andybeger.bsky.social
@andybeger.bsky.social
Data/political scientist. Pro-democracy, pro-NATO, pro-US.
Reposted
Again, all of this talk about talks is futile bullshit as long as there is no basis for compromise between EU/UK/UA Europeans and Russia

As long as Putin can't accept that Russia can't control all Ukraine there is no such basis for a productive process with sustainable outcomes
December 22, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Reposted
The "WE MUST DIALOGUE" crowd never quite explain the concrete process and sustainable outcomes dialogue should serve.

Treating dialogue as an end in itself is how Europe got in this mess in the first place.
December 22, 2025 at 10:24 AM
Builders want to build places that people will want to buy or rent
December 20, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Reposted
So please, let's stop with the "Trump is an outsider who will blow up the foreign policy establishment" takes. What we've blown up is our soft power, our values (see below on the devastation from USAID cuts), our allies' trust, our research edge, and more. 6/
www.propublica.org/article/usai...
Trump Officials Celebrated With Cake After Slashing Aid. Then People Died of Cholera.
Behind closed doors in Washington, top advisers made a series of decisions that had devastating repercussions for the poorest country on earth. We went to South Sudan and found people who died as a re...
www.propublica.org
December 15, 2025 at 12:50 PM
To be fair, any person named "Pam" who has killed someone has overall still done far less net societal harm than Pam Bondi.
December 5, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Whereas you can easily code something much faster, cheaper, and reliable for doing addition.
December 2, 2025 at 11:15 AM
What I mean with the latter is that they don’t necessarily know that 1+1=2 because they have internalized rules for arithmetic, often it can be simply pattern matching…lots of text out there with that sequence of characters
December 2, 2025 at 11:15 AM
In a technical sense, it’s fuzzy.

But, I think there is a useful distinction between generative LLMs like chatGPT and everything else:

1. Non-technical people can “talk” to them
2. Creating text imbues them with apparent intelligence, and incidentally lets them do other things (kind of)
December 2, 2025 at 11:15 AM
Auto spellcorrect when you speak and write in multiple languages, daily. Ugh.
November 30, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Which is another school/course, air assault. I agree that’s still relevant.
November 24, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Let's get rid of Airborne for sure though, totally pointless for a long time. Just ribbons for the ribbon collectors.
November 24, 2025 at 7:37 PM
It’s not about the letter of the treaty. If you don’t respond forcefully to an attack on a member state, it undermines the credibility of Art 5, and everything rests on that being perceived credibly.
November 21, 2025 at 9:22 PM
Fingers crossed 🤞
November 19, 2025 at 9:54 AM
So doubling sign-up bonuses to attract recruits for Russia’s army.
November 15, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Reposted
The DOGE cuts seemed to focus on tax teams that pursued enforcement of high income earners. The IRS had been building up enforcement on this area because most of the tax gap is driven by higher earners. Lax enforcement could cost hundreds of billions. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/five-quest...
November 12, 2025 at 7:31 PM