Sabrina Fernandes
@sabrinafernandes.com
bridging climate science and political strategy. for internationalist, real and just transitions.
Political Economist. Sociology PhD. Also Head of Research @alameda.institute.
Find me:
🟠 ecocene.blog
🟤 sabrinafernandes.com
Political Economist. Sociology PhD. Also Head of Research @alameda.institute.
Find me:
🟠 ecocene.blog
🟤 sabrinafernandes.com
Pinned
Ecological sovereignty: from mutual annihilation to true planetary longevity?
When fossil fuel expansion is justified in the name of national sovereignty, you know states have lost touch with the climate reality.
the.ecocene.blog
I've been working since 2022 to try to form the basis for an alternative reading of sovereignty fit for the polycrisis and promoting true, just and internationalist transitions. This view of popular ecological sovereignty is in a few articles, but I just reflected on it in the context of COP30 too:
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
Sabe, isso me deixa muito chateado.
A Marina Silva é umas das grandes especialistas nesse mundo em “fracassar com dignidade”, ainda que também tenha sucessos monumentais: na eleição de 2014, na COP30, até no seu próprio partido.
A Marina não devia ser o oásis no deserto, e sim o exemplo que guia
A Marina Silva é umas das grandes especialistas nesse mundo em “fracassar com dignidade”, ainda que também tenha sucessos monumentais: na eleição de 2014, na COP30, até no seu próprio partido.
A Marina não devia ser o oásis no deserto, e sim o exemplo que guia
No momento mais emocionante da Plenária Final, Marina Silva @marinasilva.bsky.social é aplaudida de pé por mais de 3 minutos após seu discurso de encerramento da #COP30 em Belém. Ela se consagra como a maior liderança ambiental e climática do mundo.
November 22, 2025 at 11:54 PM
Sabe, isso me deixa muito chateado.
A Marina Silva é umas das grandes especialistas nesse mundo em “fracassar com dignidade”, ainda que também tenha sucessos monumentais: na eleição de 2014, na COP30, até no seu próprio partido.
A Marina não devia ser o oásis no deserto, e sim o exemplo que guia
A Marina Silva é umas das grandes especialistas nesse mundo em “fracassar com dignidade”, ainda que também tenha sucessos monumentais: na eleição de 2014, na COP30, até no seu próprio partido.
A Marina não devia ser o oásis no deserto, e sim o exemplo que guia
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
In our Climate Report my coauthors and I say: We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. Consequences of human-driven alterations of the climate are no longer future threats but are here now. Read report here doi.org/10.1093/bios...
The 2025 state of the climate report: a planet on the brink
We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. The consequences of human-driven alterations of the climate are no longer
doi.org
November 22, 2025 at 11:10 PM
In our Climate Report my coauthors and I say: We are hurtling toward climate chaos. The planet's vital signs are flashing red. Consequences of human-driven alterations of the climate are no longer future threats but are here now. Read report here doi.org/10.1093/bios...
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
I'm not saying this would have fixed it but negotiating FROM that standpoint instead of trying to get TO it seems like an obviously better way to spend 30 years of international climate conferences
Obv there were forces arrayed against it but in retrospect the COPs' original sin was not STARTING from that point, Berlin in 1995 should have produced some document that basically said "obviously this problem stems from burning fossil fuels and thus our goal is for everyone to stop doing that"
November 22, 2025 at 10:51 PM
I'm not saying this would have fixed it but negotiating FROM that standpoint instead of trying to get TO it seems like an obviously better way to spend 30 years of international climate conferences
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
i do so enjoy being used as a scapegoat while the fossil fuel industry burns the planet and harms millions.
#auspol #climatechange #fossilfuelsfuelingtransphobia #trans #transgender #lgbtqi #lgbt
#auspol #climatechange #fossilfuelsfuelingtransphobia #trans #transgender #lgbtqi #lgbt
November 22, 2025 at 9:46 PM
i do so enjoy being used as a scapegoat while the fossil fuel industry burns the planet and harms millions.
#auspol #climatechange #fossilfuelsfuelingtransphobia #trans #transgender #lgbtqi #lgbt
#auspol #climatechange #fossilfuelsfuelingtransphobia #trans #transgender #lgbtqi #lgbt
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
A COP without addressing real issues is like a condo meeting where those who party with loud music until 5 a.m. try to convince those who have to get up at 6 to go to work that one hour of sleep is better than nothing — and that they still have to split the city fine for disturbing the neighborhood.
November 22, 2025 at 10:25 PM
A COP without addressing real issues is like a condo meeting where those who party with loud music until 5 a.m. try to convince those who have to get up at 6 to go to work that one hour of sleep is better than nothing — and that they still have to split the city fine for disturbing the neighborhood.
Reminder to everyone outside of Brazil who's hopeful that this autonomous initiative for a roadmap will lead to something concrete: when we, Brazilian climate scientists and activists, oppose oil expansion in Brazil, we're called "obstacles to development and sovereignty" by government supporters.
I've been working since 2022 to try to form the basis for an alternative reading of sovereignty fit for the polycrisis and promoting true, just and internationalist transitions. This view of popular ecological sovereignty is in a few articles, but I just reflected on it in the context of COP30 too:
Ecological sovereignty: from mutual annihilation to true planetary longevity?
When fossil fuel expansion is justified in the name of national sovereignty, you know states have lost touch with the climate reality.
the.ecocene.blog
November 22, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Reminder to everyone outside of Brazil who's hopeful that this autonomous initiative for a roadmap will lead to something concrete: when we, Brazilian climate scientists and activists, oppose oil expansion in Brazil, we're called "obstacles to development and sovereignty" by government supporters.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
I'll believe it when I see my president do more than talk about it at random, force it onto the COP30 agenda without proper prep, and when that failed, push for an autonomous initiative. To prove he wasn't just saving face, we'll need to see it reflected in his domestic politics too.
November 22, 2025 at 10:05 PM
I'll believe it when I see my president do more than talk about it at random, force it onto the COP30 agenda without proper prep, and when that failed, push for an autonomous initiative. To prove he wasn't just saving face, we'll need to see it reflected in his domestic politics too.
COP30 overpromised, underdelivered, empowered distractions, backtracked on issues and once again gave big oil and big ag a free pass.
Unfortunately, the suspicions of climate scientists (here in Brazil and abroad) were confirmed again.
Unfortunately, the suspicions of climate scientists (here in Brazil and abroad) were confirmed again.
November 22, 2025 at 7:47 PM
COP30 overpromised, underdelivered, empowered distractions, backtracked on issues and once again gave big oil and big ag a free pass.
Unfortunately, the suspicions of climate scientists (here in Brazil and abroad) were confirmed again.
Unfortunately, the suspicions of climate scientists (here in Brazil and abroad) were confirmed again.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
Sums up #COP30 and the whole damned COP process: knackered old folks falling asleep and gavelling through the road to humanity's great catastrophe. (Guardian)
November 22, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Sums up #COP30 and the whole damned COP process: knackered old folks falling asleep and gavelling through the road to humanity's great catastrophe. (Guardian)
Que lindo esse trailer na plenária de greenwashing do governo do Erdogan através da COP31 em Istambul. 🫠
November 22, 2025 at 7:27 PM
Que lindo esse trailer na plenária de greenwashing do governo do Erdogan através da COP31 em Istambul. 🫠
This is the "COP of truth" after all. The backtracking on previous agreements and parameters and the difficulty to accept science-led expert recommendations - all denounced by various delegates before the final plenary got suspended - shows that COP is failing to properly follow climate science.
I'm wondering how the hell delegates and members from the COP30 presidency were saying this morning that COP30 was going to bring in advancements regarding adaptation when the draft decision created no obligations, intends to only "inform" politics and disrespects previous expert-led indicators.
November 22, 2025 at 6:33 PM
This is the "COP of truth" after all. The backtracking on previous agreements and parameters and the difficulty to accept science-led expert recommendations - all denounced by various delegates before the final plenary got suspended - shows that COP is failing to properly follow climate science.
I'm wondering how the hell delegates and members from the COP30 presidency were saying this morning that COP30 was going to bring in advancements regarding adaptation when the draft decision created no obligations, intends to only "inform" politics and disrespects previous expert-led indicators.
November 22, 2025 at 6:31 PM
I'm wondering how the hell delegates and members from the COP30 presidency were saying this morning that COP30 was going to bring in advancements regarding adaptation when the draft decision created no obligations, intends to only "inform" politics and disrespects previous expert-led indicators.
Plenária suspensa, principalmente pela quantidade de questão de ordem levantada sobre problemas de procedimentos que não foram seguidos e falta de transparência (diminuindo a legitimidade dos textos finais).
Muito problema de conteúdo, muito problema de método.
Muito problema de conteúdo, muito problema de método.
CHILE reclama sobre nao terem sido cumpridos os procedimentos acordados na Convenção para guiar as negociações. Pede para registrar nos autos.
#COP30
#COP30
November 22, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Plenária suspensa, principalmente pela quantidade de questão de ordem levantada sobre problemas de procedimentos que não foram seguidos e falta de transparência (diminuindo a legitimidade dos textos finais).
Muito problema de conteúdo, muito problema de método.
Muito problema de conteúdo, muito problema de método.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
"A consensus built on climate denialism is a failure!"
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
The Colombian delegate is emphasising that there's been a lot of procedural issues during the plenary and that there is no mitigation point viable in the mitigation work programme if it won't acknowledge pathways for just and equitable just transition according to best available science.
November 22, 2025 at 5:13 PM
"A consensus built on climate denialism is a failure!"
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
"A consensus built on climate denialism is a failure!"
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
The Colombian delegate is emphasising that there's been a lot of procedural issues during the plenary and that there is no mitigation point viable in the mitigation work programme if it won't acknowledge pathways for just and equitable just transition according to best available science.
November 22, 2025 at 5:13 PM
"A consensus built on climate denialism is a failure!"
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
This quote by the Colombian delegate to object the mitigation work programme should define how we evaluate the actual, real, tangible outcomes, of COP30.
The Colombian delegate is emphasising that there's been a lot of procedural issues during the plenary and that there is no mitigation point viable in the mitigation work programme if it won't acknowledge pathways for just and equitable just transition according to best available science.
November 22, 2025 at 5:11 PM
The Colombian delegate is emphasising that there's been a lot of procedural issues during the plenary and that there is no mitigation point viable in the mitigation work programme if it won't acknowledge pathways for just and equitable just transition according to best available science.
The Holy See delegate just got booed on the plenary floor, given his whole point was basically to define gender as "biological sex". This fight over the definition of gender has been ongoing at COP.
Really, we're due to 3-4ºC warming, and this is the priority of the Church. (though who's surprised?)
Really, we're due to 3-4ºC warming, and this is the priority of the Church. (though who's surprised?)
November 22, 2025 at 5:09 PM
The Holy See delegate just got booed on the plenary floor, given his whole point was basically to define gender as "biological sex". This fight over the definition of gender has been ongoing at COP.
Really, we're due to 3-4ºC warming, and this is the priority of the Church. (though who's surprised?)
Really, we're due to 3-4ºC warming, and this is the priority of the Church. (though who's surprised?)
A lot of dissent on the plenary floor on the global goal of adaptation (GGA), especially given the indicators that were previously established by experts. Both the EU and Sierra Leone point out that the final document does not reflect these indicators, replaced by unclear and unusable ones.
November 22, 2025 at 5:05 PM
A lot of dissent on the plenary floor on the global goal of adaptation (GGA), especially given the indicators that were previously established by experts. Both the EU and Sierra Leone point out that the final document does not reflect these indicators, replaced by unclear and unusable ones.
Colombia also clear on things: the outcome falls short of what was promised. The final text does not capture the positions debated during negotiations. It was supposed to be the COP of adaptation, but means of implementation are lacking. The text is an aspiration, not an outcome.
November 22, 2025 at 4:58 PM
Colombia also clear on things: the outcome falls short of what was promised. The final text does not capture the positions debated during negotiations. It was supposed to be the COP of adaptation, but means of implementation are lacking. The text is an aspiration, not an outcome.
The Panama delegation is kicking ass, speaking frankly, on how the final result of COP 30 is too weak given the urgency, lacking clear indicators.
A breath of fresh air, reminding us that while it's important to congratulate efforts, we need action to speak louder.
A breath of fresh air, reminding us that while it's important to congratulate efforts, we need action to speak louder.
November 22, 2025 at 4:54 PM
The Panama delegation is kicking ass, speaking frankly, on how the final result of COP 30 is too weak given the urgency, lacking clear indicators.
A breath of fresh air, reminding us that while it's important to congratulate efforts, we need action to speak louder.
A breath of fresh air, reminding us that while it's important to congratulate efforts, we need action to speak louder.
Andre Lago just mentioned that his initiative for the fossil fuel phase-out roadmap will indeed benefit from the first phase-out conference in Colombia next year.
Now, THIS is historical. A clear signal that if they intend to create a roadmap, they will have to do it alongside civil society.
Now, THIS is historical. A clear signal that if they intend to create a roadmap, they will have to do it alongside civil society.
November 22, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Andre Lago just mentioned that his initiative for the fossil fuel phase-out roadmap will indeed benefit from the first phase-out conference in Colombia next year.
Now, THIS is historical. A clear signal that if they intend to create a roadmap, they will have to do it alongside civil society.
Now, THIS is historical. A clear signal that if they intend to create a roadmap, they will have to do it alongside civil society.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
O pior é que foi mesmo a COP da verdade. A verdade é que nem países (inclusive o Brasil), nem empresas estão dispostos a fazer sequer o mínimo para evitar o colapso do clima. E essa COP deixou isso claro.
November 22, 2025 at 3:39 PM
O pior é que foi mesmo a COP da verdade. A verdade é que nem países (inclusive o Brasil), nem empresas estão dispostos a fazer sequer o mínimo para evitar o colapso do clima. E essa COP deixou isso claro.
Climate diplomacy is failing us, no matter which country hosts the COPs.
As long as this system keeps granting so much access to the fossil fuel and agribusiness climate arsonists (aka lobbyists), we'll keep being told to celebrate minor progressive language and new meetings to set meetings.
As long as this system keeps granting so much access to the fossil fuel and agribusiness climate arsonists (aka lobbyists), we'll keep being told to celebrate minor progressive language and new meetings to set meetings.
November 22, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Climate diplomacy is failing us, no matter which country hosts the COPs.
As long as this system keeps granting so much access to the fossil fuel and agribusiness climate arsonists (aka lobbyists), we'll keep being told to celebrate minor progressive language and new meetings to set meetings.
As long as this system keeps granting so much access to the fossil fuel and agribusiness climate arsonists (aka lobbyists), we'll keep being told to celebrate minor progressive language and new meetings to set meetings.
Reposted by Sabrina Fernandes
And it doesn’t help that most mainstream climate scientists are still refusing to wake up to reality.
Our climate has a 4.5C climate sensitivity as Dr James Hansen has shown.
It is bordering on criminal negligence now that many climate scientists refuse to acknowledge reality.
Our climate has a 4.5C climate sensitivity as Dr James Hansen has shown.
It is bordering on criminal negligence now that many climate scientists refuse to acknowledge reality.
November 22, 2025 at 9:37 AM
And it doesn’t help that most mainstream climate scientists are still refusing to wake up to reality.
Our climate has a 4.5C climate sensitivity as Dr James Hansen has shown.
It is bordering on criminal negligence now that many climate scientists refuse to acknowledge reality.
Our climate has a 4.5C climate sensitivity as Dr James Hansen has shown.
It is bordering on criminal negligence now that many climate scientists refuse to acknowledge reality.