Jarmo Kikstra
@kikstra.bsky.social
Research scholar at IIASA. Imperial College London. Lead Author IPCC AR7 WG3. Climate, energy, economics, decent living standards, and justice.
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
The 800-page Second Austrian Climate Report (AAR2) is now more accessible thanks to Wikimedia Austria.
Open licensing and a Wikimedian in Residence helped bring key findings to Wikipedia, Commons, and Wikidata, connecting climate science to everyday life.
Read more ➡️ w.wiki/FXHt
Open licensing and a Wikimedian in Residence helped bring key findings to Wikipedia, Commons, and Wikidata, connecting climate science to everyday life.
Read more ➡️ w.wiki/FXHt
October 21, 2025 at 1:26 PM
The 800-page Second Austrian Climate Report (AAR2) is now more accessible thanks to Wikimedia Austria.
Open licensing and a Wikimedian in Residence helped bring key findings to Wikipedia, Commons, and Wikidata, connecting climate science to everyday life.
Read more ➡️ w.wiki/FXHt
Open licensing and a Wikimedian in Residence helped bring key findings to Wikipedia, Commons, and Wikidata, connecting climate science to everyday life.
Read more ➡️ w.wiki/FXHt
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
Just published in PLOS Climate:
"Towards provision of regularly updated climate data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project"
🔗 journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
@wcrp-cmip.org @juliearblaster.bsky.social @baylorfk.bsky.social @tatianailyina.bsky.social
"Towards provision of regularly updated climate data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project"
🔗 journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
@wcrp-cmip.org @juliearblaster.bsky.social @baylorfk.bsky.social @tatianailyina.bsky.social
October 9, 2025 at 6:20 PM
Just published in PLOS Climate:
"Towards provision of regularly updated climate data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project"
🔗 journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
@wcrp-cmip.org @juliearblaster.bsky.social @baylorfk.bsky.social @tatianailyina.bsky.social
"Towards provision of regularly updated climate data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project"
🔗 journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
@wcrp-cmip.org @juliearblaster.bsky.social @baylorfk.bsky.social @tatianailyina.bsky.social
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
I'm proud to be part of the 2025 #TIME100Climate list of influential leaders.
Link to the full list of 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Link to my page in the 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Link to the full list of 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Link to my page in the 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Yann Quilcaille: The 100 Most Influential Climate Leaders of 2025
Find out why Yann Quilcaille is on TIME's 2025 list of the 100 most influential leaders driving business climate action.
time.com
October 30, 2025 at 3:12 PM
I'm proud to be part of the 2025 #TIME100Climate list of influential leaders.
Link to the full list of 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Link to my page in the 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Link to the full list of 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Link to my page in the 2025 #TIME100Climate
time.com/collections/...
Dutch general elections happened today.
First exit poll is here.
Dutch elections not easy to cover / explain: so many parties (~15)!
Since last year, I'm trying to track the votes by party colour - here's how I grouped it.
github.com/jkikstra/ele...
First exit poll is here.
Dutch elections not easy to cover / explain: so many parties (~15)!
Since last year, I'm trying to track the votes by party colour - here's how I grouped it.
github.com/jkikstra/ele...
October 29, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Dutch general elections happened today.
First exit poll is here.
Dutch elections not easy to cover / explain: so many parties (~15)!
Since last year, I'm trying to track the votes by party colour - here's how I grouped it.
github.com/jkikstra/ele...
First exit poll is here.
Dutch elections not easy to cover / explain: so many parties (~15)!
Since last year, I'm trying to track the votes by party colour - here's how I grouped it.
github.com/jkikstra/ele...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
📣 Last days to apply as a Chapter Scientist to support author teams for IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report.
The deadline for applications is 18 October 2025.
More details: lnkd.in/dGvmmWeC
The deadline for applications is 18 October 2025.
More details: lnkd.in/dGvmmWeC
📣 Attention: Early-career researchers from developing countries & countries in transition!
Are you interested in becoming a Chapter Scientist and supporting author teams for #IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report?
Apply by 18 Oct 2025
🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/10/07/c...
Are you interested in becoming a Chapter Scientist and supporting author teams for #IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report?
Apply by 18 Oct 2025
🔗 www.ipcc.ch/2025/10/07/c...
October 15, 2025 at 9:17 AM
📣 Last days to apply as a Chapter Scientist to support author teams for IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report.
The deadline for applications is 18 October 2025.
More details: lnkd.in/dGvmmWeC
The deadline for applications is 18 October 2025.
More details: lnkd.in/dGvmmWeC
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
🚨 Important paper in Nature: "Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors".
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors - Nature
Climate change made 213 historical heatwaves reported over 2000–2023 more likely and more intense, to which each of the 180 carbon majors (fossil fuel and cement producers) substantially contributed.
www.nature.com
September 10, 2025 at 5:41 PM
🚨 Important paper in Nature: "Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors".
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
The @ipcc.bsky.social has announced the authors for its Seventh Assessment Report (#AR7). With 3 Coordinating Lead Authors & 10 Lead Authors, IIASA will play a key part in delivering the best available knowledge to guide effective and equitable climate action.
🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/aug-202...
🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/aug-202...
August 26, 2025 at 12:38 PM
The @ipcc.bsky.social has announced the authors for its Seventh Assessment Report (#AR7). With 3 Coordinating Lead Authors & 10 Lead Authors, IIASA will play a key part in delivering the best available knowledge to guide effective and equitable climate action.
🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/aug-202...
🔗 iiasa.ac.at/news/aug-202...
Honoured to serve as a Lead Author for the IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report!
Chapter 3, WG III. I expect to focus on global mitigation pathways, decent living standards for all, and post-growth approaches.
Team looks great! First big meeting in December.
All authors: apps.ipcc.ch/report/autho...
Chapter 3, WG III. I expect to focus on global mitigation pathways, decent living standards for all, and post-growth approaches.
Team looks great! First big meeting in December.
All authors: apps.ipcc.ch/report/autho...
August 15, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Honoured to serve as a Lead Author for the IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report!
Chapter 3, WG III. I expect to focus on global mitigation pathways, decent living standards for all, and post-growth approaches.
Team looks great! First big meeting in December.
All authors: apps.ipcc.ch/report/autho...
Chapter 3, WG III. I expect to focus on global mitigation pathways, decent living standards for all, and post-growth approaches.
Team looks great! First big meeting in December.
All authors: apps.ipcc.ch/report/autho...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
🚨Submission deadline ahead🚨
Join us for the world's first global conference at @iiasa.ac.at from Sep 30 to Oct 02.
(Extended) abstract deadline is around the corner (July 4). Don't miss it!
overshootconference.org/abstract-sub...
Join us for the world's first global conference at @iiasa.ac.at from Sep 30 to Oct 02.
(Extended) abstract deadline is around the corner (July 4). Don't miss it!
overshootconference.org/abstract-sub...
Overshoot Conference from 30 September to 2 October 2025
As the world faces the growing risk of exceeding the 1.5°C warming threshold, understanding the risks and responses to climate overshoot across different disciplines has never been more urgent.
iiasa.ac.at
July 3, 2025 at 5:25 AM
🚨Submission deadline ahead🚨
Join us for the world's first global conference at @iiasa.ac.at from Sep 30 to Oct 02.
(Extended) abstract deadline is around the corner (July 4). Don't miss it!
overshootconference.org/abstract-sub...
Join us for the world's first global conference at @iiasa.ac.at from Sep 30 to Oct 02.
(Extended) abstract deadline is around the corner (July 4). Don't miss it!
overshootconference.org/abstract-sub...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
New study out, in which we detect a causal link in reanalysis+observational data from an AMOC SST index to the Southern Amazon rainforest: dry season precipitation increases when the AMOC weakens.
doi.org/10.1088/1748...
doi.org/10.1088/1748...
Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements - IOPscience
Causal pathway from AMOC to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements, Högner, Annika, Di Capua, Giorgia, Donges, Jonathan F, Donner, Reik V, Feulner, Georg, Wunderling, Nico
doi.org
June 10, 2025 at 8:36 AM
New study out, in which we detect a causal link in reanalysis+observational data from an AMOC SST index to the Southern Amazon rainforest: dry season precipitation increases when the AMOC weakens.
doi.org/10.1088/1748...
doi.org/10.1088/1748...
🌍 New publication – and the final paper of my PhD!
Can we end poverty, provide decent living standards (and beyond) for all, and meet climate targets?
📄 Paper (open access): “Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE”: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Can we end poverty, provide decent living standards (and beyond) for all, and meet climate targets?
📄 Paper (open access): “Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE”: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
May 14, 2025 at 8:26 PM
🌍 New publication – and the final paper of my PhD!
Can we end poverty, provide decent living standards (and beyond) for all, and meet climate targets?
📄 Paper (open access): “Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE”: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Can we end poverty, provide decent living standards (and beyond) for all, and meet climate targets?
📄 Paper (open access): “Closing decent living gaps in energy and emissions scenarios: introducing DESIRE”: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
New IIASA-led research shows that achieving sustainable development and climate targets at the same time is not only possible but necessary.
“Eradicating poverty and protecting the planet are not conflicting goals,” says lead author @kikstra.bsky.social.
🔎 iiasa.ac.at/news/may-202...
“Eradicating poverty and protecting the planet are not conflicting goals,” says lead author @kikstra.bsky.social.
🔎 iiasa.ac.at/news/may-202...
May 13, 2025 at 12:46 PM
New IIASA-led research shows that achieving sustainable development and climate targets at the same time is not only possible but necessary.
“Eradicating poverty and protecting the planet are not conflicting goals,” says lead author @kikstra.bsky.social.
🔎 iiasa.ac.at/news/may-202...
“Eradicating poverty and protecting the planet are not conflicting goals,” says lead author @kikstra.bsky.social.
🔎 iiasa.ac.at/news/may-202...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
“We’re not just talking about lifting people out of extreme poverty; we’re looking at futures with high development ambition, ensuring decent living standards as a minimum for everyone worldwide.” @kikstra.bsky.social, @iiasa.ac.at
It’s Possible to End Global Poverty Without Compromising Climate Goals, New Research Shows - EcoWatch
Ensuring that everyone on Earth has a decent standard of living is possible in accordance with reducing emissions quickly and decisively.
www.ecowatch.com
May 13, 2025 at 10:17 PM
“We’re not just talking about lifting people out of extreme poverty; we’re looking at futures with high development ambition, ensuring decent living standards as a minimum for everyone worldwide.” @kikstra.bsky.social, @iiasa.ac.at
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
Read about our new work on 'net zero carbon debt' @carbonbrief.org 👇
NEW – Guest post: How to apportion ‘net-zero carbon debt’ if global warming overshoots 1.5C | @setupelz.bsky.social @robinlamboll.bsky.social @wimthiery.bsky.social @gidden.bsky.social @cjsmith.be @shonali-p.bsky.social
Read here:
Read here:
Guest post: How to apportion ‘net-zero carbon debt’ if global warming overshoots 1.5C - Carbon Brief
Our findings show that some regions, such as western Europe and North America, will accrue net-zero carbon debt as soon as 2030.
buff.ly
April 9, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Read about our new work on 'net zero carbon debt' @carbonbrief.org 👇
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
What's the fairest way to deal with the (inevitable) overshoot of 1.5°C?
New paper led by @setupelz.bsky.social explores the concept of "net zero carbon debt"
Here's the VUB press release: press.vub.ac.be/who-is-respo...
New paper led by @setupelz.bsky.social explores the concept of "net zero carbon debt"
Here's the VUB press release: press.vub.ac.be/who-is-respo...
March 26, 2025 at 11:53 AM
What's the fairest way to deal with the (inevitable) overshoot of 1.5°C?
New paper led by @setupelz.bsky.social explores the concept of "net zero carbon debt"
Here's the VUB press release: press.vub.ac.be/who-is-respo...
New paper led by @setupelz.bsky.social explores the concept of "net zero carbon debt"
Here's the VUB press release: press.vub.ac.be/who-is-respo...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
With global warming closing in on 1.5C, one aspect is clear: some countries' emissions have exceeded their fair share.
To deal with this, we present the concept of carbon debt in a new paper in @pnas.org.
Lead author @setupelz.bsky.social explains in a long thread 👇🧵
To deal with this, we present the concept of carbon debt in a new paper in @pnas.org.
Lead author @setupelz.bsky.social explains in a long thread 👇🧵
📢 New paper w/ G. Ganti @robinlamboll.bsky.social L. Grant @cjsmith.be @shonali-p.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social K. Riahi @wimthiery.bsky.social @gidden.bsky.social
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
March 26, 2025 at 1:06 PM
With global warming closing in on 1.5C, one aspect is clear: some countries' emissions have exceeded their fair share.
To deal with this, we present the concept of carbon debt in a new paper in @pnas.org.
Lead author @setupelz.bsky.social explains in a long thread 👇🧵
To deal with this, we present the concept of carbon debt in a new paper in @pnas.org.
Lead author @setupelz.bsky.social explains in a long thread 👇🧵
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
With 1.5°C being dangerously close, moving the goalpost might seem tempting. In this extremely relevant contribution @setupelz.bsky.social and co-workers @iiasa.ac.at suggest an alternative: Keep the target - and keep the books.
Carbon debt for climate integrity 👇👇👇
Carbon debt for climate integrity 👇👇👇
📢 New paper w/ G. Ganti @robinlamboll.bsky.social L. Grant @cjsmith.be @shonali-p.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social K. Riahi @wimthiery.bsky.social @gidden.bsky.social
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
March 26, 2025 at 9:24 AM
With 1.5°C being dangerously close, moving the goalpost might seem tempting. In this extremely relevant contribution @setupelz.bsky.social and co-workers @iiasa.ac.at suggest an alternative: Keep the target - and keep the books.
Carbon debt for climate integrity 👇👇👇
Carbon debt for climate integrity 👇👇👇
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
📢 New paper w/ G. Ganti @robinlamboll.bsky.social L. Grant @cjsmith.be @shonali-p.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social K. Riahi @wimthiery.bsky.social @gidden.bsky.social
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
March 25, 2025 at 9:22 PM
📢 New paper w/ G. Ganti @robinlamboll.bsky.social L. Grant @cjsmith.be @shonali-p.bsky.social @joerirogelj.bsky.social K. Riahi @wimthiery.bsky.social @gidden.bsky.social
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
We examine a forward-looking measure to guide collective efforts in the era of climate overshoot: net-zero carbon debt.
🧵
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
OK, seriously, Dr. Kate Calvin is one of the best, most well rounded climate scientists alive. She is the current co-chair of IPCC WGIII AR7, and a fabulous leader. Eliminating her current position as Chief Scientist at NASA is not just a shot in the foot, but an amputation. @ipcc.bsky.social
Breaking news: NASA announced today it will eliminate its Office of the Chief Scientist, along with offices advising the agency on technology, strategy, and coordinating its diversity, equity, inclusion, and accessibility efforts. scim.ag/3Ft8Xza
NASA to eliminate chief scientist position
Long-running advisory role cut along with two dozen others in agencywide reduction
scim.ag
March 10, 2025 at 7:54 PM
OK, seriously, Dr. Kate Calvin is one of the best, most well rounded climate scientists alive. She is the current co-chair of IPCC WGIII AR7, and a fabulous leader. Eliminating her current position as Chief Scientist at NASA is not just a shot in the foot, but an amputation. @ipcc.bsky.social
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
Not a new nature fund just yet, but developing countries get something much bigger, 3 decades in the making: a permanent mechanism for biodiversity finance.
Esp significant in today's geopolitical climate that has cast a cloud over cooperation and hopes for more funding for nature and climate.
Esp significant in today's geopolitical climate that has cast a cloud over cooperation and hopes for more funding for nature and climate.
AND IT IS ADOPTED. #COP16 www.cbd.int/doc/c/1680/7...
February 28, 2025 at 12:36 AM
Not a new nature fund just yet, but developing countries get something much bigger, 3 decades in the making: a permanent mechanism for biodiversity finance.
Esp significant in today's geopolitical climate that has cast a cloud over cooperation and hopes for more funding for nature and climate.
Esp significant in today's geopolitical climate that has cast a cloud over cooperation and hopes for more funding for nature and climate.
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
I have been receiving the sad news about massive NOAA firing.
I cannot explain how important NOAA is for science globally. The data and model outputs generated by NOAA globally allow researchers from countries that don’t have the funding or capability to develop those to do their own science. 🌊🧵
I cannot explain how important NOAA is for science globally. The data and model outputs generated by NOAA globally allow researchers from countries that don’t have the funding or capability to develop those to do their own science. 🌊🧵
February 28, 2025 at 10:42 AM
I have been receiving the sad news about massive NOAA firing.
I cannot explain how important NOAA is for science globally. The data and model outputs generated by NOAA globally allow researchers from countries that don’t have the funding or capability to develop those to do their own science. 🌊🧵
I cannot explain how important NOAA is for science globally. The data and model outputs generated by NOAA globally allow researchers from countries that don’t have the funding or capability to develop those to do their own science. 🌊🧵
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
Do you want to work on improving some of the most widely used global climate datasets?
We are offering a 34-month research / climate data science post to further develop CRU TS and CRUTEM @climateuea.bsky.social @ncas-uk.bsky.social
vacancies.uea.ac.uk/vacancies/14...
We are offering a 34-month research / climate data science post to further develop CRU TS and CRUTEM @climateuea.bsky.social @ncas-uk.bsky.social
vacancies.uea.ac.uk/vacancies/14...
February 27, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Do you want to work on improving some of the most widely used global climate datasets?
We are offering a 34-month research / climate data science post to further develop CRU TS and CRUTEM @climateuea.bsky.social @ncas-uk.bsky.social
vacancies.uea.ac.uk/vacancies/14...
We are offering a 34-month research / climate data science post to further develop CRU TS and CRUTEM @climateuea.bsky.social @ncas-uk.bsky.social
vacancies.uea.ac.uk/vacancies/14...
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
Last Tuesday, I was set to give a talk on 'climate change in the Northeast' at a retirement home but had to cancel due to hourly job threats.
After nearly two weeks of overwhelming uncertainty, today it happened. I was fired from my dream of working at NOAA. I'm so sorry to everyone also affected.
After nearly two weeks of overwhelming uncertainty, today it happened. I was fired from my dream of working at NOAA. I'm so sorry to everyone also affected.
February 27, 2025 at 10:34 PM
Last Tuesday, I was set to give a talk on 'climate change in the Northeast' at a retirement home but had to cancel due to hourly job threats.
After nearly two weeks of overwhelming uncertainty, today it happened. I was fired from my dream of working at NOAA. I'm so sorry to everyone also affected.
After nearly two weeks of overwhelming uncertainty, today it happened. I was fired from my dream of working at NOAA. I'm so sorry to everyone also affected.
Reposted by Jarmo Kikstra
Scenarios from Integrated Assessment & energy systems models are an important part of the policy discourse for getting to net-zero.
IIASA, IAMC and the Earth Fund are starting a new initiative to make these scenarios more accessible and actionable!
#ScenarioCompass
scenariocompass.org/news
IIASA, IAMC and the Earth Fund are starting a new initiative to make these scenarios more accessible and actionable!
#ScenarioCompass
scenariocompass.org/news
October 18, 2024 at 12:24 PM
Scenarios from Integrated Assessment & energy systems models are an important part of the policy discourse for getting to net-zero.
IIASA, IAMC and the Earth Fund are starting a new initiative to make these scenarios more accessible and actionable!
#ScenarioCompass
scenariocompass.org/news
IIASA, IAMC and the Earth Fund are starting a new initiative to make these scenarios more accessible and actionable!
#ScenarioCompass
scenariocompass.org/news