Stephanie S.
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twistedzen.bsky.social
Stephanie S.
@twistedzen.bsky.social
Nukes and national security, PhD candidate International Conflict Management. Research Scientist focused on US nuclear policy and deterrence.
A real WTF post right there. Wow.
If Trump calls up a nuclear strike on Venezuela then we are probably nuking Venezuela.

Not likely that he will and this language (incalculable) does fall into “nuclear compellence” with all options on the table.
Trump threatens Venezuela:

“GET THEM THE HELL OUT OF OUR COUNTRY, RIGHT NOW, OR THE PRICE YOU PAY WILL BE INCALCULABLE!”
September 20, 2025 at 5:46 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un said Pyongyang will unveil a policy to advance both its nuclear arsenal and conventional military power at an upcoming key ruling party meeting, state media said Saturday.
North Korea's Kim says country to boost nuclear arsenal and conventional military
Experts said the remarks reflect Kim's view that nuclear forces alone have limits as a deterrent, and that his conventional arsenal must also be modernized.
ebx.sh
September 13, 2025 at 10:48 AM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
June 27, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
FY 2026 Budget: Navy Wants 6,000 More Sailors, Marine Corps End Strength to Shrink Slightly — USNI News
news.usni.org/2025/06/26/f...
FY 2026 Budget: Navy Wants 6,000 More Sailors, Marine Corps End Strength to Shrink Slightly - USNI News
The Navy continues to grow its force while the Marine Corps is budgeting for a slightly smaller force in the next fiscal year, according to the Department of the Navy Fiscal Year 2026 budget material ...
news.usni.org
June 26, 2025 at 9:55 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Early intelligence suggests Iran’s uranium largely intact, European officials say https://on.ft.com/46c4UCH
Early intelligence suggests Iran’s uranium largely intact, European officials say
Preliminary assessments suggest Tehran was able to move much of its stockpile
on.ft.com
June 26, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Centrifuges at the Fordo uranium enrichment plant in Iran are "no longer operational" after the U.S. attacked the facility with bunker-busting bombs, Rafael Grossi, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said on French radio Thursday.
Centrifuges at Fordo ‘No Longer Operational,’ U.N. Nuclear Watchdog Head Says
Rafael Grossi told French radio that there was “no escaping significant physical damage” after the U.S. dropped bunker-buster bombs on the Iranian facility.
trib.al
June 26, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Thomas Schelling: Tacit bargaining and escalation management is a skillful art involving subtle signaling and anticipating your adversary's next moves.

Trump: Hey yeah dude, 1 o'clock is fine.
Lmao. I knew it was telegraphed to the point of constructive approval, but actually saying that is *wild*
June 25, 2025 at 8:40 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
This is also very important, depending on what the facilities do. "US officials believe Iran also maintains secret nuclear facilities that were not targeted in the strike and remain operational, according to two sources familiar with the matter." edition.cnn.com/2025/06/24/p...
Exclusive: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources say | CNN Politics
The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an e...
edition.cnn.com
June 24, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Important. "The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an early US [DIA] intelligence assessment" edition.cnn.com/2025/06/24/p...
Exclusive: Early US intel assessment suggests strikes on Iran did not destroy nuclear sites, sources say | CNN Politics
The US military strikes on three of Iran’s nuclear facilities last weekend did not destroy the core components of the country’s nuclear program and likely only set it back by months, according to an e...
edition.cnn.com
June 24, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
US affirms NATO ties as European leaders move toward military spending increase
US affirms NATO ties as European leaders move toward military spending increase
The top U.S. official at NATO affirmed Tuesday that there will be no hasty military withdrawal from Europe, as President Donald Trump and other leaders gather in Brussels for an expected military spen...
www.stripes.com
June 24, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Seriously, the social media age where a post is official government speech.
June 24, 2025 at 12:41 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
⚡️Update: 'Dead and wounded everywhere' — Russia strikes Dnipro with ballistic missiles, hits civilian train.

According to Dnipropetrovsk Governor, at least 8 people were killed and 84 injured in Dnipro.

In Samarske, the number of wounded rose to 11, while 2 people were killed.
'Dead and wounded everywhere' — Russia strikes Dnipro with ballistic missiles, hits civilian train
Russia launched a deadly missile attack on the Ukrainian city of Dnipro on June 24, striking civilian infrastructure and a passenger train, local officials reported.
kyivindependent.com
June 24, 2025 at 12:14 PM
It's almost like nuclear armed aggressor states are emboldened to do whatever the hell they want these days.
June 24, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Israeli public broadcaster: Israel was updated on the Iranian plan of attack on bases in gulf states this morning, and that Iran was coordinated with states in the region in advance.

Seems calculated to wind escalation down, although until Trump posts, we won't know whether that worked.
כאן חדשות on X: "בישראל עודכנו כבר הבוקר על צפי למתקפה איראנית בקטר - שתואמה עם מדינות באזור | הפרסום של @shemeshmicha #מהדורתכאןחדשות https://t.co/SdTGgL510r" / X
בישראל עודכנו כבר הבוקר על צפי למתקפה איראנית בקטר - שתואמה עם מדינות באזור | הפרסום של @shemeshmicha #מהדורתכאןחדשות https://t.co/SdTGgL510r
x.com
June 23, 2025 at 5:19 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
⬇️
June 22, 2025 at 3:50 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Reposted by Stephanie S.
A vital detail. The 60% HEU stockpile will speed Iran's now certain rush to reconstitute its nuclear capability. 'A high-ranking Iranian political source confirmed that "most" of Iran's stockpile of enriched uranium kept in secure locations.'

tinyurl.com/yucvyzhc
Exclusive: Iran given advance notice as US insisted attack on nuclear sites is ‘one-off’
The story: US President Donald Trump says three key nuclear facilities in Iran have been “obliterated,” while threatening more strikes “if peace does not come quickly.” This comes as Amwaj.media has l...
tinyurl.com
June 22, 2025 at 6:04 AM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
"Separately, a senior U.S. official who asked for anonymity acknowledged that the B-2 attack on the Fordo site did not destroy the heavily fortified facility but severely damaged it." www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
Update from Eric Schmitt
www.nytimes.com
June 22, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Operation Midnight Hammer Drops 14 Bunker Busters in Record B-2 Strike Against Iranian Nuclear Sites — USNI News
news.usni.org/2025/06/21/u...
U.S. Drops 14 Bunker Busters in B-2 Strike Against Iranian Nuclear Sites - USNI News
This post has been updated with additional information from the Pentagon. A bomber mission of seven B-2 Spirit bombers and more than 30 Tomahawk Attack Missiles fired from an Ohio-class guided-missile...
news.usni.org
June 22, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
Some leaders and diplomats on Sunday condemned the U.S. strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran, and others urged restraint, amid fears of more dangerous escalation across the Middle East.
World Leaders React to the U.S. Strikes on Iran
Amid fears of more dangerous escalation across the Middle East, some leaders condemned the attacks, and others urged restraint.
trib.al
June 22, 2025 at 11:45 AM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
According to WSJ reporting, the United States informed Iran about the strikes in advance.

Can only assume the decision to do so was made after the decoy plan was put into action.
June 22, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Reposted by Stephanie S.
10. Pentagon briefing: “As the Secretary said, this was those largest B2 operational strike in US history, and the second longest B2 mission ever flown, exceeded only by those in the days following 911”
June 22, 2025 at 12:37 PM