Paolo Bernardi
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paolobernardi.bsky.social
Paolo Bernardi
@paolobernardi.bsky.social
“Only time can heal what reason cannot.” Seneca
Neminem Laedere
Environment Economy International policies
Energy Agriculture Human and Animal Rights
Allergic to dictators
Never advice
New disclosures posted Saturday by the US OGE show that Trump’s purchases of at least $82 million include bonds from Netflix , UnitedHealth Boeing, Meta, Home Depot, Broadcom, and Intel of which US government acquired a stake!
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Trump Buys Another $82 Million of Corporate and Municipal Bonds
President Donald Trump has continued his purchases of municipal and corporate debt this fall, including bonds of companies affected by his administration’s policies.
www.bloomberg.com
November 16, 2025 at 4:00 AM
When both Eric Trump, the Secret Service are concerned having to deal with a "potential danger to herself as well as the President" and Melania “stumbled upon Harp late at night in Trump’s private quarters at Mar-a-Lago, an area that was typically off-limits to those outside Trump’s family.” 😱
November 15, 2025 at 3:12 PM
“An otherwise normal life to lead” 😅🤌🙃
Trump un-endorses Marjorie Taylor Greene
November 15, 2025 at 2:06 AM
Low tide is coming

on.ft.com/47Sx6d3 New York Fed convened meeting with banks over key lending facility 🎁
New York Fed convened meeting with banks over key lending facility
Impromptu talks come amid worries about strains in money markets
on.ft.com
November 14, 2025 at 11:59 PM
OMG LOLOLOL
Update from the Manosphere
True comedy is watching Dave Portnay trying to use a hammer
November 14, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Michael Wolff grilled... "both had an obsession with girls who wanted to be models" [missing the detail of them being minors] 👀 He says he pitched every publisher and news: but all said no...👀. The Daily Beast
100h of tapes he should just unload everything to the public.
www.msn.com/en-us/news/p...
MSN
www.msn.com
November 14, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Meanwhile Israel builds walls inside Lebanon and taking over land, as denounced by UNIFIL. Like Russia. Oh and they shot at French army couple weeks ago, because they can. Zero backlash. unifil.unmissions.org/unifil-state...
UNIFIL Statement (14 November 2025)
In October, UNIFIL peacekeepers conducted a geospatial survey of a concrete T-wall erected by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) southwest of Yaroun. The survey confirmed that the wall crossed the Blue L...
unifil.unmissions.org
November 14, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
Italy has taken the lead on European transshipment of goods to Russia via Kyrgyzstan. Many Europeans have clamped down on the transshipment racket, foremost the UK, Scandinavia, the Baltics and Poland. The fact that this continues - at strength - is appalling. Putin and Xi obviously love this...
November 14, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
DEPUTY HEAD OF UKRAINE'S MILITARY INTELLIGENCE SAYS RUSSIAN PRODUCTION OF GLIDE BOMBS TO REACH UP TO 120,000 IN 2025
November 14, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
November 14, 2025 at 1:25 PM
As I wrote to clients in the past three things seem certain.
1. AI is going to be transformational to users.
2. AI is certainly transformational to tech businesses: they will make way LESS net margins than before (that is why Alphabet has been dragging its feet).
3. That CAPEX might not be all CAP
Nice charts from @mims.bsky.social on AI build-out. He quotes JPM that every iphone owner globally needs to pay $35 a month to generate enough $ to justify capex. Seems to me that equates to ~$9 a month for every smartphone owner. Still punchy, but I can imagine that.
www.wsj.com/tech/ai/when...
When AI Hype Meets AI Reality: A Reckoning in 6 Charts
Record capital expenditures and data-center planning are running up against the ground truths of physical infrastructure.
www.wsj.com
November 14, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
📍Senator Fetterman had a VFIB—the leading cause of cardiac arrest—he almost died if not for his implanted defibrillator, which can cost $34,000 to over $51,000. Days ago, he also just voted with GOP to gut health insurance tax credits for millions. Hope he has a change of heart.
November 14, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Morning WTF of the day
(AP) — A confidant of Bill Pulte .. provided confidential mortgage pricing data from Fannie Mae to a principal competitor, alarming senior officials .. who warned it could expose the company to claims that it was colluding with a rival to fix mortgage rates.

apnews.com/article/fann...
November 14, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
Russia stages new ‘trial’ of savagely tortured Ukrainian partisan already sentenced to 26 years
khpg.org/en/1608815253
Russia stages new ‘trial’ of savagely tortured Ukrainian partisan already sentenced to 26 years
The charges against Hryhory Sinchenko, Volodymyr Makarenko and Dmytro Palenko are grotesque with Russia’s torture of Sinchenko dating back to long before its full-scale invasion of Ukraine
khpg.org
November 14, 2025 at 6:08 AM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
1/5
Good Setser piece on rising global imbalances. Thanks in part to his work, central bankers and mainstream economists are slowly beginning to acknowledge that rising global imbalances can be a problem for the global economy.

Eventually they all will.
www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-...
China’s Massive Surplus is Everywhere (Yet The IMF Still Has Trouble Seeing It Clearly)
China’s reported current account surplus understates China’s contribution to global trade imbalances. The massive gap between China’s export and import volume growth over the last six years tells a m…
www.cfr.org
November 13, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
November 13, 2025 at 7:05 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
US STUDENT LOAN CRISIS WORSENS: SERIOUS 90-DAY DELINQUENCIES HIT RECORD 14%
November 14, 2025 at 12:19 AM
This is extremely interesting from @johnholbein1.bsky.social voting registrations scores by industry profile
November 14, 2025 at 12:18 AM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
These are just disgusting people. Big kudos to this girl (now woman) allegedly trafficked to Matt Gaetz, by a friend of his who sometimes paid for sex on his government credit card. Her story is horrific and she sounds brave and tough as nails to be sharing it. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/13/u...
In Matt Gaetz Scandal, Circumstances Left Teen Vulnerable to Exploitation
www.nytimes.com
November 13, 2025 at 7:23 PM
An interesting trade happening today. GEV there is a put option expiration Nov 14 (tomorrow) 1 day, 100 contract transfer at 545. Writing was 1,030 per contract. Open interest was 253 contracts and 168 sold...
November 13, 2025 at 7:23 PM
Reposted by Paolo Bernardi
Every ad now
November 13, 2025 at 5:38 PM
and if they do they totally deserve that. Money (laundry) for nothing 🎶
UNICREDIT BOSS FEARS KREMLIN WILL TAKE OVER ITS RUSSIAN UNIT - FT
November 13, 2025 at 4:01 PM