Andrew B. Watkins
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windjunky.bsky.social
Andrew B. Watkins
@windjunky.bsky.social

Australian climate scientist rambling about climate drivers, variability, risks, trends & impacts. Once played goalie for Antarctica. Born @ 325ppm.
https://www.linkedin.com/in/drandrewwatkins/

Environmental science 33%
Medicine 16%

I’ve declined to give two seminars in the Woodside building so far. I’m glad a sensible decision to step away from fossil fuel interests has been made. It sends a message of hope to the next generations.
From @nteumonash.bsky.social...

In Academic Board this week, Vice-Chancellor Sharon Pickering announced that Monash University will end its controversial partnership with fossil fuel giant Woodside Energy. Vice-Chancellor Pickering also said that the Woodside Building will eventually be renamed.

Reposted by Andrew Watkins

From @nteumonash.bsky.social...

In Academic Board this week, Vice-Chancellor Sharon Pickering announced that Monash University will end its controversial partnership with fossil fuel giant Woodside Energy. Vice-Chancellor Pickering also said that the Woodside Building will eventually be renamed.

Classic Melbourne cold front moves up the bay
(Timelapse 4:30-:4:40pm today Monday 10/11/25)

Its almost 14C in the estuary!
www.baywx.com.au/hobtemps.html
www.baywx.com.au

Projected total water demand may exceed total (natural) water supply before the end of the century in the western United States of America, Mediterranean regions, northern Africa, southern Africa, India, northern China, and southern Australia (red on map).
Paper at: www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Great thread and links on global cities with high water insecurity by @thierryaaron.bsky.social
(Lack of water = angry people)
In 2020 @wwf.panda.org identified the 100 global cities expected to suffer the greatest rise in water risk by 2050- home to at least 350 million people!

We've already seen several megacities just days away from running dry.

Here's a🧵 with eg's

Drought situation in Iran (and Iraq) looks bad. Major supply dam for Tehran may run dry before December.
Another example of mid latitude regions drying around the globe coupled with natural climate variability + minimal preparation.

www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11...
www.forbes.com/sites/sanamm...
Drinking water in Tehran could run dry in two weeks, Iranian official says
A historic drought in the country has culminated in a '100 percent drop in precipitation' in the Tehran region.
www.aljazeera.com
In 2020 @wwf.panda.org identified the 100 global cities expected to suffer the greatest rise in water risk by 2050- home to at least 350 million people!

We've already seen several megacities just days away from running dry.

Here's a🧵 with eg's

It’s come to this. So sad for my once amazing organisation.
That said, I still say 99% of people at the operational coalface put 110% every day into making Australia safer and more prosperous. I’ve never experienced more passion in a public service. Anywhere.
New CEO literally starts tomorrow.

Reposted by Andrew Watkins

www.originalpower.org.au

National Climate Risk Assessment First Nations report notes disproportional heath impacts, which will only be compounded by restricted access to energy and refrigeration. Report is at:

www.acs.gov.au/documents/f8...

Shocking & inhumane in 2025 Australia.
65,000 First Nations’ households access electricity by prepaying with a national average of 49 disconnections per year *per household*. Disconnections double over 40°C.
Overwhelming future Climate Risk #NCRA

www.firstnationscleanenergy.org.au/national_inv...
National investigation into prepayment power arrangements reveal First Nations communities among world’s most energy insecure
National investigation into prepayment for power arrangements reveal First Nations communities among world’s most energy insecure. A new report, Right to Power, is being launched today by Original Po...
www.firstnationscleanenergy.org.au

Bugger.
Latest #Climate data shows a podium finish for 2025

We are in the decade where the 1.5°C limit is likely to be exceeded, highlighting the accelerating pace of climate change

Average global temperature for 2023–2025 is likely to exceed 1.5°C, the first three-year average to do so 🌡️🌏🧪⚒️
Latest #Climate data shows a podium finish for 2025

We are in the decade where the 1.5°C limit is likely to be exceeded, highlighting the accelerating pace of climate change

Average global temperature for 2023–2025 is likely to exceed 1.5°C, the first three-year average to do so 🌡️🌏🧪⚒️

Now there's an idea for Australia...
Every MP now has a personal video invitation to the National Emergency Briefing.

This is about ensuring all policymakers are fully informed.

Find and send your MP’s invite:

#neb #timetostepup #NationalEmergencyBriefing

docs.google.com/document/d/1...

When the insurance companies themselves call for governments to get serious about planned relocation in some areas, you know they 'believe' in it. A planned relocation factsheet:
www.iag.com.au/content/dam/...
www.iag.com.au

The insurance industry offering advice to decision makers on planned relocations. Says something very serious about their view of future risks in some communities...
www.iag.com.au/content/dam/...
www.iag.com.au

And some great graphics!

Some interesting information on storms and tropical cyclones that may would have low confidence, and certainly needs more research

Insurance Australia Group (IAG) Severe Weather in a Changing Climate report
www.iag.com.au/severe-weath...
“The report complements Australia’s National Climate Risk Assessment (2025) … together with anticipated impacts for the finance & insurance industry.”
Key Planning Recommendations are given

The BoM insisting ‘the design only cost $4m’ is akin to pointing at your million dollar home and telling people “it only cost $10k (for the plans)”. #itsamilliondollarhome

Reposted by Andrew Watkins

Sinking (warming) air over Antarctica, resulting from the weakened polar vortex, has produced an ongoing period of negative AAO/SAM.

Reposted by Andrew Watkins

A letter supporting the NCRA in today’s Herald Sun.
#miracle #smallsteps #thankyou

“Global warming projections over this century, based on full implementation of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), are now 2.3-2.5°C, while those based on current policies are 2.8°C.”
UNEP Emissions Gap Report 2025
www.unep.org/resources/em...
New national climate plans have barely moved the needle on limiting global warming. Yet there is hope.

According to UNEP's latest #EmissionsGap Report, accelerated adoption of renewable energy and falling costs mean we have the tools to cut emissions now: www.unep.org/news-and-sto...

Indeed - my wife was a cross country ski racer in the 1990’s, and would rack up 30 days of skiing in a year at Lake Mountain. Now you’d be lucky if it’s entire skiable season is half of that - they don’t even have ski hire or lessons there any more.