Jonathan Abraham
@jonelectric.bsky.social
Brockport '27
Aspiring Meteorologist
🇹🇹
🏋️🏊♂️
Aspiring Meteorologist
🇹🇹
🏋️🏊♂️
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
This cold outbreak was also impressive in how far south it pushed, even to #Miami, FL. The Miami International Airport #KMIA set its first record low (49°F) in more than a decade!
Between the last two record lows (11/2/14 to 11/11/25), there have been *97 new record highs* set at the airport. #FLwx
Between the last two record lows (11/2/14 to 11/11/25), there have been *97 new record highs* set at the airport. #FLwx
November 11, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
A look at the devastating power loss across Jamaica following the historic crossing of Hurricane Melissa, captured by NOAA-21.
October 30, 2025 at 6:27 PM
A look at the devastating power loss across Jamaica following the historic crossing of Hurricane Melissa, captured by NOAA-21.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Hurricane Melissa’s historic journey to becoming one of the most intense tropical cyclones ever recorded on Earth.
A storm we won't forget anytime soon.
A storm we won't forget anytime soon.
October 29, 2025 at 1:49 PM
Hurricane Melissa’s historic journey to becoming one of the most intense tropical cyclones ever recorded on Earth.
A storm we won't forget anytime soon.
A storm we won't forget anytime soon.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Fun with data:
In the last 24 hours, the NYS Mesonet's Schaghticoke station has had 3.51" (so far, most in NY). That's just .1" shy of a 24-hour record at that site.
In the 90 days *before* this period, they were the driest station in the whole state, with 4.1" (in east-central NY). #nywx
In the last 24 hours, the NYS Mesonet's Schaghticoke station has had 3.51" (so far, most in NY). That's just .1" shy of a 24-hour record at that site.
In the 90 days *before* this period, they were the driest station in the whole state, with 4.1" (in east-central NY). #nywx
September 25, 2025 at 11:36 PM
Fun with data:
In the last 24 hours, the NYS Mesonet's Schaghticoke station has had 3.51" (so far, most in NY). That's just .1" shy of a 24-hour record at that site.
In the 90 days *before* this period, they were the driest station in the whole state, with 4.1" (in east-central NY). #nywx
In the last 24 hours, the NYS Mesonet's Schaghticoke station has had 3.51" (so far, most in NY). That's just .1" shy of a 24-hour record at that site.
In the 90 days *before* this period, they were the driest station in the whole state, with 4.1" (in east-central NY). #nywx
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
I get that the news cycle is packed right now, but I just heard from a colleague at the Smithsonian that this is fully a GIANT SQUID BEING EATEN BY A SPERM WHALE and it’s possibly the first ever confirmed video according to a friend at NOAA
10 YEAR OLD ME IS LOSING HER MIND (a thread 🧵)
10 YEAR OLD ME IS LOSING HER MIND (a thread 🧵)
September 24, 2025 at 8:30 PM
I get that the news cycle is packed right now, but I just heard from a colleague at the Smithsonian that this is fully a GIANT SQUID BEING EATEN BY A SPERM WHALE and it’s possibly the first ever confirmed video according to a friend at NOAA
10 YEAR OLD ME IS LOSING HER MIND (a thread 🧵)
10 YEAR OLD ME IS LOSING HER MIND (a thread 🧵)
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
I am also required by law to attach this awesome loop of low-level swirly happenings
September 15, 2025 at 9:32 PM
I am also required by law to attach this awesome loop of low-level swirly happenings
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
The Main Development Region was first defined in a published paper in 1996 as the region "from ~ 10° to 20°N between the west coast of Africa and Central America." We commonly use 85° to 20°W for those longitude bounds, as illustrated on the map.
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
[2/3]
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
[2/3]
September 15, 2025 at 12:33 PM
The Main Development Region was first defined in a published paper in 1996 as the region "from ~ 10° to 20°N between the west coast of Africa and Central America." We commonly use 85° to 20°W for those longitude bounds, as illustrated on the map.
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
[2/3]
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
[2/3]
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Useful terminology tidbit for Atlantic hurricane enthusiasts:
The "Main Development Region" (MDR) is a slice of the deep tropical Atlantic where "most major hurricanes begin developing". Importantly, the Caribbean Sea is included in it, and makes up nearly 40% of it!
[1/3]
The "Main Development Region" (MDR) is a slice of the deep tropical Atlantic where "most major hurricanes begin developing". Importantly, the Caribbean Sea is included in it, and makes up nearly 40% of it!
[1/3]
September 15, 2025 at 12:33 PM
Useful terminology tidbit for Atlantic hurricane enthusiasts:
The "Main Development Region" (MDR) is a slice of the deep tropical Atlantic where "most major hurricanes begin developing". Importantly, the Caribbean Sea is included in it, and makes up nearly 40% of it!
[1/3]
The "Main Development Region" (MDR) is a slice of the deep tropical Atlantic where "most major hurricanes begin developing". Importantly, the Caribbean Sea is included in it, and makes up nearly 40% of it!
[1/3]
That time of year I guess?
August 28, 2025 at 2:34 PM
That time of year I guess?
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
11am: 95kt, 941hpa. NHC actually used the outer wind max and a larger surface reduction factor. Third lowest for 95kts, 2.77 standard deviations below the mean (962.3).
Might make the plot nicer tomorrow after work. Btw I have no idea what that 998hpa 85kt storm is. I'm pretty sure my code is ok..
Might make the plot nicer tomorrow after work. Btw I have no idea what that 998hpa 85kt storm is. I'm pretty sure my code is ok..
August 20, 2025 at 3:11 PM
11am: 95kt, 941hpa. NHC actually used the outer wind max and a larger surface reduction factor. Third lowest for 95kts, 2.77 standard deviations below the mean (962.3).
Might make the plot nicer tomorrow after work. Btw I have no idea what that 998hpa 85kt storm is. I'm pretty sure my code is ok..
Might make the plot nicer tomorrow after work. Btw I have no idea what that 998hpa 85kt storm is. I'm pretty sure my code is ok..
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Hurricane Erin’s substantial wind-field expansion over the past four days.
August 20, 2025 at 12:53 PM
Hurricane Erin’s substantial wind-field expansion over the past four days.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Spain is having its worst year for wildfires.
In terms of square kilometers burned, the 2025 season far outstrips all previous years.
Many fires are still active.
In terms of square kilometers burned, the 2025 season far outstrips all previous years.
Many fires are still active.
August 19, 2025 at 6:37 PM
Spain is having its worst year for wildfires.
In terms of square kilometers burned, the 2025 season far outstrips all previous years.
Many fires are still active.
In terms of square kilometers burned, the 2025 season far outstrips all previous years.
Many fires are still active.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Storm surge flooding and tropical storm conditions are expected in the NC Outer Banks beginning late Wed/Wed night, where Tropical Storm & Storm Surge Warnings are in effect. The storm surge will be accompanied by large waves, leading to beach erosion & overwash, making some roads impassible.
August 19, 2025 at 9:15 PM
Storm surge flooding and tropical storm conditions are expected in the NC Outer Banks beginning late Wed/Wed night, where Tropical Storm & Storm Surge Warnings are in effect. The storm surge will be accompanied by large waves, leading to beach erosion & overwash, making some roads impassible.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Screenshots for the thread to be easily parsed. That last response is clearly AI.
August 18, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Screenshots for the thread to be easily parsed. That last response is clearly AI.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
bsky.app/profile/jone...
This is the post the bot was responding to (Jonathan is correct, for those of you who are not deep in weather brain)
This is the post the bot was responding to (Jonathan is correct, for those of you who are not deep in weather brain)
ACE does not account for the size of a system!
August 18, 2025 at 9:38 PM
bsky.app/profile/jone...
This is the post the bot was responding to (Jonathan is correct, for those of you who are not deep in weather brain)
This is the post the bot was responding to (Jonathan is correct, for those of you who are not deep in weather brain)
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Here's an account with 35k followers using AI to respond to people (I'll quote the response shortly, since the thread can't be parsed as the participants have blocked each other). The AI bots aren't just a conservative issue. It's everywhere.
August 18, 2025 at 9:36 PM
Here's an account with 35k followers using AI to respond to people (I'll quote the response shortly, since the thread can't be parsed as the participants have blocked each other). The AI bots aren't just a conservative issue. It's everywhere.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
With Category 4 #HurricaneErin ripping ~20 ACE units so far (and 15-20 ACE to go), the 2025 #HurricaneSeason has rapidly vaulted out of the climatological basement— moving up from <30th percentile to date last week to nearly 80th percentile today.
More percentile gains from #Erin to come.
More percentile gains from #Erin to come.
August 18, 2025 at 2:39 PM
With Category 4 #HurricaneErin ripping ~20 ACE units so far (and 15-20 ACE to go), the 2025 #HurricaneSeason has rapidly vaulted out of the climatological basement— moving up from <30th percentile to date last week to nearly 80th percentile today.
More percentile gains from #Erin to come.
More percentile gains from #Erin to come.
This is an amazing visual of the effects of an eyewall replacement, note the original eyewall has not yet been replaced.
These are taken roughly 24 hours apart.
These are taken roughly 24 hours apart.
August 17, 2025 at 8:20 PM
This is an amazing visual of the effects of an eyewall replacement, note the original eyewall has not yet been replaced.
These are taken roughly 24 hours apart.
These are taken roughly 24 hours apart.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
How fast was Hurricane Erin's intensification rate vs. past Atlantic storms?
It wasn't record shattering - but still in the uppermost ranks of Atlantic hurricanes, especially over a 6-hour period:
It wasn't record shattering - but still in the uppermost ranks of Atlantic hurricanes, especially over a 6-hour period:
August 16, 2025 at 9:19 PM
How fast was Hurricane Erin's intensification rate vs. past Atlantic storms?
It wasn't record shattering - but still in the uppermost ranks of Atlantic hurricanes, especially over a 6-hour period:
It wasn't record shattering - but still in the uppermost ranks of Atlantic hurricanes, especially over a 6-hour period:
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
Additionally, microwave imagery from an SSMIS overpass (images courtesy CIMSS) from around 10 UTC indicates convection encircling the center of Erin. Such a signal is also consistent with imminent RI. Demonstrates the value of SSMIS for monitoring hurricanes.
August 15, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Additionally, microwave imagery from an SSMIS overpass (images courtesy CIMSS) from around 10 UTC indicates convection encircling the center of Erin. Such a signal is also consistent with imminent RI. Demonstrates the value of SSMIS for monitoring hurricanes.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
A ribbon of thick smoke from Canadian wildfires streams across the skies over North America, sullying the air quality over the Northeast US and Midwest.
August 4, 2025 at 10:38 PM
A ribbon of thick smoke from Canadian wildfires streams across the skies over North America, sullying the air quality over the Northeast US and Midwest.
Reposted by Jonathan Abraham
NEW: Extraordinary footage has emerged of the huge tsunami that hit Russia’s remote Kamchatka peninsula after the 8.8 magnitude earthquake on July 30th.
(🎥 Doni Nikz)
(🎥 Doni Nikz)
August 3, 2025 at 10:43 PM
NEW: Extraordinary footage has emerged of the huge tsunami that hit Russia’s remote Kamchatka peninsula after the 8.8 magnitude earthquake on July 30th.
(🎥 Doni Nikz)
(🎥 Doni Nikz)