Jens Carstens
@jenscarstens.bsky.social
PhD researcher @ CEE / Sciences Po: political (dis)trust | political science | firstgen
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12
October 17, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Why do rustbelts vote radical right? Studying the German Ruhr area, @nilsblossey.bsky.social, @lstoetze.bsky.social and I show: it’s not just about deindustrialization, but also about the original industrialization. Where coal is buried deeper and mining started later, the AfD is stronger today 1/12
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Shout-out to all #PoliticalTrust researchers interested in attending the first @epssnet.bsky.social conference in #Belfast
@annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!
@annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!
October 15, 2025 at 11:58 AM
Shout-out to all #PoliticalTrust researchers interested in attending the first @epssnet.bsky.social conference in #Belfast
@annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!
@annakern.bsky.social, @danjdevine.bsky.social, @cvalebeek.bsky.social, @hannesbey.bsky.social and I are coordinating 3 trust panels!
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Billions of 🇪🇺 money flow into regional development.
But do citizens trust the EU more in return?
🔬 Find out in this Electoral Studies article with Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu and Anne-Marie Jeannet.
❗Spoiler: EU 💶 regional funds do build trust in the 🇪🇺 , especially among working-class citizens.
But do citizens trust the EU more in return?
🔬 Find out in this Electoral Studies article with Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu and Anne-Marie Jeannet.
❗Spoiler: EU 💶 regional funds do build trust in the 🇪🇺 , especially among working-class citizens.
Cultivating trust? The role of European Union investments in bridging rural-urban divides
Over the last decades, agricultural policies and structural investment funds for regional development have been central to European integration. Howev…
www.sciencedirect.com
September 19, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Billions of 🇪🇺 money flow into regional development.
But do citizens trust the EU more in return?
🔬 Find out in this Electoral Studies article with Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu and Anne-Marie Jeannet.
❗Spoiler: EU 💶 regional funds do build trust in the 🇪🇺 , especially among working-class citizens.
But do citizens trust the EU more in return?
🔬 Find out in this Electoral Studies article with Paul Maneuvrier-Hervieu and Anne-Marie Jeannet.
❗Spoiler: EU 💶 regional funds do build trust in the 🇪🇺 , especially among working-class citizens.
Reposted by Jens Carstens
🚨 New blog post online!
What do missing schools, closed hospitals, or long trips to the nearest train station reveal about trust in government? (1/3)
September 8, 2025 at 11:49 AM
🚨 New blog post online!
What do missing schools, closed hospitals, or long trips to the nearest train station reveal about trust in government? (1/3)
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Extremely happy to see my first single-authored paper published! Check it out in @ersjournal.com 👇
How does the social climate in a neighborhood influence political trust among immigrants?
In her new paper, @hummlerteresa.bsky.social presents new insights based on LiV data:
👉 Perceived discrimination reduces political trust among immigrants. (1/2)
In her new paper, @hummlerteresa.bsky.social presents new insights based on LiV data:
👉 Perceived discrimination reduces political trust among immigrants. (1/2)
July 4, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Extremely happy to see my first single-authored paper published! Check it out in @ersjournal.com 👇
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Excited to share that my first single-authored article is now published in @wepsocial.bsky.social!
In light of the current backlash to climate policy, I explore the (rural) geography of support for climate policies in Europe.
🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In light of the current backlash to climate policy, I explore the (rural) geography of support for climate policies in Europe.
🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
A green divide? Climate policy support and its rural geography in Europe
Opposition to the green transition is often attributed to the direct costs of climate policies, with particularly vulnerable individuals perceived as more resistant. While recent studies suggest ru...
www.tandfonline.com
July 1, 2025 at 9:36 AM
Excited to share that my first single-authored article is now published in @wepsocial.bsky.social!
In light of the current backlash to climate policy, I explore the (rural) geography of support for climate policies in Europe.
🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
In light of the current backlash to climate policy, I explore the (rural) geography of support for climate policies in Europe.
🧵
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Jens Carstens
New publication with Wouter van der Brug in Electoral Studies!
What is the role of place-based resentment for voting behavior in multiparty systems?
We took data from the Dutch parliamentary elections in '17, '21 and '23 to find out.
(1/4)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
What is the role of place-based resentment for voting behavior in multiparty systems?
We took data from the Dutch parliamentary elections in '17, '21 and '23 to find out.
(1/4)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Place-based resentment and party support in multiparty systems: A study of three consecutive elections in the Netherlands
www.sciencedirect.com
July 1, 2025 at 7:56 AM
New publication with Wouter van der Brug in Electoral Studies!
What is the role of place-based resentment for voting behavior in multiparty systems?
We took data from the Dutch parliamentary elections in '17, '21 and '23 to find out.
(1/4)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
What is the role of place-based resentment for voting behavior in multiparty systems?
We took data from the Dutch parliamentary elections in '17, '21 and '23 to find out.
(1/4)
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Attending #EPSA2025 in beautiful Madrid to present 2 papers on climate politics ⤵️
On Thursday at 13:10, I'll present our work on symbolic policies and climate policy support 💡
On Saturday at 13:10, I'll present my paper on rural discontent with the green transition ☀️
On Thursday at 13:10, I'll present our work on symbolic policies and climate policy support 💡
On Saturday at 13:10, I'll present my paper on rural discontent with the green transition ☀️
June 25, 2025 at 9:02 AM
Attending #EPSA2025 in beautiful Madrid to present 2 papers on climate politics ⤵️
On Thursday at 13:10, I'll present our work on symbolic policies and climate policy support 💡
On Saturday at 13:10, I'll present my paper on rural discontent with the green transition ☀️
On Thursday at 13:10, I'll present our work on symbolic policies and climate policy support 💡
On Saturday at 13:10, I'll present my paper on rural discontent with the green transition ☀️
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Während die AfD immer weiter erstarkt, mehren sich die Rufe nach einer Wirtschaftspolitik gegen Rechts – und das aus gutem Grund. Doch Antifaschismus muss auch in der Nachbarschaft verankert sein. Ein Gastbeitrag von @feratkocak.dielinkebt.de.
Antifaschismus aus der Nachbarschaft
Während die AfD immer weiter erstarkt, mehren sich die Rufe nach einer Wirtschaftspolitik gegen Rechts – zu Recht. Doch Antifaschismus muss auch in der Nachbarschaft verankert sein. Ein Gastbeitrag.
jacobin.de
May 21, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Während die AfD immer weiter erstarkt, mehren sich die Rufe nach einer Wirtschaftspolitik gegen Rechts – und das aus gutem Grund. Doch Antifaschismus muss auch in der Nachbarschaft verankert sein. Ein Gastbeitrag von @feratkocak.dielinkebt.de.
Reposted by Jens Carstens
A Tinder Test of Democratic Norms💋
New paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @bertous.bsky.social
We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right among the centre-right 🇬🇧🇪🇸
doi.org/10.1086/736698
New paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @bertous.bsky.social
We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right among the centre-right 🇬🇧🇪🇸
doi.org/10.1086/736698
May 19, 2025 at 8:10 AM
A Tinder Test of Democratic Norms💋
New paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @bertous.bsky.social
We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right among the centre-right 🇬🇧🇪🇸
doi.org/10.1086/736698
New paper in @thejop.bsky.social with @bertous.bsky.social
We rely on a visual conjoint experiment, cross-sectional data, & panel data to show that affective polarization drives the normalisation of the far right among the centre-right 🇬🇧🇪🇸
doi.org/10.1086/736698
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Interested in how public services affect political distrust, populist support, and similar? Longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway.
doi.org/10.1080/1471...
doi.org/10.1080/1471...
Welfare state evaluations, normative expectations, and political trust: longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway
The expectancy-disconfirmation model (EDM) explains satisfaction with public services as a combination of service expectations and perceived performance. We study how satisfaction in turn affects p...
doi.org
May 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Interested in how public services affect political distrust, populist support, and similar? Longitudinal evidence from Germany and Norway.
doi.org/10.1080/1471...
doi.org/10.1080/1471...
Reposted by Jens Carstens
This is a BIG decision, which will undoubtedly get a legal follow-up.
It allows not only state surveillance but could also hinder the growing normalization, as public sector employees cannot be members of “extreme right” organizations.
It allows not only state surveillance but could also hinder the growing normalization, as public sector employees cannot be members of “extreme right” organizations.
AfD classified as extreme-right by German intelligence
The AfD came second in Germany's February elections and has a record number of seats in the new parliament.
www.bbc.com
May 2, 2025 at 11:52 AM
This is a BIG decision, which will undoubtedly get a legal follow-up.
It allows not only state surveillance but could also hinder the growing normalization, as public sector employees cannot be members of “extreme right” organizations.
It allows not only state surveillance but could also hinder the growing normalization, as public sector employees cannot be members of “extreme right” organizations.
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Beginne langsam zu verstehen, was alles "juristisch nicht reicht" in Deutschland 😭
Vor knapp einem Jahr grölten junge Partygäste auf Sylt »Deutschland den Deutschen, Ausländer raus«. Bundesweit war die Empörung groß. Nun kommen Ermittler zu dem Schluss: Volksverhetzung war das nicht.
Sylt-Video: Staatsanwaltschaft stellt Ermittlungen überwiegend ein
Vor knapp einem Jahr grölten junge Partygäste auf Sylt »Deutschland den Deutschen, Ausländer raus«. Bundesweit war die Empörung groß. Nun kommen Ermittler zu dem Schluss: Volksverhetzung war das nicht.
www.spiegel.de
April 28, 2025 at 9:09 AM
Beginne langsam zu verstehen, was alles "juristisch nicht reicht" in Deutschland 😭
Reposted by Jens Carstens
I am really proud about this publication on trust, with Chaïm la Roi and @cvalebeek.bsky.social .
Using unique panel data, we show (1) that trust has a dispositional element among adults, and (2) that these trust attitudes are socialized during adolescence.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Using unique panel data, we show (1) that trust has a dispositional element among adults, and (2) that these trust attitudes are socialized during adolescence.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Socialized to (Dis)trust? A Panel Study into the Origins of Dispositional Institutional Trust - Social Indicators Research
A longstanding argument in the field of institutional trust reads that trust is the outcome of a process of socialization. This approach suggests that institutional trust may be understood as a set di...
link.springer.com
April 10, 2025 at 11:32 AM
I am really proud about this publication on trust, with Chaïm la Roi and @cvalebeek.bsky.social .
Using unique panel data, we show (1) that trust has a dispositional element among adults, and (2) that these trust attitudes are socialized during adolescence.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Using unique panel data, we show (1) that trust has a dispositional element among adults, and (2) that these trust attitudes are socialized during adolescence.
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Was erklärt regionale Unterschiede im Wahlerfolg der AfD?
Hiermit befasst sich die Dissertation meiner Kollegin @theresabernemann.bsky.social, die in unserer #AK-Wahlen Buchreihe erschienen ist.
Check it out: link.springer.com/book/10.1007....
Hiermit befasst sich die Dissertation meiner Kollegin @theresabernemann.bsky.social, die in unserer #AK-Wahlen Buchreihe erschienen ist.
Check it out: link.springer.com/book/10.1007....
April 10, 2025 at 8:35 AM
Was erklärt regionale Unterschiede im Wahlerfolg der AfD?
Hiermit befasst sich die Dissertation meiner Kollegin @theresabernemann.bsky.social, die in unserer #AK-Wahlen Buchreihe erschienen ist.
Check it out: link.springer.com/book/10.1007....
Hiermit befasst sich die Dissertation meiner Kollegin @theresabernemann.bsky.social, die in unserer #AK-Wahlen Buchreihe erschienen ist.
Check it out: link.springer.com/book/10.1007....
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Neues @taz.de-Interview zur Bundestagswahl.
Fokus: Gender Gaps & um regionale Veränderungen.
Dabei geht es auch um lokale Wahlmuster – und mein bald erscheinendes Buch dazu:
📚"Wo wir wie wählen – Politische Muster in Deutschlands Nachbarschaften"📚
Stay tuned!🚀
www.campus.de/buecher-camp...
Fokus: Gender Gaps & um regionale Veränderungen.
Dabei geht es auch um lokale Wahlmuster – und mein bald erscheinendes Buch dazu:
📚"Wo wir wie wählen – Politische Muster in Deutschlands Nachbarschaften"📚
Stay tuned!🚀
www.campus.de/buecher-camp...
March 5, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Neues @taz.de-Interview zur Bundestagswahl.
Fokus: Gender Gaps & um regionale Veränderungen.
Dabei geht es auch um lokale Wahlmuster – und mein bald erscheinendes Buch dazu:
📚"Wo wir wie wählen – Politische Muster in Deutschlands Nachbarschaften"📚
Stay tuned!🚀
www.campus.de/buecher-camp...
Fokus: Gender Gaps & um regionale Veränderungen.
Dabei geht es auch um lokale Wahlmuster – und mein bald erscheinendes Buch dazu:
📚"Wo wir wie wählen – Politische Muster in Deutschlands Nachbarschaften"📚
Stay tuned!🚀
www.campus.de/buecher-camp...
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Tomorrow will be an exciting day: I'll be presenting our work on "symbolic policies" and their effect on climate policy support at the Nuffield Comparative Political Economy Seminar @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
Reach out if you want to attend online or in person!
Reach out if you want to attend online or in person!
March 3, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Tomorrow will be an exciting day: I'll be presenting our work on "symbolic policies" and their effect on climate policy support at the Nuffield Comparative Political Economy Seminar @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social
Reach out if you want to attend online or in person!
Reach out if you want to attend online or in person!
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Fish and chips and the Brexit vote. Brilliant work by @stevepickering.bsky.social and Seiki Tanaka in Geoforum. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
March 1, 2025 at 10:27 PM
Fish and chips and the Brexit vote. Brilliant work by @stevepickering.bsky.social and Seiki Tanaka in Geoforum. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Reposted by Jens Carstens
This was YEARS in the making but my first solo authored publication is out. I do more than rant on social media. I also study situational trust! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Cooperating through distrust: seeking remedies to state and community violence
This article focuses on a crucial issue in Black politics: the spectrum of trust. Building on Monica Bell’s theory of situational trust, I explain how community members in three South Side Chicago ...
www.tandfonline.com
February 20, 2025 at 12:21 PM
This was YEARS in the making but my first solo authored publication is out. I do more than rant on social media. I also study situational trust! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Jens Carstens
NEW -
Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP
- @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero
Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP
- @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero
February 19, 2025 at 11:15 AM
NEW -
Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP
- @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero
Can Official Messaging on Trust in Elections Break Through Partisan Polarization? - cup.org/433kRJP
- @jengaudette.bsky.social, @sethjhill.bsky.social, Thad Kousser, @maclockhart.bsky.social & Mindy Romero
Reposted by Jens Carstens
A few thoughts on the urban-rural divide in the upcoming German election (Thread). First: the benchmark. The 2021 election saw the strongest urban-rural divide in decades. With AfD and Greens, two parties had more distinct rural/urban voter support than any party had in recent elections 1/8
February 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
A few thoughts on the urban-rural divide in the upcoming German election (Thread). First: the benchmark. The 2021 election saw the strongest urban-rural divide in decades. With AfD and Greens, two parties had more distinct rural/urban voter support than any party had in recent elections 1/8
Reposted by Jens Carstens
From our new issue: "Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods" by Cory McCartan, Jacob Brown, and Kosuke Imai. #ASPRNewIssue https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/measuring-and-modeling-neighborhoods/13D284E0CF76458F597B70F2242C23EA
January 14, 2025 at 7:02 PM
From our new issue: "Measuring and Modeling Neighborhoods" by Cory McCartan, Jacob Brown, and Kosuke Imai. #ASPRNewIssue https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/measuring-and-modeling-neighborhoods/13D284E0CF76458F597B70F2242C23EA
Reposted by Jens Carstens
Our analysis of the geography of GE2024 is now out in
@politicalquarterly.bsky.social. This offers an important update of The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales by @jwfurlong.bsky.social and me, published by OUP just ahead of the election. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
@politicalquarterly.bsky.social. This offers an important update of The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales by @jwfurlong.bsky.social and me, published by OUP just ahead of the election. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
January 7, 2025 at 1:48 AM
Our analysis of the geography of GE2024 is now out in
@politicalquarterly.bsky.social. This offers an important update of The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales by @jwfurlong.bsky.social and me, published by OUP just ahead of the election. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
@politicalquarterly.bsky.social. This offers an important update of The Changing Electoral Map of England and Wales by @jwfurlong.bsky.social and me, published by OUP just ahead of the election. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Reposted by Jens Carstens
🚨It's finally out! The #SciencesPo_CEE starter pack :)
Add Europe's coolest researchers in #polsci and #sociology right here 👇
Credits go to @malojan.bsky.social
@sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/54D9Bjk
Add Europe's coolest researchers in #polsci and #sociology right here 👇
Credits go to @malojan.bsky.social
@sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/54D9Bjk
November 21, 2024 at 10:17 AM
🚨It's finally out! The #SciencesPo_CEE starter pack :)
Add Europe's coolest researchers in #polsci and #sociology right here 👇
Credits go to @malojan.bsky.social
@sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/54D9Bjk
Add Europe's coolest researchers in #polsci and #sociology right here 👇
Credits go to @malojan.bsky.social
@sciencespo-cee.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/54D9Bjk