Peter Brent
@peterbrent.bsky.social
Elections, electoral behaviour, electoral admin and Related Matters.
Based on a true story.
Based on a true story.
Hmmm makes you think
#BREAKING 🚨 Pauline Hanson's One Nation has posted online that it will change its name – dropping Hanson's name from the title, making the party simply "One Nation"
It was previously known as just "One Nation" when Hanson was out of the party between 2002 and 2013
It was previously known as just "One Nation" when Hanson was out of the party between 2002 and 2013
October 27, 2025 at 5:17 AM
Hmmm makes you think
Anyone got 1984 federal pendulum (ie estimated pre-election margins)? @kevinbonham.bsky.social @benraue.com @pappubahry.com
October 21, 2025 at 12:29 AM
Anyone got 1984 federal pendulum (ie estimated pre-election margins)? @kevinbonham.bsky.social @benraue.com @pappubahry.com
Reposted by Peter Brent
A reporter from the Australian is one of the group of signatories to the Pentagon's new press corps rules which prompted a universal walk-out from credible news outlets.
October 16, 2025 at 11:59 PM
A reporter from the Australian is one of the group of signatories to the Pentagon's new press corps rules which prompted a universal walk-out from credible news outlets.
Omg the first 10 minutes is Cuomo ranting against rando online anti-Israel hypocrites (of which there are many) and Bremmer repeatedly trying to steer the convo to the words of people who actually matter. But Cuomo can’t let go.
Chris is one online dude.
Chris is one online dude.
middle east peace deal, america’s influence, and how to maintain sanity in our algorithmic age:
Ian Bremmer Breaks Down Trump’s Gaza Peace GAMBLE
YouTube video by The Chris Cuomo Project
www.youtube.com
October 10, 2025 at 12:49 AM
Omg the first 10 minutes is Cuomo ranting against rando online anti-Israel hypocrites (of which there are many) and Bremmer repeatedly trying to steer the convo to the words of people who actually matter. But Cuomo can’t let go.
Chris is one online dude.
Chris is one online dude.
The screenshot claims it actually made a profit for the govt, not just the economy. Nothing about that in the link; deets would be nice.
Damn. This is amazing. £325 per week, paid monthly, for 3 years - and the result was a profit for the Irish economy:
www.citizensinformation.ie/en/employmen...
www.citizensinformation.ie/en/employmen...
October 7, 2025 at 5:12 AM
The screenshot claims it actually made a profit for the govt, not just the economy. Nothing about that in the link; deets would be nice.
Unsurprisingly he seems more more popular with the grunts than with the brass.
Trump, speaking to the Navy: "I was president in 2016, and then they rigged the election on me. And then we caught them, didn't we? We caught them."
October 6, 2025 at 2:03 AM
Unsurprisingly he seems more more popular with the grunts than with the brass.
Reposted by Peter Brent
The #Newspoll federal poll was taken between 29 September - 2 October 2025, sample of 1264, online survey. Here is the table graphic as it appears on page 4 of The Australian, 6 October, including voting, leader approval ratings, better Prime Minister, and a question on house prices. #auspol
October 5, 2025 at 10:20 PM
Reposted by Peter Brent
How expensive should university education be and who should pay for it? The map is taken from this excellent video discussing the future of university education: buff.ly/gjiYZGl
October 5, 2025 at 9:27 PM
How expensive should university education be and who should pay for it? The map is taken from this excellent video discussing the future of university education: buff.ly/gjiYZGl
Reposted by Peter Brent
Good on you for spending less time online my dear young people!
October 4, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Good on you for spending less time online my dear young people!
Imagine no redistributions from now to next fed election, then a uniform 5.2% primary vote swing from ALP to L/NP (& all other votes remain the same)
So national 2pp is 50-50
On pendulum: L/NP gains 14 seats from ALP
Also, on crossbench:
Grn take Griffith, Brisbane, Richmond, Macnamara from ALP
1/2
So national 2pp is 50-50
On pendulum: L/NP gains 14 seats from ALP
Also, on crossbench:
Grn take Griffith, Brisbane, Richmond, Macnamara from ALP
1/2
October 5, 2025 at 6:08 AM
Imagine no redistributions from now to next fed election, then a uniform 5.2% primary vote swing from ALP to L/NP (& all other votes remain the same)
So national 2pp is 50-50
On pendulum: L/NP gains 14 seats from ALP
Also, on crossbench:
Grn take Griffith, Brisbane, Richmond, Macnamara from ALP
1/2
So national 2pp is 50-50
On pendulum: L/NP gains 14 seats from ALP
Also, on crossbench:
Grn take Griffith, Brisbane, Richmond, Macnamara from ALP
1/2
Good point.
(ChatGPT estimates UK citizens about 17% born o/s; Oz citizens born o/s, yes, at ~30%.)
(ChatGPT estimates UK citizens about 17% born o/s; Oz citizens born o/s, yes, at ~30%.)
Peter one other factor you didn't mention is the relative proportion of immigrants. I think something like ~30% of Australians were born overseas - compared to ~10% in UK for example. I think that + compulsory voting puts the brakes on widespread nativism.
October 3, 2025 at 1:50 AM
Good point.
(ChatGPT estimates UK citizens about 17% born o/s; Oz citizens born o/s, yes, at ~30%.)
(ChatGPT estimates UK citizens about 17% born o/s; Oz citizens born o/s, yes, at ~30%.)
Reposted by Peter Brent
🚨 NEW: Australian attitudes towards immigration are virtually unchanged from last year, according to a new poll from Essential, with voters divided on whether it is "generally positive" or "generally negative"
October 2, 2025 at 6:11 AM
🚨 NEW: Australian attitudes towards immigration are virtually unchanged from last year, according to a new poll from Essential, with voters divided on whether it is "generally positive" or "generally negative"
Me on One Nation’s recent poll surge, overseas counterparts, and the big fat potential disinformation weakness in our electoral system.
insidestory.org.au/one-nations-...
insidestory.org.au/one-nations-...
One Nation’s warning • Pauline Hanson
Far-right disinformation has had a limited impact on Australian elections. But it would be wise to plan ahead
insidestory.org.au
October 2, 2025 at 5:27 AM
Me on One Nation’s recent poll surge, overseas counterparts, and the big fat potential disinformation weakness in our electoral system.
insidestory.org.au/one-nations-...
insidestory.org.au/one-nations-...
Guy makes fair points, arrest was OTT, but also he does seem to have gone troppo.🤪
September 23, 2025 at 7:29 AM
Guy makes fair points, arrest was OTT, but also he does seem to have gone troppo.🤪
Australia pretty much the same as UK.
Contrast with all the American “new world” countries, settled/colonised/conquered centuries earlier when Europeans still believed in hobgoblins, burned witches etc.
Contrast with all the American “new world” countries, settled/colonised/conquered centuries earlier when Europeans still believed in hobgoblins, burned witches etc.
Does religion hurt or help society? Only in a handful of Western countries do more than half the population see religion as a net negative. Remember these differences when dealing with nations at the other end of the spectrum. Source: buff.ly/0mH2l02
September 23, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Australia pretty much the same as UK.
Contrast with all the American “new world” countries, settled/colonised/conquered centuries earlier when Europeans still believed in hobgoblins, burned witches etc.
Contrast with all the American “new world” countries, settled/colonised/conquered centuries earlier when Europeans still believed in hobgoblins, burned witches etc.
Australia versus our big neighbour to the north.
Does religion hurt or help society? Only in a handful of Western countries do more than half the population see religion as a net negative. Remember these differences when dealing with nations at the other end of the spectrum. Source: buff.ly/0mH2l02
September 23, 2025 at 7:12 AM
Australia versus our big neighbour to the north.
Reposted by Peter Brent
On the street, it's got a dozen names. Some call 'em White Devils. Simple, classic. Some cats call 'em The Levelers, 'cause they take you from a 10 on the pain scale down to a zero. Smooths you right out. You call it Tylenol. I call it death.
September 23, 2025 at 12:34 AM
On the street, it's got a dozen names. Some call 'em White Devils. Simple, classic. Some cats call 'em The Levelers, 'cause they take you from a 10 on the pain scale down to a zero. Smooths you right out. You call it Tylenol. I call it death.
Trump seems to love Albo immediately after a phone call, so there might be a fair bit of spectacular, private crawling.😼
Albo hasn’t crawled like Starmer, so ground is being prepared. Wait for Europeans to go first or US to throw us out.
September 23, 2025 at 4:10 AM
Trump seems to love Albo immediately after a phone call, so there might be a fair bit of spectacular, private crawling.😼
Reposted by Peter Brent
The #Newspoll quarterly aggregate federal polling summary (not a new poll) of data from 14 July to 11 September 2025.
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
September 21, 2025 at 9:07 PM
The #Newspoll quarterly aggregate federal polling summary (not a new poll) of data from 14 July to 11 September 2025.
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/polit... ($) #auspol
68.7% Yes overall. Known as the referendum that ended Apartheid and gave non-whites the vote.
But question was rather mundane.
"Do you support continuation of the reform process which the State President began on 2 February 1990 and which is aimed at a new Constitution through negotiation?"
But question was rather mundane.
"Do you support continuation of the reform process which the State President began on 2 February 1990 and which is aimed at a new Constitution through negotiation?"
I think 1992 South Africa must've been a remarkable place. This map shows the result of the apartheid referendum: buff.ly/SYPUI5Q
September 19, 2025 at 11:54 PM
68.7% Yes overall. Known as the referendum that ended Apartheid and gave non-whites the vote.
But question was rather mundane.
"Do you support continuation of the reform process which the State President began on 2 February 1990 and which is aimed at a new Constitution through negotiation?"
But question was rather mundane.
"Do you support continuation of the reform process which the State President began on 2 February 1990 and which is aimed at a new Constitution through negotiation?"
“Hunt is long gone, and these days the object of Sheridan’s besottedness seems to be Matt Canavan, the coal-revering Queensland LNP senator”
Sez me
insidestory.org.au/toxic-emissi...
Sez me
insidestory.org.au/toxic-emissi...
Toxic emissions • Peter Brent
The Australian’s Greg Sheridan is backing Matt Canavan’s electorally dangerous campaign against renewable energy to the hilt
insidestory.org.au
September 19, 2025 at 3:37 AM
“Hunt is long gone, and these days the object of Sheridan’s besottedness seems to be Matt Canavan, the coal-revering Queensland LNP senator”
Sez me
insidestory.org.au/toxic-emissi...
Sez me
insidestory.org.au/toxic-emissi...
Reposted by Peter Brent
For amusement only - after a "private investigator" bizarrely presumed to be able to identify my ideology from a single tweet, I asked four AI programs to place various Australian psephologists on a political orientation scale from 0 (extreme left) to 10 (extreme right).
September 16, 2025 at 10:10 AM
For amusement only - after a "private investigator" bizarrely presumed to be able to identify my ideology from a single tweet, I asked four AI programs to place various Australian psephologists on a political orientation scale from 0 (extreme left) to 10 (extreme right).
Reposted by Peter Brent
Sadiq Khan has said a record number of Americans have applied for British citizenship following the election of Trump.
“It’s also our liberal values that make us stand out – celebrating our diversity in London as a strength, not as a threat to society.”
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
“It’s also our liberal values that make us stand out – celebrating our diversity in London as a strength, not as a threat to society.”
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Record numbers of Americans seeking UK citizenship because of London’s values, says mayor
Ahead of Donald Trump’s state visit, Sadiq Khan hit back at US critics of the capital’s crime rates and diverse population
www.theguardian.com
September 16, 2025 at 7:02 AM
Sadiq Khan has said a record number of Americans have applied for British citizenship following the election of Trump.
“It’s also our liberal values that make us stand out – celebrating our diversity in London as a strength, not as a threat to society.”
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
“It’s also our liberal values that make us stand out – celebrating our diversity in London as a strength, not as a threat to society.”
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
So they’ll probably do it?
The idea of replacing Starmer is just utter nonsense. He's just won an election with a huge majority. It would look foolhardy, sel-obssessed, chaotic, insane: classic Tory bollocks.
September 16, 2025 at 8:26 AM
So they’ll probably do it?
Reposted by Peter Brent
Honestly this is not getting as much coverage as it should. Korean auto workers in the US kidnapped by ICE and kept in inhumane conditions for over a week.
korean reporting is nightmarish on the conditions Korean workers were contained in
September 14, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Honestly this is not getting as much coverage as it should. Korean auto workers in the US kidnapped by ICE and kept in inhumane conditions for over a week.