alina
@ramshackle78.bsky.social
EM doc. Politics nerd 🇷🇴🇬🇧🇫🇷
European at core
Into military stuff nowadays, out of necessity
European at core
Into military stuff nowadays, out of necessity
This is Elon trying to bank the gains/freeze the moment competition fully catches up and makes SpaceX just another space utility company at which point he won't be able to ask for 1.5 trillions valuation.
Data centres thing is just perfect pretext in the 'insane AI valuation' world we live in
Data centres thing is just perfect pretext in the 'insane AI valuation' world we live in
December 10, 2025 at 7:13 AM
This is Elon trying to bank the gains/freeze the moment competition fully catches up and makes SpaceX just another space utility company at which point he won't be able to ask for 1.5 trillions valuation.
Data centres thing is just perfect pretext in the 'insane AI valuation' world we live in
Data centres thing is just perfect pretext in the 'insane AI valuation' world we live in
Great write up of that study.
As the authors say, it's ...how EU leaders lost their patience with Viktor Orbán...and before that with David Cameron
blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
As the authors say, it's ...how EU leaders lost their patience with Viktor Orbán...and before that with David Cameron
blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
December 10, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Great write up of that study.
As the authors say, it's ...how EU leaders lost their patience with Viktor Orbán...and before that with David Cameron
blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
As the authors say, it's ...how EU leaders lost their patience with Viktor Orbán...and before that with David Cameron
blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
This is Vucic trolling the EU
but also trying his luck
AND bringing down to this level those that made an effort
AND playing to domestic audiences when this 'great offer' is refused
AND weaponising regional stability as cover
AND saying Western Balkans = Greater Serbia & he speaks for it
but also trying his luck
AND bringing down to this level those that made an effort
AND playing to domestic audiences when this 'great offer' is refused
AND weaponising regional stability as cover
AND saying Western Balkans = Greater Serbia & he speaks for it
Vučić urges 'all-in' EU entry for Western Balkans to secure regional stability eualive.net/vucic-urges-... With Beta agency
Vučić urges ‘all-in’ EU entry for Western Balkans to secure regional stability
Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić arrived in Brussels on Wednesday for a high-stakes dinner with European ...
eualive.net
December 10, 2025 at 6:15 AM
This is Vucic trolling the EU
but also trying his luck
AND bringing down to this level those that made an effort
AND playing to domestic audiences when this 'great offer' is refused
AND weaponising regional stability as cover
AND saying Western Balkans = Greater Serbia & he speaks for it
but also trying his luck
AND bringing down to this level those that made an effort
AND playing to domestic audiences when this 'great offer' is refused
AND weaponising regional stability as cover
AND saying Western Balkans = Greater Serbia & he speaks for it
Unbelievable cognitive dissonance from Poland!
This whole article is about how Poland's defence industry is not in a good place because of legacy issues & heavy imports of US/South Korea kit (own choice) and then the article ends with this
www.politico.eu/article/pola...
This whole article is about how Poland's defence industry is not in a good place because of legacy issues & heavy imports of US/South Korea kit (own choice) and then the article ends with this
www.politico.eu/article/pola...
December 10, 2025 at 5:53 AM
Unbelievable cognitive dissonance from Poland!
This whole article is about how Poland's defence industry is not in a good place because of legacy issues & heavy imports of US/South Korea kit (own choice) and then the article ends with this
www.politico.eu/article/pola...
This whole article is about how Poland's defence industry is not in a good place because of legacy issues & heavy imports of US/South Korea kit (own choice) and then the article ends with this
www.politico.eu/article/pola...
Reposted by alina
When informal norms fail – how EU leaders lost their patience with Viktor Orbán
When informal norms fail – how EU leaders lost their patience with Viktor Orbán - EUROPP
Will Viktor Orbán derail future EU talks? New research shows the European Council stops obstruction only when the domestic political costs become too high.
blogs.lse.ac.uk
December 10, 2025 at 3:13 AM
When informal norms fail – how EU leaders lost their patience with Viktor Orbán
You tell them Antoine!
December 10, 2025 at 4:43 AM
You tell them Antoine!
Wow, there's a 'For All Mankind' spinoff in the works, called Star City, it's the space race but from Soviets' pov.
Rhys Ifans & Anna Maxwell Martin (both would make great pretend Russians)
www.tvinsider.com/1183435/star...
Rhys Ifans & Anna Maxwell Martin (both would make great pretend Russians)
www.tvinsider.com/1183435/star...
'Star City': What to Know About the 'For All Mankind' Spinoff
The new series will offer a different vision of the same timeline as the hit Apple TV+ drama.
www.tvinsider.com
December 10, 2025 at 4:35 AM
Wow, there's a 'For All Mankind' spinoff in the works, called Star City, it's the space race but from Soviets' pov.
Rhys Ifans & Anna Maxwell Martin (both would make great pretend Russians)
www.tvinsider.com/1183435/star...
Rhys Ifans & Anna Maxwell Martin (both would make great pretend Russians)
www.tvinsider.com/1183435/star...
And wants 600 of these Taurus-NEO, at €3.3mil each, to add to the 600 original Taurus it has.
This is Germany funding development for sovereign European long range strike capability to add to Storm Shadow/SCALP and Stratus
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
This is Germany funding development for sovereign European long range strike capability to add to Storm Shadow/SCALP and Stratus
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
Germany plans production of advanced Taurus missiles from 2029
Germany plans to begin production of an upgraded version of its Taurus cruise missile in 2029, according to a budget proposal seen by Reuters on Tuesday, which is expected to be approved by parliament...
www.reuters.com
December 10, 2025 at 3:57 AM
And wants 600 of these Taurus-NEO, at €3.3mil each, to add to the 600 original Taurus it has.
This is Germany funding development for sovereign European long range strike capability to add to Storm Shadow/SCALP and Stratus
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
This is Germany funding development for sovereign European long range strike capability to add to Storm Shadow/SCALP and Stratus
www.reuters.com/business/aer...
229 to be precise. Which is...🇩🇪 building serious mass.
€3.4bn contract. Deliveries 2028-2032
Prior to this there were 54 of these in Ukraine (where kit tested) and 12 for Qatar. So this is also a huge leg up for the manufacturer, KNDS (🇫🇷🇩🇪).
Surely UK will folow
www.hartpunkt.de/rch-155-bund...
€3.4bn contract. Deliveries 2028-2032
Prior to this there were 54 of these in Ukraine (where kit tested) and 12 for Qatar. So this is also a huge leg up for the manufacturer, KNDS (🇫🇷🇩🇪).
Surely UK will folow
www.hartpunkt.de/rch-155-bund...
December 10, 2025 at 3:23 AM
229 to be precise. Which is...🇩🇪 building serious mass.
€3.4bn contract. Deliveries 2028-2032
Prior to this there were 54 of these in Ukraine (where kit tested) and 12 for Qatar. So this is also a huge leg up for the manufacturer, KNDS (🇫🇷🇩🇪).
Surely UK will folow
www.hartpunkt.de/rch-155-bund...
€3.4bn contract. Deliveries 2028-2032
Prior to this there were 54 of these in Ukraine (where kit tested) and 12 for Qatar. So this is also a huge leg up for the manufacturer, KNDS (🇫🇷🇩🇪).
Surely UK will folow
www.hartpunkt.de/rch-155-bund...
Plug & Fight 👍
🔛démonstration de la capacité des armées 🇫🇷 et 🇮🇹 à faire converger des éléments issus des bataillons de l'OTAN en Roumanie 🇷🇴 et en Bulgarie 🇧🇬 pour opérer ensemble dans une logique plug&fight
🎯Renforcement de la coopération franco-italienne avec un objectif commun de sécurité du flanc est de l'Europe
🎯Renforcement de la coopération franco-italienne avec un objectif commun de sécurité du flanc est de l'Europe
December 10, 2025 at 3:06 AM
Plug & Fight 👍
To answer my own question, it's David Copley, a mining expert and now in NSC.
EU should have had a 'one person' who lives and breaths rare earths 24/7. Given the complexity of EU, you need a person dedicated just to this
www.miningweekly.com/article/whit...
EU should have had a 'one person' who lives and breaths rare earths 24/7. Given the complexity of EU, you need a person dedicated just to this
www.miningweekly.com/article/whit...
December 10, 2025 at 2:54 AM
To answer my own question, it's David Copley, a mining expert and now in NSC.
EU should have had a 'one person' who lives and breaths rare earths 24/7. Given the complexity of EU, you need a person dedicated just to this
www.miningweekly.com/article/whit...
EU should have had a 'one person' who lives and breaths rare earths 24/7. Given the complexity of EU, you need a person dedicated just to this
www.miningweekly.com/article/whit...
Between this & changes announced by First Sea Lord, maybe Britain is finally aligning strategy to resources and remembering where it sits in the world.
You can't entertain Global Britain/ Indo Pacific tilt and other such ego driven fantasies when you haven't secured your home and your backyard
You can't entertain Global Britain/ Indo Pacific tilt and other such ego driven fantasies when you haven't secured your home and your backyard
The Ministry of Defence has confirmed that the Armed Forces will begin reducing the number of overseas training exercises from next year.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/uk-to-scale-...
ukdefencejournal.org.uk/uk-to-scale-...
UK to scale back military training exercises outside Europe
The Ministry of Defence has confirmed that the Armed Forces will begin reducing the number of overseas training exercises from next year.
ukdefencejournal.org.uk
December 10, 2025 at 2:47 AM
Between this & changes announced by First Sea Lord, maybe Britain is finally aligning strategy to resources and remembering where it sits in the world.
You can't entertain Global Britain/ Indo Pacific tilt and other such ego driven fantasies when you haven't secured your home and your backyard
You can't entertain Global Britain/ Indo Pacific tilt and other such ego driven fantasies when you haven't secured your home and your backyard
And speaking of this and of there being more anti-Brexit people in the UK now that pro-Brexit, the only way UK does not become a vassal to the former colony and suffer further humiliation is if it gets as close & as fast as possible to EU.
That should be the patriotic position regardless of party.
That should be the patriotic position regardless of party.
No European country to be included in this C5 because once you've destroyed the European Union those countries don't matter as such, some of them will be favourites, some of them vassals, some of them enemies.
It's an 80s real estate guy view of the world (land mass & also Japan was big in the 80s)
It's an 80s real estate guy view of the world (land mass & also Japan was big in the 80s)
December 10, 2025 at 2:35 AM
And speaking of this and of there being more anti-Brexit people in the UK now that pro-Brexit, the only way UK does not become a vassal to the former colony and suffer further humiliation is if it gets as close & as fast as possible to EU.
That should be the patriotic position regardless of party.
That should be the patriotic position regardless of party.
From the apparently extended version of the US National Security Strategy.
I reckon that when they talk of Poland they're not thinking of Tusk seeing as it's all about the culture wars
www.defenseone.com/policy/2025/...
I reckon that when they talk of Poland they're not thinking of Tusk seeing as it's all about the culture wars
www.defenseone.com/policy/2025/...
December 10, 2025 at 2:22 AM
From the apparently extended version of the US National Security Strategy.
I reckon that when they talk of Poland they're not thinking of Tusk seeing as it's all about the culture wars
www.defenseone.com/policy/2025/...
I reckon that when they talk of Poland they're not thinking of Tusk seeing as it's all about the culture wars
www.defenseone.com/policy/2025/...
Reposted by alina
"Canada Plans to Fast-Track Immigration for US H1-B Visa Holders in New Talent Drive" ☹️ share.google/WtKFYfJNhfye...
Canada Plans to Fast-Track Immigration for US H1-B Visa Holders in New Talent Drive
The government says it will fast-track immigration for U.S. H-1B visa holders and spend more than $1 billion to attract researchers from the United States and the rest of the world.
www.nytimes.com
December 9, 2025 at 11:37 PM
"Canada Plans to Fast-Track Immigration for US H1-B Visa Holders in New Talent Drive" ☹️ share.google/WtKFYfJNhfye...
Reposted by alina
We have near-final results in the 2 Florida legislative special elections. Neither flipped, but quite the swings toward Dems.
—Democrats kept HD90, winning it by 28%.
(Harris won here by 11%.)
—The GOP kept SD11, winning it by 18%.
(Trump won here by 40%.)
Plus, Dems flipped the Miami mayorship.
—Democrats kept HD90, winning it by 28%.
(Harris won here by 11%.)
—The GOP kept SD11, winning it by 18%.
(Trump won here by 40%.)
Plus, Dems flipped the Miami mayorship.
December 10, 2025 at 1:05 AM
We have near-final results in the 2 Florida legislative special elections. Neither flipped, but quite the swings toward Dems.
—Democrats kept HD90, winning it by 28%.
(Harris won here by 11%.)
—The GOP kept SD11, winning it by 18%.
(Trump won here by 40%.)
Plus, Dems flipped the Miami mayorship.
—Democrats kept HD90, winning it by 28%.
(Harris won here by 11%.)
—The GOP kept SD11, winning it by 18%.
(Trump won here by 40%.)
Plus, Dems flipped the Miami mayorship.
Reposted by alina
Final results in the Florida #SD11 (Trump+39) special election:
Ralph Massullo (R)- 59.2%
Ash Marwah (D)- 40.8%
A 21-point swing to the left in a deeply Republican part of Florida!
Ralph Massullo (R)- 59.2%
Ash Marwah (D)- 40.8%
A 21-point swing to the left in a deeply Republican part of Florida!
December 10, 2025 at 1:15 AM
Final results in the Florida #SD11 (Trump+39) special election:
Ralph Massullo (R)- 59.2%
Ash Marwah (D)- 40.8%
A 21-point swing to the left in a deeply Republican part of Florida!
Ralph Massullo (R)- 59.2%
Ash Marwah (D)- 40.8%
A 21-point swing to the left in a deeply Republican part of Florida!
Don't know if being 'Brussels' new crush' helps or hinder @robjetten.bsky.social in coalition talks but I'm sure Brussels were so ready for it
www.politico.eu/list/politic...
www.politico.eu/list/politic...
Rob Jetten
No. 27 — The Netherlands
www.politico.eu
December 10, 2025 at 1:05 AM
Don't know if being 'Brussels' new crush' helps or hinder @robjetten.bsky.social in coalition talks but I'm sure Brussels were so ready for it
www.politico.eu/list/politic...
www.politico.eu/list/politic...
Very pleased that Politico included Pablo Hernández de Cos in this list. He is the best candidate to succeed Lagarde, no matter from what angle you come at it
www.politico.eu/politico-28-...
www.politico.eu/politico-28-...
POLITICO 28 — Class of 2026
Ranking the most influential people in Europe CLASS OF 2026 POLITICO 28: The most powerful people shaping European politics and policy in the year ahead. The most powerful person in Europe Donald T…
www.politico.eu
December 10, 2025 at 12:50 AM
Very pleased that Politico included Pablo Hernández de Cos in this list. He is the best candidate to succeed Lagarde, no matter from what angle you come at it
www.politico.eu/politico-28-...
www.politico.eu/politico-28-...
Sander's powers of persuasions are vast.
December 10, 2025 at 12:31 AM
Sander's powers of persuasions are vast.
Ooh, some people won't be happy but this is practical decision and BABCOCK (with PATRIA 6x6 vehicle) wins again.
We're getting ever closer to Nordics (🇫🇮, 🇸🇪, 🇱🇻, 🇩🇪, 🇳🇴 also chose this).
Ireland should too, instead of Piranha V (Patria is cheaper to buy & run)
www.shephardmedia.com/news/landwar...
We're getting ever closer to Nordics (🇫🇮, 🇸🇪, 🇱🇻, 🇩🇪, 🇳🇴 also chose this).
Ireland should too, instead of Piranha V (Patria is cheaper to buy & run)
www.shephardmedia.com/news/landwar...
Medium knocked out of British Army LMP, with CAVS as heavyweight champion
As the British Army seeks to modernise and consolidate its diverse vehicle fleet, yet another change in direction is underway.
www.shephardmedia.com
December 9, 2025 at 11:45 PM
Ooh, some people won't be happy but this is practical decision and BABCOCK (with PATRIA 6x6 vehicle) wins again.
We're getting ever closer to Nordics (🇫🇮, 🇸🇪, 🇱🇻, 🇩🇪, 🇳🇴 also chose this).
Ireland should too, instead of Piranha V (Patria is cheaper to buy & run)
www.shephardmedia.com/news/landwar...
We're getting ever closer to Nordics (🇫🇮, 🇸🇪, 🇱🇻, 🇩🇪, 🇳🇴 also chose this).
Ireland should too, instead of Piranha V (Patria is cheaper to buy & run)
www.shephardmedia.com/news/landwar...
Such a stubby nose on the F-35. Anyway, this particular one is the first Finnish 🇫🇮 F-35 getting its maiden flight at Fort Worth, TX
December 9, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Such a stubby nose on the F-35. Anyway, this particular one is the first Finnish 🇫🇮 F-35 getting its maiden flight at Fort Worth, TX
Denmark 🇩🇰 yet again being pragmatic and serious about defence and choosing European where it's feasible to do so, like here
www.forcesoperations.com/le-vl-mica-d...
www.forcesoperations.com/le-vl-mica-d...
December 9, 2025 at 11:07 PM
Denmark 🇩🇰 yet again being pragmatic and serious about defence and choosing European where it's feasible to do so, like here
www.forcesoperations.com/le-vl-mica-d...
www.forcesoperations.com/le-vl-mica-d...
Reposted by alina
December 9, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Reposted by alina
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students.
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
December 9, 2025 at 1:58 PM
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students.
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...