Paul Hünermund
@p-hunermund.com
Professor of Technology and Economic Policy | Co-founder of causalscience.org | Associate Editor at Journal of Causal Inference | Executive Team at Academy of Management TIM Division
⏰ Last chance to register for #CDSM2025!
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
November 8, 2025 at 9:05 AM
⏰ Last chance to register for #CDSM2025!
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
Don't miss your chance to join us Nov 12–13 for two days of talks & debates at the intersection of causality, data science & AI.
💻 Online | 🎟️ Free
👉 causalscience.org
This time will be different
November 5, 2025 at 4:38 PM
This time will be different
"More Wang – Less Wrong" is a boss slogan 😅
October 30, 2025 at 1:41 PM
"More Wang – Less Wrong" is a boss slogan 😅
Ok, I'll double down on the discourse from yesterday 😅
October 30, 2025 at 11:08 AM
Ok, I'll double down on the discourse from yesterday 😅
"Musk’s partisan activities also increased the sales of other automakers' electric and hybrid vehicles 17-22% because of substitution." www.nber.org/papers/w34413
A better economic stimulus program for the German economy than the Gigafactory in Berlin. ✌️
A better economic stimulus program for the German economy than the Gigafactory in Berlin. ✌️
October 27, 2025 at 8:25 AM
"Musk’s partisan activities also increased the sales of other automakers' electric and hybrid vehicles 17-22% because of substitution." www.nber.org/papers/w34413
A better economic stimulus program for the German economy than the Gigafactory in Berlin. ✌️
A better economic stimulus program for the German economy than the Gigafactory in Berlin. ✌️
"Let me stop you right there" (on slide 2)
October 22, 2025 at 9:32 AM
"Let me stop you right there" (on slide 2)
"Although pass-through at the border was incomplete, our estimates indicate that U.S. consumers paid more than the government received in tariff revenue, because domestic markups amplified downstream price effects." www.nber.org/papers/w34392
October 20, 2025 at 7:34 AM
"Although pass-through at the border was incomplete, our estimates indicate that U.S. consumers paid more than the government received in tariff revenue, because domestic markups amplified downstream price effects." www.nber.org/papers/w34392
Please rate this DAG @weratedags.com 🙏 doi.org/10.1016/j.le...
October 18, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Please rate this DAG @weratedags.com 🙏 doi.org/10.1016/j.le...
Great morning here in Copenhagen talking about how #CausalAI is transforming the way industries make data-driven decisions.
Big thanks to Felix and the team at ADC Consulting for the invite — and for the excellent breakfast. ☕️🥐
Big thanks to Felix and the team at ADC Consulting for the invite — and for the excellent breakfast. ☕️🥐
October 17, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Great morning here in Copenhagen talking about how #CausalAI is transforming the way industries make data-driven decisions.
Big thanks to Felix and the team at ADC Consulting for the invite — and for the excellent breakfast. ☕️🥐
Big thanks to Felix and the team at ADC Consulting for the invite — and for the excellent breakfast. ☕️🥐
Basically just a corollary of:
October 17, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Basically just a corollary of:
My reaction whenever a reviewer says: "We have learned a lot since then."
October 13, 2025 at 11:25 AM
My reaction whenever a reviewer says: "We have learned a lot since then."
Internationale Kollegen: "Willkommen im Club"
October 12, 2025 at 12:16 PM
Internationale Kollegen: "Willkommen im Club"
They know how to make you feel welcome at Vilnius University! 😊
October 10, 2025 at 2:16 PM
They know how to make you feel welcome at Vilnius University! 😊
Nice to be back in Vilnius for a methods workshop on sensitivity analysis in regression and mediation models at VU tomorrow and Friday. 😊
October 8, 2025 at 2:38 PM
Nice to be back in Vilnius for a methods workshop on sensitivity analysis in regression and mediation models at VU tomorrow and Friday. 😊
Post a favorite econ paper: Lichter et al. (2021, JEEA) @sigginho.bsky.social
Regions with higher Stasi spy density in East Germany still show lower trust, lower incomes, higher unemployment, and less entrepreneurship decades after reunification.
Open-access link: doi.org/10.1093/jeea...
Regions with higher Stasi spy density in East Germany still show lower trust, lower incomes, higher unemployment, and less entrepreneurship decades after reunification.
Open-access link: doi.org/10.1093/jeea...
October 3, 2025 at 7:33 AM
Post a favorite econ paper: Lichter et al. (2021, JEEA) @sigginho.bsky.social
Regions with higher Stasi spy density in East Germany still show lower trust, lower incomes, higher unemployment, and less entrepreneurship decades after reunification.
Open-access link: doi.org/10.1093/jeea...
Regions with higher Stasi spy density in East Germany still show lower trust, lower incomes, higher unemployment, and less entrepreneurship decades after reunification.
Open-access link: doi.org/10.1093/jeea...
"The researchers [...] conclude that the recent decline in fertility likely reflects a reordering of adult priorities where parenthood plays a diminished role in life planning, and that these shifts are likely shaped by broad cultural, normative, and structural shifts." www.nber.org/digest/20251...
October 2, 2025 at 7:10 AM
"The researchers [...] conclude that the recent decline in fertility likely reflects a reordering of adult priorities where parenthood plays a diminished role in life planning, and that these shifts are likely shaped by broad cultural, normative, and structural shifts." www.nber.org/digest/20251...