Preston Mui
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prestonmui.bsky.social
Preston Mui
@prestonmui.bsky.social
5.4K followers 420 following 610 posts
Economist at Employ America | Kasia Niewiadoma Fanboy | Bird Liker

Seattle, WA
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Reposted by Preston Mui
zohrankmamdani.bsky.social
A busy first day as your Mayor-elect: early morning interviews, transition announcements and meetings. More to say on all of it tomorrow.

But a highlight was lunch with my Congresswoman @aoc.bsky.social at Laliguras Bistro in Jackson Heights.
Zohran and AOC, smiling together in a restaurant. Zohran and AOC sitting together at a table. Nepalese food at Laliguras Bistro, including chili chicken with tingmo bread and aloo dum
November 6, 2025 at 12:47 AM
Reposted by Preston Mui
michaelemann.bsky.social
Ironically, I collaborated with several Gates-funded scientists some years ago in a study showing that climate change will potentially expose millions more in the highland regions of Africa to Malaria transmission.

Press release here: www.psu.edu/news/researc...
excerpt from press release: "This is one of the first studies to attempt to explore how climate change might impact conditions at the local level," said Michael Mann, Distinguished Professor of Meteorology, Penn State. "The results suggest the possibility that population centers in cool highland regions could be more vulnerable than previously thought, while other equally large lowland areas might be less vulnerable. But this would have to be confirmed with more detailed modeling assessments that take into account the full suite of environmental and socio-economic factors that ultimately determine risk of malaria."
November 4, 2025 at 11:35 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
New frontiers in fiscal stimulus
November 5, 2025 at 1:59 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
The future of discourse
November 4, 2025 at 3:53 AM
prestonmui.bsky.social
Cook sees current policy as "moderately" restrictive; " I believe that the downside risks to employment are greater than the upside risks to inflation."
November 3, 2025 at 7:17 PM
Reposted by Preston Mui
caitlingilbert.bsky.social
I’m crying

www.semafor.com/article/10/2...
He is, instead, a 59-year-old Long Island wine importer named Bill DeBlasio, who merely responded to an email from a journalist seeking his views on Democrat Zohran Mamdani’s policies. “I’m Bill DeBlasio. I’ve always been Bill DeBlasio,” DeBlasio said in an interview conducted Wednesday evening through his Ring doorbell in Huntington Station, Long Island, from his current location in Florida. “I never once said I was the mayor. He never addressed me as the mayor,” DeBlasio told Semafor Wednesday evening. “So I just gave him my opinion.”
October 30, 2025 at 2:46 AM
prestonmui.bsky.social
I was surprised to see powell call this stabilizing (or whatever term he used)
conorsen.bsky.social Conor Sen @conorsen.bsky.social · 12d
Someone will eventually correctly call the bottom in the labor market but I don’t see how you could do that with any confidence here.
October 29, 2025 at 7:25 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
Powell saying there were 'strongly disagreeing views' about a December cut
October 29, 2025 at 6:36 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
uhhh why is bea.gov down
October 29, 2025 at 5:56 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
Simon is correct here! The stats background is only required if you want to type "correl var1 var2"
October 28, 2025 at 12:32 AM
prestonmui.bsky.social
‪
The top comments on the Mamdani message to Muslim video are all "I'm not a Muslim, I'm Jewish / Indian / Japanese / Latino and this message really speaks to me"

www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGBQ...
My Message to Muslim New Yorkers — and Everyone Who Calls This City Home.
YouTube video by Zohran Mamdani for NYC
www.youtube.com
October 26, 2025 at 1:54 AM
prestonmui.bsky.social
what in the world procyclinguk.com/alison-jacks...
Alison Jackson joins St Michel - Preference Home - Auber93 on two-year deal -
Canadian rider Alison Jackson will bring her trademark energy, experience and strength to St Michel – Preference Home – Auber93, signing a two-year contract that will see her race with the French team...
procyclinguk.com
October 22, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Reposted by Preston Mui
nber.org
Wolves found only north of the Saint Lawrence River in Canada reduce animal-related vehicle collisions by 5 percentage points—providing an empirical quantification of quasi-option value, from Eyal G. Frank, Anouch Missirian, Dominic P. Parker, and @jenraynor.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w34377
October 21, 2025 at 5:02 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
Looking forward to the next adp number
nied.bsky.social Nied @nied.bsky.social · 22d
One of the reasons the "paid protestors" canard is absurd is it completely misunderstands scale. There were 5.5-8.7 mm people protesting yesterday. For comparison the company with the largest payroll in the world (Walmart) has 2.1 mm employees, less than half the low-side estimate for No Kings.
helenkennedy.bsky.social Helen Kennedy @helenkennedy.bsky.social · 23d
It’s going to take ages to pay all these people
October 19, 2025 at 11:36 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
Biege book is out

"labor cost pressures intensified in recent weeks due to outsized increases in employer-sponsored health insurance expenses."

"Tariff-induced input cost increases were reported across many Districts, but the extent of those higher costs passing through to final prices varied. "
October 15, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Reposted by Preston Mui
danielzhao.bsky.social
September CPI will be released in two weeks on Friday, Oct 24, 2025 at 8:30 AM ET to accommodate the SSA COLA adjustments despite the government shutdown.

Jobs report won't be released though

www.bls.gov/bls/092025-c...
October 10, 2025 at 3:49 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
The Indeed Wage Tracker growth rate has fallen a full percentage point year-to-date. Hard to see signs of re-acceleration here.
October 1, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Reposted by Preston Mui
mjsdc.bsky.social
NEW: The Supreme Court *refuses* to let Trump fire the Fed's Lisa Cook—for now. Instead, the court agrees to hear the case in January. Cook may continue to serve in the meantime.
(ORDER LIST: 606 U.S.) WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 1, 2025 ORDER IN PENDING CASE 25A312 TRUMP, PRESIDENT OF U.S., ET AL. V. COOK, LISA D. The application for stay presented to The Chief Justice and by him referred to the Court is deferred pending oral argument in January 2026. The Clerk is directed to establish a briefing schedule for amici curiae and any supplemental briefs responding to amici.
October 1, 2025 at 2:48 PM
Reposted by Preston Mui
michaelsderby.bsky.social
Spoke with Boston Fed chief Collins after her NYC speech and she cautioned against aggressive rate cuts: Cutting rates “too quickly and certainly announcing, oh yeah, we're just going to…keep going until we get to neutral, that seems to me to be a scenario where the risks to inflation go up."
Exclusive: Fed's Collins cautions against aggressive rate cuts given inflation issues
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Susan Collins said on Tuesday that her outlook for monetary policy is consistent with the gradual path of easing shown in the latest central bank forecasts, in comments that framed aggressive rate cuts as risky.
www.reuters.com
September 30, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Reposted by Preston Mui
bencasselman.bsky.social
The Department of Labor has released its plan in the event of a government shutdown.
Key takeaway for econ data: There will NOT be a jobs report on Friday (or any subsequent data releases) if funding isn't restored in time. #NumbersDay #EconSky
www.dol.gov/sites/dolgov...
www.dol.gov
September 29, 2025 at 2:33 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
Just wrapped up 500ish miles of the Oregon backcountry
September 27, 2025 at 11:21 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
New frontiers in fiscal stimulus
carlquintanilla.bsky.social Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · Sep 18
BLOOMBERG: Labor Dept. officials “who took the Department of Government Efficiency’s ‘Fork in the Road’ offer earlier this year have returned as full-time workers, after collecting their full pay and benefits for months without performing their job duties.”

news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-labor-...
September 18, 2025 at 7:19 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
off season is here... we're so back
September 10, 2025 at 2:18 AM
prestonmui.bsky.social
@skandaamarnath.bsky.social and I have a piece out about Stephen Miran, who is being considered for the Fed Board, and some of his concerning views around debt default, dollar policy, and fed independence.

Some was covered at the hearing, but there's more...

www.employamerica.org/monetary-pol...
Treasury Default, A Weak Dollar Policy, and Mass Fed Firings? What The Miran Hearing Missed
The confirmation hearing for Miran aired some key issues, but hardly all of them, and not the most important ones. It would be unwise to make an exception for seemingly “short-term” appointments; shor...
www.employamerica.org
September 9, 2025 at 5:29 PM
prestonmui.bsky.social
o7 to the real deep state
aaronsojourner.org Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · Sep 8
🔥BLS Staff: "We will publish reliable data, no matter how inconvenient the results... Acting Commissioner is a respected career professional. There are no other political appointees at BLS... will remain accurate & nonpartisan... if that ever changes, the professionals will tell you." #StandWithBLS
“The Bureau of Labor Statistics must remain above politics. Our job is to deliver economic data guided by law and statistical practice — not partisan whim. That’s why the firing of Commissioner Erika McEntarfer is so alarming. Dr. McEntarfer did nothing wrong. No serious observer claims otherwise. Commissioners don’t “cook” the numbers; they don’t even see them until after the estimates are complete. Dr. McEntarfer’s dismissal was unprecedented and she should be reinstated. For decades, BLS Commissioners — Republican and Democrat alike — have been respected professionals. BLS data has been trusted because its methods are public, vetted, and transparent. BLS publishes its sources, publishes its methods, and its data revisions follow a set schedule. The public doesn’t have to *guess* whether the jobs numbers are real. So why was Dr. McEntarfer forced out? Not because of misconduct. Not because of bad data. The only people making that claim are President Trump and his allies, who offer no evidence — only lies, character assassination, and intimidation. Their real goal is clear: to discredit independent statistics, slash budgets, and bully federal workers into silence. But BLS staff will not be intimidated. We will publish reliable data, no matter how inconvenient the results. Our now-Acting Commissioner is a respected career professional. There are no other political appointees at BLS. The numbers will remain accurate and nonpartisan. And if that ever changes, the professionals will tell you.”
September 9, 2025 at 2:21 AM