Liran Harsgor
@liranharsgor.bsky.social
Senior Lecturer l University of Haifa
Political behavior, electoral politics, generational gaps, gender and politics, Israeli politics
https://liran.harsgor.com/
Political behavior, electoral politics, generational gaps, gender and politics, Israeli politics
https://liran.harsgor.com/
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis
buff.ly
October 20, 2025 at 10:01 AM
🆕 Formateur expectations & #VotingBehaviour
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
Looking at #CSES and German 🇩🇪 pre-election surveys Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social & @ortuttnauer.com discuss "formateur optimization" – when voters back parties likely to lead.
📖
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
💻 Attending the @ecpr.bsky.social webinar on #Israel's domestic political landscape after the #Gaza war tomorrow?
📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social.
➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v
📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social.
➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v
🆕 #Webinar on Middle Eastern Policy & #EU Relations
🏛️ War and Politics: Israel's Domestic Political Landscape after the Gaza War
🎙️ Gideon Levy & Erica Weiss
📅 Tue 21 Oct, 15:00–16:00 BST
👉 Register now buff.ly/5Aa5X7W
#Democratic #PublicOpinion #Governance
🏛️ War and Politics: Israel's Domestic Political Landscape after the Gaza War
🎙️ Gideon Levy & Erica Weiss
📅 Tue 21 Oct, 15:00–16:00 BST
👉 Register now buff.ly/5Aa5X7W
#Democratic #PublicOpinion #Governance
Register FREE
Webinar on Middle Eastern Policy and EU Relations
buff.ly
October 20, 2025 at 8:51 AM
💻 Attending the @ecpr.bsky.social webinar on #Israel's domestic political landscape after the #Gaza war tomorrow?
📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social.
➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v
📘 Get up to speed on Israel's political developments + data in the latest report for PDY from @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @roizur.bsky.social.
➡️ bit.ly/48uS83v
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Writing about Israel is emotionally challenging, but equally important to me. Thanks, @liranharsgor.bsky.social for inviting me to collaborate on this @pdyearbook.bsky.social report. Hopefully, next year's report won't have such a somber tone.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Israel: Political Developments and Data in 2024
In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 17, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Writing about Israel is emotionally challenging, but equally important to me. Thanks, @liranharsgor.bsky.social for inviting me to collaborate on this @pdyearbook.bsky.social report. Hopefully, next year's report won't have such a somber tone.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Writing a report about Israeli politics in 2024 for @pdyearbook.bsky.social was quite a challenge. Luckily, I had @roizur.bsky.social as a collaborator.
We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Israel: Political Developments and Data in 2024
In 2024, Israel faced profound political and military upheaval. The Gaza war persisted throughout the year, expanding to direct confrontations with Hezbollah and Iran, while Houthi attacks intensifie...
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
October 12, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Writing a report about Israeli politics in 2024 for @pdyearbook.bsky.social was quite a challenge. Luckily, I had @roizur.bsky.social as a collaborator.
We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
We hope this report helps make sense of an extremely difficult period in the country’s history.
ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
🚨New #polisky publication 🚨
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis
www.cambridge.org
October 2, 2025 at 3:19 PM
🚨New #polisky publication 🚨
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty
1/4
Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister?
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
October 1, 2025 at 11:31 AM
Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister?
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26.
Deadline: November 7
💪
Deadline: November 7
💪
🌸 #ECPG26 @ecprgender.bsky.social Section seeking Panels and Papers ⤵️
✍️ Elections, Parties and Voters
🪑@cerifowler.bsky.social @liranharsgor.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social @jess-smith.bsky.social, Rosalind Shorrocks (@ox.ac.uk)
⌛👇 7 Nov
#Elections #Gendersky #PoliticalParties
✍️ Elections, Parties and Voters
🪑@cerifowler.bsky.social @liranharsgor.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social @jess-smith.bsky.social, Rosalind Shorrocks (@ox.ac.uk)
⌛👇 7 Nov
#Elections #Gendersky #PoliticalParties
Elections, Parties and Voters
European Conference on Politics and Gender, Newcastle University, 15 – 17 June 2026
buff.ly
October 1, 2025 at 10:42 AM
Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26.
Deadline: November 7
💪
Deadline: November 7
💪
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
#OpenAccess from July 2025 -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
September 22, 2025 at 6:00 PM
#OpenAccess from July 2025 -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social
September 10, 2025 at 9:21 AM
Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social
My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her.
August 17, 2025 at 7:01 PM
My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her.
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social
The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10
NEW -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
August 11, 2025 at 8:26 AM
Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10
NEW -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
August 8, 2025 at 11:21 AM
The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
NEW -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
July 31, 2025 at 11:15 AM
NEW -
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV
"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"
- @ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies.
OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
August 6, 2025 at 1:08 PM
I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies.
OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid.
Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around.
See you next year at EPSS!
Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around.
See you next year at EPSS!
June 27, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid.
Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around.
See you next year at EPSS!
Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around.
See you next year at EPSS!
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
June 26, 2025 at 5:07 PM
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.
🔗 epssnet.org
Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.
🧵
Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings.
ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
June 9, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings.
ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
Back to London after four days full of inspiring discussions on gender and generational gaps (and lots of coffee...)
Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓
#ecprjs25
@ecpr.bsky.social
Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓
#ecprjs25
@ecpr.bsky.social
May 23, 2025 at 6:52 PM
Back to London after four days full of inspiring discussions on gender and generational gaps (and lots of coffee...)
Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓
#ecprjs25
@ecpr.bsky.social
Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓
#ecprjs25
@ecpr.bsky.social
Having a paper accepted to @bjpols.bsky.social while in London is a perfect match 🎉
May 7, 2025 at 5:48 PM
Having a paper accepted to @bjpols.bsky.social while in London is a perfect match 🎉
Summarizing Israeli politics in 2024 feels less like covering a year and more like telling the story of a decade, just in fast forward...
@roizur.bsky.social
@roizur.bsky.social
April 25, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Summarizing Israeli politics in 2024 feels less like covering a year and more like telling the story of a decade, just in fast forward...
@roizur.bsky.social
@roizur.bsky.social
Party switching is one of the most impactful things MKs do, sometimes reshaping Israeli politics (hi Idit Silman).
Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review.
www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal...
Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review.
www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal...
April 22, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Party switching is one of the most impactful things MKs do, sometimes reshaping Israeli politics (hi Idit Silman).
Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review.
www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal...
Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review.
www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal...
מאמר חדש בספר ה"בחירות בישראל" עם @yanivshapi.bsky.social @ayakter.bsky.social
תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית?
תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית?
April 9, 2025 at 2:49 PM
מאמר חדש בספר ה"בחירות בישראל" עם @yanivshapi.bsky.social @ayakter.bsky.social
תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית?
תומכי אילו מפלגות מסכימים ביניהם, ועל אילו נושאים? אילו מהנושאים השפיעו יותר על ההצבעה בבחירות 2022? והאם בעשור האחרון ניכרת מגמה של קיטוב אידאולוגי גובר בין המפלגות או דווקא יציבות יחסית?
מאמר מעניין על המעטפות הכפולות בבחירות וכיצד הן מתפלגות בין ישובים וסקטורים שונים בישראל.
אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראל
אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראל
Special votes and voter turnout in Israel’s 2022 elections
This article analyzes special voting arrangements, known in Israel as ‘double envelope votes’, in the 2022 Knesset elections. The share of Israeli voters casting their ballots through special votin...
www.tandfonline.com
March 11, 2025 at 10:25 PM
מאמר מעניין על המעטפות הכפולות בבחירות וכיצד הן מתפלגות בין ישובים וסקטורים שונים בישראל.
אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראל
אלה נתונים ייחודיים ששופכים אור על שיעור ההצבעה בישראל
My kids are supposed to dress up like scientists for school.
I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷♀️
I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷♀️
March 10, 2025 at 7:42 PM
My kids are supposed to dress up like scientists for school.
I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷♀️
I've tried to convince them that political scientists are scientists too. No luck so far 🤷♀️
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
The editorial team of Research & Politics is excited to share the editors' collection of 2024:
January 11, 2025 at 3:31 PM
The editorial team of Research & Politics is excited to share the editors' collection of 2024: