Ethan Clark wx
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ethangclark02.bsky.social
Ethan Clark wx
@ethangclark02.bsky.social
@NCState | Meteorologist/Stormwater for @RaleighGov and Freelance for @WRAL| Founder of North Carolina’s Weather Authority with over 650k followers on FB|


https://t.co/rmPgbwdgpH
Reposted by Ethan Clark wx
We are still evaluating how the new suite of AI models may compare (e.g., AIFS, Google-DeepMind, Graphcast). Thus far, it looks like the same limitations that apply the ordinary NWP modeling also applies to the new suite of AI modeling.
August 10, 2025 at 3:44 PM
Reposted by Ethan Clark wx
Now for (2) sharing deterministic model output at long lead times:

Forecast skill for individual features meso-to-synoptic scale in size (i.e., #TC) lose predictability fast >5-7 day period.

The Environmental Modeling Center has detailed stats that show this rapid skill drop off in all models. 📉
August 10, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Yup. It’s always pure entertainment
May 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Reposted by Ethan Clark wx
Numerous studies have shown that radiosondes are a critical input to the computer models that help us forecast the weather accurately on an ongoing basis.

Plus, they provide forecasters quality insight in and immediately ahead of high-impact events like severe storms and hurricanes.
April 17, 2025 at 3:03 PM
What Nate said.
April 17, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Ridiculous
April 17, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Contact your representatives don’t let up they need to hear you.
April 17, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Didn’t have republican support hoping this bill along with the other things start the conversation.
April 4, 2025 at 12:59 AM
April 4, 2025 at 12:51 AM
This also includes getting a radar to Charlotte, which folks have fought for years. This is desperately needed.
April 4, 2025 at 12:50 AM
More progress to protect and further fund and support NWS/ NOAA but I thank @RepTimMooreNC @RepPatHarrigan and @RepDeborahRoss for understanding how important critical weather infrastructure and information is, and how it should be nonpartisan with widespread support. #ncwx
April 4, 2025 at 12:50 AM
The spring pattern is very elaborate this year and it’s leading to large swings and temperature and precipitation mostly la Niña related
March 24, 2025 at 1:56 PM