Paul Hünermund
@p-hunermund.com
Professor of Technology and Economic Policy | Co-founder of causalscience.org | Associate Editor at Journal of Causal Inference | Executive Team at Academy of Management TIM Division
Pinned
🎉 The program for this year's Causal Data Science Meeting (#CDSM2025) is now live!
📅 Nov 12–13, 2025 | 💻 Online | 🎟️ Free registration
Join us for two days of talks and debates at the intersection of causality, data science, and AI.
👉 causalscience.org
📅 Nov 12–13, 2025 | 💻 Online | 🎟️ Free registration
Join us for two days of talks and debates at the intersection of causality, data science, and AI.
👉 causalscience.org
The program for #CDSM2025 is now live! Join us online this November for two days of talks and discussions on #Causality, #DataScience, and #AI. 🚨👇
Your daily reminder that semantic disclaimers will not ensure better research practices.
Doing non-causal inference (and being explicit about it), yet using a causal word as second word in the title.
If you pay Nature € 10.690, they will publish this in Nature Ageing.
I can tell you what I think of that for free.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
If you pay Nature € 10.690, they will publish this in Nature Ageing.
I can tell you what I think of that for free.
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
November 11, 2025 at 8:29 AM
Your daily reminder that semantic disclaimers will not ensure better research practices.
Economists were right all along
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
Alex Karp, the billionaire CEO of Palantir who has recently pivoted to the political right, “seems a case study in the way ideology often follows self-interest,” our columnist Michelle Goldberg writes.
Alex Karp, the billionaire CEO of Palantir who has recently pivoted to the political right, “seems a case study in the way ideology often follows self-interest,” our columnist Michelle Goldberg writes.
Opinion | Palantir C.E.O. Alex Karp Finds a Safe Space With Trump
A tech billionaire professes to hate identity politics, but they seem in some ways to consume him.
nyti.ms
November 11, 2025 at 6:40 AM
Economists were right all along
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
Alex Karp, the billionaire CEO of Palantir who has recently pivoted to the political right, “seems a case study in the way ideology often follows self-interest,” our columnist Michelle Goldberg writes.
Alex Karp, the billionaire CEO of Palantir who has recently pivoted to the political right, “seems a case study in the way ideology often follows self-interest,” our columnist Michelle Goldberg writes.
Opinion | Palantir C.E.O. Alex Karp Finds a Safe Space With Trump
A tech billionaire professes to hate identity politics, but they seem in some ways to consume him.
nyti.ms
November 11, 2025 at 4:20 AM
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com
Alex Karp, the billionaire CEO of Palantir who has recently pivoted to the political right, “seems a case study in the way ideology often follows self-interest,” our columnist Michelle Goldberg writes.
Alex Karp, the billionaire CEO of Palantir who has recently pivoted to the political right, “seems a case study in the way ideology often follows self-interest,” our columnist Michelle Goldberg writes.
Good invisible college stuff in this one
Is it just me, or is the grant awards process super shady?
eg., I once spoke with an academic who was really good at getting grants.
Their advice?
"Build a personal relationship with grant officers."
This was not the only time I've heard some version of this.
It seems super shady.
eg., I once spoke with an academic who was really good at getting grants.
Their advice?
"Build a personal relationship with grant officers."
This was not the only time I've heard some version of this.
It seems super shady.
November 11, 2025 at 6:13 AM
Good invisible college stuff in this one
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Indeed! Let me add that Brexit has led to levelling up by levelling down and this has -- if anything -- benefitted right-wing populists.
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
November 10, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Indeed! Let me add that Brexit has led to levelling up by levelling down and this has -- if anything -- benefitted right-wing populists.
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
brexitcost.org/brexitcost.pdf
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
New @nberpubs: "The Economic Impact of Brexit" www.nber.org/papers/w34459
"by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time." 😲
"by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time." 😲
November 10, 2025 at 11:45 AM
New @nberpubs: "The Economic Impact of Brexit" www.nber.org/papers/w34459
"by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time." 😲
"by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time." 😲
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
If Difference-in-Differences has been on your “to-learn” list, now is your chance to dig in. Our #GESISworkshop with @janmarcus.de takes you from DiD basics to advanced topics like triple differences, synthetic control, and modern estimators — all in R and Stata.
➡️ t1p.de/dif_in_dif_26
➡️ t1p.de/dif_in_dif_26
November 10, 2025 at 10:16 AM
If Difference-in-Differences has been on your “to-learn” list, now is your chance to dig in. Our #GESISworkshop with @janmarcus.de takes you from DiD basics to advanced topics like triple differences, synthetic control, and modern estimators — all in R and Stata.
➡️ t1p.de/dif_in_dif_26
➡️ t1p.de/dif_in_dif_26
Isn't this kind of coded messaging incredibly exhausting? In German you would instead start with: "Junge, reiß dich mal zusammen..."
(rolling eyes, then writing back) i appreciate your honesty
November 10, 2025 at 8:44 AM
Isn't this kind of coded messaging incredibly exhausting? In German you would instead start with: "Junge, reiß dich mal zusammen..."
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
🚨Very Strong Job Market Candidates
#EconSky
The Berlin School of Economics is a unique cooperation of 9 institutions - together we do research and train PhDs/Postdocs.
This year: fantastic people in applied micro, behavioral/experimental, and macro. 👇🏻
berlinschoolofeconomics.de/job-market/j...
#EconSky
The Berlin School of Economics is a unique cooperation of 9 institutions - together we do research and train PhDs/Postdocs.
This year: fantastic people in applied micro, behavioral/experimental, and macro. 👇🏻
berlinschoolofeconomics.de/job-market/j...
Job Market Candidates
berlinschoolofeconomics.de
November 10, 2025 at 6:47 AM
🚨Very Strong Job Market Candidates
#EconSky
The Berlin School of Economics is a unique cooperation of 9 institutions - together we do research and train PhDs/Postdocs.
This year: fantastic people in applied micro, behavioral/experimental, and macro. 👇🏻
berlinschoolofeconomics.de/job-market/j...
#EconSky
The Berlin School of Economics is a unique cooperation of 9 institutions - together we do research and train PhDs/Postdocs.
This year: fantastic people in applied micro, behavioral/experimental, and macro. 👇🏻
berlinschoolofeconomics.de/job-market/j...
"Germany — usually seen as one of the most privacy-minded countries — on the other hand is pushing for big changes to help AI."
Finally, attitudes are changing...
Finally, attitudes are changing...
EU officials are ready to sacrifice some of their most prized privacy rules for the sake of AI, as they seek to turbocharge business in Europe by slashing red tape.
Brussels knifes privacy to feed the AI boom
Draft proposals obtained by POLITICO show EU is breaking sacred privacy regime to placate industry.
www.politico.eu
November 10, 2025 at 8:23 AM
"Germany — usually seen as one of the most privacy-minded countries — on the other hand is pushing for big changes to help AI."
Finally, attitudes are changing...
Finally, attitudes are changing...
Wow, what a thread! I'm only observing it from the sidelines, but the Danish real estate market seems to be seriously messed up.
In an interesting turn of events, US and Danish government came up with the same to help with the affordability crisis: longer mortgages!
That has sparked some backlash. But in the US, it seems the discussion is focusing on the wrong stuff.
Well, let’s try to learn from 🇩🇰.
That has sparked some backlash. But in the US, it seems the discussion is focusing on the wrong stuff.
Well, let’s try to learn from 🇩🇰.
November 10, 2025 at 8:11 AM
Wow, what a thread! I'm only observing it from the sidelines, but the Danish real estate market seems to be seriously messed up.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
In an interesting turn of events, US and Danish government came up with the same to help with the affordability crisis: longer mortgages!
That has sparked some backlash. But in the US, it seems the discussion is focusing on the wrong stuff.
Well, let’s try to learn from 🇩🇰.
That has sparked some backlash. But in the US, it seems the discussion is focusing on the wrong stuff.
Well, let’s try to learn from 🇩🇰.
November 9, 2025 at 9:27 PM
In an interesting turn of events, US and Danish government came up with the same to help with the affordability crisis: longer mortgages!
That has sparked some backlash. But in the US, it seems the discussion is focusing on the wrong stuff.
Well, let’s try to learn from 🇩🇰.
That has sparked some backlash. But in the US, it seems the discussion is focusing on the wrong stuff.
Well, let’s try to learn from 🇩🇰.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
🚨 New Version 🚨
The new and extended version of our paper on dealing with spatial unit roots in regressions, now
*forthcoming at the Stata Journal* under a new title!
w/ @essobecker.bsky.social @jvoth.bsky.social
Relevant to anyone who uses spatial data !
Link and more information in🧵(1/n)
The new and extended version of our paper on dealing with spatial unit roots in regressions, now
*forthcoming at the Stata Journal* under a new title!
w/ @essobecker.bsky.social @jvoth.bsky.social
Relevant to anyone who uses spatial data !
Link and more information in🧵(1/n)
November 9, 2025 at 5:01 PM
If you plan to use this data set, I hope you'll be accounting for spatial autocorrelation.
This will spark some great papers: an open digital dataset of roads in the Roman Empire
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
‘Google Maps’ for Roman roads reveals vast extent of ancient network
A high-resolution digital map nearly doubles the known length of the ancient road network.
www.nature.com
November 9, 2025 at 4:53 PM
If you plan to use this data set, I hope you'll be accounting for spatial autocorrelation.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
I’ll add that if you work in an interdisciplinary space, the exact articles that convey strength to committee A will signal to B that you are an arriviste and a charlatan, racking up Nature cover stories without real disciplinary engagement. You cannot fix this by polishing your letter!
This probably sounds trite, but as someone who has finally served on a search committee, I cannot emphasize enough that whether or not your app advances often has *nothing* whatsoever to do with you, and everything to do with things that are completely out of your control like department politics.
October 22, 2024 at 5:53 PM
I’ll add that if you work in an interdisciplinary space, the exact articles that convey strength to committee A will signal to B that you are an arriviste and a charlatan, racking up Nature cover stories without real disciplinary engagement. You cannot fix this by polishing your letter!
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Bandits, Spillover Effects, Carry-Overs, and...
In this week's issue of Causal Python Weekly:
- David Rohde on the value and justification of being pessimistic in bandit problems
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #RecSysSky #EpiSky #StatSky
In this week's issue of Causal Python Weekly:
- David Rohde on the value and justification of being pessimistic in bandit problems
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #RecSysSky #EpiSky #StatSky
November 9, 2025 at 11:53 AM
Bandits, Spillover Effects, Carry-Overs, and...
In this week's issue of Causal Python Weekly:
- David Rohde on the value and justification of being pessimistic in bandit problems
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #RecSysSky #EpiSky #StatSky
In this week's issue of Causal Python Weekly:
- David Rohde on the value and justification of being pessimistic in bandit problems
1/
#CausalSky #MLSky #RecSysSky #EpiSky #StatSky
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
1/ The US Government has quietly removed a memorial to Black soldiers who died in World War II from the Netherlands American Cemetery in Margraten, South Limburg. The move follows a complaint from the right-wing Heritage Foundation to the American Battle Monuments Commission. ⬇️
November 9, 2025 at 9:23 AM
1/ The US Government has quietly removed a memorial to Black soldiers who died in World War II from the Netherlands American Cemetery in Margraten, South Limburg. The move follows a complaint from the right-wing Heritage Foundation to the American Battle Monuments Commission. ⬇️
It's time to revive academic scolding with a cigarette dangling from the left hand like in the old days.
"Das Problem war doch nicht etwa, was unsere Feinde taten, sondern was unsere Freunde taten."
November 9, 2025 at 11:51 AM
It's time to revive academic scolding with a cigarette dangling from the left hand like in the old days.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Heidelberg, from the philosophers weg.
November 8, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Heidelberg, from the philosophers weg.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
early career scholar and their first publication
November 9, 2025 at 9:41 AM
early career scholar and their first publication
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
LAST CALL! #Sociology Professorships in Copenhagen, Denmark!
We're hiring 2+ open-rank profs (Asst/Assoc/Full). Any area.
Deadline: this Saturday, Nov 15!
Join a leading European sociology department. Please repost!
jobportal.ku.dk/videnskabeli...
We're hiring 2+ open-rank profs (Asst/Assoc/Full). Any area.
Deadline: this Saturday, Nov 15!
Join a leading European sociology department. Please repost!
jobportal.ku.dk/videnskabeli...
Call for two or more open-rank academic positions in Sociology
jobportal.ku.dk
November 9, 2025 at 8:08 AM
LAST CALL! #Sociology Professorships in Copenhagen, Denmark!
We're hiring 2+ open-rank profs (Asst/Assoc/Full). Any area.
Deadline: this Saturday, Nov 15!
Join a leading European sociology department. Please repost!
jobportal.ku.dk/videnskabeli...
We're hiring 2+ open-rank profs (Asst/Assoc/Full). Any area.
Deadline: this Saturday, Nov 15!
Join a leading European sociology department. Please repost!
jobportal.ku.dk/videnskabeli...
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
French artist Raymond Wintz specialised in marine and coastal views in Brittany. Here, almost 100 years ago, he looks through an open doorway to the harbour beyond (The Blue Door, 1927)
November 9, 2025 at 7:09 AM
French artist Raymond Wintz specialised in marine and coastal views in Brittany. Here, almost 100 years ago, he looks through an open doorway to the harbour beyond (The Blue Door, 1927)
"The man who co-discovered the double helix, perhaps not surprisingly, regarded DNA as the ultimate puppet master, immeasurably more powerful than the social and other forces that lesser (much lesser) scientists studied. Then his hubris painted him into a corner."
A Sharon Begley byline, almost 5 years after her death.
Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."
Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
🧪🧬🧫
Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."
Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
🧪🧬🧫
James Watson, dead at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers
James Watson, the co-discoverer of the structure of DNA who died Thursday at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers.
www.statnews.com
November 9, 2025 at 6:53 AM
"The man who co-discovered the double helix, perhaps not surprisingly, regarded DNA as the ultimate puppet master, immeasurably more powerful than the social and other forces that lesser (much lesser) scientists studied. Then his hubris painted him into a corner."
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
pre-writing a devastating obituary for your enemy is god-tier hating of a kind you don’t often see anymore. renaissance haterism. beautiful stuff.
A Sharon Begley byline, almost 5 years after her death.
Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."
Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
🧪🧬🧫
Upon hearing the news James Watson had died, a STAT reporter said in our Slack, "I wish I could read what Sharon would have written."
Incredible news: Sharon in fact did pre-write a Watson obit. And it is masterful and excoriating.
🧪🧬🧫
James Watson, dead at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers
James Watson, the co-discoverer of the structure of DNA who died Thursday at 97, was a scientific legend and a pariah among his peers.
www.statnews.com
November 9, 2025 at 12:55 AM
pre-writing a devastating obituary for your enemy is god-tier hating of a kind you don’t often see anymore. renaissance haterism. beautiful stuff.
Reposted by Paul Hünermund
Truly one of the best data science events that I look forward to all year long! No sales, no hype, just exquisite thoughtful yet practical methods. Taking two days off work to attend. Don't miss out!
⏰ Last chance to register for #CDSM2025!
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
November 9, 2025 at 12:44 AM
Truly one of the best data science events that I look forward to all year long! No sales, no hype, just exquisite thoughtful yet practical methods. Taking two days off work to attend. Don't miss out!