So Ordered?
@so-ordered.bsky.social
Eternal tragic optimist.
"All we can do is everything we can do."
"All we can do is everything we can do."
Reposted by So Ordered?
For those interested, last night I wrote about what's in the CR deal for Congress. If you want a slightly more coherent take...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
What's in the CR Deal for Congress?
With a vote as early as tonight, we quickly ran the numbers
firstbranchforecast.substack.com
November 10, 2025 at 2:29 PM
For those interested, last night I wrote about what's in the CR deal for Congress. If you want a slightly more coherent take...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
firstbranchforecast.substack.com/p/whats-in-t...
Reposted by So Ordered?
11) The discussion about health care was useful PR, but covered up discussion over the power of the purse, which is fundamental. If the WH doesn't have to follow the law, it doesn't matter what you pass.
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
November 10, 2025 at 2:01 PM
11) The discussion about health care was useful PR, but covered up discussion over the power of the purse, which is fundamental. If the WH doesn't have to follow the law, it doesn't matter what you pass.
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
Reposted by So Ordered?
Some thoughts on the CR/minibus.
1 The Dems negotiating with Rs were not freelancing. They coordinated with Sen Schumer. A few were ready to give in on day one, others worked to maximize appropriations wins.
Those voting for the 'deal' are the ones furthest away from electoral consequences.
1 The Dems negotiating with Rs were not freelancing. They coordinated with Sen Schumer. A few were ready to give in on day one, others worked to maximize appropriations wins.
Those voting for the 'deal' are the ones furthest away from electoral consequences.
November 10, 2025 at 1:45 PM
Some thoughts on the CR/minibus.
1 The Dems negotiating with Rs were not freelancing. They coordinated with Sen Schumer. A few were ready to give in on day one, others worked to maximize appropriations wins.
Those voting for the 'deal' are the ones furthest away from electoral consequences.
1 The Dems negotiating with Rs were not freelancing. They coordinated with Sen Schumer. A few were ready to give in on day one, others worked to maximize appropriations wins.
Those voting for the 'deal' are the ones furthest away from electoral consequences.
Reposted by So Ordered?
Dan knows more about how Congress works than anyone I know, so this is an interesting thread.
Some thoughts on the CR/minibus.
1 The Dems negotiating with Rs were not freelancing. They coordinated with Sen Schumer. A few were ready to give in on day one, others worked to maximize appropriations wins.
Those voting for the 'deal' are the ones furthest away from electoral consequences.
1 The Dems negotiating with Rs were not freelancing. They coordinated with Sen Schumer. A few were ready to give in on day one, others worked to maximize appropriations wins.
Those voting for the 'deal' are the ones furthest away from electoral consequences.
November 11, 2025 at 3:51 AM
Dan knows more about how Congress works than anyone I know, so this is an interesting thread.
Reposted by So Ordered?
NEW: There's been an exodus of key Tesla engineers this year, including departures of those running its Model Y, 3 & Cybertruck programs. The changes coincide with Elon Musk's pivot to AI-oriented businesses hashtag#tesla hashtag#electricvehicles www.forbes.com/sites/alanoh...
Tesla’s Engineering Exodus Comes Amid Shift From Core EV Mission
The latest departures, days after shareholders backed Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package, follow the loss of top sales, battery, robotics and chip executives this year.
www.forbes.com
November 10, 2025 at 10:27 PM
NEW: There's been an exodus of key Tesla engineers this year, including departures of those running its Model Y, 3 & Cybertruck programs. The changes coincide with Elon Musk's pivot to AI-oriented businesses hashtag#tesla hashtag#electricvehicles www.forbes.com/sites/alanoh...
Reposted by So Ordered?
It's not just an AI bubble: From stock prices to record-high gold, there are signs nearly every asset class is due for a reckoning 😥
www.forbes.com/sites/brando...
www.forbes.com/sites/brando...
It’s Not Just An AI Bubble. Here’s Everything At Risk
Stocks are soaring, gold is too, and risk looks cheap everywhere. These charts trace the signs of what could be the everything bubble taking shape.
www.forbes.com
November 10, 2025 at 6:44 PM
It's not just an AI bubble: From stock prices to record-high gold, there are signs nearly every asset class is due for a reckoning 😥
www.forbes.com/sites/brando...
www.forbes.com/sites/brando...
Reposted by So Ordered?
Bad management at DOJ leading to staff exit & trouble hiring.
Synchronized withdrawal of labor. Collapse of labor supply.
Reduced administration's capacity.
Not a strike but also not not a strike.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Synchronized withdrawal of labor. Collapse of labor supply.
Reduced administration's capacity.
Not a strike but also not not a strike.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
November 11, 2025 at 2:52 AM
Bad management at DOJ leading to staff exit & trouble hiring.
Synchronized withdrawal of labor. Collapse of labor supply.
Reduced administration's capacity.
Not a strike but also not not a strike.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Synchronized withdrawal of labor. Collapse of labor supply.
Reduced administration's capacity.
Not a strike but also not not a strike.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Reposted by So Ordered?
Love to have a President who can't be left alone for five minutes with his grifting, con men advisors.
‘Sold POTUS a bill of goods’: WH furious with Pulte over 50-year mortgage
The White House was blindsided by the idea and is now dealing with a furious backlash from conservative allies, business leaders and lawmakers.
www.politico.com
November 11, 2025 at 2:44 AM
Love to have a President who can't be left alone for five minutes with his grifting, con men advisors.
Reposted by So Ordered?
Chris Murphy: "There will be pretty substantial damage to a Dem brand that has been rehabilitated if on the heels of an election in which the people told us to keep fighting, we immediately stop... if we surrender without having gotten anything, I worry it'll be hard to get them back up off the mat"
November 7, 2025 at 2:54 PM
Chris Murphy: "There will be pretty substantial damage to a Dem brand that has been rehabilitated if on the heels of an election in which the people told us to keep fighting, we immediately stop... if we surrender without having gotten anything, I worry it'll be hard to get them back up off the mat"
Reposted by So Ordered?
Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage
November 10, 2025 at 5:02 AM
Chuck Schumer Helps Pull Democrats Back From Brink Of Courage
Reposted by So Ordered?
The politics of the shutdown:
*GOP had a strong opening position
*Undercut themselves with the RIFs and unnecessary cuts to blue states/SNAP
*Polls showed GOP getting most of the blame, no reason to assume that would change
*Dem centrists then folded on their key issue of ACA subsidies
*GOP had a strong opening position
*Undercut themselves with the RIFs and unnecessary cuts to blue states/SNAP
*Polls showed GOP getting most of the blame, no reason to assume that would change
*Dem centrists then folded on their key issue of ACA subsidies
November 10, 2025 at 2:11 AM
The politics of the shutdown:
*GOP had a strong opening position
*Undercut themselves with the RIFs and unnecessary cuts to blue states/SNAP
*Polls showed GOP getting most of the blame, no reason to assume that would change
*Dem centrists then folded on their key issue of ACA subsidies
*GOP had a strong opening position
*Undercut themselves with the RIFs and unnecessary cuts to blue states/SNAP
*Polls showed GOP getting most of the blame, no reason to assume that would change
*Dem centrists then folded on their key issue of ACA subsidies
Reposted by So Ordered?
“I no longer can bear to be restrained by what judges can say publicly or do outside the courtroom,” Judge Mark L. Wolf writes on his decision to resign from the federal bench. “President Trump is using the law for partisan purposes”:
Why I Am Resigning
A federal judge explains his reasoning for leaving the bench.
bit.ly
November 10, 2025 at 2:45 AM
“I no longer can bear to be restrained by what judges can say publicly or do outside the courtroom,” Judge Mark L. Wolf writes on his decision to resign from the federal bench. “President Trump is using the law for partisan purposes”:
Reposted by So Ordered?
The average SNAP benefit per month is $177 a person.
The average ACA benefit per month is up to $550 a person.
People want us to hold the line for a reason. This is not a matter of appealing to a base. It’s about people’s lives.
And working people want leaders whose word means something to them.
The average ACA benefit per month is up to $550 a person.
People want us to hold the line for a reason. This is not a matter of appealing to a base. It’s about people’s lives.
And working people want leaders whose word means something to them.
November 10, 2025 at 1:49 AM
The average SNAP benefit per month is $177 a person.
The average ACA benefit per month is up to $550 a person.
People want us to hold the line for a reason. This is not a matter of appealing to a base. It’s about people’s lives.
And working people want leaders whose word means something to them.
The average ACA benefit per month is up to $550 a person.
People want us to hold the line for a reason. This is not a matter of appealing to a base. It’s about people’s lives.
And working people want leaders whose word means something to them.
Reposted by So Ordered?
They caved in March so they could get a better deal now. They’re caving now so they can get a better deal in some indeterminate future. The better deal is always just beyond their reach, but continuing to cave will get them there. And if you don’t agree with that, you don’t understand Politics,
November 10, 2025 at 2:44 AM
They caved in March so they could get a better deal now. They’re caving now so they can get a better deal in some indeterminate future. The better deal is always just beyond their reach, but continuing to cave will get them there. And if you don’t agree with that, you don’t understand Politics,
Reposted by So Ordered?
This is plausible
November 10, 2025 at 2:40 AM
This is plausible
Reposted by So Ordered?
not snark, actually asking: after pushing a comma strategy that focused on health care, what is the case for the Democrats making a deal to end the shutdown now that doesn't involve a win on health care?
November 10, 2025 at 2:52 AM
not snark, actually asking: after pushing a comma strategy that focused on health care, what is the case for the Democrats making a deal to end the shutdown now that doesn't involve a win on health care?
Reposted by So Ordered?
Harm to SNAP recipients, federal workers, and others is real. In a normal democracy it’d make sense to prioritize reducing that harm in the short term.
In a rapidly backsliding democracy, harm is happening no matter what. Preventing authoritarian consolidation is the most harm-reducing move.
In a rapidly backsliding democracy, harm is happening no matter what. Preventing authoritarian consolidation is the most harm-reducing move.
November 10, 2025 at 2:54 AM
Harm to SNAP recipients, federal workers, and others is real. In a normal democracy it’d make sense to prioritize reducing that harm in the short term.
In a rapidly backsliding democracy, harm is happening no matter what. Preventing authoritarian consolidation is the most harm-reducing move.
In a rapidly backsliding democracy, harm is happening no matter what. Preventing authoritarian consolidation is the most harm-reducing move.
Reposted by So Ordered?
Regular reminder that Axios stories saying Dems are about to cave are likely sourced from GOP staffers trying to make it happen.
Doesn't mean it definitely won't happen. But it's like those NYT stories that Harvard is considering caving (they haven't). The anonymous source was trying to manifest it.
Doesn't mean it definitely won't happen. But it's like those NYT stories that Harvard is considering caving (they haven't). The anonymous source was trying to manifest it.
November 9, 2025 at 6:53 PM
Regular reminder that Axios stories saying Dems are about to cave are likely sourced from GOP staffers trying to make it happen.
Doesn't mean it definitely won't happen. But it's like those NYT stories that Harvard is considering caving (they haven't). The anonymous source was trying to manifest it.
Doesn't mean it definitely won't happen. But it's like those NYT stories that Harvard is considering caving (they haven't). The anonymous source was trying to manifest it.
Reposted by So Ordered?
Of course, Cheney's stated view was that those statutes were unconstitutional because they regulated the President's authority as commander in chief. But the Supreme Court had already rejected that argument unequivocally in Youngstown.
November 9, 2025 at 8:12 PM
Of course, Cheney's stated view was that those statutes were unconstitutional because they regulated the President's authority as commander in chief. But the Supreme Court had already rejected that argument unequivocally in Youngstown.
Reposted by So Ordered?
This is excellent. I don't think it's true, though, that Cheney never exercised power that plainly belonged to another branch. When the Bush admin launched the warrantless wiretapping program, it did so in violation of a federal statute. Same with torture--there was a statute that prohibited that.
November 9, 2025 at 8:10 PM
This is excellent. I don't think it's true, though, that Cheney never exercised power that plainly belonged to another branch. When the Bush admin launched the warrantless wiretapping program, it did so in violation of a federal statute. Same with torture--there was a statute that prohibited that.
Reposted by So Ordered?
Nearly two decades after my book on Cheney, I took a shot at assessing his legacy. It’s more complicated than you might think. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
What I Learned About Dick Cheney
The former vice president was certain he knew better than the citizens he served what was good for them.
www.theatlantic.com
November 9, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Nearly two decades after my book on Cheney, I took a shot at assessing his legacy. It’s more complicated than you might think. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2025/1...
Reposted by So Ordered?
ICYMI: I reviewed hundreds of internal FBI emails and documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act.
The records appear to undermine a core premise underlying the charges against James Comey.
My latest for @lawfaremedia.org:
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/more...
The records appear to undermine a core premise underlying the charges against James Comey.
My latest for @lawfaremedia.org:
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/more...
More Trouble for the Comey Indictment?
Public documents may undermine a core premise underlying the charges against James Comey.
www.lawfaremedia.org
November 9, 2025 at 6:59 PM
ICYMI: I reviewed hundreds of internal FBI emails and documents obtained under the Freedom of Information Act.
The records appear to undermine a core premise underlying the charges against James Comey.
My latest for @lawfaremedia.org:
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/more...
The records appear to undermine a core premise underlying the charges against James Comey.
My latest for @lawfaremedia.org:
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/more...
Reposted by So Ordered?
WSJ reports the recent fall in crypto hurts bitcoin treasury companies, like Strategy, which are basically leveraged bets on BTC.
Also, not in the story but important: Trump family wealth is tied up in this strategy. Eric Trump and Don Jr have significant stakes in bitcoin treasury companies.
Also, not in the story but important: Trump family wealth is tied up in this strategy. Eric Trump and Don Jr have significant stakes in bitcoin treasury companies.
November 9, 2025 at 3:08 PM
WSJ reports the recent fall in crypto hurts bitcoin treasury companies, like Strategy, which are basically leveraged bets on BTC.
Also, not in the story but important: Trump family wealth is tied up in this strategy. Eric Trump and Don Jr have significant stakes in bitcoin treasury companies.
Also, not in the story but important: Trump family wealth is tied up in this strategy. Eric Trump and Don Jr have significant stakes in bitcoin treasury companies.
Reposted by So Ordered?
It was like two days ago where Bovino and other agents were found to have lied in a deposition about him being assaulted. Video showed the situation was entirely the opposite.
November 8, 2025 at 9:47 PM
It was like two days ago where Bovino and other agents were found to have lied in a deposition about him being assaulted. Video showed the situation was entirely the opposite.
Reposted by So Ordered?
People are shocked by how blatant the corruption is. I am not.
For the first time in his life, he's legitimately rich, not just posturing. The ballroom, Home Makeover DC Edition renovations to the Lincoln bathroom and Oval screams new money. This "golden era" is him no longer feeling like a fraud.
For the first time in his life, he's legitimately rich, not just posturing. The ballroom, Home Makeover DC Edition renovations to the Lincoln bathroom and Oval screams new money. This "golden era" is him no longer feeling like a fraud.
November 9, 2025 at 2:15 AM
People are shocked by how blatant the corruption is. I am not.
For the first time in his life, he's legitimately rich, not just posturing. The ballroom, Home Makeover DC Edition renovations to the Lincoln bathroom and Oval screams new money. This "golden era" is him no longer feeling like a fraud.
For the first time in his life, he's legitimately rich, not just posturing. The ballroom, Home Makeover DC Edition renovations to the Lincoln bathroom and Oval screams new money. This "golden era" is him no longer feeling like a fraud.