Jack Peacock
@jackpeacock1.bsky.social
Researcher @ Survation, all views my own.
Reposted by Jack Peacock
An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils:
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
May 2, 2025 at 5:07 PM
An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils:
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats
Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats
Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats
Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats
Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats
Reposted by Jack Peacock
New Senedd polling shows Labour in the lead but with Reform and Plaid close behind.
LAB 27%
REF 24%
PC 24%
CON 15%
LD 5%
GRE 5%
OTH 1%
F/w 10th March - 3rd April.
@jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings here: www.survation.com/senedd-polli...
LAB 27%
REF 24%
PC 24%
CON 15%
LD 5%
GRE 5%
OTH 1%
F/w 10th March - 3rd April.
@jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings here: www.survation.com/senedd-polli...
April 7, 2025 at 1:32 PM
New Senedd polling shows Labour in the lead but with Reform and Plaid close behind.
LAB 27%
REF 24%
PC 24%
CON 15%
LD 5%
GRE 5%
OTH 1%
F/w 10th March - 3rd April.
@jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings here: www.survation.com/senedd-polli...
LAB 27%
REF 24%
PC 24%
CON 15%
LD 5%
GRE 5%
OTH 1%
F/w 10th March - 3rd April.
@jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings here: www.survation.com/senedd-polli...
Reposted by Jack Peacock
Ahead of the spring statement, @jackpeacock1.bsky.social looks at how the public understands the economy and their views on economic growth as an indicator of performance. We find just 54% of people believe they personally gain when the UK economy is growing.
www.survation.com/the-chancell...
www.survation.com/the-chancell...
March 25, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Ahead of the spring statement, @jackpeacock1.bsky.social looks at how the public understands the economy and their views on economic growth as an indicator of performance. We find just 54% of people believe they personally gain when the UK economy is growing.
www.survation.com/the-chancell...
www.survation.com/the-chancell...
Reposted by Jack Peacock
The two 'soft ends' of Labour's coalition are Reform curious voters on right, Green curious voters on left.
Looking at their values, they're relatively far apart on culture but united on economics.
Reform curious Lab voters are also notably more left-wing economically than wider Reform vote.
Looking at their values, they're relatively far apart on culture but united on economics.
Reform curious Lab voters are also notably more left-wing economically than wider Reform vote.
February 11, 2025 at 4:21 PM
The two 'soft ends' of Labour's coalition are Reform curious voters on right, Green curious voters on left.
Looking at their values, they're relatively far apart on culture but united on economics.
Reform curious Lab voters are also notably more left-wing economically than wider Reform vote.
Looking at their values, they're relatively far apart on culture but united on economics.
Reform curious Lab voters are also notably more left-wing economically than wider Reform vote.
Latest from me with a focus on fragmentation and economic pessimism. Voters’ expectations for delivery are through the floor, yet they don't believe anyone else would necessarily fare better.
New Westminster Voting Intention
LAB 27% (-3)
CON 22% (-3)
REF 24% (+4)
LD 13% (+2)
GRE 8% (+1)
SNP 3% (+1)
OTH 4% (-)
F/w 28th - 29th January. Changes vs. 16th December 2024.
@jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings below: www.survation.com/reform-rise-...
LAB 27% (-3)
CON 22% (-3)
REF 24% (+4)
LD 13% (+2)
GRE 8% (+1)
SNP 3% (+1)
OTH 4% (-)
F/w 28th - 29th January. Changes vs. 16th December 2024.
@jackpeacock1.bsky.social explores the findings below: www.survation.com/reform-rise-...
Reform Rise as Economic Pessimism Grows | Survation
Survation’s latest voting intention data paints a picture of political flux in the UK. Both Labour and the Conservatives have lost three percentage points since...
www.survation.com
January 30, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Latest from me with a focus on fragmentation and economic pessimism. Voters’ expectations for delivery are through the floor, yet they don't believe anyone else would necessarily fare better.
Reposted by Jack Peacock
How left- or right-wing is each MP?
New data by @chanret.bsky.social and @vlazarov.bsky.social in partnership with Survation and @ukandeu.bsky.social reveals the (economic) left-right positions of individual MPs.
www.survation.com/how-left-or-...
New data by @chanret.bsky.social and @vlazarov.bsky.social in partnership with Survation and @ukandeu.bsky.social reveals the (economic) left-right positions of individual MPs.
www.survation.com/how-left-or-...
How left- or right-wing is each MP? | Survation
New data published today as part of Survation’s ongoing partnership with Royal Holloway University of London and with support from UK in a Changing Europe...
www.survation.com
January 7, 2025 at 4:26 PM
How left- or right-wing is each MP?
New data by @chanret.bsky.social and @vlazarov.bsky.social in partnership with Survation and @ukandeu.bsky.social reveals the (economic) left-right positions of individual MPs.
www.survation.com/how-left-or-...
New data by @chanret.bsky.social and @vlazarov.bsky.social in partnership with Survation and @ukandeu.bsky.social reveals the (economic) left-right positions of individual MPs.
www.survation.com/how-left-or-...
Reposted by Jack Peacock
Worth drawing attention to the table in this piece - it is absolutely the case Labour faces a 2nd placed Reform in 89 seats but in most of those they are a long way behind Labour, and still behind Labour if you give them all the Conservative vote in those seats as well.
January 7, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Worth drawing attention to the table in this piece - it is absolutely the case Labour faces a 2nd placed Reform in 89 seats but in most of those they are a long way behind Labour, and still behind Labour if you give them all the Conservative vote in those seats as well.
Labour’s vote share has fallen 4 points since the election, while the Conservatives have inched up 1 point. The biggest winner? Reform UK, whose vote share has surged by 6 points, capitalising on dissatisfaction on the right. 1/8
Reviewing 2024, @jackpeacock1.bsky.social assesses the political landscape as we enter the new year.
Final Westminster Voting Intention of 2024:
LAB 30% (-4)
CON 25% (+1)
REF 20% (+6)
LD 11% (-1)
GRE 7% (-)
SNP 2% (-1)
OTH 4% (-3)
F/w 12th - 16th December. Changes vs. 2024 General Election.
Final Westminster Voting Intention of 2024:
LAB 30% (-4)
CON 25% (+1)
REF 20% (+6)
LD 11% (-1)
GRE 7% (-)
SNP 2% (-1)
OTH 4% (-3)
F/w 12th - 16th December. Changes vs. 2024 General Election.
2024 in Review: Labour’s Landslide, Rising Discontent, and the Challenge Ahead | Survation
The election was a huge success for Labour, as the party returned to Government with a Commons majority of 174. Meanwhile the Conservatives faced a...
www.survation.com
January 6, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Labour’s vote share has fallen 4 points since the election, while the Conservatives have inched up 1 point. The biggest winner? Reform UK, whose vote share has surged by 6 points, capitalising on dissatisfaction on the right. 1/8