masculinity? I have been adamant that one does not exisit, at least within the framing of the current moment.
But thinking about it some more has led me to believe we do have a crisis of masculinity. Except it goes back decades-to WW2.
But thinking about it some more has led me to believe we do have a crisis of masculinity. Except it goes back decades-to WW2.
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So please, let's stop with the "Trump is an outsider who will blow up the foreign policy establishment" takes. What we've blown up is our soft power, our values (see below on the devastation from USAID cuts), our allies' trust, our research edge, and more. 6/
www.propublica.org/article/usai...
www.propublica.org/article/usai...
Trump Officials Celebrated With Cake After Slashing Aid. Then People Died of Cholera.
Behind closed doors in Washington, top advisers made a series of decisions that had devastating repercussions for the poorest country on earth. We went to South Sudan and found people who died as a re...
www.propublica.org
December 15, 2025 at 12:50 PM
So please, let's stop with the "Trump is an outsider who will blow up the foreign policy establishment" takes. What we've blown up is our soft power, our values (see below on the devastation from USAID cuts), our allies' trust, our research edge, and more. 6/
www.propublica.org/article/usai...
www.propublica.org/article/usai...
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🧪What an impressive track record!
The introduction of vaccines to children caused a ~99% decrease in cases of whooping cough, measles, mumps, diphtheria, rubella & polio.
Via unbiasedscipod on IG
Sack the Quack
Impeach RFK Jr.
The introduction of vaccines to children caused a ~99% decrease in cases of whooping cough, measles, mumps, diphtheria, rubella & polio.
Via unbiasedscipod on IG
Sack the Quack
Impeach RFK Jr.
December 8, 2025 at 2:39 AM
🧪What an impressive track record!
The introduction of vaccines to children caused a ~99% decrease in cases of whooping cough, measles, mumps, diphtheria, rubella & polio.
Via unbiasedscipod on IG
Sack the Quack
Impeach RFK Jr.
The introduction of vaccines to children caused a ~99% decrease in cases of whooping cough, measles, mumps, diphtheria, rubella & polio.
Via unbiasedscipod on IG
Sack the Quack
Impeach RFK Jr.
Reposted
Release the boat video.
Release the Epstein files.
Release the Epstein files.
December 5, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Release the boat video.
Release the Epstein files.
Release the Epstein files.
The fact that Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine bottoms out FT's new geopolitical mood index really shows how "not with the times" Russia's hostility has been, even amidst the general bleakness of the past decade; worse than 9/11, worse than Gulf War, etc.
www.ft.com/content/db32...
www.ft.com/content/db32...
December 5, 2025 at 2:43 PM
The fact that Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine bottoms out FT's new geopolitical mood index really shows how "not with the times" Russia's hostility has been, even amidst the general bleakness of the past decade; worse than 9/11, worse than Gulf War, etc.
www.ft.com/content/db32...
www.ft.com/content/db32...
Reposted
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Whenever I mention AI on here, I am encouraged to note the difference between AI in the form of large language models (LLMs), which everyone hates, and AI in the form of machine learning (ML), which everyone seems to feel is just fine.
Question: is there a clear distinction or is it a spectrum?
Question: is there a clear distinction or is it a spectrum?
December 1, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Whenever I mention AI on here, I am encouraged to note the difference between AI in the form of large language models (LLMs), which everyone hates, and AI in the form of machine learning (ML), which everyone seems to feel is just fine.
Question: is there a clear distinction or is it a spectrum?
Question: is there a clear distinction or is it a spectrum?
“We don’t have a conservative and a liberal party right now. We have a democracy party and a fascist party.”
👍
👍
“I want their morale as low as possible because a team with low morale is ineffective.”
Meet the veteran who chases ICE on a scooter
Meet the veteran who chases ICE on a scooter
Meet the veteran who chases ICE on a scooter
Clifford “Buzz” Grambo patrols the streets of Baltimore to keep his neighbors safe—and make federal agents uncomfortable.
www.motherjones.com
November 20, 2025 at 8:37 PM
“We don’t have a conservative and a liberal party right now. We have a democracy party and a fascist party.”
👍
👍
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NEW: Epstein survivors release the most powerful PSA I have ever seen.
Make this go viral so every member of the House of Representatives sees it.
Make this go viral so every member of the House of Representatives sees it.
November 16, 2025 at 11:43 PM
NEW: Epstein survivors release the most powerful PSA I have ever seen.
Make this go viral so every member of the House of Representatives sees it.
Make this go viral so every member of the House of Representatives sees it.
Reposted
NEW: ProPublica examined months of Fox News’ coverage and reviewed over 700 videos posted on social media.
The network used five-year-old footage, mislabeled other dates and implied footage from elsewhere was in Portland.
The network used five-year-old footage, mislabeled other dates and implied footage from elsewhere was in Portland.
“Riots Raging”: The Misleading Story Fox News Told About Portland Before Trump Sent Troops
After reviewing coverage from the network and hours of social media videos that preceded Trump’s decision, ProPublica found that Fox’s portrayal of “Portland rioters” routinely instigating violence was misleading.
www.propublica.org
November 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM
NEW: ProPublica examined months of Fox News’ coverage and reviewed over 700 videos posted on social media.
The network used five-year-old footage, mislabeled other dates and implied footage from elsewhere was in Portland.
The network used five-year-old footage, mislabeled other dates and implied footage from elsewhere was in Portland.
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The DOGE cuts seemed to focus on tax teams that pursued enforcement of high income earners. The IRS had been building up enforcement on this area because most of the tax gap is driven by higher earners. Lax enforcement could cost hundreds of billions. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/five-quest...
November 12, 2025 at 7:31 PM
The DOGE cuts seemed to focus on tax teams that pursued enforcement of high income earners. The IRS had been building up enforcement on this area because most of the tax gap is driven by higher earners. Lax enforcement could cost hundreds of billions. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/five-quest...
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It is this lack of accountability, dating back to Reagan, that has paved the way for Trump’s impunity.
When justice is not rendered, it becomes useless.
“If it was anybody else, we’d arrest him tomorrow,' Justice Department aide said of Trump”
When justice is not rendered, it becomes useless.
“If it was anybody else, we’d arrest him tomorrow,' Justice Department aide said of Trump”
‘If it was anybody else, we’d arrest him tomorrow,' Justice Department aide said of Trump
A handful of documents found by the FBI at Mar-a-Lago were so sensitive that even a senior Justice Department official didn’t have authorization to see them.
www.msnbc.com
November 3, 2025 at 5:29 PM
It is this lack of accountability, dating back to Reagan, that has paved the way for Trump’s impunity.
When justice is not rendered, it becomes useless.
“If it was anybody else, we’d arrest him tomorrow,' Justice Department aide said of Trump”
When justice is not rendered, it becomes useless.
“If it was anybody else, we’d arrest him tomorrow,' Justice Department aide said of Trump”
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An authoritarian...
stifles dissent/speech
persecutes opponents
bypasses legislature
uses military domestically
defies courts
declares false emergencies
vilifies groups
controls info/media
controls universities
creates cult of personality
uses power for profit
manipulates law to stay in power
stifles dissent/speech
persecutes opponents
bypasses legislature
uses military domestically
defies courts
declares false emergencies
vilifies groups
controls info/media
controls universities
creates cult of personality
uses power for profit
manipulates law to stay in power
Opinion | In Trump’s America, Are We Losing Our Democracy? (Gift Article)
Donald Trump has wielded power as no previous president has.
www.nytimes.com
October 31, 2025 at 2:13 PM
An authoritarian...
stifles dissent/speech
persecutes opponents
bypasses legislature
uses military domestically
defies courts
declares false emergencies
vilifies groups
controls info/media
controls universities
creates cult of personality
uses power for profit
manipulates law to stay in power
stifles dissent/speech
persecutes opponents
bypasses legislature
uses military domestically
defies courts
declares false emergencies
vilifies groups
controls info/media
controls universities
creates cult of personality
uses power for profit
manipulates law to stay in power
Reposted
The Washington Post and NYT should have Chicago on the front page every single day. Stories, columns and photos. Every day.
October 27, 2025 at 3:53 AM
The Washington Post and NYT should have Chicago on the front page every single day. Stories, columns and photos. Every day.
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Incredible how quickly we have normalized the lawless authoritarianism and again erased it from the front pages.
This is a choice. As we have seen, other choices are available when the media wants them to be.
This is a choice. As we have seen, other choices are available when the media wants them to be.
October 27, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Incredible how quickly we have normalized the lawless authoritarianism and again erased it from the front pages.
This is a choice. As we have seen, other choices are available when the media wants them to be.
This is a choice. As we have seen, other choices are available when the media wants them to be.
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Of the 63 Nobel winners in physics, chemistry, and medicine in the 21st century who won living/working in a country other than where they are born 41 were in the US. This has a huge value to US. This is what Trump wants to destroy. H/T @nature.com
October 27, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Of the 63 Nobel winners in physics, chemistry, and medicine in the 21st century who won living/working in a country other than where they are born 41 were in the US. This has a huge value to US. This is what Trump wants to destroy. H/T @nature.com
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When Trump said he would bring on a "New Golden Age," he was talking about his wallet.
October 26, 2025 at 5:31 PM
When Trump said he would bring on a "New Golden Age," he was talking about his wallet.
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More evidence supporting this really neat paper doi.org/10.1111/ajps... (JSTOR version: www.jstor.org/stable/45295...)
October 23, 2025 at 2:21 PM
More evidence supporting this really neat paper doi.org/10.1111/ajps... (JSTOR version: www.jstor.org/stable/45295...)
October 23, 2025 at 8:33 AM
Russia has lost more dead in Ukraine than the US did in the Pacific in WW2, and maybe already more than the US did in WW2 overall (Pacific + Europe).
Based on estimates by the Economist in this fantastic article: www.economist.com/interactive/...
Based on estimates by the Economist in this fantastic article: www.economist.com/interactive/...
Russia's latest big Ukraine offensive gains next to nothing, again
Hundreds of thousands of Vladimir Putin's troops are losing their lives for barely any land
www.economist.com
October 21, 2025 at 10:22 AM
Russia has lost more dead in Ukraine than the US did in the Pacific in WW2, and maybe already more than the US did in WW2 overall (Pacific + Europe).
Based on estimates by the Economist in this fantastic article: www.economist.com/interactive/...
Based on estimates by the Economist in this fantastic article: www.economist.com/interactive/...
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Mass protest, organizing, & voting are great. But Democrats (& democrats) need to be ready to make major institutional changes once the authoritarians are defeated. Otherwise, all the policies will again fail in the Senate & SCOTUS & everyone will get mad at Democrats again & the cycle will renew.
🧵 Democrats need to stop promising sweeping policies like this w/o ever discussing <institutional> reform. There was <no way> any of this was going to pass the Senate. It's no wonder voters get disillusioned. You promise them magical 🦄 & can't deliver. The <platform> needs to be institutional reform
Biden promised affordable childcare, universal paid family leave, higher minimum wages, free community college, and more. Those policies would disproportionately benefit women, especially those who make too much to qualify for existing programs but not enough to easily afford paid support. 2/
October 19, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Mass protest, organizing, & voting are great. But Democrats (& democrats) need to be ready to make major institutional changes once the authoritarians are defeated. Otherwise, all the policies will again fail in the Senate & SCOTUS & everyone will get mad at Democrats again & the cycle will renew.
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My team at the Crowd Counting Consortium (@djpressman.bsky.social, Hammam, & Chris Shay) has a new piece, whose title speaks for itself. A 🧵 with some key descriptive takeaways:
The resistance reaches into Trump country
As organizers for No Kings 2 seek historic turnout on Oct. 18, the broader pro-democracy movement has already broken new ground.
wagingnonviolence.org
October 16, 2025 at 8:11 PM
My team at the Crowd Counting Consortium (@djpressman.bsky.social, Hammam, & Chris Shay) has a new piece, whose title speaks for itself. A 🧵 with some key descriptive takeaways: