lbstars.bsky.social
@lbstars.bsky.social
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
“.. based on the data we have to date; it looks like manufacturing is experiencing more of a slump than is generally recognized ..”
@deanbaker13.bsky.social
cepr.net/publications...
@deanbaker13.bsky.social
cepr.net/publications...
December 21, 2025 at 5:53 PM
“.. based on the data we have to date; it looks like manufacturing is experiencing more of a slump than is generally recognized ..”
@deanbaker13.bsky.social
cepr.net/publications...
@deanbaker13.bsky.social
cepr.net/publications...
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Trump pardoned these criminals. Trump is soft on crime.
December 21, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Trump pardoned these criminals. Trump is soft on crime.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
December 21, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
5% of the population generates 50% of healthcare spending.
The GOP solution to cutting healthcare spending in half is to simply let that 5% die.
The only flaw in their reasoning (aside from a total lack of ethics and morality) is that sooner or later nearly everyone ends up being part of that 5%.
The GOP solution to cutting healthcare spending in half is to simply let that 5% die.
The only flaw in their reasoning (aside from a total lack of ethics and morality) is that sooner or later nearly everyone ends up being part of that 5%.
December 21, 2025 at 4:11 PM
5% of the population generates 50% of healthcare spending.
The GOP solution to cutting healthcare spending in half is to simply let that 5% die.
The only flaw in their reasoning (aside from a total lack of ethics and morality) is that sooner or later nearly everyone ends up being part of that 5%.
The GOP solution to cutting healthcare spending in half is to simply let that 5% die.
The only flaw in their reasoning (aside from a total lack of ethics and morality) is that sooner or later nearly everyone ends up being part of that 5%.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Of course the UMich index of current conditions had to hit a new low 30 minutes after I published this article. Would have been a good peg! www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-vote...
Polls: Voters blame Trump for their economic woes
In a televised speech, Trump tried to turn around his affordability numbers by drawing attention to policies voters disapprove of
www.gelliottmorris.com
December 19, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Of course the UMich index of current conditions had to hit a new low 30 minutes after I published this article. Would have been a good peg! www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-vote...
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Call it affordability, vibes, politics: asking people how they're doing financially has been a grim exercise for some time.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
December 19, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Call it affordability, vibes, politics: asking people how they're doing financially has been a grim exercise for some time.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
Only 21% in 4th quarter said they're better off financially than a year ago, near Great Recession lows. Drop in 3 steps: pandemic '20, high inflation '21-22, and past year.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
On the flip side, 50% said they're worse off than a year ago. (The residual are those saying about the same.) Even more disconcerting, we have been stuck in a cycle of worsening finances. Since mid-2022, in each quarter at least 40% of people said they were worse off than the year before.
December 19, 2025 at 4:21 PM
On the flip side, 50% said they're worse off than a year ago. (The residual are those saying about the same.) Even more disconcerting, we have been stuck in a cycle of worsening finances. Since mid-2022, in each quarter at least 40% of people said they were worse off than the year before.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
"nominal prices remain elevated and people are worried about impacts from leadership" seems like a pretty good explanation of consumer sentiment, IMO
December 19, 2025 at 4:00 PM
"nominal prices remain elevated and people are worried about impacts from leadership" seems like a pretty good explanation of consumer sentiment, IMO
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Can I just say 2 things: First, Matt fails to see how these two sentences are different:
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
Here's a good post from Elliott Morris, the leader of the anti-Yglesias bandwagon, about how Trump's biggest political vulnerability is the cost of living and how Trump is screwing up by drawing more attention to it.
bsky.app/profile/gell...
bsky.app/profile/gell...
Trump's White House speech on affordability shows his team is desperate to try anything to help his numbers (except, of course, change the policies that majorities of Americans disapprove of)
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-vote...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/polls-vote...
December 19, 2025 at 4:38 PM
Can I just say 2 things: First, Matt fails to see how these two sentences are different:
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
"Trump is weak on the economy and highlighting it is bad for him"
"Trump is weak on the economy, so Democrats shouldn't talk about immigration"
I think this says a lot about his ideological priors
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
A November YouGov poll had ICE favorability underwater by 14 points among all Americans and 37(!) points among political independents today.yougov.com/politics/art...
December 21, 2025 at 1:38 AM
A November YouGov poll had ICE favorability underwater by 14 points among all Americans and 37(!) points among political independents today.yougov.com/politics/art...
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
i really think there is legit political space for running on "we are going to dismantle ICE"
How it started vs. How it’s going NOW 👀
LA tow truck driver who towed ICE’s car found NOT GUILTY 🦸🏽♂️
LA tow truck driver who towed ICE’s car found NOT GUILTY 🦸🏽♂️
December 21, 2025 at 12:41 AM
i really think there is legit political space for running on "we are going to dismantle ICE"
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
How it started vs. How it’s going NOW 👀
LA tow truck driver who towed ICE’s car found NOT GUILTY 🦸🏽♂️
LA tow truck driver who towed ICE’s car found NOT GUILTY 🦸🏽♂️
December 20, 2025 at 5:36 PM
How it started vs. How it’s going NOW 👀
LA tow truck driver who towed ICE’s car found NOT GUILTY 🦸🏽♂️
LA tow truck driver who towed ICE’s car found NOT GUILTY 🦸🏽♂️
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Rep. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie tell CBS they're considering bringing inherent contempt charges against Pam Bondi for failing to release all of the Epstein files.
December 21, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Rep. Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie tell CBS they're considering bringing inherent contempt charges against Pam Bondi for failing to release all of the Epstein files.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
This is why I'm really starting to hate the data bros.
Matty Y: "Dems should focus less on climate change/renewable energy, it's a losing issue."
Sean Casten (an actual Congressman): "I won a purple district multiple times by focusing on those issues"
Lakshya: "YEAH BUT YOU DIDN'T OVERPERFORM"
Matty Y: "Dems should focus less on climate change/renewable energy, it's a losing issue."
Sean Casten (an actual Congressman): "I won a purple district multiple times by focusing on those issues"
Lakshya: "YEAH BUT YOU DIDN'T OVERPERFORM"
December 20, 2025 at 9:14 PM
This is why I'm really starting to hate the data bros.
Matty Y: "Dems should focus less on climate change/renewable energy, it's a losing issue."
Sean Casten (an actual Congressman): "I won a purple district multiple times by focusing on those issues"
Lakshya: "YEAH BUT YOU DIDN'T OVERPERFORM"
Matty Y: "Dems should focus less on climate change/renewable energy, it's a losing issue."
Sean Casten (an actual Congressman): "I won a purple district multiple times by focusing on those issues"
Lakshya: "YEAH BUT YOU DIDN'T OVERPERFORM"
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Just a reminder that MattY claimed Starmer is unpopular because of fracking policy.
December 20, 2025 at 11:47 PM
Just a reminder that MattY claimed Starmer is unpopular because of fracking policy.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
WASHINGTON (AP) — At least 16 files from Epstein release disappeared from DOJ webpage, including photo of Trump, with no explanation.
December 20, 2025 at 9:26 PM
WASHINGTON (AP) — At least 16 files from Epstein release disappeared from DOJ webpage, including photo of Trump, with no explanation.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Actions speak louder than words.
December 20, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Actions speak louder than words.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
...record-high share of Americans approve of the ACA, according to Gallup. KFF shows all-time high reached earlier this year.
December 20, 2025 at 7:37 PM
...record-high share of Americans approve of the ACA, according to Gallup. KFF shows all-time high reached earlier this year.
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Why might GOP's refusal to extend the ACA subsidies be a political loser?
Well, in new polling, record-high share of Americans say it's the federal government’s responsibility to make sure all Americans have health care coverage. Also... (short 🧵)
Well, in new polling, record-high share of Americans say it's the federal government’s responsibility to make sure all Americans have health care coverage. Also... (short 🧵)
December 20, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Why might GOP's refusal to extend the ACA subsidies be a political loser?
Well, in new polling, record-high share of Americans say it's the federal government’s responsibility to make sure all Americans have health care coverage. Also... (short 🧵)
Well, in new polling, record-high share of Americans say it's the federal government’s responsibility to make sure all Americans have health care coverage. Also... (short 🧵)
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
Oh and fix Min Wage
Plenty of other good governance you should push through in a wonky package on various federal too
Plenty of other good governance you should push through in a wonky package on various federal too
December 20, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Oh and fix Min Wage
Plenty of other good governance you should push through in a wonky package on various federal too
Plenty of other good governance you should push through in a wonky package on various federal too
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
If we do NEW social programs it should be guaranteed family leave, child allowance, universal school meals.
Then you do fixes/expansion on Medicare, Social Security, SSI and Disability
Then you do fixes/expansion on Medicare, Social Security, SSI and Disability
December 20, 2025 at 7:51 PM
If we do NEW social programs it should be guaranteed family leave, child allowance, universal school meals.
Then you do fixes/expansion on Medicare, Social Security, SSI and Disability
Then you do fixes/expansion on Medicare, Social Security, SSI and Disability
Reposted by lbstars.bsky.social
compare to 2017/18 when Republicans only *failed* at repealing Obamacare, this time they actively hurt it.
Building on the ACA + a public option is IMO a very potent and simple message that Dems of all stripes should embrace
Building on the ACA + a public option is IMO a very potent and simple message that Dems of all stripes should embrace
...record-high share of Americans approve of the ACA, according to Gallup. KFF shows all-time high reached earlier this year.
December 20, 2025 at 7:44 PM
compare to 2017/18 when Republicans only *failed* at repealing Obamacare, this time they actively hurt it.
Building on the ACA + a public option is IMO a very potent and simple message that Dems of all stripes should embrace
Building on the ACA + a public option is IMO a very potent and simple message that Dems of all stripes should embrace