Jack Landry
@jacklandry.bsky.social
Research Associate at the Jain Family Institute
https://jacklandry.github.io/
https://jacklandry.github.io/
I don't think declining mobility is a real trend---likely all measurement error in the CPS (which itself shows way lower migration rates than the ACS) carlmcpherson.github.io/files/mcpher...
August 26, 2025 at 11:27 PM
I don't think declining mobility is a real trend---likely all measurement error in the CPS (which itself shows way lower migration rates than the ACS) carlmcpherson.github.io/files/mcpher...
Reposted by Jack Landry
New analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social: if you combine the distributional impact of tariffs so far with CBO's new OBBBA distribution, the bottom 80% of households see a decline in income, and the 9th decile is close to neutral. Only the top 10% see a clear net benefit.
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June 12, 2025 at 5:47 PM
New analysis from @budgetlab.bsky.social: if you combine the distributional impact of tariffs so far with CBO's new OBBBA distribution, the bottom 80% of households see a decline in income, and the 9th decile is close to neutral. Only the top 10% see a clear net benefit.
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Want to re-up this not that the official CBO distributional analysis is out--they are assuming people who lose Medicaid get uncompensated care that is over half the value of the insurance they lost.
In the distributional analysis of OBBB, CBO assumes that a lot of the cost of losing Medicaid is felt by higher-income health care providers who will provide health care for free, not Medicaid recipients themselves
June 12, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Want to re-up this not that the official CBO distributional analysis is out--they are assuming people who lose Medicaid get uncompensated care that is over half the value of the insurance they lost.
In the distributional analysis of OBBB, CBO assumes that a lot of the cost of losing Medicaid is felt by higher-income health care providers who will provide health care for free, not Medicaid recipients themselves
June 11, 2025 at 8:49 PM
In the distributional analysis of OBBB, CBO assumes that a lot of the cost of losing Medicaid is felt by higher-income health care providers who will provide health care for free, not Medicaid recipients themselves
Will be posting a lot more about this more tomorrow, but for now, know that all the new tax cuts in OBBB exclude lower-income families. The typical family with kids needs $36k to get any benefit.
Wow my former colleague @jacklandry.bsky.social at JFI went absolutely beast mode on the reconciliation bill, releasing 4 (!) separate microsimulation-backed reports on the bill's CTC and EITC provisions yesterday. Magisterial stuff.
jainfamilyinstitute.org/series/child...
jainfamilyinstitute.org/series/child...
Low-Income Families with Children and The Reconciliation Debate Archives - Jain Family Institute
This series analyzes how tax and benefit policy debates surrounding Congress’s emerging reconciliation bill affect low-income families with children. In today’s polarized political environment, unilat...
jainfamilyinstitute.org
June 11, 2025 at 8:41 PM
Will be posting a lot more about this more tomorrow, but for now, know that all the new tax cuts in OBBB exclude lower-income families. The typical family with kids needs $36k to get any benefit.
Cook county housing authority is making big budget cuts because of expected Congressional funding shortfalls. While not explicitly evicting current voucher holders, they are making changes that will force people to move, some of whom won’t be able to find a new place that will accept a voucher.
April 10, 2025 at 8:42 PM
Cook county housing authority is making big budget cuts because of expected Congressional funding shortfalls. While not explicitly evicting current voucher holders, they are making changes that will force people to move, some of whom won’t be able to find a new place that will accept a voucher.
Love to find these super old CBPP reports when researching something
April 10, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Love to find these super old CBPP reports when researching something
New Congressional Research Service report concludes the TCJA had a minimal impact on the economy
www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
April 10, 2025 at 2:01 PM
New Congressional Research Service report concludes the TCJA had a minimal impact on the economy
www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
www.congress.gov/crs-product/...
I wouldn't be surprised if tariff revenues are used as rhetorical cover for the lack of TCJA extension+ pay-fors. Maybe that's even one way to square the circle between the competing tracks the Senate and House are on right now?
I mean, I think the tariff stuff is impairing their ability to *even* get TCJA renewal done
another thing that bears repeating is that i bet people's expectations for government response to a recession are extremely high (CARES/HEROES) and we are just *not* getting that
April 6, 2025 at 2:13 AM
I wouldn't be surprised if tariff revenues are used as rhetorical cover for the lack of TCJA extension+ pay-fors. Maybe that's even one way to square the circle between the competing tracks the Senate and House are on right now?
Good social science evidence that this is both 1) true and 2) central to the overall benefits of social security leelockwood.droppages.com/IGOASI.pdf
April 6, 2025 at 1:55 AM
Good social science evidence that this is both 1) true and 2) central to the overall benefits of social security leelockwood.droppages.com/IGOASI.pdf
Nice post. I think an even more direct way more supply --> more distribution is cost per voucher is way lower when rents are lower. Looking at HUD data for a few choice cities, LA spends $1,831 per month per voucher, Chicago spends $1,215
As Chirag says: more supply means more effective redistribution.
A family given a housing voucher in a supply constrained market often never finds a home.
A family given a housing voucher in a supply constrained market often never finds a home.
March 26, 2025 at 5:06 PM
Nice post. I think an even more direct way more supply --> more distribution is cost per voucher is way lower when rents are lower. Looking at HUD data for a few choice cities, LA spends $1,831 per month per voucher, Chicago spends $1,215
Reposted by Jack Landry
We’ve seen a lot of studies in recent years on unconditional income transfers, but little in terms of cohesive set of conclusions. See the Jain Family Institute report that summarizes some of these studies. 👇
Jain Family Institute put out a nice summary! t.co/RvKQzoLb1e
https://jainfamilyinstitute.org/guaranteed-income-in-the-wild-summarizing-evidence-from-pilot-studies-and-implications-for-policy/
t.co
December 10, 2024 at 2:14 AM
We’ve seen a lot of studies in recent years on unconditional income transfers, but little in terms of cohesive set of conclusions. See the Jain Family Institute report that summarizes some of these studies. 👇
Really great stuff Illinois... Take the online Medicaid/SNAP/TANF benefits portal offline for a week is bad enough, now it's two weeks later, it's still down, and you can't even update the message of when it will be available.
December 11, 2024 at 12:35 AM
Really great stuff Illinois... Take the online Medicaid/SNAP/TANF benefits portal offline for a week is bad enough, now it's two weeks later, it's still down, and you can't even update the message of when it will be available.
Reposted by Jack Landry
Here is a report on the Compton Pledge guaranteed income pilot run by the Jain Family Institute in collaboration with Sewin Chen, @smconstantino.bsky.social @johanneshaushofer.com, and Jonathan Morduch. I believe @jacklandry.bsky.social will have a piece discussing results soon.
Results from a guaranteed income program for low-income households in Compton, California, from Sidhya Balakrishnan, Sewin Chan, Sara Constantino, Johannes Haushofer, and Jonathan Morduch https://www.nber.org/papers/w33209
December 9, 2024 at 4:15 PM
Here is a report on the Compton Pledge guaranteed income pilot run by the Jain Family Institute in collaboration with Sewin Chen, @smconstantino.bsky.social @johanneshaushofer.com, and Jonathan Morduch. I believe @jacklandry.bsky.social will have a piece discussing results soon.
This really resonates with me democracyjournal.org/arguments/po...
November 5, 2023 at 7:14 PM
This really resonates with me democracyjournal.org/arguments/po...
Big Congressional Budget Office News, the agency is building capacity to estimate long-run effects. Starts with example of Medicaid enrollment, finding increasing child medicaid enrollment would reduce the future federal deficit by between $800-$3,400 per child per year www.cbo.gov/publication/...
Short-Term Spending and Long-Term Dynamic Effects
Some federal policies involve short-term expenditures that result in economic and budgetary effects far in the future. CBO has been building analytic capacity to consider a dynamic framework for polic...
www.cbo.gov
November 1, 2023 at 7:14 PM
Big Congressional Budget Office News, the agency is building capacity to estimate long-run effects. Starts with example of Medicaid enrollment, finding increasing child medicaid enrollment would reduce the future federal deficit by between $800-$3,400 per child per year www.cbo.gov/publication/...
I will never say "these data"... it's like lame nerd bat signal
October 31, 2023 at 5:01 AM
I will never say "these data"... it's like lame nerd bat signal
Reposted by Jack Landry
More news this morning that economic hardship increased from 2021 to 2022. This time measured as food insecurity from USDA
13.4 million kids without enough food in 2022, 3.7 million more than 2021
This is a policy choice we are making
13.4 million kids without enough food in 2022, 3.7 million more than 2021
This is a policy choice we are making
October 25, 2023 at 3:29 PM
More news this morning that economic hardship increased from 2021 to 2022. This time measured as food insecurity from USDA
13.4 million kids without enough food in 2022, 3.7 million more than 2021
This is a policy choice we are making
13.4 million kids without enough food in 2022, 3.7 million more than 2021
This is a policy choice we are making
Reposted by Jack Landry
This is a way bigger deal than the excess admissions of very rich kids at 12 universities, conditional on test scores. I am glad the NYT is reporting on this. SES differences in academic preparation at the time of college application are simply enormous.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
October 25, 2023 at 12:09 PM
This is a way bigger deal than the excess admissions of very rich kids at 12 universities, conditional on test scores. I am glad the NYT is reporting on this. SES differences in academic preparation at the time of college application are simply enormous.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Intererting and topical article on party-leaders influence on roll call votes drive.google.com/file/d/1HPjy...
October 22, 2023 at 9:31 PM
Intererting and topical article on party-leaders influence on roll call votes drive.google.com/file/d/1HPjy...
Application requirements for an old Obama-era weatherization program vs. new IRA energy efficiency program. Crazy requirements (everyone's social security card??) vs. self-reporting your income or verifying via eligibility in some other safety net program
October 20, 2023 at 8:34 PM
Application requirements for an old Obama-era weatherization program vs. new IRA energy efficiency program. Crazy requirements (everyone's social security card??) vs. self-reporting your income or verifying via eligibility in some other safety net program
Reposted by Jack Landry
Crowdsourcing ideas for a document of "solved problems worth solving". Structure:
- Here is a problem and the real consequences
- Other places have had the problem and solved it.
- If 5-10 people spent a decade on it, they could prob solve it here.
- Here is a problem and the real consequences
- Other places have had the problem and solved it.
- If 5-10 people spent a decade on it, they could prob solve it here.
September 28, 2023 at 2:27 PM
Crowdsourcing ideas for a document of "solved problems worth solving". Structure:
- Here is a problem and the real consequences
- Other places have had the problem and solved it.
- If 5-10 people spent a decade on it, they could prob solve it here.
- Here is a problem and the real consequences
- Other places have had the problem and solved it.
- If 5-10 people spent a decade on it, they could prob solve it here.