Paul Sengmüller
@doppelgaenger.bsky.social
Economist, recovering academic (@Columbia, @TilburgU), now working in financial supervision.
Vienna, Austria
Vienna, Austria
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
If you need me, tap me on the shoulder. I’ll be happily working all day listening to this on a loop.
November 13, 2025 at 1:49 PM
If you need me, tap me on the shoulder. I’ll be happily working all day listening to this on a loop.
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
Die Stadt Wien verschiebt die Inbetriebnahme der U5, um "18-20 Mio." Euro einzusparen. Die unerwünscht zugestellte Stadtzeitung "Mein Wien", die keiner liest, kostete zuletzt übrigens fast 16 Mio. Euro pro Jahr #priorities
November 12, 2025 at 11:35 AM
Die Stadt Wien verschiebt die Inbetriebnahme der U5, um "18-20 Mio." Euro einzusparen. Die unerwünscht zugestellte Stadtzeitung "Mein Wien", die keiner liest, kostete zuletzt übrigens fast 16 Mio. Euro pro Jahr #priorities
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
What does a Nobel Prize on ‘innovation-driven economic growth’ actually reward?
A historian’s perspective on how to deal with the Nobel frenzy
beatricecherrier.wordpress.com/2025/10/13/w...
A historian’s perspective on how to deal with the Nobel frenzy
beatricecherrier.wordpress.com/2025/10/13/w...
October 14, 2025 at 12:00 AM
What does a Nobel Prize on ‘innovation-driven economic growth’ actually reward?
A historian’s perspective on how to deal with the Nobel frenzy
beatricecherrier.wordpress.com/2025/10/13/w...
A historian’s perspective on how to deal with the Nobel frenzy
beatricecherrier.wordpress.com/2025/10/13/w...
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
Once the missiles go up, who cares where they come down?
That’s not my department, says Wernher von Braun.
That’s not my department, says Wernher von Braun.
Tom Lehrer RIP at age 98. This singer-songwriter, first introduced to my life in the late 1950's, was a huge influence on my worldview. And remains so.
July 27, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Once the missiles go up, who cares where they come down?
That’s not my department, says Wernher von Braun.
That’s not my department, says Wernher von Braun.
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
And this is how, ladies and gentlemen, Lucas and Sargent came to France, in a volume on post-modernist architecture and macro, communism and pacifism, their attacks on Keynesian large macro-scale models intersected with architects' sketches and postmodern pictures of topless women
/end/
/end/
March 26, 2025 at 9:33 PM
And this is how, ladies and gentlemen, Lucas and Sargent came to France, in a volume on post-modernist architecture and macro, communism and pacifism, their attacks on Keynesian large macro-scale models intersected with architects' sketches and postmodern pictures of topless women
/end/
/end/
Sick to my stomach
There are many mysteries and ambiguities in life but the nature of this gesture is not among them. It's a Nazi salute.
February 21, 2025 at 6:31 PM
Sick to my stomach
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
People saying that they are shocked, or that Putin is hoodwinking Trump still don't get it. Putin isn't fooling Trump or Trump has not changed his position. He is pro-Putin, he wants Russia to do well and he could not care less about Ukraine (and he hates Zelensky).
February 19, 2025 at 9:09 AM
People saying that they are shocked, or that Putin is hoodwinking Trump still don't get it. Putin isn't fooling Trump or Trump has not changed his position. He is pro-Putin, he wants Russia to do well and he could not care less about Ukraine (and he hates Zelensky).
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
9/ Musk made his endorsement of Trump on July 13, 2024. The analysis suggests that Musk did more than merely give verbal support for Trump, but also changed X's algorithm on the same date to systematically promote his own and other prominent pro-Republican acounts. /end
November 16, 2024 at 10:40 AM
9/ Musk made his endorsement of Trump on July 13, 2024. The analysis suggests that Musk did more than merely give verbal support for Trump, but also changed X's algorithm on the same date to systematically promote his own and other prominent pro-Republican acounts. /end
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
may I present our current leading candidate for Attorney General
November 10, 2024 at 6:58 AM
may I present our current leading candidate for Attorney General
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
Paper of the Day: "Who values democracy?"
Democratizations had a large, negative impact on asset valuations and elevated risk premia driven by a rise in redistribution risk.
Autocratizations led to negligible asset pricing responses.
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
Democratizations had a large, negative impact on asset valuations and elevated risk premia driven by a rise in redistribution risk.
Autocratizations led to negligible asset pricing responses.
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
November 5, 2024 at 5:59 PM
Paper of the Day: "Who values democracy?"
Democratizations had a large, negative impact on asset valuations and elevated risk premia driven by a rise in redistribution risk.
Autocratizations led to negligible asset pricing responses.
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
Democratizations had a large, negative impact on asset valuations and elevated risk premia driven by a rise in redistribution risk.
Autocratizations led to negligible asset pricing responses.
www.hbs.edu/ris/Publicat...
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
It's not very surprising to read that another LLM transcription tool makes things up. It's still an open empirical question IMO whether the risks of errors and time consumed by correcting them is outweighed by the time saved using these tools. apnews.com/article/ai-a...
Researchers say an AI-powered transcription tool used in hospitals invents things no one ever said
Whisper is a popular transcription tool powered by artificial intelligence, but it has a major flaw. It makes things up that were never said.
apnews.com
October 28, 2024 at 9:41 AM
It's not very surprising to read that another LLM transcription tool makes things up. It's still an open empirical question IMO whether the risks of errors and time consumed by correcting them is outweighed by the time saved using these tools. apnews.com/article/ai-a...
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
There's also a responsibility on those large accounts because if they move, they can help the tiny ones solve *their* coordination problem. Communities have leaders!
October 6, 2024 at 5:20 PM
There's also a responsibility on those large accounts because if they move, they can help the tiny ones solve *their* coordination problem. Communities have leaders!
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
Respect for Joey making the move from the other place. He had a v large following over there and there are not many in that US econ and finance cohort who have come over so there is some sacrifice to doing it. Please follow if you are interested in the US economy and finance and, well, data.
Going to be in NYC for 48 hours this week, what are some good things to do or see
(for someone who grew up in NJ and thus did all the stereotypically touristy stuff enough times to be sick of them)
(for someone who grew up in NJ and thus did all the stereotypically touristy stuff enough times to be sick of them)
October 6, 2024 at 4:30 PM
Respect for Joey making the move from the other place. He had a v large following over there and there are not many in that US econ and finance cohort who have come over so there is some sacrifice to doing it. Please follow if you are interested in the US economy and finance and, well, data.
September 29, 2024 at 9:20 AM
A gaggle of geese, a flock of ducks, a pride of lions, a pack of wolves, a murder of crows … and a panel of experts.
May 29, 2024 at 7:50 PM
A gaggle of geese, a flock of ducks, a pride of lions, a pack of wolves, a murder of crows … and a panel of experts.
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
We are super excited to get the printed copies of my book--Cities in the Sky--coming **May 14** from Scribner Books. #CitiesintheSkyBook
Pre-order Now! www.citiesintheskybook.com
Pre-order Now! www.citiesintheskybook.com
April 13, 2024 at 1:52 PM
We are super excited to get the printed copies of my book--Cities in the Sky--coming **May 14** from Scribner Books. #CitiesintheSkyBook
Pre-order Now! www.citiesintheskybook.com
Pre-order Now! www.citiesintheskybook.com
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
Getting academics talking to non-academics is like trying to compile untested and very buggy source code to production in one pass
Getting nonacademics to talk to academics is like decompiling binaries that work into intelligible abstractions and theories
Legible wrongness meets illegible myth
Getting nonacademics to talk to academics is like decompiling binaries that work into intelligible abstractions and theories
Legible wrongness meets illegible myth
January 14, 2024 at 6:05 PM
Getting academics talking to non-academics is like trying to compile untested and very buggy source code to production in one pass
Getting nonacademics to talk to academics is like decompiling binaries that work into intelligible abstractions and theories
Legible wrongness meets illegible myth
Getting nonacademics to talk to academics is like decompiling binaries that work into intelligible abstractions and theories
Legible wrongness meets illegible myth
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
Here’s your chance to own Rene Benko’s bog brush
Not so much a firesale as a smoke Signa
www.ft.com
January 5, 2024 at 3:02 PM
Reposted by Paul Sengmüller
Ambitionslos gelbt die Sonne die Wolken, der Standler schmeißt die Glücksbringer aus Glas so schlecht gelaunt ins Sackerl, dass beim Auspacken Scherben zu erwarten sind.
Es ist mild und wüsste man nicht das Datum, könnte man nicht herausriechen, welche Jahreszeit grad ist.
Grumpy Viennese Silvester.
Es ist mild und wüsste man nicht das Datum, könnte man nicht herausriechen, welche Jahreszeit grad ist.
Grumpy Viennese Silvester.
December 30, 2023 at 11:45 AM
Ambitionslos gelbt die Sonne die Wolken, der Standler schmeißt die Glücksbringer aus Glas so schlecht gelaunt ins Sackerl, dass beim Auspacken Scherben zu erwarten sind.
Es ist mild und wüsste man nicht das Datum, könnte man nicht herausriechen, welche Jahreszeit grad ist.
Grumpy Viennese Silvester.
Es ist mild und wüsste man nicht das Datum, könnte man nicht herausriechen, welche Jahreszeit grad ist.
Grumpy Viennese Silvester.